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AUD/JPY: A Currency Pair Poised for GrowthAUD/JPY currency pair is trading at around the marked levels. Please read the analysis on the chart, as well as the explanations in the comments. Thank you. Technical Analysis: On the 30-minute chart, the AUD/JPY currency pair is trading in a bullish trend. The price is above the 50-period and 200-period simple moving averages. The MACD indicator is also bullish, with the signal line above the MACD line. The Elliot Wave Analysis in this case shows a continuation of the bullish impulse. I marked the first potential level of the Wave 5. It can extend after that level, or a correction may start (short term). On the 4-hour chart, the AUD/JPY currency pair is also trading in a bullish trend. The price is above the 50-period and 200-period simple moving averages. The MACD indicator is also bullish, with the signal line above the MACD line. On the daily chart, the AUD/JPY currency pair is trading in a bullish trend. The price is above the 50-period and 200-period simple moving averages. The MACD indicator is also bullish, with the signal line above the MACD line. Overall, the fundamental and technical analysis suggests that the AUD/JPY currency pair is likely to continue trading in a bullish trend in the near term. Fundamental Analysis: The Australian economy is currently facing a number of challenges, including a slowdown in China, rising inflation, and a trade deficit. However, the Australian economy is still expected to grow at a modest pace in 2023. The Japanese economy is also facing a number of challenges, including an aging population, a shrinking workforce, and a high debt burden. However, the Japanese economy is expected to avoid recession in 2023. I hope this post is helpful. This analysis represents my thoughts at the date it is posted. This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice. You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information. Any feedback is encouraged and appreciated. Thank you and have a nice day!
Long
by YExplore
AUDJPY Strong Lower Highs bullish break-out.The AUDJPY pair has turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support since last week's bullish break-out signal above the Lower Highs trend-line. That is a major bullish continuation call following the bottom on the 3-month Higher Lows Zone on March 27. The dashed Higher Lows has been supporting this uptrend and this seems to be the new bullish leg. The previous two such rises during these 3 years have reached at least +17.40%. As a result our buy target is 101.000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EURJPY Low risk buy here. Keep an eye on the RSI.The EURJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since March. The price is currently on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up. As long as the pattern holds (bottom intact, closing 1D candles above it), we have the opportunity for a low risk buy to target the Internal Higher Highs trend-line at 160.450. If we close a 1D candle below the pattern, then buy again only when the 1D RSI touches the 39.50 Support. This level has marked the bottoms of July 27 and March 17. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
GBPJPY Sell signal on this Triangle pattern.The GBPJPY pair is trading within a Triangle pattern, similar to July's. The price is currently approaching the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), which is untouched since August 08. As long as the pair closes below the 0.382 Fibonacci level, we are selling the bearish break-out and target 181.600 (Fibonacci 1.5). Notice how the 4H MACD sequences between the two fractals are identical. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
USDJPY One last rally before a correction.It's been almost 2 months since we looked into the USDJPY pair (see chart below) and our buy position right at the bottom of the Channel Up that easily hit its 144.500 target: The pattern is still holding and the price appears to be starting the final upward leg before it tests the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the pattern. As a result, as long as the 1D MA50 is holding, we are bullish targeting 150.000 (top of Channel Up). If the 1D MA50 breaks, we will short-term sell towards the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). If the price closes below the 1D MA100, we will consider it a pattern bearish break-out and sell targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and Support 3 at 138.100. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
USD/JPY -On its way to a Safe Short- We've seen USD/JPY uptrending for what will be the fifth (5) consecutive Weekly Green Candelstick prints. Some cool of may occurr in terms of price action, further due for correction ? Lots of Higher Highs levels as Support from below Looking from the left, a Weekly Supply Zone can be spotted ; (you can refer it as a *W OB). As well coinciding with the fact of approaching Resistance Trendline of Ascending Channel Pattern (a.k.a Bearish Flag). Short-Bearish case Opportunities are on its way for USD/JPY. Bullish case would be the breakout of pattern through above average volume and the Supply Zone being broken. This would invalidate the Short Opportunities idea for $USD/JPY Until the next one; TRADE SAFE *** NOTE that this is not Financial Advice ! Please do your own research and consult your own Financial Advisor before even considering partaking on any Trading Acitivity based solely on this Idea.
Short
by Mr_J__fx
USDJPY: Consolidation & The Next Bullish Move 🇺🇸🇯🇵 USDJPY is currently consolidating within a horizontal range. Taking into consideration the fact, that the pair is trading in a long-term bullish trend, probabilities are high that the market will resume the growth soon. Your confirmation will be a bullish breakout - a daily candle close above 146.6 - the upper boundary of the range. A bullish continuation will be expected to 148.0 level then. Alternatively, remember that the price may also drop from the underlined blue resistance and keep consolidating. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long
by VasilyTrader
5
BOJ Intervention Needed as Yen Continues to WeakenAs avid participants in the forex market, we must remain vigilant and proactive in monitoring this situation, as it may have significant implications for our trading strategies and overall market stability. The USDJPY exchange rate has experienced a persistent upward trend in recent weeks, primarily driven by the yen's continuous depreciation. This trend can have far-reaching consequences for global trade, investment flows, and economic stability if left unchecked. It is high time that we collectively address this issue and urge the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to intervene appropriately to restore balance and mitigate the potential risks of such rapid currency fluctuations. The BOJ's intervention is crucial to ensure that market forces do not push the yen into a fragile position, which could lead to unintended consequences. While some currency depreciation can benefit export-oriented economies, an overly weakened yen may spark concerns of competitive devaluation, leading to retaliatory measures and a destabilized international trading environment. Therefore, I implore each of you to monitor the USDJPY exchange rate in the short term closely. Keep a watchful eye for any signs of a potential dip in this currency pair, as it could indicate an opportune moment for the BOJ to step in and stabilize the yen's value. We can collectively contribute to maintaining a balanced and fair forex market by staying informed and alert. Additionally, I encourage you to spread awareness about the importance of BOJ intervention among your fellow traders, colleagues, and industry contacts. Let us unite in our call for action, urging the BOJ to take appropriate measures to address the weakening yen. Together, our voices can carry weight and help safeguard the stability of the forex market. In conclusion, let us remain proactive, concerned, and engaged in monitoring the USDJPY exchange rate. By doing so, we can actively encourage the BOJ to intervene when necessary, ensuring a more stable and predictable forex market for all participants.
by bryandowningqln
14
Prime Target: Carry Trades - except for the USDJPY!Sure, the Yen is overly weak on a trade-weighted basis BUT it is the least weak versus the USD! E.g., For any intervention to be effective it ought target just about any other high yielding spread/pair EXCEPT for the USD! Having established that, it is still far more likely that any intervention would target the USD/JPY directly than the rest, if for no other reason but for its success last September (2022). (Last September, dollar longs were extremely overcrowded which amplified the effects of that intervention, and then most of the cash went into carry trades.) Times have changed, though, whether the BoJ will be willing to subscribe to that notion or not. (which is yet to be seen). OK, so where does this potential paradox (or rather, just a dichotomy? ;-) leave one, in trading terms? 1) If there ever was a right time to trade the Japanese Yen against a basket of it's counterparts, now would be it! (Work has almost completed on just such a basket this time with correct weighing. ;-) 2) FX options (especially Gamma changes) have been gauging the potential market effects of the BoJ's various jaw-boning attempts (most of which were summarily ignored by the markets) in support of the Yen, rather accurately. "If it ain't broke don't fix it." Stick with it! p.s. The CHF/JPY is a special case here (not quite a carry trade) as it's eye-watering rise is due to the same, deranged SNB policy which ended in tears, back in 1978-79. (... Switzerland slipping into a far deeper depression than it's trading partners, back then.)
by Nemo_Confidat
2
NZDJPY Those are its buy and sell break-out signals.The NZDJPY pair has been trading within a Bullish Megaphone pattern since the March 24 Low. It has been though on its longest correction in the last 1.5 months and on Monday hit the bottom of the Bullish Megaphone. For as long as it holds, this is a potential early buy signal as the price also made contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is the level that held and initiated the rebounds of July 28 and June 01. The first buy confirmation will be a 1D MACD Bullish Cross (last one recorded on June 12) and the second a bullish break-out above the Lower Highs trend-line and 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). In that case, we will buy and target 89.700 (Resistance 1). If however we get a 1D candle closing below the Megaphone's bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) and the 1D MA100, we doubt Support 1 will hold and will take the buy's loss, opening a sell position instead, targeting 83.540 (Support 2). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
CADJPY Two scenarios but sell opportunity more closely.The CADJPY pair is trading within a 5-month Channel Up pattern, exactly on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). We notice the formation of a Triangle within it, similar to April's. If the 1D candle closes below its Higher Lows trend-line, then we will sell targeting 104.250 (Support 1). If the price breaks above the Lower Highs, we will buy and target long-term the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 114.775. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
EURJPY: Consolidation & Complete Indecision 🇪🇺🇯🇵 EURJPY is currently trading within a narrow horizontal range on a daily. Depending on the side of a breakout, I see 2 potential scenarios. Bullish Scenario If the price breaks and closes above 159.5 resistance on a daliy, I will expect a bullish movement at least to 160.5 level. Bearish Scenario If the market violates 157.4 support and closes below that, a bearish movement will be anticipated to 156.1 level. As always, breakout is the best confirmation, so wait patiently for that. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
by VasilyTrader
5
CHFJPY Buy opportunity unless the 1D MA50 breaks.The CHFJPY pair has been on a very strong and steady rise, supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since the March 29 break-out. Our last signal was on April 28 (see chart below): The situation hasn't changed and the trend remains bullish, aiming at a +8.00% extension. Our target is 171.000. If however the pair breaks below the 1D MA50, we will close it and open a sell instead, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 152.000. P.S. Notice the Rectangle pattern on the 1D RSI. Since the price broke and remains (to this date) above the 1D MA50, every test of the Rectangle's bottom is a buy opportunity. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
AUDJPY Sell opportunity within the Channel Down.The AUDJPY pair is on the 3rd day after a Double Top rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That was a Lower High at the top of 2-month Channel Down. This is a sell opportunity, as long as the price is closing 1D candles below the 1D MA50. Our target is a -3.68% decline (as the previous legs) at 91.450. You can more safely settle for the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) which supported the price on July 28 and caused a strong rebound. That is also exactly on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. The only indicator in favor of a break-out above the 1D MA50 is the Bullish Cross on the 1D MACD. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot