VDJP Weekly - Bull flag breakPatience has started to pay off. I have been averaging into this ETF for a while - especially when we saw the re-test of the inverse h&s neckline. The bull flag has finally broken higher and will target new all time highs - will hopefully see 31/32 region. Currently largest % holding in my portfolio and happy with current allocation.
Japan
Symmetrical Triangle Setup on EURJPY with a Target @ 128.50Trend Analysis
The main view of this trade idea is on the 2-Hour Chart. The FX Cross EURJPY is in symmetrical triangle setup, where the trend lines are not parallel. Typically the target on the setup is the length of the highest high of the downward trendline and the lowest low of the upward trend line. While the symmetrical triangle is neither bullish nor bearish, given the current positions on the moving averages and the technical indicators, it is expected that the FX Cross will decline towards 128.50 from the time of publishing. A stop loss should be set a little above the resistance trendline at around 130.10.
Technical Indicators
At the time of publishing EURJPY is currently below its short (25-SMA), medium (75-SMA) and fractal moving averages. Also there has been a negative crossover on the KST, with the RSI trading below 50 and trending lower. Also, on multiple other timeframes, there are sell signals on EURJPY. These indicators support the bearish nature of the setup.
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go short at market. Stop loss will be set around the 130.10 price level and a target of 128.50. This produces a risk-reward ratio of 2.28.
Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes. At the time publishing, I have a position in EURJPY.
PULLBACK ZONE FOR SHORT DIRECTION ENTRY - SFTBY - SOFTBANK - 4HThank you for the like, comments and shares! Much appreciated! This is not financial advise, just ideas on probable market evolution.
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The trend has probably changed as the very strong blue up trending line has been frankly and strongly broken.
The price is now evolving under the bearish channel. This might be a sign that the bearish action is possibly still going on.
We see an horizontal zone emerging, showing a potential pullback zone and good entry for a short direction positions.
The black line can possibly be the target price as it is an historical center of gravity like price.
A probable idea would be to wait for pullback and get a short entry, and, as we approach the black horizontal line, we lower our position weight by taking profits.
probably good to lower exposition if having already bought up there.. it probably can become worse.
PS.:
Hope is there, because following fundamental analysis, we can see that SoftBank is pretty active and doing very strategic investments. Are the latest's SoftBank investments to be copied to improve portfolio experience ? Robotics, Communications, Uber.... etc..
Is the black line the best place to enter from for a long direction entry and for long time ? (with the probability that in the near future the price of SoftBank stock will rise to record numbers)
Keep it simple and buy ToyotaNot much to say here other than Toyota is 100x better than Tesla in everything. Personally I don't believe that a company who has a CEO like Elon will ever be successful, so I'd rather buy the most successful company out there that just had a major breakout. Definitely one of the most bullish stocks out there.
PERFECT H&S Pattern and a great sell opportunityDear fellas,
I've been following JP225USD for a while and it has just bounced off strong resistance around 28350 and it has formed a very clear H&S pattern. This is a high probability trade with a small risk. SL should ideally be above Head (28500).
Target: 26760
SL: 28550
Good Luck and trade safe!
Japan Economy could spike?We are retesting now a 25-year-old resistance level and it's a big opportunity to ride the next Japanese economy cycle.
I don't want to get into the macro-economy details, I am only focused on unbiased TA and for me, this can be a good buy opportunity if the resistance becomes a support, at least the RR looks awesome.
About the ETF, this IShares is the largest one and the one of the oldest, so I think it's a good one to use to invest in this possible growing economy....
HOLDINGS:
Toyota Motor Corp
SoftBank Group Corp
Sony Group Corp
Keyence Corp
Tokyo Electron Ltd
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc
Nintendo Co Ltd
Recruit Holdings Co Ltd
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Ltd
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
NIKKEI225 SellPrice has broken out of the weekly uptrend and is descending towards the weekly support zone.
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VDJP Weekly - Testing major support (IH&S neckline)In February I highlighted the bearish RSI divergence and said I would like to accumulate around 25. Frustratingly I was too impulsive and started averaging in too soon. This ETF is now at a make or break level on the weekly - either we get a successful bounce and re-test of the neckline here OR it was a false break higher that sucked in the bulls (like me). Time will tell - with stop losses at the ready.
BUY TWITTER or keep in te wallet/ACHETER ou Garder English:
CHALLENGE EVERY DAY ONE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR A MONTH DON'T FORGET TO SUBSCRIBE AND PUT A LIKE
Hello everyone, according to my graphical analysis of TWITTER , there is a high probability of an increase. Brcause THE MARKET WILL TRY TO CLOSE THE GAB , THERE IS NO SIGNE OF SELL SO BUY
Français
DEFI CHAQUE JOUR UNE ANALYSE TECHNIQUE PENDANT UN MOIS N'OUBLIEZ PAS DE VOUS ABBONEZ ET DE METRRE UN LIKE
Bonjour à tous, d'après mon analyse graphique PAYPAL , il y a une forte probabilité d'augmentation parce que . IL A PASS DE SIGNE DE VENTE EN PLUS LE MARCHÉ NA PAS DOONER AUCUN SIGNAL DE VENTE DONC LE MARCHÉ ESSAIERA DE COMBLER L'ECART EN ACHETE
BUY PAYPAL or keep in te wallet/ACHETER ou Garder Hello everyone, according to my graphical analysis of PAYPAL , there is a high probability of an increase.we are on the last straight line
Bonjour à tous, d'après mon analyse graphique PAYPAL , il y a une forte probabilité d'augmentation on est sur la derniere ligne droit
CHFJPY SELL Hi All,
Updated analysis on this pair. Further studies shows we are still very much inside an rectangle range from Dec 2013 till Date April 2021. Price Broken this range only in 2014-2015 and ever since price has been stuck inside the range with Buyer and sellers battling out. I'm on the Bearish Camp and have been since Early 2021. If our forecast is accurate then by 2022-2023 Price should test the bottom of the range and with that said we are happy to open our portfolio to trade this forecast.
Entry and Sl Marked FYI However adjustment would be necessary only when price break the range and retest the range !
Many Thanks
JPY - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERS1. Safe-haven status and overall risk outlook
As a safe-haven currency, the market's risk outlook is the primary driver of JPY. Economic data rarely proves market moving; and although monetary policy expectations can prove highly market-moving in the short-term, safe-haven flows are typically the more dominant factor, especially in the current. The market's overall risk tone has improved considerably following the pandemic with good news about successful vaccinations, and ongoing monetary and fiscal policy support paved the way for markets to expect a robust global synchronized economic recovery and reflation environment. Of course, there remains many uncertainties and many countries are continuing to fight virus waves but as a whole the outlook has kept on improving over the past couple of months, which would expect safe-haven demand to diminish, resulting in a weak bearish fundamental outlook.
2. Low-yielding currency with inverse correlation to US10Y
As a low yielding currency, the JPY usually shares an inverse correlation to strong moves in yield differentials as it affects carry trade dynamics. Like most correlations, the strength of the inverse correlation between the JPY and US10Y is not perfect and will ebb and flow dependent on the type of market environment from a risk and cycle point of view. However, from the start of the year, (as the bias for US10Y started to tilt higher) the inverse correlation has been exceptionally strong over the past couple of weeks and moves in the US10Y continues to dominate JPY price action. As long as the med-term bias for US10Y remains titled higher, that should put downside pressure on the JPY.