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Fujitsu Limited WCA - Symmetrical TriangleCompany: Fujitsu Limited Ticker: 6702.T Exchange: Tokyo Stock Exchange Sector: Technology Introduction: Hello and welcome to our technical analysis session! Today we are focusing on Fujitsu Limited as observed on the weekly chart on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. An intriguing symmetrical triangle formation has caught our attention, which may act as a bullish continuation. Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: A symmetrical triangle is a price pattern characterized by converging trend lines and oscillating price within the pattern. It can serve as a continuation or a reversal signal. The breakout direction tends to predict the subsequent trend direction. Analysis: Preceding this consolidation phase, Fujitsu's price exhibited a clear uptrend. The ongoing consolidation phase, shaped as a symmetrical triangle, has been forming for 616 days. There are three points of contact with the triangle's upper boundary and two with its lower boundary. Notably, this consolidation phase takes place above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish environment. If we see a weekly candlestick close above 18400, it could serve as an opportune moment for a long position entry. Assuming a valid breakout, our projected price target is at 26025, translating into a potential price rise of approximately 41.33%. Conclusion: The weekly chart of Fujitsu Limited presents a potential bullish continuation pattern in the form of a symmetrical triangle. A confirmed breakout above the triangle's upper boundary could offer a promising long position entry. As always, please perform your own due diligence and consider appropriate risk management strategies when investing. Not financial advice! Thank you for joining this analysis. If you found it useful, please like, share, and follow for more insightful market updates. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
TSE:6702
by KarimSubhieh
9202 - Bullish ReversalCompany: ANA Holdings Inc. Ticker: 9202 Exchange: TSE Sector: Air Transport Introduction: Hello and welcome to today's technical analysis. We're turning our attention to the weekly chart of ANA Holdings Inc. (9202) on the TSE, which is demonstrating an exciting Rectangle pattern breakout that could signal a bullish reversal. Rectangle Pattern: The Rectangle pattern is a common chart pattern that can act as a continuation or a reversal signal, depending on the preceding trend and the breakout's direction. In this case, the Rectangle pattern is acting as a bullish reversal signal. Analysis: Over the past 1155 days, ANA Holdings' price movements have formed a distinct Rectangle pattern. The clear touch points and boundaries define the pattern, with the lower boundary at 2117.5 and the upper boundary at 2989. The price has successfully moved above the 200 EMA, and for the first time in 1155 days, we've seen a clear breakout above the upper boundary of the Rectangle. This is a strong bullish signal, suggesting a potential trend reversal. Conclusion: The price target following this breakout is set at 3853, representing a potential rise of 29%. As always, it's crucial to employ risk management strategies and appropriate position sizing when trading based on chart patterns. Please remember that this analysis should not be taken as financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence before trading or investing. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
TSE:9202Long
by KarimSubhieh
Bridgestone Corp WCA - Inverted head and shouldersCompany: Bridgestone Corporation Ticker: 5108 Exchange: TSE Sector: Automotive & Auto Parts Introduction: Greetings, and thank you for taking the time to read this analysis. Today, we are examining the weekly chart of Bridgestone Corp on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE). Our focus is on a classical price pattern known as the inverted head and shoulders, which here manifests as a bullish continuation pattern. Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern: The inverted head and shoulders pattern on this chart has been forming over a 686-day period. This pattern is particularly compelling due to its near-perfect symmetry, represented by the symmetry line. The current resistance, also referred to as the neckline of the price pattern, has seen multiple tests and is sitting at 5468. Bullish Environment: Notably, the price remains above the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), which typically indicates a bullish market environment. Therefore, we are patiently waiting for a clear break of the neckline. Trade Strategy: To avoid premature breakouts, we could combine this trade with a breakout filter. Upon successful breakout, the price target stands at ¥6883, representing a potential price increase of approximately 26%. Conclusion: The weekly chart analysis of Bridgestone Corp reveals an emerging inverted head and shoulders pattern, suggesting a bullish continuation. As always, when trading based on chart patterns, it is essential to consider risk management and adequate position sizing. Please note that this analysis does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own thorough research before making investment decisions. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more updates. Happy trading! Best Regards, Karim Subhieh
TSE:5108
by KarimSubhieh
Toyota Motor Corporation DCA - Rectangle Reversal Company: Toyota Motor Corporation Ticker: 7203 Exchange: TSE Sector: Automotive Introduction: Hello and thank you for taking the time to read my post. Today, we analyze the daily chart of Toyota Motor Corporation, focusing on a potential Rectangle reversal pattern. This pattern may indicate a change in the trend and offers trading opportunities for both short-term gains and long-term positions. Rectangle Reversal Pattern: The Rectangle pattern is a consolidation pattern that forms when the price is bounded by parallel support and resistance levels. It can act as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the preceding trend and the breakout direction. A breakout above the resistance level signals a potential trend reversal. Analysis: On the daily chart, Toyota Motor Corp has been in a clear downward trend, as indicated by the blue diagonal resistance line. However, the Rectangle pattern, which has four touch points at the top and five at the bottom, could potentially serve as a reversal pattern. Currently, the price is attempting to break above the 200 EMA. If a breakout occurs with a candle close above this level, the price target is ¥14550, representing a gain of approximately 7.5%. This setup could also present a good opportunity to build a longer-term position, depending on the trend opportunity and whether the Rectangle pattern truly acts as a reversal signal. Conclusion: The Toyota Motor Corp daily chart analysis highlights a Rectangle reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. Traders should closely monitor the 200 EMA for any signs of a breakout. As always, it's essential to consider risk management and proper position sizing when trading based on chart patterns. Please note that this analysis is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence when investing or trading. If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh
TSE:7203
by KarimSubhieh
USDJPY Headed lower? The case for Japan to thriveFirst off, I am NOT a Forex trader or highly in tune with the intricacies of the forex market. However, I am a Chartist and I see what I see. The USDJPY is in a current short term down trend, posting Lower lows and lower highs. With the CPI data coming tomorrow for the US Economy I would suspect some significant movement to start tomorrow and not end for a few weeks at least. The China Yuan trading BLOC is becoming a larger problem for the USD every day. At some point Japan has to survive and we might see their choice to adapt to the current climate of world finance begin to help their currency decouple from its standard trading range channel that its been comfortable in for decades. Japan is positioned well in all things except agriculture and typically that would be where the USA would come to the table for trade talks. Unfortunately the USA market for foreign automobiles is not what it used to be and China is looking anywhere it can to establish new trading deals. China could easily steal a good market share of our Japan agriculture trade without Japan fearing much retaliation from the USA in doing so. Japan has already signaled to the world that they will be comfortable pivoting a portion of their trade deals and currency settlements if need be. That is the basis of my idea that the USDJPY is headed lower and towards a stronger JPY. I look for 131 in the immediate short term and 126 before we try any significant reversal if any at all. This is just what i see and I am just documenting my own ideas for myself. DYOR.
Short
by TheStockMarketSniper
USD vs YEN | USDJPY IdeaHi traders! As you can see, the long-term trend of the USD/JPY price chart is bullish. But in this direction there are lines and areas that show resistance against price growth. So we will wait for the price to break the first resistance zone ( it's around $133.80 ). USDJPY Dollar vs Yen FX:USDJPY ⚠️🚨 Risk warning, disclaimer: the above is a personal market judgment and analysis based on published information and historical chart data on The trading view, And only some of these analyzes are my actual real trades. I hope Traders consider I am Not responsible for your trades and investment decision. ✅ Please write any advice or suggestions.
Long
by Arash-RK
USDJPY Outlook 6th April 2023The USDJPY has been trading steadily to the downside, primarily due to the weakness of the DXY. As the USDJPY found the 130.50 price area (78.6% fib level from the longer term) overnight, price rebound slightly but continued to consolidate at the 131.20 price level, with the resistance level at the 131.70 level (38.2% fib level) and the downward trendline possibly capping significant upside potential. Look for the USDJPY to retest the resistance level before trading lower again, with the key support level at the 129.80 price level.
Short
by JinDao_Tai
USDJPY Outlook 3rd April 2023Currently, the price action on the USDJPY indicates the formation of a bullish ascending triangle (in fact as I type this, the price looks to be breaking to the upside, but still need for a confirmation signal) With the price rising on the bullish trendline and the interim resistance level of 133.60, a breakout to the upside could lead to a significant upside on the USDJPY, especially if the strength of the DXY drives it. Although the round number level of 134 could provide brief resistance, the key resistance level of 135 could be a possible target for this potential bullish breakout.
Long
by JinDao_Tai
XRP General MovesRecent Price Movements and Potential Future Outlook XRP, also known as Ripple, has been in the news recently due to some positive developments, which have led to a price increase. However, the price of XRP has been volatile and has experienced significant fluctuations in the past few weeks. In this article, we will analyze the recent price movements of XRP and discuss its potential future outlook. Price Movements On March 31, 2023, the price of XRP reached a high of 0.588 USD, which was the highest it had been in several months. However, the price soon began to decline, and it currently sits around the 0.5 USD mark. This price decline can be attributed to several factors, including the overall market conditions, as well as concerns about the potential impact of Bitcoin's price movements. Support Levels Despite the recent price decline, there are some good support levels for XRP. The 0.5 USD mark is a significant support level, and it is possible that the price may bounce back from this level. Additionally, the 0.432 USD mark, which is where the rally started, could potentially be retested in the next few days. If this occurs, it may present an opportunity to buy XRP at a lower price. Future Outlook The future outlook for XRP is uncertain, and much will depend on the overall market conditions and the movements of other major cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin. If Bitcoin's price continues to decline, it is likely that XRP will also experience a price decline. However, if the market stabilizes and Bitcoin's price begins to increase again, XRP may also experience a price increase. Conclusion In conclusion, XRP has experienced significant price movements in the past few weeks, and its future outlook is uncertain. While there are some good support levels for XRP, it is important to be cautious when trading in these volatile market conditions. It may be worth waiting for further confirmation before buying XRP, especially if there are concerns about the potential impact of Bitcoin's price movements.
by Htback
USDJPY Outlook 31 March 2023The USDJPY climbed steadily to the upside, reaching the 133 resistance level overnight (this was discussed in the post on the 29th and during yesterday's webinar), with a continued push to the 133.50 price level early in the trading session today. As the USDJPY retraces from the 133 resistance level, if the price breaks below the bullish trendline, a more significant correction to the downside could be expected, with the key support level at 131.70 (61.8% fib retracement level) and the interim level at 132.35 (38.2% fib retracement level). However, if the DXY bounces from the 102 support level, this could drive the USDJPY higher, with the next major resistance level at 135
Short
by JinDao_Tai
USDJPY Outlook 20th March 2023Similar to the price action on Gold, as uncertainty in the market grows and confidence over the banking structure weakens, investors are seen shifting towards reserve commodity and currencies. This is why the Yen has strengthened, together with the weakening of the DXY, leading to the USDJPY being pressured to trade steadily lower. The USDJPY currently trading at the 132 price level could see further downside - if the price maintains below the bearish trendline, and - if the price breaks below the 131.50 support level. Downside potential could see the USDJPY reach the 129.80 support level which was last tested in February. Alternatively, if the USDJPY bounces strongly from the 131.50 support level, the immediate resistance level is at 133.75 which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (with an interim resistance level at 132.60)
Short
by JinDao_Tai
5
Brace for volatility as inflation meets recession2023 has been ushered in with a rebound in pockets of equity underperformance from 2022. Markets are coming to terms with the fact that stickier inflation and more resilient economic data globally are likely to keep central banks busy this year. Owing to which the spectre of interest rates staying higher for longer appears to be the dominant theme for the first half of 2023. Global money market curves are re-pricing higher to reflect the tighter monetary scenario. For the Federal Reserve (Fed), markets have priced in a 5.5% terminal rate, somewhat higher than was suggested by the median dot plot back in December. While in Europe, 160Bps of additional rate hikes are being priced for the European Central Bank (ECB) with terminal rate forecasts approaching 4%. The speculative frenzy witnessed since the start of 2023, indicates that equity markets are discounting the fact that the global economy has not faced such an aggressive pace of tightening in more than a decade and the ramifications, although lagged, will eventually be felt across risk assets. Preference for international vs US equities Exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows since the start of 2023 resonate investors’ preferences to diversify their portfolios with a higher allocation to international markets versus the US. Since the start of 2023, international equity market ETFs have received the lion’s share of inflows, amounting to US$20.6bn in sharp contrast to US equity ETFs that suffered US$9.3bn in outflows. Looking back over the past decade, US companies outpaced international stocks owing to two main drivers of equity price appreciation: earnings and valuation. Earnings remain the key driver for equity markets over the long term. If we try to think about what lies ahead, we can see that earnings revision estimates are displaying a marked turnaround for China, Japan, and Emerging Markets (EM), whilst the US and Europe are poised to see further earnings contractions. China’s recovery remains the important swing factor that could enable its economy, alongside EM and Japan, to outperform global equities in 2023. At 8% of sales, Europe has the second highest exposure after Asia-Pacific (ex-Japan) to China. Yet it’s important to bear in mind that European companies earn twice the amount of revenue from the US than from China. So, a soft landing in the US will be vital for Europe to continue its cyclical rally. US valuations remain high vs international developed and EM equities US equity market valuations from a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio remain high globally, whilst Japan continues to trade at a steep 29% discount to its 15-year average. Amidst the recent rally, European valuations at a 13.7x P/E ratio remain at a 14% discount to its 15-year average. That being said, three months ago European equity valuations were trading at a 35% discount to its 15-year average. After travelling half the distance to their long-term average, European valuations might have to contend with the headwinds of tighter monetary policy. Evident from the chart above, international markets ex-US continue to boast of favourable valuations allowing for a higher margin of safety, which is why we expect investor positioning to tilt in favour of international markets ex-US over the course of 2023. The battle between Energy and Technology stocks The Energy sector is coming off a strong year, as tight supplies and rising demand drove energy prices higher in 2022. While these dynamics have failed to play out so far in 2023, owing to the speculative frenzy in riskier parts of the market, we expect earnings results for energy companies, and their stock performance across the spectrum (including oil, gas, refining and services), to maintain momentum in 2023. Whilst investment in oil and gas production has been rising, it will still take multiple years for global supply to meet demand, which continues to support the narrative of higher energy prices. Refining capacity continues to look tight this year, given the reduced capacity and long lead time required to bring new capacity online. We expect this to support another strong year for the profitability of refining operators. At the same time, energy service companies should also benefit as spending on exploration and production continues to gather steam. The biggest risk to the sector remains if demand for energy falters in the face of a severe recession. However, as we expect most economies to face a modest recession, this risk is less likely for the Energy sector. Meanwhile, higher interest rates were the key driver of the underperformance of the Technology sector last year. We continue to see weakness in the Technology sector amidst rising risks of peak globalisation, weaker earnings, and the potential for more regulation. Despite the recent layoff announcements by technology firms, they still appear inflated, with employee growth in recent years 20% too high relative to real sales growth. The COVID-19 pandemic had accelerated the demand in software and technology spending with the rise of remote work and social distancing. However, companies today are more likely to cut their technology spending to offset the higher costs of energy, travel, wages, and other factors. The key risk, in our view, remains that valuations have come down, and if rates do begin to peak, selective technology companies could benefit from the growth generated by their cost-cutting initiatives. Value vs Growth in 2023 Value stocks tend to be positively correlated with higher inflation. In 2022, high inflation was a result of rising commodity prices, labour shortages, and fiscal stimulus provided by Western economies, whilst Growth stocks were penalised for their lofty valuations. Value-based stocks flourished on commodity supply constraints and cheaper valuations amidst a rising rate environment. Much of this is now priced into Value stocks. Most Value stocks’ earnings growth and valuation re-ratings rely on higher commodity prices or interest rates or a factor outside of their control. Owing to this, we still believe there are opportunities where constrained supply in the absence of falling demand will continue to support higher prices. There are significant prospects in Europe and Asia where discounts remain wide and sizeable valuation gaps exist across sectors. Europe’s energy sector accounted for two-thirds of Europe’s EPS (earnings per share) growth in 2022. The continuing trend of capital discipline, resilient earnings, and high shareholder returns should keep attracting flows into the sector in 2023. We expect Value stocks to be in better shape to withstand the global economic slowdown. Historically, the Value factor has demonstrated resilience during periods of interest rate volatility. Conclusion There is considerable uncertainty about how 2023 will unfold. As the key focus moves from inflation to a recession in 2023, it opens up the possibility of several outcomes for central banks and interest rates. Keeping this in mind, 2023 may well be a tale of two halves, with higher interest rates in the first half, followed by lower rates in the second half as a global recession takes centre stage.
ICEUS:MWL1!
by aneekaguptaWTE
USDJPY Outlook 10th March 2023The Bank of Japan (BoJ) released an unchanged monetary policy statement, with no surprises from Governor Kuroda at his last policy meeting. As the monetary policy statement was unchanged, this disappointed the market slightly, resulting in the significant weakening of the Japanese Yen. The USDJPY spiked up from the 136 price area, breaking above the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level at 136.40 to reach the 137 round number resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level following the release of the news. Although the price retraced lower, the USDJPY could continue trading higher toward the 137 resistance level and beyond that, the next key resistance level is at 138.
Long
by JinDao_Tai
USDJPY Outlook 9th March 2023Although the USDJPY traded significantly higher following the bullish news from the US Federal Reserve, with the price reaching the 138-round number resistance level, it has since retraced significantly to the downside and is trading below the 137-round number level. With the short term bearish trendline indicating downward pressure, look for the USDJPY to continue trading lower to retest the 136.40 (and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level), similar to the price action overnight. However, watchout for significant price volatility tomorrow with the Bank of Japan (BoJ) due to release its monetary policy decision (and it is also Governor Kuroda's last meeting). While it is unlikely that any changes will be made to the monetary policy, the market is anticipating the potential of a surprise since it is Kuroda's last meeting. If he adjusts/removes limits on the JGB yield, the Yen could strengthen significantly, with the next key support level for the USDJPY at 135.26.
Short
by JinDao_Tai