Get started

Japan

jpy 225 index 🚨ALERT🚨 Our latest analysis has identified a major support zone for the JPY 225 currency index following the recent decision by the Bank of Japan's new governor, Kazuo Ueda, and other high-impact news events in the economy. 📊💹 With Japan's consumer price inflation hitting a fresh 41-year high in January and remaining above the 2% target for the tenth straight month, the central bank faces increasing pressure to withdraw its massive monetary stimulus. 💸💰 However, with government energy subsidies taking effect this month, experts predict that inflation will fall below the Bank of Japan's target by mid-year. 💡💼 At FX Finance Academy, our team of experts is closely monitoring this situation and has identified a short position opportunity that lines up perfectly with our channel trading support and resistance levels. Don't miss out on this chance to stay ahead of the curve and make informed trading decisions. Join us now for more expert insights!
PEPPERSTONE:JPYXShort
by OfficialKieranTrewick
NIKKEI22 Potential for bearish drop to overlap supportLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for NIKKEI22 is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 27419.15, where the overlap resistance is. Stop loss will be at 27844.15, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 26517.50 where the overlap support is. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:NIKKEI225Short
by VantageMarkets
jpy 225 index 🚀🚀🚀 The JPY225 index is on the move! 🚀🚀🚀 After dropping from 27,374, the index is approaching a major support zone at 24,700. This drop comes following the decision of the new governor of the Bank of Japan, Kazuo Ueda, and it could be a major opportunity for traders. This move also lines up perfectly with our channel trading within support and resistance, so it's an exciting time to be in the market. 👀📈 Keep a close eye on the JPY225 index and see how price action develops. This could be a huge opportunity for traders! #JPY225 #SupportZone #BankOfJapan #KazuoUeda #MarketWatch #Trading #InvestmentOpportunities #🚀📈
PEPPERSTONE:JPN225Short
by OfficialKieranTrewick
Looking for Nikkei dips.NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 27300 (stop at 27135) Selling pressure from 27741 resulted in all the initial daily gains being overturned. The current move lower is expected to continue. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited. Previous support located at 27266. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Our profit targets will be 27770 and 27880 Resistance: 27880 / 28505 / 29295 Support: 27395 / 27050 / 26710 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
TVC:NI225Long
by VantageMarkets
Nikkei to stall at current highs?NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 27690 (stop at 27802) Buying pressure from 27266 resulted in prices rejecting the dip. The current move higher is expected to continue. Previous resistance located at 27755. Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower. We look to sell rallies. Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today. Our profit targets will be 27410 and 27050 Resistance: 27700 / 28505 / 29295 Support: 27395 / 27050 / 26710 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:JP225USDShort
by OANDA
Nikkei remains positive.NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 27245 (stop at 27130) Selling pressure from 27807 resulted in all the initial daily gains being overturned. The current move lower is expected to continue. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited. Previous support located at 27168. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher. Our profit targets will be 27570 and 27825 Resistance: 27825 / 28505 / 29235 Support: 27400 / 27060 / 26720 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
VANTAGE:NIKKEI225Long
by VantageMarkets
AUD/JPY - Can the AUD outperform the JPY?COMMENTARY The AUD seems to be gaining the most against the JPY compared to the following G10 Fx pairs including the NZD, CAD, EUR, and the USD in front of tomorrow's Reserve Bank of Australian (RBA) interest rate decision. High price action across the AUD cross pairs is expected upon tomorrow's RBA rate decision. Current price for the AUD/JPY is above its 40 day moving average (bullish), MACD above its signal line (bullish), rate of change 13 day above its signal line (bullish); upside potential for a retest of the 92.8s provided price can remain above the 89.9 support; downside risk on break below the 89.9 support could position short sellers to target the 87.90 area. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
by Skilling
1
CNHJPY - SHORT; This pair is ready to fall off a cliff!Considering China's (ongoing!!) predicament caused by an oncoming, abject, demographic (urban, industrial) collapse, the obvious consequence is a stand-alone Japan's as the region's only remaining super power" ... Making this Short a no-brainer, probably well over a decade and a half. The Long Term Price Target on this pair is: 10! (I.e. a >50% Decline ..., ... provided that there will be still such a thing as a convertible (off-shore) Yuan, further down the road - which, in itself, is very unlikely!)
Short
by Nemo_Confidat
Nikkei dips continue to attract buyers.NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 27205 (stop at 27110) Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher. The hourly chart technicals suggests further downside before the uptrend returns. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher. Our profit targets will be 27480 and 27820 Resistance: 27400 / 27820 / 28505 Support: 27060 / 26720 / 26235 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:JP225YJPYLong
by OANDA
EUR/JPY - SHORT; Geopolitics matters - Center stage.Given the inevitability of; 1) An abject Chinese population collapse - already under way -, necessitating the consequent *** massive DEurbanization, DEindustrialization *** (leaving in its wake ~800 million subsistence "gardeners" - No, not even farms, in the traditional sense of scale!); 2) Japan having *** the only other (beside the US) long range Navy *** capable to protect shipping/supply lines, anywhere on the globe; (While China couldn't defend it's own coast line, if push came to shove. All that The "Chinese Menace" propaganda is laughable, at best. China is already dead, it just hasn't rolled over, yet, fully.) 3) The EU's obvious, ongoing Hara Kiri (the kind that would fill every samurai with envy), the demise of the Euro is a foregone conclusion. (How long for total EU disintegration?? ... A) Most likely measured in a couple years; B) It is well under way!. 4) Germany's full and unmitigated retreat from a collapsed Chinese market - the US filling the vacuum in every imaginable corner on the globe; 5) Japan being *** the only other (alongside Taiwan, S. Korea and the US) precision manufacturer of high-technology, of any scale ***; 6) ... ... 12) ... There are at least a dozen existential reasons - already well within grasp! - all of which will leave Japan likely the only industrial power standing in Asia, while Germany (as is the whole of Europe) will be forced to backtrack to the '60s. - Not to the 1960s, no ... to the 1860s! The technicals are also favorable to start shorting this pair from here, ... on and on ... onto forever. p.s. The rise of France in Europe and Japan's in Asia - relative to their current industrial and geopolitical pull- is all but a foregone conclusion. France being the "youngest" industrial and agricultural power in the EU while Japan, having survived - so far - their own demographic apocalypse, will have ring side seats to revel in the total and abject Chinese collapse. Germany also "only" lacks any and all domestic energy or food resources (except Sauerkraut), while also beset with a demographic apocalypse that is about to hit its full stride.
Short
by Nemo_Confidat
Google vs Apple; How Android will kill Apple.Fact; - Apple (iPhone, etc.) is entirely (100%) sourced from China; - Google (Android) is 100% sourced from S. Korea & Japan. 1) Considering the abject population collapse - and massive DE-industralization!! - of China, it will take YEARS for Apple to relocate it's entire supply chain. (To N. America?) E.g. Apple will be lucky to bring out a new iPhone every other year - even that being overly optimistic. 2) Barring an outright armed conflict between S. Korea and Japan (very unlikely) Google's supply chain should be just fine, mostly unaffected by the coming Chinese de-urbanization and de-industrialization. (... which China will be forced to endure in order to feed the *** 800 million Chinese ***, which is what will be left in that country, by 2035.) When will this purported Chinese population collapse and total de-industrialization begin?? ... You are in it! (It is well worth to pay attention to it because it will (continue to) be spectacular!!) Simultaneously, the technical picture is also very favorable for the upside, in this spread.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by Nemo_Confidat
2
SHORT the Land of the Rising BanksSince the Bank of Japan shocked global markets in December ‘22 by widening the Yield Curve Control trading band on 10Y JGB yields from 0.25% → 0.5%, TOPIX Banks have been on a one-way surge upward. TSE:T17B index rallied +7% on the day of the policy meeting, and +25% within days thereafter. The three Japanese mega banks Mitsubishi UFG (TSE:8306, NYSE:MUFG), Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (TSE:8316, NYSE:8316), and Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411, NYSE:MFG) are hitting half-decade highs - but this is nonetheless a broad-based and nearly indiscriminate rally within the overall sector, as smaller regional banks participate in the upside. The fundamental reason for the rally is simply due to the Bank of Japan steepening the previously (and still) pancake-flat yield curve by lifting the ceiling on 10Y yields, while leaving their front-end policy rate at -0.1%. A steeper JGB yield curve “means” more favorable Net Interest Margins (NIM) for these lenders. There have been all sorts of analyst estimates and calculations of just how much of a positive boost to earnings this will be - and perhaps this will indeed come to fruition. However, the long end of the JGB curve suddenly and sharply rising can be a double-edged samurai sword- while banks may benefit from higher NIM, they are also taking massive unrealized marked-to-market losses on those very JGB holdings. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan has kept firm on YCC at their latest January policy meeting. Furthermore, they have been targeting much of their JGB buying (ex the 10Y) at the 2Y ~ 5Y tenors, and JGB 2Y and 5Y yields have been cut in half from recent peaks as a result. TOPIX Banks index, especially Mizuho shares, have been closely correlated to the 5Y JGB yield - particularly since the December 2022 BOJ surprise rally. Yet, while these banks shares’ rallies have paused, they have not followed 5Y JGB yields downward. The BOJ has (for now) put a halt on an ever-rising / steepening JGB curve- giving banks +25bps (and falling as of this writing) “extra” on the long end for their NIM spread. Also with BOJ policy, there is still a negative policy rate imposed upon these banks. Earnings for these banks are coming up next week, starting at the beginning of February. There is a LOT of assumed lofty upside of NIM currently priced into these shares. If they don’t at least MEET these expectations (and according to Bloomberg articles, it seems the executives of the big three are less excited than markets are of earnings upside), swift profit taking can ensue. If they not only fail to meet lofty expectations, but instead report major unrealized losses on their JGB holdings (after taking huge losses on their foreign bond holdings throughout 2022), swift profit taking can ensue. If swift profit taking ensues, (other/additional) swift profit taking can ensue. Japan - “land of the rising yields” is now in reversal - with a major dislocation in the otherwise historically lockstep bank shares vs JGB yields. A fundamental reality check from earnings may be what it takes to whack shares back into place. Note - this is obviously not trading advice - and as I always repeat in my videos: If you listen to me, you will lose all your money. If you use me as a reverse indicator, you will still somehow lose all your money. And the reason is very simple: I am a very stupid person, and these are very stupid thoughts. Clear? So, with that said, here’s what I have been doing (and again, if you wish to apply any of it, please do so if you hate money). I had been long MUFG since Dec BOJ Meeting to ride the momentum, and closed out my long on Mon Jan 16th (day before Jan BOJ) for a +21% return in something like 15 trading days - and closed out the trade on the thesis of “no change for Jan BOJ meeting” - which then came to fruition, and MUFG fell -5% thereafter. I am using my gains (“house money”) and am now long puts on these banks with post earnings expiry. Of the three mega banks, I hate Mizuho Financial Group (TSE:8411, NYSE:MFG) the most. And I am FAR from any sort of financial analyst - I am basing this on the JGB 5Y correlation, as well as Mizuho ATM machines having eaten my ATM card TWICE ← prob little to do with stock price action.
TSE:T17BShort
by acrossthespread
USA vs Japan- Everything is in chart. - Again an easy short, same as i predicted UK Bounce few weeks ago. - This is not a scalp but a Medium/Long term trade. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trading Parts : -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Short Zone : Now 149-150 ish TP1 : 127-126 ish TP2 : 116-117 ish SL : 165 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - You climb to reach the summit, but once there, you discover that all roads lead down. Happy Tr4Ding !
Short
by thecryer
4
ridethepig | JPY for the Yearly Close📌 @ridethepig G10 FX Market Commentary - JPY for the Yearly Close Of course, the breakout here can be bought after so much consolidation but it takes time. Buyers have no worries, since with a solid centre a loose Japanese fiscal and monetary policy is easy enough to map. Even more than that Kuroda and Suga are well seasoned, the logical link here is for USDJPY lower as a safe-haven flow but my models are picking up on it dislocated from the rest of the board on a capital flow basis. We managed to clear the 2020 targets very early and it will be a pleasure to review: ...we have to be interested in how the crowd can be wrong and how they are being led into the wilderness. Japan understood clearly the issue from the centre, unlike the West which have attempted to use monetary policy to cure private debt problems with issuing more private debt. They have breathed this mantra since 1991, in this sense and others they are miles ahead of the West and had a few decades to get to work on it with fiscal policy. We will go into the macro details in the coming days after the round of G10, EM, Commodities, Equities and Yields maps are updated. Then we can open the discussions for all to join in with the macro charts before we go into the short-term possibilities and build the shop for 2021 and beyond. Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
Long
by ridethepig
14
Nikkei to find support at previous support?NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 26030 (stop at 25770) Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. A Doji style candle has been posted from the base. This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher. We look to buy dips. Our profit targets will be 26780 and 27060 Resistance: 26720 / 27060 / 27400 Support: 26235 / 25615 / 24830 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:JP225USDLong
by OANDA
BOJ surprise may create wild yen swing The Bank of Japan is wrapping up its two-day policy meeting today, and the decision it announces at the conclusion could have huge ramification for Japanese markets and the yen. There is currently intense speculation that the bank may shift from its current path of ultra-loose policy, or at least offer some guidance concerning future moves. Let's look at the technical situation of the USD/JPY to see what possible move lies ahead. The trend for USD/JPY has now switched to a downtrend after last year’s bullish run up. The price is also well below the 200-EMA period, which may imply that we are now in a long-term downtrend. Although, support appears to be building around 127.80. This may be because the market is not entirely sure that the BOJ will signal any change in policy today and risk rocking the economic boat again, like it did after its last meeting. The Smart Money Concepts Indicator shows a ‘Break Of Structure’ or BOS, which is marked in the chart, indicating that the support at 127.80 may have been a lower low. The bullish move may also be considered a retest to the BOS and may reject this area. With the current downtrend for the USD/JPY in mind, the traders may like to look for a break and close below 126.70, which is strong support for the USD/JPY to continue moving down. Depending on the BOJ announcement, price targets from 124.00 to 121.50 could come into play. However, a ‘Change of Character’ or CHoCH signal coming from the SMC indicator might result from a dovish BOJ press conference. The CHoCH should be printed on the chart first before considering a trend switch to the upside. The marked-up supply zone by the SMC indicator can be used as a target point if one is considering a buy once we get a rejection at around 126.70.
by BlackBull_Markets
Selling Nikkei into current swing highs.K225 - 21h expiry - We look to Sell at 26635 (stop at 26855) Buying pressure from 25931 resulted in prices rejecting the dip. The current move higher is expected to continue. With the Ichimoku cloud resistance above we expect gains to be limited. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower. Our profit targets will be 26015 and 25795 Resistance: 26435 / 26830 / 27150 Support: 25795 / 25060 / 24120 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
VANTAGE:NIKKEI225Short
by VantageMarkets
Buying Nikkei at previous support.NIK225 - 20h expiry - We look to Buy at 27510 (stop at 27290) Selling pressure from 28166 resulted in all the initial daily gains being overturned. The current move lower is expected to continue. The medium term bias remains bullish. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher. Our profit targets will be 28030 and 28460 Resistance: 28460 / 29235 / 30220 Support: 27425 / 26700 / 26470 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:JP225USDLong
by OANDA