USDJPY - SHORT - 02/02/25On the daily timeframe, USDJPY is still on a retracement. This idea is based off of looking to continue with this trend and reach the daily tf FVG marked.
On the 30min, price has been reaching higher towards a 30min Order Block. This order block meets the criteria: 1.Swept Liquidity 2. Break of Structure 3. Prescence of Structural Liquidity.
The target being the previous structural low, with hopes of price continuing further down.
Japaneseyen
USDJPY | Yen Futures Weekly FOREX Forecast: Feb 3-7thThis forecast is for the upcoming week, Feb 3 - 7th.
The Yen has been week for an extended amount of time, underperforming against the USD. But the tide might be changing, this NFP week. As the USD is reacting to a HTF selling zone over the last couple of weeks, the Yen is finding buyers during that same time. This could continue for the near term.
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AUDJPY: 2 month range calls for a reboundAUDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.920, MACD = -0.220, ADX = 20.692) as it is trading inside a Rectangle pattern. The price hit the pattern's bottom yesterday and today is rebounding towards the 4H MA50, already hitting the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Such rebounds have always reached the 0.786 Fib at least, so with the 4H RSI also rebounding perfectly from the oversold area, we expect to test the 0.786 Fib again (TP = 98.385).
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USD/JPY Hits Target Again! Massive 500 Pips Move! What's Next?By analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that the price has dropped precisely from the 156.75 zone, as anticipated in our analysis, and has hit the 154 target! The key demand zone is between 153 and 154.3, while the significant supply zones are 155.40, 157 to 158.2, and 158.8, respectively. The total return from this analysis has exceeded 500 pips so far! With your support, this analysis will be updated soon!
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The Latest Analysis :
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USDJPY - SHORT - 27/01/25 (after) This is an after to the trade idea posted 22/01/25. On that analysis, the trade was supposed to be taken on the order block but when price reached that area, it violated the initial setup.
However, a new idea formed based on these same concepts:
Price swept a high and closed below it.
Change in character to the downside.
Return to Order Block
Now looking for long opportunities.
EURJPY: 1D MACD Bullish Cross confirming uptrend.EURJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.622, MACD = 0.070, ADX = 26.202) and with the formation of a Bullish Cross on the 1D MACD, this shows the enormous upside potential the price has inside the 5 month Bullish Megaphone. We expect a quick rise to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 168.000).
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USDJPY - 4H Short Opportunities Amid DowntrendFollowing the sharp fall in FX:USDJPY after PPI and CPI news, we expect further downside, potentially reaching the middle or bottom of the channel. 📉
Each push-up could be a short entry opportunity. Even a strong rise below 158 might be a dead cat bounce and a better short entry point. Stay cautious and strategic! 🔻
USDJPY holding the MA50 (1d).USDJPY is trading inside a Channel Up since September.
The price has tested, held and consolidated on the MA50 (1d) for the last 4 days (including today).
This is a bullish signal, considering also that this is taking place near the bottom of the Channel Up.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 164.350 (+6.20% rise).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is below its MA trendline, on a sideways pattern that is similar to the September 16th 2024 and December 3rd 2024 bottoms.
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USD/JPY: Key Pullback After 320-Pip Drops, Another Decline AheadBy analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that after a significant drop to 155 (yielding 320 pips), the price has reacted to a key psychological level and is currently in a pullback phase. Following a short upward move, we can look for a suitable trigger to align with another potential downside move. This chart will be updated again soon—stay tuned!
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USD/JPY : Ready for more Fall?! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon analyzing the USD/JPY chart in the daily time frame, we see that the pair is currently trading around the 157.060 level. Given the recent price action, I anticipate a significant correction in USD/JPY in the near future.
The first potential target for this decline is 156.25, so keep a close eye on this level! Stay tuned for updates as we track this movement together.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
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USDJPY consolidating before the next leg up.USDJPY is trading inside a Channel Up since September 16th and in the past 4 weeks has been ranging.
This consolidation was also seen on the previous Channel Up pattern of 2024, halfway through the pattern.
The 1day RSI patterns among the two are identical, which means that this is a strong buy opportunity.
Buy and aim for Resistance A at 162.000 as a short term, low risk target.
Previous chart:
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GBPJPY Buy signal on a 5-month bottom.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 05 2024 bottom and yesterday it made a Higher Low at the bottom of the pattern. This has been a buy opportunity 2/2 times and based on the similarities with the September 11 2024 Low, we can expect the new Bullish Leg to start and peak on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. Our Target is 204.000.
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USDJPY: Channel Up extending its 2nd bullish wave.USDJPY continues to trade on an highly bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.571, MACD = 1.090, ADX = 47.294) as today made a new high inside the 4 month Channel Up. It is on its 2nd bullish wave and it has started its 2nd stage, as it crossed above the 0.382 Fibonacci level, much like the previous bullish wave on October 21st. Aim for the 0 Fib near the top of the Channel (TP = 164.000)
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My plan SHORT for AUDJPT and LONG for JPYUSDI saw A strong DownTrend structure on OANDA:AUDJPY
I saw A Break Sell follow trend on M15 chart of AUDJPY
Also I Saw a strong Break buy follow trend on M15 chart of PEPPERSTONE:JPYX JPYUSD currency index.
So I make a plan SHORT for AUDJPY and also a plan LONG for JAPAN YEN
Target with RR= 3
USD/JPY Surges Higher:US Economic Strength Fuels Dollar MomentumThe USD/JPY exchange rate continues its upward trajectory, aligning with our forecast as robust US economic data bolsters the dollar.
The price movement reflects the strong momentum of the USD, with the latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report indicating that commercial traders maintain a strong position, while retail investors are riding the wave. Our initial price target is set at 155.050, and beyond that, we anticipate a potential move towards 158.000, where a notable supply zone exists.
Recent US macroeconomic indicators point to significant growth in the fourth quarter. Investor sentiment remains buoyed by expectations that the Federal Reserve may implement interest rate cuts in December. However, the Fed may emphasize the strengthening economic conditions and rising inflation, which could lead to a more hawkish stance in their forward guidance.
Conversely, the Bank of Japan is widely expected to maintain its current interest rate levels during Thursday's meeting. This comes after indications of a possible 25 basis point reduction just a week prior. Dovish comments from BoJ officials suggest that the bank will likely postpone any decisions until January to evaluate how US policies under the Trump administration might affect the Japanese economy.
Today's economic calendar highlights US Retail Sales, which are projected to reflect strong consumer spending. This, combined with positive services activity reported earlier this week, is likely to curtail any downside pressures on the US dollar, at least until the Fed meeting's outcome.
We are optimistic about a continued upward movement in the USD/JPY pair.
Our Initial Forecast:
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NZDJPY bottomed being formed. Huge long-term buy.The NZDJPY pair gave us an excellent sell signal back on our July 10 analysis (see chart below) and not only hit our 95.580 Target but broke below and invalidated the medium-term Channel Up:
The long-term Channel Up however, is still intact and it is evident on the 1W time-frame where the July - August sell-off found support and stopped exactly on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
That was the first strong long-term buy signal. Since then, the price has been consolidating within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has already rejected the uptrend multiple times and the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up.
The second buy signal came this month, as it made a Double Bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up. This whole sequence is very similar with the bottom formations of Jan - April 2023 and December - February 2022. Both started new Bullish Legs and never looked back once the price broke above the 1W MA50.
So the confirmed buy signal for this pair will be if a 1W candle closes above the 1W MA50. If that happens, we will turn bullish with our Target being 102.000 (+18.31%, the minimum Bullish Leg rise within the Channel Up).
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GBPJPY Strong bullish break out inside the Channel Up.GBPJPY is having its strongest (1d) candle today in almost 18 months.
The main pattern is a Channel Up and this rise is extending its new bullish wave.
The previous one retested the MA50 (1d) after crossing over it and the resumed the uptrend to peak on a +8.70% rise.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the next MA50 (1d) test.
Targets:
1. 204.500 (+8.70% rise).
Tips:
1. The MACD (1d) formed a Bullish Cross 9 days ago, the 3rd inside this 5month Channel Up, which confirms that we are on a bullish wave.
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CADJPY Higher Low formed. Strong buy opportunity.The CADJPY pair has formed a new Higher Low on the 4-month Channel Up pattern that started after the 2.5-year Channel Up bottomed its Bearish Leg on the August 05 Low. Being now below even the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), this is technically a great buy opportunity.
The previous long-term Bullish Leg hit the 0.9 Fibonacci level before retracing, which gives us a 117.100 Target for Q1 2025.
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GBPJPY: Channel Up rally has started.The GBPJPY pair is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.167, MACD = -0.620, ADX = 31.719) as so far it remains under both the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200, which are very close to each other. Basically today we are having a clean technical rejection on those two. In spite of this, the prevailing pattern is a Channel Up and we have already started the 3rd bullish wave. The two prior started after a 1D RSI Bullish Cross and the shortest one has been +7.34%. We are aiming for this extension (TP = 201.900).
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