J-XAG
🔥NEW: XAGUSD 🔥 SWING TRADE 🔥 CounterTrend⚠️ A countertrend trade is a trade that is made against the prevailing trend. This means that the trader is betting that the trend will reverse and that the price will move in the opposite direction of the BIG PICTURE trend. Countertrend trading can be a very profitable strategy, but it is also more risky than trend following.
SLO @ 24.66 📉 +0.42%
SSO @ 24.26 ⏳
TP1 @ 24.55 (scalp)
TP2 @ 23.85 (day)
TP3 @ 23.85 (mid-pivot)
TP4 @ 22.45 (swing)
Or choose your TP based on the ATR of your favorite chart:
ATR = Average True Range
1 day = 20 pips
4 hours = 10 pips
1 hour = 5 pips
15 minutes = 3 pips
5 minutes 2 pips
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
The XAGUSD pair is currently trading in a range between 21.52 and 26.12. The price has been consolidating in this range since March 16, 2023, and it is not clear which way it will break out — below 21.52 or above 26.12.
Support and Resistance:
However, PA "kissed" the main Support level at 22.09, and it broke the main Resistance level is at 25.17. If this "odds enhancer" works in our favor, we should see a BREAK OUT to the upside above 25.17.
INDICATORS:
P2P INDi — Annotates Curve Analysis
— Pivot High @ 26.12
— Pivot Low @ 21.52
TREND
— Momentum: Big Picture Uptrend
— Price Action: Downtrend Retracement
— CounterTrend: YES (aggressive trade)
Huge market deficit, speculation, and investment appealSilver is a precious metal that has long been valued for its versatility, beauty, and rarity. Its unique properties have made it an important material for both monetary and industrial uses. While silver is often overshadowed by gold in terms of investment appeal, it has its own unique investment potential that should not be overlooked. Based on the data from The Silver Institute and Metals Focus, there are several developments in this space that may make silver an attractive option for investment or speculation in the coming months.
To better understand this opportunity, it is important to be acquainted with the driving forces in the silver market. Silver is produced by mining and recycling. On the demand side, silver has a variety of uses, including in jewelry, silverware, investment, and industrial applications. In 2022, the total supply stood at 31,250 metric tonnes. Meanwhile, total demand reached 38,643 metric tonnes.
The mining activity accounted for 81.84% (25,578 metric tonnes) of the supply in 2022, with recycling contributing the remaining 18.16% (5,618 metric tonnes). Mining output dropped by approximately 1% YoY, and recycling grew by about 3% YoY.
As for the demand in 2022, industrial use accounted for 44.79% (17,309 metric tonnes), jewelry for 18.83% (7,280 metric tonnes), silverware for 5.91% (2,286 metric tonnes), photography for 2.21% (855 metric tonnes), and physical investment for 26.79% (10,356 metric tonnes); the remaining 1.47% of the demand relates to the other uses.
The investment demand for silver doubled from 4,884 metric tonnes in 2017 to 10,356 metric tonnes in 2022. Furthermore, jewelry demand fully recovered from a slump during the Covid-19 epidemic, rising from 4,680 metric tonnes in 2020 to 7,280 metric tonnes in 2022. In fact, the total demand for silver returned stronger from the 2020 disruption, resulting in the market being undersupplied by 7,393 metric tonnes in 2022.
As the World Silver Survey 2023 expects the total output to grow only by 2% in 2023, the market deficit represents an interesting dynamic that might prove to be impactful to the price of silver in the future. However, with the current weakness in the precious metals sector, we think it would be reasonable to either wait a little bit longer before entering a trade or start with very small purchases in multiple transactions (leaving more capital on the side for later). Our goal would be to get the entry closest to the $20 price tag and wait for silver to rise above $26.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAGUSD. One red arrow indicates the declining price from 5th May 2023 until yesterday; the other red arrow hints at volume, which started to decline more recently. Normally, such a relationship between the price and volume suggests that selling pressure is losing steam, and reversal can be impending.
Technical analysis
Daily = Bearish
Weekly = Bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
✅SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE CLUSTER🔥
✅SILVER is retesting a resistance
Cluster of the horizontal level
And the rising resistance of
The rising channel/bearish flag
At around 23.4$ from where I
Think we might see a move down
Towards the rising support
SHORT🔥
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SILVER What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level of 23.2
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Goal - 22.6
My Stop Loss - 23.42
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
✅SILVER RISKY SHORT🔥
✅SILVER will be retesting a resistance level of 23.3$ soon
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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SILVER Forecast 6July2023if this is an a-b-c correction and wave c is usually the same length as wave a, then there is a high probability that XAG will go down.
This is signaled by the current price at the trendline and strong resistance area. if XAG turns out to respond positively to the trendline and makes a strong bearish signal, then it is likely to go to fibo extension 1.
SILVER: Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
SILVER looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 23$
Bias - Bearish
———
Goal - 22.52$
My Stop Loss - 23.16$
———————————
💐#SILVER
💹Time Frame : 6H (signal)
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK🍀
Target Reached! XAGUSD ReviewPrice reversed strongly from our resistance level to the support level at 22.20. But how did it happen?
Join Desmond in today's analysis review to have a quick recap on the elements that led to this strong reversal.
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The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
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XAGUSD, H4 | Bearish Reversal off key resistancePrice is approaching a strong resistance level at 23.21 which is a pullback resistance, 50% Fibonacci retracement and a 100% Fibonacci projection.
On top of that, we have a long term descending resistance line and the bearish ichimoku cloud contributing to the bearish momentum.
A reversal from here could see prices drop all the way down to 22.22 which is a recent swing low support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
XAGUSD, H4 | Drop to 22.16?Price has broken a key overlap support level suggesting that price might make a bearish breakout towards the 22.16 level. The 221.16 level is a 61.8% major Fibonacci retracement and a 127.2% Fibonacci extension. If price were to drop to this level, watch out for a potential bounce from 22.16 for it to rise back up to 22.69.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
SILVER Support Cluster! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is about to
Retest a support cluster
Of the rising and horizontal
Support line at around 23.8$
So despite my mixed bias on
Silver I think we might see
A local bullish rebound
Buy!
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SILVER Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is going up
And the price broke a
Key level which is now
A support at 23.92$
And the breakout is
Confirmed which
Reinforces our local
Bullish bias and makes
Us expect a bullish
Continuation
Buy!
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SILVER - Where to next? BIRD EYE VIEW!SILVER - Where to next?
An important few weeks ahead: FOMC minutes Wednesday, PMI's and on Nov 30th - Fed Chair Jay Powell is set to speak on the economic outlook and the U.S. labor market at Brookings.
With all of this we are at key support areas of DXY - I see a lot of individuals very bullish precious metals, I am too. Although, keep in mind trade what you see, not what you think.
Where will silver lead next? We are within the ranges of Lows: 18.100-18.500 & Highs: 22.
A break to either direction...