Get started

Jameszurich

Actual Success Rates of Ascending and Descending TrianglesActual Success Rates of Ascending and Descending Triangles Here is an analysis of the actual success rates of ascending and descending triangles in trading, based on the information provided: Success Rates Ascending and descending triangles generally have fairly high success rates as continuation patterns: -The ascending triangle has a success rate of approximately 72.77%. -The descending triangle has a slightly higher success rate of 72.93%. These numbers come from a study that tested over 200,000 price patterns over a 10-year period. Factors Influencing Success Several factors can influence the success rate of these patterns: -The trader's ability to execute the strategy correctly -Market conditions at the time the triangle formed -Market liquidity -Overall market sentiment Important Points to Consider -Triangles are considered reliable continuation patterns, especially in trending markets. -The ascending triangle in an uptrend is statistically more reliable than the descending triangle. -To validate the pattern, the price must touch at least twice each of the upper and lower lines. -An increase in volume during the breakout is an important confirmation sign. Strategies to improve the chances of success -Wait for the triangle to fully form before entering a position1. -Confirm the breakout with a close above/below the resistance/support level. -Use additional technical indicators to confirm the signal. -Pay attention to the volume, which should increase during the breakout. Conclusion Although ascending and descending triangles have relatively high success rates, it is important to use them in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and to take into account the overall market context to maximize the chances of success.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
The 45 Degree Line: A Very Effective Tool in Trading.The 45 Degree Line: A Very Effective Tool in Trading. When the ppix of an asset explodes and forms a very steep slope, the 45 degree line, also known as the 1x1 Gannangle, is an important and very useful tool in technical analysis, used to identify and predict market corrections. Meaning of the 45 degree line: The 45 degree line represents an equilibrium trend in technical analysis. It is considered an average support or resistance line, indicating a balance between time and price. This line is particularly important because it suggests a constant and balanced progression of the market. Main characteristics -Angle: The 45 degree line forms an angle of 45° with the horizontal axis of the chart. -Notation: It is often noted 1x1, which means that it represents a movement of one unit of price for one unit of time. -Interpretation: A trend following this angle is generally considered strong and likely to continue in the same direction. Use in Technical Analysis Traders use the 45-degree line in several ways: -Identifying trend strength: A trend that follows or exceeds the 45-degree angle is considered strong. -Support and resistance: The line can act as a dynamic level of support in an uptrend or resistance in a downtrend. -Forecasting movements: Traders can anticipate trend changes when price deviates significantly from the 45-degree line. -Multi-timeframe analysis: The line can be applied on different time frames, from short-term to long-term, for a more comprehensive analysis. Integration with other tools The 45-degree line is often used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for a more robust analysis. It can be combined with indicators, chart patterns, or other Gannangles to confirm trading signals and improve forecast accuracy. In conclusion, the 45-degree line is a powerful but often underestimated tool in technical analysis. Its simplicity and versatility make it a valuable tool for traders looking to identify and follow market trends with precision.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
IMPORTANT Macroeconomics: What is the trade balance?IMPORTANT Macroeconomics: What is the trade balance? The trade balance is an important economic indicator that can have a significant influence on the stock markets. Here is a simple explanation of this concept and its potential impact: What is the trade balance? The trade balance represents the difference between the value of a country's exports and imports over a given period. In other words: - If a country exports more than it imports, its trade balance is in surplus (positive). - If a country imports more than it exports, its trade balance is in deficit (negative). Impact on the stock markets The influence of the trade balance on the stock markets can vary depending on whether it is in surplus or deficit: Trade balance surplus A trade surplus can generally have a positive impact on the stock markets: - It indicates strong competitiveness of domestic companies in international markets. - It can strengthen the value of the national currency, which can attract foreign investors. -Exporting companies may see their shares increase in value. Trade deficit A trade deficit can have a negative impact on stock markets: -It can indicate a weakness in the domestic economy or a loss of competitiveness. -It can weaken the domestic currency, which can discourage foreign investors. -The shares of companies dependent on imports may be negatively affected. Important nuances It is crucial to note that the impact of the trade balance on stock markets is not always direct or predictable: -Overall economic context: Other economic factors can attenuate or amplify the effect of the trade balance. -Investor perception: The reaction of the markets often depends on how investors interpret the trade balance figures in relation to their expectations. -Specific sectors: Some sectors may be more affected than others by changes in the trade balance. In conclusion, although the trade balance is an important indicator, its influence on stock markets must be seen in the broader context of the economy and investor sentiment.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
WALMART: Bearish: Overbought alert: Impact on Dow JonesWALMART: Bearish: Overbought alert: Impact on Dow Jones Be careful with Walmart as you can see cocoa and st microelectronic also rose to very very high historical levels and look at the correction that we had immediately after at least 40% drop This action can have a significant impact on the Dow Jones A strong correction could lower the DJIA index I alert you on this I alert you especially on the notion of "stock market cycle" and "seasonality" Walmart is overbought you just have to look at your technical indicators RSI, ROC, Stochastic, exponential moving average, Ichimoku, Fibonacci retracement. We could go much much lower so be careful this action is overbought Monitor your above-mentioned indicators.
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
GOLD: Bullish - FLAG detected + Breakout of the range.GOLD: Bullish - FLAG detected + Breakout of the range. 1- A "Head Shoulders" has been detected and we did a perfect Take profit ( TP1) at 2 395$. 2- When we break a range the Take profit should be the Height of the range. Then the TP2 is expected around 2 518$. 3- Plus we can also consider that the range is like a flag and then the TP3 ( green arrow) is expevted around 3 030$ The red horizontals are retracements regarding ICHIMOKU levels . However a retracement Fibonacci gives a target lower around 2 100$. Be careful
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
BTC: Bullish-Bitcoin at $100,000!! WHY ??!Bitcoin at $100,000!! WHY ??! First because the SEC Approves BITCOIN ETF, and it's an historical News!! This is therefore the door open for an increase and an ATH (All Time High) Second, the bitcoin could make a retracement to the EMA.50 and 200, and thus validate a CRAB (harmonic figure) Third, the ICHIMOKU levels are reacheable to 35 200$$, and then after this retracement, the price of BTC could rise towards $100,000 at its highest!! Be careful! You can also WAIT the next wave before entering the market with "ammunition" Think like JESSE LIVERMOORE ;)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
6
BTC: Neutral-Symmetrical triangle- SEC news waiting The SEC must give its response before Wednesday January 10, but the news may break before! Pay attention to the news. SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE detected! SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE: The triangle of indecision, just like the RANGE!! The price is tightening, and we don't know in which direction it's going PETER!!?? Draw a bullish and bearish diagonal. Wait for a break in one of the diagonals. The Take Profit is calculated by reporting the highest side of the rectangle which made a PULLBACK (see my old publication on "PULLBACK") and see graph below. Report this segment to the BREAK of one of the diagonals, but ESPECIALLY to the CLOSING of the candle in its time unit!!! STOP Loss below the previous low if you are BUYING. STOP Loss above the previous high if you are SHORT (Seller).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
1