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GOLD/JPY: Bearish Bump and Run Reversal TopXAUJPY after sharply rising from the long term Lead-In trend line and Horizontal Support Level, is now currently testing the supply line of a local Right-Angled and Ascending Broadening Formation it has developed at the highs and seems to have completed an RSI BAMM and is now looking to do an impulsive move down. If the impulsive move down is great enough, we will see XAUJPY break down below the Lead-In Trend Line and confirm it as a Bump-and-Run Reversal Top, which could take us to the measured move that happens to just about align with the 61.8% Retrace overall. The JPY overall has been setting up and getting quite Bullish against other currencies recently too, such as the AUD, GBP, CAD, and EUR. I suspect this trend of the Yen gaining value against assets will continue in Gold as the USD continues to rise and the JPY maintains its USD value relative to other currencies and assets.
OANDA:XAUJPYShort
by RizeSenpai
EURJPY Buy signal inside a strong Channel Up.EURJPY is trading inside a Channel Up starting from the beggining of the year. The MA100 (1d) gave the necessary Support last week at the bottom of the Channel UP. Trading Plan: 1. Buy once the price closes over the Falling Resistance. Targets: 1. 166.700 (+8.00% rise as per the bullish leg prior). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) hit Support (1) and rebounded. This support level has priced the lows of July 27th, March 17th and January 17th. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
Long
by TradingBrokersView
1
Yen Drops Below 150 Per Dollar - Exercise Caution in TradingThe Japanese yen has recently dropped below the critical threshold of 150 per dollar, primarily due to mounting concerns regarding intervention measures. In light of this situation, I strongly urge you to exercise caution and consider pausing yen trading until further clarification is obtained. The sudden decline in the yen's value has raised concerns among market participants, as it suggests the possibility of intervention by the Japanese government or central bank. Intervention refers to deliberate actions taken by authorities to influence their currency's exchange rate, typically through buying or selling large amounts of their own currency in the foreign exchange market. Such interventions can have a profound impact on the currency's value and create significant volatility in the market. Given the uncertainty surrounding the current situation, it is prudent to reassess our trading strategies and ensure that we are not unnecessarily exposed to potential risks. Therefore, I strongly recommend that you temporarily halt yen trading until we receive further guidance or clarification from reliable sources regarding any potential intervention measures. In the meantime, I encourage you to closely monitor the latest news and market developments related to the yen. Stay informed about any official statements or actions from the Japanese government or central bank, as these can provide valuable insights into the future direction of the currency. Additionally, consider diversifying your portfolio to reduce reliance on yen-based assets until the situation stabilizes. Please remember that our primary objective is to protect our investments and mitigate risk. By exercising caution and temporarily pausing yen trading, we can better position ourselves to navigate the current market uncertainties and make informed decisions when clarity emerges. If you have any questions or require further guidance, please do not hesitate to reach out to me or our dedicated support team. We are here to assist you and ensure that you have the necessary information to make well-informed trading decisions.
by bryandowningqln
11
AUD/JPY: Bullish Trend Pauses for a Pullback-- 30-Minute Chart The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a narrow range on the 30-minute chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 94.20 level and support at the 94.00 level. The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals. -- 4-Hour Chart The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a bullish trend on the 4-hour chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 94.50 level and support at the 94.00 level. The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals. -- Daily Chart The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a bullish trend on the daily chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 95.00 level and support at the 94.00 level. The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals. Elliott Wave Analysis Based on Elliott Wave Theory, as marked on my chart, the AUD/JPY pair may be in the process of completing a five-wave upward Elliott wave pattern. If this is the case, the pair could experience a significant pullback in the near future. AUD/JPY Fundamental and Technical Analysis for 4 October 2023 (30-min, 4-h, and Daily Charts) Fundamental Analysis The Australian dollar (AUD) is a commodity currency, meaning that its value is closely linked to the prices of commodities such as iron ore and coal. The Japanese yen (JPY) is a safe-haven currency, meaning that it tends to appreciate in value during times of market turmoil. The AUD/JPY currency pair is often seen as a proxy for risk appetite. When investors are feeling optimistic about the global economy, they tend to buy the AUD/JPY pair. When investors are feeling cautious, they tend to sell the AUD/JPY pair. Technical Analysis 30-Minute Chart The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a narrow range on the 30-minute chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 94.20 level and support at the 94.00 level. The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals. 4-Hour Chart The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a bullish trend on the 4-hour chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 94.50 level and support at the 94.00 level. The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals. Daily Chart The AUD/JPY pair is currently trading in a bullish trend on the daily chart. The pair is facing resistance at the 95.00 level and support at the 94.00 level. The RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. However, the MACD indicator is still generating bullish signals. Elliott Wave Analysis Based on Elliott Wave Theory, the AUD/JPY pair may be in the process of completing a five-wave upward Elliott wave pattern. If this is the case, the pair could experience a significant pullback in the near future. Conclusion Overall, the AUD/JPY pair is in a bullish trend on all three timeframes. However, the RSI indicator is currently in overbought territory on all three timeframes, suggesting that the pair may be due for a pullback. Traders should watch the key support and resistance levels mentioned above carefully. A break above the 94.50 level on the 4-hour chart would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. A break below the 94.00 level on the 4-hour chart would suggest a pullback is underway.
Short
by YExplore
USDJPY; Zen and the art of economic cycle maintenanceThe Yen and thus, the Bank of Japan, is in a rather precarious position. (Then again, when was the last time they weren't - in a precarious position?? ... .) Admittedly, our Japanese is somewhat rusty lately but nowhere in the monetary manual did we find where it says: "Lending rates must be fixed at <0% or >10%, at all times!" So, when the BoJ hangs it's hat on some arbitrary metric, such as the volatility in the USDJPY in this case, to guide it's policy and a potential departure from the negative interest rates (more so than based on the underlying economic data - CPI, PPI, unemployment, etc.) and then said volatility collapses, almost immediately?! ... One could only speculate on the complex range of emotions, induced in the BoJ's leadership (WTF?!, etc.). So,now what? ... These previously unlikely turn of events suddenly provide a strong bias towards a (top-side) volatility spike, in the event of which a forced monetary intervention by the BoJ in the very near future becomes a virtually foregone conclusion! On an additional note; Given the current US-Japanese rate differentials (as well as other factors) the USDJPY remains the least "over valued" among all the Yen crosses - making it a less than ideal such metric. Try on the CHFJPY or even the EURJPY as an exercise in absurd over valuation, for example. The likes of which have solid, almost identical, precedents in the late 1970 European central bank policies, most ending "in tears" and none more than Switzerland's SNB's, which slid into one of it's deepest depressions by the beginning of the 1980s! This weeks technical picture (including Fridays close) further underlines this, by now much shifted, bias toward a top-side break out, potentially pushing prices well past the key 150.00 level, rather quickly. (E.g., certainly do Not be short the USDJPY, here! - To say the least.) Current Rate Differentials between the Bank of Japan and ... -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - in Basis Points - ("most over valued" ranking) - CHFJPY (Switerland) --- +250 - (#1) - SKJPY (Sweden) --- +375 - AUDJPY (Australia) --- +400 - NOKJPY (Norway) --- +400 - EURJPY (EU) --- +450 - (#5) - CADJPY (Canada) --- +475 - GBPJPY (G. Britain) --- +515 - NZDJPY (N Zealand) --- +525 - USDJPY (US) --- +525 - MXNJPY (Mexico) --- +11.25 - (#4) - ZARJPY (S. Africa) --- +11.75 - (#2) - HUFJPY (Hungary) --- +13.00 - (#3) --------------------------------------------------------------------- p.s. This here is also the new Yen Thread!/b]
by Nemo_Confidat
2