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Hyperinflation China (CNY) + Japan (JPY) First to Go! Chinese real-estate has collapsed China refuses to update new unemployment metrics (like they've ever told the truth) China BOC keeps printing to backstop this (parabolic m3/m2) China forcing peoples money trapped in this death spiral Japan Real estate is also dead Japan stocks / Gasoline is going parabolic due to the start of hyperinflation not a booming economy Japan's BOJ also can't stop printing! what could go wrong? I've made post about this months ago with warning signs about Japan's stock market going parabolic without anything going on. This is text book Weimar Germany 1923, why the Chinese stocks going down though? simple the capital is trying everything to exit into US markets. The CCP has printed so much money and you know what people did with it? they sold it for US Dollars and used it overseas because nobody is buying the bs that China is a booming / powerful economy its completely collapsing you love to see it!. Japan? their currency is done. Both these countries have debt to GDP past the point of no return. Both these countries have PPI / CPI going parabolic past the point of no return. People have started to panic in China and it will follow in Japan followed by a complete meltdown, but the trick here is there's a chance this will not take out the US markets ironically. All of this capital will flow back into the USA. The final take away from this is the US markets see's strength not from "Real growth" but from countries where people have no option to diverse and enter the US market. "Forecasters recession this recession that" it never equals what the markets actually do.
SP:SPX
by FederalXBT
3
BOJ Intervention Needed as Yen Continues to WeakenAs avid participants in the forex market, we must remain vigilant and proactive in monitoring this situation, as it may have significant implications for our trading strategies and overall market stability. The USDJPY exchange rate has experienced a persistent upward trend in recent weeks, primarily driven by the yen's continuous depreciation. This trend can have far-reaching consequences for global trade, investment flows, and economic stability if left unchecked. It is high time that we collectively address this issue and urge the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to intervene appropriately to restore balance and mitigate the potential risks of such rapid currency fluctuations. The BOJ's intervention is crucial to ensure that market forces do not push the yen into a fragile position, which could lead to unintended consequences. While some currency depreciation can benefit export-oriented economies, an overly weakened yen may spark concerns of competitive devaluation, leading to retaliatory measures and a destabilized international trading environment. Therefore, I implore each of you to monitor the USDJPY exchange rate in the short term closely. Keep a watchful eye for any signs of a potential dip in this currency pair, as it could indicate an opportune moment for the BOJ to step in and stabilize the yen's value. We can collectively contribute to maintaining a balanced and fair forex market by staying informed and alert. Additionally, I encourage you to spread awareness about the importance of BOJ intervention among your fellow traders, colleagues, and industry contacts. Let us unite in our call for action, urging the BOJ to take appropriate measures to address the weakening yen. Together, our voices can carry weight and help safeguard the stability of the forex market. In conclusion, let us remain proactive, concerned, and engaged in monitoring the USDJPY exchange rate. By doing so, we can actively encourage the BOJ to intervene when necessary, ensuring a more stable and predictable forex market for all participants.
by bryandowningqln
14
Yen's Resilience Challenged: What's Next for USD/JPY? The Yen's struggle against the US Dollar persists this week, as the USDJPY settles above 143.00 and reaches a new high for the third consecutive day. After some sideways trading, traders are now resuming a bullish push aimed at reaching the recent high of 143.9000, followed by potential targets at 144.00 and 145.050. Last week, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) surprised the markets by making a slight adjustment to the Yield Curve Control (YCC) policy. While this adjustment might have been relatively small, it has kept market participants alert to the possibility of FX intervention if the Yen continues to weaken. In this context, the 50-day MA at 141.430 could offer immediate support. The most significant event to watch on the calendar is tomorrow's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. A CPI figure lower than anticipated could put pressure on the USD/JPY pair, whereas a higher reading could renew interest in levels above 145.000. However, the potential for BoJ intervention remains a concern for traders operating above this threshold.
by BlackBull_Markets
JPY 225 - fundamental and technical analysis - we will rise!Fundmental: Given the Bank of Japan's decision to maintain ultra-low interest rates while adopting a more flexible yield curve control policy, coupled with positive market reactions and the potential for policy normalization, there is a strong possibility that the JPY225 index will rise in the coming days. The move indicates confidence in Japan's economic recovery, leading to increased investor interest in Japanese equities. Additionally, ongoing monetary support and higher inflation expectations could further boost the index. However, investors should remain mindful of market fluctuations and global factors that may impact the performance of the JPY225 index. Thechincal We are in side growing trades testing again 33050-33200 level again, probably will not enough strengh so it will be time for correction, after break strong bullish movement
PEPPERSTONE:JPN225Long
by AlgoGains
Nikkei to stall at current swing high?NIK225 - 24h expiry Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. Price action looks to be forming a top. A lower correction is expected. Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 33177 level. We look to Sell at 33177 (stop at 33477) Our profit targets will be 32427 and 32227 Resistance: 34014 / 35000 / 36110 Support: 32610 / 32200 / 31410 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by OANDA
Data error Japan Tokyo CPI Ex Food And Energy (JPTCPIEFA) & JapHello good morning & good day to all! There seems to be an error for these 2 Japan econ data when we chart on Trading View, Japan Tokyo CPI Ex Food And Energy (JPTCPIEFA) & Japan Tokyo Core CPI (JPTCCPI). Previously, these 2 data have been presented in index values but it seems that yesterday, their format has been changed to y/y % for the last 2 months but does not adjust prior historical data points to y/y. Thus, right now, I cannot do any meaningful analysis of these charts. Wrote in about these errors and sent a ticket to Hep Centre but no reply. Can anyone help over here? or is there a rep from Trading View here? Much appreciated. Thank you
ECONOMICS:JPTCCPI
by Kelvin-Wong
Gone Too Far…As the world remains engrossed in the unfolding drama of the debt ceiling, we believe another event of significance deserves our attention. Let's take a brief detour into the annals of economic history, looking at the era of Abenomics. This term refers to the monetary policy instituted during Shinzo Abe's second term as Prime Minister of Japan. Abenomics rested on the foundation of "Three Arrows" - aggressive monetary policy, fiscal consolidation, and a robust growth strategy. The outcome? The Nikkei embarked on an impressive bull run, seemingly unstoppable in its upward trajectory. This performance becomes all the more remarkable when compared to the S&P500, which managed a modest gain of only 12% over the same period. This comparison sparked an intriguing question: How do these two indices compare now, especially with the Nikkei shattering two-decade highs? When we chart the spread, the ratio of Nikkei 225 to S&P 500 stands on the brink of upper resistance, a boundary that has proven significant for nearly a decade. A more granular exploration of each index reveals some compelling details. For the S&P 500, we observe a break of the upper resistance as well as a break from an ascending triangle, both of which signify a bullish continuation. While RSI has not yet reached the overbought territory. On the other hand, the recent surge in the Nikkei 225 index has been robust and swift, surpassing the 2021 highs, with the RSI indicating an extreme overbought scenario. Thus, we suspect that the Nikkei's meteoric ascent may have overshot its mark. This situation presents an intriguing trading opportunity: shorting the Nikkei 225 / S&P 500 spread. This can be executed by shorting the Nikkei 225 Futures and going long on the S&P 500 Futures. To match the Nikkei 225 USD contract size at the current price of 31,300 with a contract value of 31,300 x 5 = 156,500 USD, we could utilize the Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Index Futures at the current price of 4,215 with a contract value of 4,125 x 5 = 21,075 USD. Hence, to balance the position size, we could employ 1 Nikkei 225 contract and 7 Micro S&P 500 contracts. The Nikkei 225 USD Futures represents 5 USD x Nikkei Stock Average. Prices are quoted in US dollars and cents per index point, each 5 point move is equal to 25 USD. The Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Futures represents 5 USD x S&P 500 index. Prices are quoted in US dollars and cents per index point, each 0.25 index point move is equal to 1.25 USD. The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Disclaimer: The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description. Reference: www.adb.org www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
TVC:NI225Short
by inspirante
Fujitsu Limited WCA - Symmetrical TriangleCompany: Fujitsu Limited Ticker: 6702.T Exchange: Tokyo Stock Exchange Sector: Technology Introduction: Hello and welcome to our technical analysis session! Today we are focusing on Fujitsu Limited as observed on the weekly chart on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. An intriguing symmetrical triangle formation has caught our attention, which may act as a bullish continuation. Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: A symmetrical triangle is a price pattern characterized by converging trend lines and oscillating price within the pattern. It can serve as a continuation or a reversal signal. The breakout direction tends to predict the subsequent trend direction. Analysis: Preceding this consolidation phase, Fujitsu's price exhibited a clear uptrend. The ongoing consolidation phase, shaped as a symmetrical triangle, has been forming for 616 days. There are three points of contact with the triangle's upper boundary and two with its lower boundary. Notably, this consolidation phase takes place above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish environment. If we see a weekly candlestick close above 18400, it could serve as an opportune moment for a long position entry. Assuming a valid breakout, our projected price target is at 26025, translating into a potential price rise of approximately 41.33%. Conclusion: The weekly chart of Fujitsu Limited presents a potential bullish continuation pattern in the form of a symmetrical triangle. A confirmed breakout above the triangle's upper boundary could offer a promising long position entry. As always, please perform your own due diligence and consider appropriate risk management strategies when investing. Not financial advice! Thank you for joining this analysis. If you found it useful, please like, share, and follow for more insightful market updates. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
TSE:6702
by KarimSubhieh
9202 - Bullish ReversalCompany: ANA Holdings Inc. Ticker: 9202 Exchange: TSE Sector: Air Transport Introduction: Hello and welcome to today's technical analysis. We're turning our attention to the weekly chart of ANA Holdings Inc. (9202) on the TSE, which is demonstrating an exciting Rectangle pattern breakout that could signal a bullish reversal. Rectangle Pattern: The Rectangle pattern is a common chart pattern that can act as a continuation or a reversal signal, depending on the preceding trend and the breakout's direction. In this case, the Rectangle pattern is acting as a bullish reversal signal. Analysis: Over the past 1155 days, ANA Holdings' price movements have formed a distinct Rectangle pattern. The clear touch points and boundaries define the pattern, with the lower boundary at 2117.5 and the upper boundary at 2989. The price has successfully moved above the 200 EMA, and for the first time in 1155 days, we've seen a clear breakout above the upper boundary of the Rectangle. This is a strong bullish signal, suggesting a potential trend reversal. Conclusion: The price target following this breakout is set at 3853, representing a potential rise of 29%. As always, it's crucial to employ risk management strategies and appropriate position sizing when trading based on chart patterns. Please remember that this analysis should not be taken as financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence before trading or investing. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
TSE:9202Long
by KarimSubhieh
Bridgestone Corp WCA - Inverted head and shouldersCompany: Bridgestone Corporation Ticker: 5108 Exchange: TSE Sector: Automotive & Auto Parts Introduction: Greetings, and thank you for taking the time to read this analysis. Today, we are examining the weekly chart of Bridgestone Corp on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE). Our focus is on a classical price pattern known as the inverted head and shoulders, which here manifests as a bullish continuation pattern. Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern: The inverted head and shoulders pattern on this chart has been forming over a 686-day period. This pattern is particularly compelling due to its near-perfect symmetry, represented by the symmetry line. The current resistance, also referred to as the neckline of the price pattern, has seen multiple tests and is sitting at 5468. Bullish Environment: Notably, the price remains above the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), which typically indicates a bullish market environment. Therefore, we are patiently waiting for a clear break of the neckline. Trade Strategy: To avoid premature breakouts, we could combine this trade with a breakout filter. Upon successful breakout, the price target stands at ¥6883, representing a potential price increase of approximately 26%. Conclusion: The weekly chart analysis of Bridgestone Corp reveals an emerging inverted head and shoulders pattern, suggesting a bullish continuation. As always, when trading based on chart patterns, it is essential to consider risk management and adequate position sizing. Please note that this analysis does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own thorough research before making investment decisions. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more updates. Happy trading! Best Regards, Karim Subhieh
TSE:5108
by KarimSubhieh
Toyota Motor Corporation DCA - Rectangle Reversal Company: Toyota Motor Corporation Ticker: 7203 Exchange: TSE Sector: Automotive Introduction: Hello and thank you for taking the time to read my post. Today, we analyze the daily chart of Toyota Motor Corporation, focusing on a potential Rectangle reversal pattern. This pattern may indicate a change in the trend and offers trading opportunities for both short-term gains and long-term positions. Rectangle Reversal Pattern: The Rectangle pattern is a consolidation pattern that forms when the price is bounded by parallel support and resistance levels. It can act as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the preceding trend and the breakout direction. A breakout above the resistance level signals a potential trend reversal. Analysis: On the daily chart, Toyota Motor Corp has been in a clear downward trend, as indicated by the blue diagonal resistance line. However, the Rectangle pattern, which has four touch points at the top and five at the bottom, could potentially serve as a reversal pattern. Currently, the price is attempting to break above the 200 EMA. If a breakout occurs with a candle close above this level, the price target is ¥14550, representing a gain of approximately 7.5%. This setup could also present a good opportunity to build a longer-term position, depending on the trend opportunity and whether the Rectangle pattern truly acts as a reversal signal. Conclusion: The Toyota Motor Corp daily chart analysis highlights a Rectangle reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. Traders should closely monitor the 200 EMA for any signs of a breakout. As always, it's essential to consider risk management and proper position sizing when trading based on chart patterns. Please note that this analysis is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence when investing or trading. If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
TSE:7203
by KarimSubhieh