AUD-JPY Bullish Setup! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair was
Making a nice bearish
Correction but now the
Pair has retested the
Strong horizontal level
Of around 95.00 which
Is a support level now
And there is already a
Bullish reaction so
I think that the pair
Will go up
Buy!
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Japaneseyen
USDJPY: Double Channel Up pattern. Keep buying until it breaks.USDJPY is trading on a Channel Up inside a long term Channel Up pattern. The 1D time frame is overbought (RSI = 71.702, MACD = 1.430, ADX = 43.738) and as the RSI entered the Resistance Zone of March 1st, we expect a short term pull back inside the first Channel Up to 141.300. If the bottom (dotted lines) holds, we will buy and target towards the R3 (TP = 146.000).
If however the price crosses under the Channel and as such the 1D MA50 too, we will sell and target the S2 (TP = 133.515). The HL trend line can offer an early sell warning if it breaks.
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AUDJPY Excellent long term sellAUDJPY got rejected this week just before hitting Resistance A that is the High of September 13th 2022.
Any rebound is a strong sell opportunity now as even the 1day RSI crossed under the MA level after becoming the most overbought its been since March 2022.
The September 2022 peak got rejected back to its Fibonacci 0.618 level.
Sell and target the new Fibonacci 0.618 which is at 90.350.
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USDJPY: Bullish Accumulation & Trading Plan 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY is stuck on a key horizontal daily resistance.
The price is currently trading within a narrow range.
Because the current trend is bullish, I am looking for trend-following opportunities.
To buy with a confirmation, wait for a bullish breakout of 142.0 - 142.45 area.
Daily candle close above will confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected then at least to 143.5
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the support of the range may trigger
a correctional movement.
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USD JPY - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSISBNP Paribas 2023-2024 Exchange Rate Forecasts
Capital Outflows will Undermine the Dollar
A starting point for the BNP market analysis is that it considers the dollar is notably overvalued in global markets, especially against the yen.
It adds; “The USD on a G10 trade-weighted index is trading almost 2 standard deviations (about 25%) rich relative to our estimates of its long-term fair value, as captured by the BNP Paribas FEER.”
The debate surrounds whether there will be a trigger for the overvaluation to be reversed.
BNP expects a significant shift in capital flows over the next few months which will have an important impact on currency rates.
According to the bank; “The normalization of global yields should continue to encourage repatriation by Eurozone and Japanese investors, who are overweight US assets.”
BNP also considers that unease over US equity valuations will encourage a flow of funds out of the US into the rest of the world
It adds; “Coupled with FX-hedge ratios at low levels, we see space for significant USD selling.
Overall, BNP places less emphasis on Federal Reserve rate cuts in forecasting that the dollar will lose ground.
Yen Can Secure Capital Inflows
BNP continues to expect a strong recovery for the yen.
Firstly, it expects that the Bank of Japan will tighten policy in July which will tend to strengthen the currency, especially given scope for a repatriation of funds by domestic institutions.
It also expects lower US yields will support the yen while the threat of intervention will tend to curb potential selling pressure on the currency.
The dollar to yen (USD/JPY) exchange rate is not forecast to hold above the 140.00 level.
NZDJPY - NEW BREAKOUT📈Hey Traders👋🏻
On The Weekly Time Frame The NZDJPY Price Reached a Resistance Level (86.566 - 88.170)✔
Currently, This Key Level is Broken (Resistance Level Becomes new Support Level)🔥
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
i'm waiting for a retest...
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TARGET: 90.289🎯
___________
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USD JPY - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSISBNP Paribas 2023-2024 Exchange Rate Forecasts
Capital Outflows will Undermine the Dollar
A starting point for the BNP market analysis is that it considers the dollar is notably overvalued in global markets, especially against the yen.
It adds; “The USD on a G10 trade-weighted index is trading almost 2 standard deviations (about 25%) rich relative to our estimates of its long-term fair value, as captured by the BNP Paribas FEER.”
The debate surrounds whether there will be a trigger for the overvaluation to be reversed.
BNP expects a significant shift in capital flows over the next few months which will have an important impact on currency rates.
According to the bank; “The normalization of global yields should continue to encourage repatriation by Eurozone and Japanese investors, who are overweight US assets.”
BNP also considers that unease over US equity valuations will encourage a flow of funds out of the US into the rest of the world
It adds; “Coupled with FX-hedge ratios at low levels, we see space for significant USD selling.
Overall, BNP places less emphasis on Federal Reserve rate cuts in forecasting that the dollar will lose ground.
Yen Can Secure Capital Inflows
BNP continues to expect a strong recovery for the yen.
Firstly, it expects that the Bank of Japan will tighten policy in July which will tend to strengthen the currency, especially given scope for a repatriation of funds by domestic institutions.
It also expects lower US yields will support the yen while the threat of intervention will tend to curb potential selling pressure on the currency.
The dollar to yen (USD/JPY) exchange rate is not forecast to hold above the 140.00 level.
USD/JPY - Incredible Moves to close out the weekOANDA:USDJPY
Thursday we saw a nice oscillator Matrix set-up to the down side.
Then on Friday, the market makers decided to go for recent highs with 2 scalp entries.
Incredible oscillator triggers kept us on the right side of the action....
Enjoy the rest of your weekend...
AUDJPY: Swing Short From Supply Area!
Ladies and Gentelmen,
Here I present you a short
Trade from the supply level
We need to wait for the pair
To go a bit higher so this
Will be a limit order.
The details are below:
Entry Limit: 98.000
Stop Loss: 98.713
Target: 96.500
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EURJPY Sell at the top of the 1 year Channel Up.EURJPY is rising aggressively since the last touch on the 1day MA50 on April 6th.
The long term pattern is a Channel Up since March 7th 2022.
The 1day RSI is extremely overbought at 77.00, the highest it has been since June 8th 2022.
Buy and target 158.000 and then sell targeting the 1day MA200 at 148.000.
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GBPJPY: The Historical Structures 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY is unstoppable.
The market keeps growing like crazy.
Here are the next historical structures on focus:
Resistance 1: 180.35 - 180.75 area
Resistance 2: 186.80 - 188.80 area
Resistance 3: 194.94 - 195.83 area
I believe that the next goal for buyers is Resistance 1.
The market will most likely keep growing.
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EUR-JPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the pair
Made a retest and a rebound
From the horizontal support
Of 148.00 and the pair is
Now going up so I think
That the pair will keep growing
Buy!
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NZDJPY - NEW BULLISH MOVE📈Hey Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The NZDJPY Price Reached a Strong Support Level (84.024-83.434)✔
The Price Reject to Break This Key Level and Create a new Lower Low 📉
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
i'm waiting for a Retest...
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TARGET: 86.848🎯
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AUDJPY - RESISTANCE BECOMES SUPPORT📈Hello Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The AUDJPY Price Broke The Resistance Level (92.189-93.048)✔
Currently, The Resistance Level Becomes New Support Level📈
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
i'm waiting for a retest....
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TARGET: 94.700🎯
___________
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USDJPY: Key Levels to Watch This Week 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Here is my detailed structure analysis for USDJPY.
Horizontal Key Levels.
Resistance 1: 140.63 - 140.93 area
Resistance 2: 142.06 - 142.46 area
Support 1: 138.48 - 138.80 area
Support 2: 137.38 - 137.95 area
Support 3: 135.20 - 135.49 area
Support 4: 132.95 - 134.27 area
Vertical Key Levels.
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising trend line
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading this week.
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CHFJPY Last rise before a strong correction.The CHFJPY pair had a strong 5 week rally since our last buy call (see chart below) on April 28:
Our final bullish target remains 159.000, which will make a perfect contact with the Higher Highs trend-line since January. But given the fact that the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been tested twice this year, we expect a stronger rejection this time and decline all the way to Support 1 (149.100), where it can make contact with the 1W MA50.
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HelenP. I Japanese Yen may continue to fall and achieve supportHi folks today I'm prepared for you JAPANESE YEN analytics. The Japanese Yen created a support zone of 134.05-133.70, from which started to grow the and form Elliott Waves. The price rose to mark 136.30 (1 wave) and after a downward correction, rose (2 wave) broke through the level of 137.35 and continued the local uptrend (3 wave). The Japanese Yen declined (wave 4), retested current support, and continued to rise. The price rose to the level of 140.90, where the 5th wave was completed, and after a re-test resistance, it started to decline. After a slight upward correction, the Japanese Yen continued to move down. Now the uptrend may be completed, and the price may continue to decline. I hope that the Japanese Yen may start a local downtrend, or may make a deep downward correction to support at level 137.35. Therefore, goals will be set at levels 138.50 and 137.35. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
AUDJPY Double Sell SignalThe AUDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the October 21 2022 High. Supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it not only entered yesterday the Resistance Zone of December 13, but also reached the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down.
This is a Double Sell signal and as long as candles close below it, we will be selling towards Support 1 and the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down at 85.100. If a 1D candle closes above the Resistance Zone, we will continue buying for a short-while and target Resistance 2 (95.750).
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NZDJPY: starting the final sell wave of the Head and Shoulders.NZDJPY is on neutral 1D technicals (RSI = 50.536, MACD = 0.110, ADX = 26.358) as the price is consolidating after a rebound on the 1D MA50. The rejection on the R1 Zone, is technically the Head of the Head and Shoulders pattern, a bearish formation seen on market peaks. This rebound is forming the Right Shoulder.
With the 1D RSI on Higher Lows for the whole year, we can't ignore the possibility of a fake Head and Shoulders formation, so the level which invalidates this is the LS overhead Resistance at 85.940. Under this, we will target the 0.236 Fibonacci level (TP = 81.550), which is a standard target for the price after rejections on the R1 Zone since April 2022.
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GBPJPY - NEW BREAKOUT📈Hey Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The GBPJPY Price Broke The Resistance Level (170.853-172.334)✔
Currently, The Resistance Level Becomes New Support Level📈
The Price Formed an Ascending Triangle
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
i'm waiting for a retest....
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TARGET: 174.220🎯
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