Japan
ridethepig | Opportunities in Hydrogen stocks📌 Another single stock opportunity... I will start posting a lot more of these as the feedback has shown it is working. For today we are tracking a very interesting flow that is finally coming into fruition.
Australia, Japan are advancing talks on hydrogen and a deal is around the corner. The breakout of the highs shows flexibility required and is an example of how to look at the important aspects rather than political noise. Momentum players here wish to play down an extension of the range, they wish to create for themselves an advance with reason and presence from the PM visit to Japan to make it a celebration.
Another 75% is necessary, despite the fact we are already up big. Buyers should continue to find the courage to resist taking profits and quietly continue loading. The target of 1.50 is possible here .
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍or 👎
ULTIMATE Stock Indicator flashes buy signal with 8 confirmationsThey recently sold off some underperforming assets, and will play an increasingly central role in COVID testing and vaccine in Japan.
- forming great trend reversal.
- FIBO retracement showing potential resistance/support for stock price.
Happy Trading, from CJ -- aka the greatest FURU.
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USDJPY quickly recoversThe US dollar has recovered higher against the Japanese yen currency back above the 103.00 level, following another short-lived drop towards the 102.70 area. Technical analysis shows that the USDJPY pair is still trapped inside a large falling wedge pattern. Traders that are bullish towards the pair will be encouraged if bulls continue to hold the price above the bottom of the wedge, around the 102.30 level.
The USDJPY pair is only bullish while trading above the 104.50 level, key resistance is found at the 104.90 and 105.50 levels.
The USDJPY pair is only bearish while trading below the 104.50 level, key support is found at the 102.70 and 102.30 levels.
The CAD/JPY surrenders to the stability of the resistance The CADJPY pair attempted to form some correctional bullish trades recently, while the stability of 81.05 resistance blocks the bullish attempts and reinforces the chances of renewing the negative attempts.
Note that it is important to gather the additional negative momentum to manage to crawl below 80.50 level and open the way to record the main negative targets by reaching 80.05 and 79.60 levels.
With Risk Management you will Never loss.
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Ni225 Bubble Pattern Analysis5 step pattern describing the bubble formation of the Nikkei index in the 1990's.
Phase 1: Trending breakout of basing formation in a strong up-trending move
Phase 2: Trending high-volatility drawdown (usually not related to stock or index itself).
Phase 3: Trending recovery - stock or index shrugs off the high volatility event as it recovers quickly and stronger than before.
Phase 4: Upwards & & sideways non-trending consolidation. Typically choppy trading, but slightly upward move.
Phase 5: 3 Phase blowoff top - breakout of non-trending consolidation followed by a smaller upwards consolidation into final blowoff breakout top.
JAPANESE YEN FUTURES- first chart ever :-) + news from the last just follow with us on the JAPANESE YEN FUTURES- first chart ever :-)
news for today :
1.
Wall Street opens higher after Trump signs $900B aid package
Wall Street is opening higher after President Donald Trump signed a $900 billion economic aid package, helping to reduce uncertainty as governments re-impose travel and business curbs in response to a new coronavirus variant
ridethepig | JPY Market Commentary 18.12.2020📌 @ridethepig G10 FX Market Commentary 18.12.2020
What was the point in BOJ meeting overnight? Finally extensions of the handouts coming from the Japanese base, and remarkably the 103.0x was rescued via lack of conviction from macro players to chase it lower. Buyers now can play the break, undoing their opponents work and imagine the test of 105 as being important for the yearly close flows.
This iteration of dollar strength will be most visible in GBPUSD and USDJPY - choppy conditions seem appropriate. Here we are tracking this rather technical move. I am looking firstly for a move towards 105 resistance, followed by a zag to fade back towards 103.5x which is a 300 tick round trip.
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
Green Light on NInja/ Massive Short On CADJPYIn a recent conversation I had with a colleague, we discussed the resurgence of the Japanese currency. The strength of Japan, in the long-term rally, relies on its expansion of credit. This colludes with he fact of the already low rates for the country. Following from recent weeks, the sell off of corporate bonds for Japan is a striking message of growth towards attractiveness as long term investors see a potential for higher yields.
Triangle Breakout This WeekUJ seems to be slowing down in momentum when looking from the higher timeframes. I wanna say we are going to remain bearish overall, but I want to see how this is gonna play out. As you can see from the trendlines, this could be just a giant flag for the bull. So let's find out what happens this week:
BULL TPS:
• 107.260
• 107.528
• 108.072
BEAR TPS:
• 106.808
• 106.437
• 105.844
JAPAN 225 BULL FLAGReally simple bull flag set up, also for my followers you will notice the rvi bullish cross. look to trade the continuation pattern on the pullback or stop loss as placed. We may see some yen depreciation on oil strength as the catalyst for this move, look out for news events also.
Post-election breakdown of DOLLAR-YEN[Target 100]A short post, with few important points:
With record low interest rates globally, the carry trade with the short-side in yen is somewhat losing its popularity. Some of the reasons why are:
=> The carry premium isn't worth the risk any longer. Lately currency markets have been quite volatile, question is whether this will continue. If we get a somewhat more stable environment in developed markets, carry sharks might look elsewhere for the following reasons...
=> Record low rates globally, even further squeezing the positive carry spread, however now that all the key rates globally are at the ZLB (prospects even to go below it), the importance of inflation is ever more accentuated. Why'd you even enter a long carry with a short side in yen given the inflation differential, with Japan potentially going into a deflationary environment?
=> Lastly, we're in a new paradigm where it's questionable how long would it take for emerging markets to recover from the virus, and the grading of their government bonds is starting to become questionable.
There are other points of course, but principally Biden after all might get a weaker dollar after all, thanks to MMT. On one side, too little stimulus implies a potential credit crunch/crisis, and too much stimulus= devaluation. Obviously, devaluation is without any doubts the better choice.
The rest is summarized by the chart.
-Step_ahead_ofthemarket
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The TRADE-OFF Between a Descending Triangle and Falling WedgeThere are a few ways to chart this. You could see this as a descending triangle, where the bottoms are relatively stable with decreasing tops. A very bearish formation.
You could also consider this as a falling wedge, a much more bullish pattern where you see a faster decline in the tops than in the bottoms, but the bottoms are still declining.
I personally find the bottoms too stable to consider this a bullish pattern and I am preparing for the scenario that the price breaks through the support and breaks down hard.
In the end, what matters most in trading is risk reward ratio and win percentage. We can see here on USD/JPY some great indicators of a bearish price continuation. However, in itself that is not enough.
I suggest to maximize the risk reward ratio by waiting for the price to be closer to the top resistance line before entering with a trade. This will allow you to get a better RRR. In this trade set-up you can see from the chart how I created a 4 RRR trade idea.
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- Trading Guru
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Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only!