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NZDJPY Sell signal at the top of the Channel Up.The NZDJPY has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the March 24 2023 bottom and today just made contact with its top (Higher Highs trend-line). We expect a strong rejection, similar to July 05 2023 that pulled-back all the way to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). As a result, we treat today's rejection as a strong sell opportunity. Our Target is 95.580 (Fib 0.382). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
CADJPY Strong sell opportunity at the top of the Channel UpThe CADJPY pair gave us an excellent buy signal last time we looked at it (May 30, see chart below) that easily hit our 116.500 Target: Now it is flashing the opposite, a strong sell signal right after a Higher High (top trend-line) rejection on the 7-month Channel Up pattern. Ahead of a 1D MACD Bearish Cross, the opportunity becomes even more obvious. Every Bearish Leg hit at least the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before making a Higher Low, so our Target is set at 115.500, which is an optimal level towards the final week of July. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
CHFJPY Channel Up resuming towards 189.000The CHFJPY pair is about to end a short-term consolidation, which seems to be symmetrical with the first week of May 2023. The long-term pattern is a Channel Up since December 2022 and the Higher High on that sequence was priced on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension. As you can see the 1D RSI sequences between the two Bullish Legs fractals are very similar and we are currently on a bounce formation similar to the May 11 2023 bottom. Our long-term Target is 189.000 (just below the 3.0 Fibonacci extension). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
AUDJPY Approaching the long-term Sell ZoneThe AUDJPY pair gave us an excellent short-term sell signal last time (May 23, see chart below) but after that broke above the medium-term Channel Up aggressively: We now need to zoom out to the longer term 1W time-frame, where we clearly see the dominant pattern of the pair, which has been a Channel Up since the March 16 2020 (COVID) market bottom. Each Higher High was formed when the 1W RSI started forming a Bearish Divergence on Lower Highs. The 1st Bullish Leg was priced after a +32.90% rise, while the 2nd one at +26.70%. As a result, with the 1W RSI overbought above 70.00 for the 2nd time in 6 weeks, we believe that the pair is approaching its long-term Sell Zone on the Higher Highs region. Its Higher Lows have been priced near or on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), so we will take this sell opportunity to target 101.000 (expected contact and breach of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line)). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURJPY On a very aggressive Bullish Leg.The EURJPY pair is extending the rise since the December 04 2023 Low, which was a Higher Low on the 27-month Channel Up. Technically, we are half-way on the new Bullish Leg of the pattern and as you can see the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) has been the ultimate Support since its start. The previous 2 Bullish Legs have rose by at least +19.30%, so we expect a similar development. Our Target is at 180.000 (marginally below the +19.30% mark). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Retail Traders Poised for Yen Rebound - Consider Shorting USDJPYI am writing to bring to your immediate attention a critical development in the forex market that could present a significant trading opportunity. As many of you are aware, the recent slide in the Japanese yen has been a point of concern. This depreciation has heightened the probability of Japan intervening in the market once more to stabilize its currency. Historical patterns suggest that such interventions can lead to rapid and substantial movements in the yen's value. Currently, it appears that retail traders are reloading their bets in anticipation of a rebound in the yen. This collective action underscores a growing sentiment that the yen is poised for a recovery, potentially driven by governmental measures to curb its decline. Given these circumstances, it may be prudent to consider positioning yourselves for this anticipated rebound. Specifically, shorting the USD/JPY could be a strategic move. By doing so, you could potentially capitalize on the yen's resurgence if Japan steps in to support its currency. I urge you to review your portfolios and assess the potential benefits of shorting USD/JPY in light of the current market dynamics. As always, ensure that any trading decisions are made with careful consideration and risk management. Stay vigilant and informed. The forex market is highly dynamic, and timely actions can make a significant difference.
Short
by bryandowningqln
Is USD/JPY Trade of Decade? US Dollar Nears 34-Year High Again.If you’re a ‘90s baby, the yen is the weakest you’ve ever seen it. Putting it back with the cool guys in forex town isn’t going to be easy. In this Idea, we discover why. Yen Languishes in 34-Year Lows The Japanese yen is trading at a 34-year low against the stronger US dollar. This means that the volatile USD/JPY pair is flying high. Very high. To many, this is the opportunity of a lifetime — pop a short, load up on the leverage and go for the jugular (to use Soros slang ). Only that it’s not as easy as it looks. So not-easy that there’s even a term for that. It’s called “widow maker trade” and it describes those unfortunate souls who dare to bet against the Bank of Japan in hopes of anticipating the right direction. It’s so difficult to predict the path of Japan’s interest rates that many have seen their fortunes wiped out in trying to do so. So why’s the yen so badly hurt? Until recently, Japan’s central bank was the only one in the world to flaunt negative interest rates. It was holding on to an easy-money regime to stimulate economic growth — low to negative rates encourage businesses and consumers to borrow cheap money and spend it on whatever they want. Biggest Loser on Forex Board But this loose money policy has a downside — it makes the local currency highly unattractive. The Japanese yen is the biggest loser among the major currencies on the forex board so far in 2024. It’s down more than 13% against the dollar this year. Against that backdrop, in March, the Bank of Japan abandoned its negative rate regime and hiked interest rates for the first time since 2007. The shift provided little relief to the yen. The USD/JPY this week blasted beyond ¥159 and extended its winning streak to seven days in a row. But bulls’ efforts to carry the exchange rate above the ¥160 milestone might meet an archnemesis. Japanese officials have been monitoring the speculative moves around the yen and have said many times they’re ready to intervene by buying boatloads of it. Traders, however, have already seen this play out. And they've seen the aftermath, too. A Failed InterYention In late April, the Japanese yen tumbled beyond the key ¥160 level to the dollar, hitting ¥160.20 — a low last seen in 1990. Japan then decided to lean against the skyrocketing dollar and sank as much as $60 billion going long the yen and shorting the dollar. Briefly, the yen rose about 5% before bargain-hungry traders were back for more. Moral of the story? The downturn of the yen is predictable and until the Bank of Japan introduces a more aggressive policy to buck the trend, it may remain vulnerable to attacks. More of the Same? Meanwhile, bullish traders are excited to try their hand at shooting the dollar-yen pair to a fresh 34-year high. It must be noted, however, that the exchange rate is overstretched and overbought. This skews the risk-reward ratio and makes the upside look fairly limited, at least in the short term. Or does it? Zoom out, and you’ll see the yen was trading at ¥300 to the dollar back in the ‘70s. And that’s not something Japan wants to see now. A cheap yen is generally good for exports but it makes imports a lot more expensive. And that’s where the Asian economy is getting its technology, energy, cars, and many foods from. Japanese officials, namely the Ministry of Finance, remain tight-lipped about any potential intervention. What’s more, the Bank of Japan joins the silence with no forward-looking guidance on future interest rate hikes. And all this means one thing — yen volatility is bound to continue as traders engage in some extra spicy speculation fundamental price discovery. Long or Short? If you’re in the trade, which side are you on? Are you long the dollar-yen or short it? Let us know in the comments below!
Editors' picks
by TradingView
11
NZDJPY Approaching the top of 3.5 years Channel Up. Strong sell.The NZDJPY pair is trading on the 4th straight green 1W candle and is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up pattern that started on November 2020. Even though it may extend to a +9.30% rise (the smallest long-term it had within the pattern), selling now offers excellent Risk/ Reward conditions. Our target is 92.000 (Higher Lows trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
2
CADJPY Buy signal initiated. Channel Up intact.The CADJPY pair extended the Channel Up flawlessly and hit our latest Target (April 02, see chart below): The price is now breaking above the short-term Ascending Triangle, which within the long-term Channel Up has always issued a buy signal after the price approached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The immediate Target on both previous break-outs has bee the -0.382 Fib extension. The 1D RSI is also posting that pre break-out consolidation. As a result we turn bullish again on this pair, targeting 116.500 (slightly below the -0.382 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
TRADE SIGNAL - BUY EURJPYWeekly and daily price bars has not moved bullish at all (no top wick), and price seats currently on psychological level 170.000. There are chances that price has found support at that level. If so, then expect a bullish swing up to 171.000 in the coming hours or days. Confluences (A.K.A checklists) to look out for: ✅Price at psychological level? ❌Has there been a recent intraday range? ❌Do you see 30 mins or 1 hr price bar closure outside recent range? ❌Will position be in the direction of 4hr and Daily trend ? ✅Has nearby wicks to the left-hand-side been identified and marked as potential problem area/TPx? Go long only when you tick out this checklist!!! Trade parameters: Buy @ 169.982 - 169.781 Flex SL 169.449 Final TP 171.002 Warning: 1. trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose. 2. Previous performance is not a guarantee that my signals will profit you. Accept and implement this idea at your own risk. 3. You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!! BR, Kings Learn how to trade. See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
Long
by Kingsley_lotanna
1
GBPJPY Top of Channel Up sell signal.The GBPJPY pair gave us a solid short-term buy signal last time we looked into it (April 16, see chart below) and easily hit our Target: The prevailing Channel Up has a clear sell signal on its top, which the price is approaching on the current Bullish Leg since the rebound on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The 1D MACD sequence is the same as the first Bullish Leg that started on January 02 2024, that time on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). That Leg pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level after it got rejected at the top. As a result, we will wait to sell at the top of the Channel Up again and target 198.500 (Fibonacci 0.382). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
TRADE SIGNAL: EURJPY LONG 21 May 2024Factoring in some learning from my previous 2 trade signals, i have strong conviction that EJ might pullback to immediate past resistance(now support) to gather some liquidity before pushing up. Hence i'd recommend long positions for the pair. See details below Position Parameters; Entry BUY @ 169.500 - 169.223 Flex SL 169.060 Final TP 170.496 Note: i'd share updated confluences from next post. Warning: 1. trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose. 2. Previous performance is not a guarantee that my signals will profit you. Accept and implement this idea at your own risk. 3. You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!! BR, Kings Learn how to trade. See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
Long
by Kingsley_lotanna
CHFJPY Sell opportunity.The CHFJPY pair is trading on a Falling Wedge pattern, which every time it formed within the long-term Channel Up, it was followed by a sharp decline. The last one hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has so far held twice, rendering it the new Support level. Notice that all those tops, had a similar 1D MACD structure. As a result, we turn bearish on the short-term on CHFJPY, targetng 169.000 (1D MA200). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
GBPJPY: Bullish continuation. 1D MA50 in full support.GBPJPY is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.343, MACD = 1.720, ADX = 59.150) and is extending the bullish wave inside the 16 month Channel Up. The overbought technicals shouldn't be a factor for a bearish reversal as long as the 1D MA50 continues to support. We are confident with buying, aiming at the top of the Channel Up (TP = 208.000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
AUDJPY Channel Up topped. Sell signal.The AUDJPY pair reached the top of its long-term Channel Up, while at the same time the 1D MACD is about to complete a Bearish Cross today. This is a strong sell signal combination and the minimum decline that the pair has within this Channel Up on a pull-back, has been -1.84%. As a result our short-term Target is 102.650. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
USDJPY Channel Up aiming higher.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the December 28 2023 market bottom and has started the new Bullish Leg on the May 03 2023 bounce (Higher Low) on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The previous two Bullish Legs rose on average by +8.00%, so we expect a similar development. As a result we are bullish, targeting 163.000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EURJPY Still bullish. Continue buying the dips.The EURJPY pair gave us a textbook buy-low-sell-high two-way trade last time we looked at it (March 25, see chart below) and hit both targets: Right now it may be shifting into a new Channel Up (dashed), diverging slightly from the (blue) long-term one. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been holding as Support basically since the January 10 bullish break-out, so technically the long-term trend remains bullish. Our Target is 173.500, the top of the (blue) long-term Channel Up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Bond Market Hints Towards a Second Wave of Shorts to hit the JPYLate last year the Spread of the US/JP Carry Trade hit the PCZ of a Bearish Shark resulting in it pulling back to the 50% Retrace, this came ahead of Bearish Action in the stock market and strength in the JPY. However, the bounce at the 50% retrace indicates that it could turn into a Bullish 5-0 which would result in higher highs. In addition to that, the leverage ratio on the trade has been forming what looks to be a nice looking Cup with Handle pattern, which if it plays out would bring the leverage ratios up from 500% to well over 800%. This would likely align with higher highs in the SPX, Higher Inflation Rates, Higher Commodity, Import/Export Costs, and a continuation of the falling Japanese Yen. I will leave the chart of last year's Carry Spread Chart Post below for reference.
TVC:US10YLong
by RizeSenpai