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Market tests BoJ with yen at 1986 low The Japanese yen tumbled beyond 160 per USD, marking its weakest level since 1986. This is a critical threshold that previously prompted intervention by Japanese authorities. In May, Japan depleted a record ¥9.8 trillion to bolster the yen. Masato Kanda, Tokyo's top currency diplomat, attempted to mitigate the surge above 160.00 with strong verbal interventions, yet he mentioned no specific target level. This ambiguity was perceived by some market participants as a green light to drive the pair to 160.82. The lack of immediate intervention from the Bank of Japan post-160 breakout raises questions: Does this signal an open path to the next psychological levels? In June alone, the yen has slipped roughly 1.5% against the dollar, extending its year-to-date decline to about 13%. Should there be a retracement from the previous 160 intervention level, buying interest is expected to resurface around the 158.00 support, aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Fundamentally, traders are eyeing tomorrow's US Jobless Claims data, followed by Tokyo CPI and US PCE releases on Friday, which could be critical in shaping the next moves in the yen.
by BlackBull_Markets
EURJPY SHORT - Long the strong, short the weak.Hi all, This week I am sharing my play on EURJPY. With JPYBASKET showing both accumulation and some weakness (another liquidity grab today), with Japan Bank saying - increasing interest rates is an option now, with strong long positions on JPY by commercial banks and short positions advantage on EUR, the EURJPY pair is my safest pair to trade this week. I am both managing a major short there and scalping the range to the downside. I am expecting return to 168.1 - 168.2 area at minimum! Good luck and play safe!
Short
by AdiVV
Retail Traders Poised for Yen Rebound - Consider Shorting USDJPYI am writing to bring to your immediate attention a critical development in the forex market that could present a significant trading opportunity. As many of you are aware, the recent slide in the Japanese yen has been a point of concern. This depreciation has heightened the probability of Japan intervening in the market once more to stabilize its currency. Historical patterns suggest that such interventions can lead to rapid and substantial movements in the yen's value. Currently, it appears that retail traders are reloading their bets in anticipation of a rebound in the yen. This collective action underscores a growing sentiment that the yen is poised for a recovery, potentially driven by governmental measures to curb its decline. Given these circumstances, it may be prudent to consider positioning yourselves for this anticipated rebound. Specifically, shorting the USD/JPY could be a strategic move. By doing so, you could potentially capitalize on the yen's resurgence if Japan steps in to support its currency. I urge you to review your portfolios and assess the potential benefits of shorting USD/JPY in light of the current market dynamics. As always, ensure that any trading decisions are made with careful consideration and risk management. Stay vigilant and informed. The forex market is highly dynamic, and timely actions can make a significant difference.
Short
by bryandowningqln
EURJPY Fool-Surprise Reverse Ok ?EURJPY direction. Well, I am excited the algos pushed the price 0.2% higher in compariston to yesterday, we are still due to dump 1-2% to the downside. Lets Go. Accumulate more and more shorts, this is the only direction. THIS IS JUST MY PLAN - NOT AN ADVICE. No stop loss at this point, after loosing crucial levels, we can expect JPY central bank interventionm at any point, and - I am surprised idiot traders are still pushing the price in wrong directon still. Take profit: 168.13 Stop loss: NONE.
Short
by AdiVV
Could the USDJPY retest 160?When the BoJ increased interest rates in March, for the first time in 17 years, the Yen continued to weaken due to the perceived lack of commitment toward further rate hikes. In April the BoJ kept rates on hold at 0.10%, which saw the Yen react with further weakness. The BoJ is due to release its Policy Rate and Monetary Policy Statement tomorrow (Friday). With the USDJPY currently at the 157.25 price level, a resumption of strength on the DXY following the FOMC decision yesterday could see the USDJPY climb up to the resistance level of 158 before the BoJ decision. If the BoJ decides to keep rates on hold and not take any further action on reducing its bond purchases, the Yen could weaken further, pushing the USDJPY higher toward the all time high of 160. This is likely to make it very interesting as it would reignite the speculation of a possible currency intervention from the BoJ
Long
by JinDao_Tai
Japan rate decision Friday: A deeper look Japan's wholesale inflation surged in May at the fastest annual rate in nine months, data revealed yesterday, indicating that a weak yen may be exerting upward pressure on prices by increasing the cost of raw material imports. Producer prices in Japan rose 2.4% year-on-year in May 2024, up from 1.1% in April, surpassing market expectations of a 2% rise. This data is likely to be a key factor for the Bank of Japan (BOJ) board as it convenes for a two-day policy meeting ending on Friday. The central bank is widely anticipated to maintain its short-term interest rate target within the 0% to 0.1% range. However, the data adds complexity to the BOJ's decision-making on the timing of interest rate hikes. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda has stated that the central bank will consider raising rates further if it becomes more confident that underlying inflation will remain around the 2% target. Looking at the 4-hour chart today, the USD/JPY has rebounded following the FOMC decision, erasing much of the post-CPI drop, and passing through the 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-hour Exponential Moving Averages.
by BlackBull_Markets
USD/JPY as BOJ rate decision approaches The US federal Reserve is not the only major central bank making an interest rate decision this week. So too, will the nonconformist Bank of Japan (BOJ). In its April policy meeting, the BOJ highlighted upside risks to inflation and indicated readiness to adjust monetary policy, if necessary, although it expects to maintain its current policy for the time being. The BOJ stated that if the outlook for economic activity and price rises materializes, interest rate hikes could be warranted. Key economic reports from Japan prior to this week's interest rate decision include: Japan GDP Growth Rate (final) Japan Economy Watchers Survey Outlook Japan Producer Price Inflation For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox. From the daily chart, the USD/JPY perhaps appears slightly bullish. The pair has climbed above the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating strong buyer momentum. On Tuesday last week, BOJ Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino expressed concerns about the negative impact of a weak yen on the economy. His comments suggest that the BOJ might be preparing for another intervention in the forex markets to support the yen, which would be negative for the USD/JPY pair. The 14-day RSI has recently pulled back, avoiding overbought conditions.
by BlackBull_Markets
1
$TM 220 - 240 - 25O AFTER EARNINGS ?NYSE:TM 220 - 240 - 25O AFTER EARNINGS ? 6 REASONS !! Strong Quarterly Earnings: Toyota has shown strong financial performance in the recent past, with its profit in the latest quarter jumping nearly threefold from a year ago as vehicle sales grew globally. This indicates a strong demand for Toyota's vehicles and the company's ability to capitalize on this demand, which could positively impact its stock price. Increased Net Profit Forecast: Toyota ramped up its annual net profit forecast to $26.1 billion after reporting it more than doubled in the first six months of the year. This indicates the company's confidence in its future performance, which could boost investor confidence and drive up the stock price. Record High Stock Price: Toyota's shares hit a record high after reporting strong earnings and raising its fiscal-year earnings forecast. This shows that the market responds positively to Toyota's financial performance, and further strong earnings could lead to a higher stock price. Year-on-Year Earnings Growth: Despite a recent decline in earnings quarter-on-quarter, Toyota's earnings are up +97% year-on-year. This indicates a strong recovery and growth trajectory, which could lead to a higher stock price in the future. Positive Market Sentiment: The market's response to Toyota's earnings reports has generally been positive, with the stock price rising after strong earnings reports. This suggests that if Toyota continues to report strong earnings, the market could respond positively, potentially pushing the stock price towards $250. Dividend Yield: Toyota pays an annual dividend of $5.10 per share and currently has a dividend yield of 2.38%. This could attract investors looking for stable returns, potentially driving up the stock price.
NYSE:TMLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL