EURJPY BULLISH - 15 May 2024Like, comment and share with your peers!
Am looking for buys on EURJPY between the range below.
Find my confluences below;
✅Price at psychological level?
✅Has there been a recent intraday range?
✅Do you see 30 mins or 1 hr price bar closure outside recent range?
✅Will position be in the direction of 4hr and Daily trend ?
✅Has nearby wicks to the lefthand side been identified and marked as potential problem area/TPx?
With these ticked, i choose my entry and SL accordingly with the intention of giving my trade a second chance if my SL is hit
Position Parameters
Entry 169.000-169.364
SL 168.687 (flexible - put SL as occasion serves you and give the trade a second chance if SL is hit)
TP 170.505
Drop a comment to let me know if you have picked up a thing or two form my analysis
Warning:
1. trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose.
2. Previous performance is not a guarantee that my signals will profit you. Accept and implement this idea at your own risk.
You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!!
BR,
Kings
Learn how to trade. See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
Entry 169.000-169.364
SL 168.687
TP 170.505
Japaneseyen
EURJPY Long Continues - 10 May 2024Like, comment and share my analysis with your frineds
Morning Friends,
EJ has a very strong bullish outlook and will most likely continue pushing up.
Entry - 167.650 - 167.721 area
SL 167.397
TP 168.507
Warning : trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose.
You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!!
BR,
Kings
Learn how to trade. See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
EURJPY Long - 09 May 2024I expect to see price pump after that wild range.
SL 167.030
TP 168.010
Make sure to apply proper risk management.
Warning: trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose.
You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!!
BR,
Kings
See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
EURJPY: Going Up Again?! 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY leaves clear bullish clues,
after a breakout of a solid intraday resistance last week.
After the violation of the underlined structure,
the price started to consolidate within a horizontal range.
Bullish violation of the resistance of the range this morning
is an important bullish confirmation.
We can expect more growth now.
Next resistance - 186.5
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EURJPY: Time For Pullback?! 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY may retrace from a key daily horizontal resistance.
The market looks quite overbought after quite an extended bullish movement.
A cup & handle formation on an hourly time frame indicates a local strength
of the sellers.
I expect a retracement at least to 166.76 support.
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Can this Falling Wedge save the Japanese Yen?The Yen has taken quite a beating this year, but upon analyzing its price action I noticed it is currently inside a falling wedge which usually breaks upwards most of the time, so perhaps this pattern can help rescue it from further demise. We will know soon enough as its nearing its apex. *not financial advice*
Silent Samurai: Why Japan Keeps Mum on the Yen's Fate f JapanThe Japanese Yen has been on a rollercoaster ride recently, weakening against the US dollar. This has sparked concerns in Japan, but the government has remained tight-lipped on whether they've intervened to prop up the currency. This silence, some argue, is a strategic necessity in the face of a more dominant player: the US Federal Reserve.
Traditionally, governments use currency intervention – buying or selling their own currency – to influence exchange rates. A weaker yen can benefit Japanese exporters by making their goods cheaper overseas. However, a rapidly depreciating yen can also lead to inflation, hurting Japanese consumers.
So, why the silence from Japan? Here are some key reasons:
• The Power of the Fed: The US Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions have a massive impact on global currency markets. When the Fed raises interest rates, it strengthens the dollar as investors seek higher returns in US assets. This, in turn, weakens currencies like the yen. Japan's silence could be a way to acknowledge this reality. Publicly admitting intervention against the Fed's tightening stance might be seen as futile or even provocative.
• Preserving Intervention Ammunition: Currency intervention is expensive. It depletes a country's foreign reserves and can be ineffective in the long run if underlying economic conditions don't improve. By staying silent, Japan might be trying to keep the markets guessing about potential intervention. This uncertainty itself can sometimes deter speculators from further weakening the yen, achieving some effect without actually spending reserves.
• Signaling Commitment to Market Forces: Openly intervening can be seen as a lack of confidence in a market-driven exchange rate system. Japan might be prioritizing long-term economic stability by allowing the yen to find its natural level based on market forces, even if it's uncomfortable in the short term.
• Focus on Broader Economic Policy: The yen's weakness is just one piece of a complex economic puzzle. Japan's government might be prioritizing other measures to stimulate the economy, such as fiscal spending or structural reforms. Addressing these underlying issues could have a more lasting impact on the currency than short-term intervention.
However, the silence isn't without its critics. Some argue that a lack of transparency undermines market confidence. Additionally, if the yen weakens excessively, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might be forced into raising interest rates, contradicting its current ultra-loose monetary policy. This could create unwelcome economic disruptions.
What's Next for the Yen?
The future of the yen hinges on several factors, including:
• The Fed's Path: The pace and extent of the Fed's interest rate hikes will significantly influence the dollar-yen exchange rate. If the Fed slows down its tightening, the pressure on the yen could ease.
• Japan's Economic Performance: A stronger Japanese economy with signs of inflation could naturally lead to a yen appreciation.
• Intervention Decisions: While Japan might remain tight-lipped, any covert intervention could impact the market.
The coming months will be crucial for the yen. The silence from Japanese authorities might be a calculated strategy, but its effectiveness remains to be seen. Only time will tell if Japan can navigate these choppy currency waters and achieve a stable yen without sacrificing its broader economic goals.
USDJPY: Bullish Pattern Again?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Bulls look strong again on USDJPY.
After a presumable intervention, the market dropped by 500 pips on Monday.
The price formed a bullish triangle on a 4H time frame then.
At the moment, I see a confirmed violation of its neckline
The pair may keep growing at least to 158.35 now.
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USDJPY: Why It Dropped? 🇺🇸🇯🇵
This morning, USDJPY dropped by more than 500 pips this morning.
If you are looking for a reason why it happened,
remember that historical structure always leaves clues.
The price perfectly respected a historic structure of 1990th.
Today, we see a perfect example how important are historical levels,
and how the market remembers the things that happened more than 30 years ago.
Learn key levels because that is the key for successful trading.
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NZDJPY: Channel Up bottom buy.NZDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.679, MACD = 0.060, ADX = 31.385) as it trades between the 1D MA50 and the 1D MA100. Despite the neutrality, the price sits at the bottom of the Channel Up pattern, having made its 2nd contact this month. The 1D MACD has been squeezed and is past a Bullish Cross, which has been a buy signal inside this pattern 2 out of 2 times it was formed. Consequently we turn bullish on the medium term aiming at +6.00% profit (TP = 95.500).
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CADJPY: Follow the breakout or rejection. Low risk trades.CADJPY is just above the bullish barrier on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.297, MACD = 0.230, ADX = 26.548) despite the fact that it is near the HH trendline of the Ascending Triangle and supported at the same time by the 1D MA50. Technically this calls for a decline and the minimum inside this pattern is the 1D MA200 (TP = 109.350). If it crosses over the HH trendline and closes a 1D candle over it, we will go long, aiming at the top of the Channel Up that will prevail (TP = 115.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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GBPJPY Supported by the 1D MA50.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up since late May 2023. Recently it has been rising on a shorter term Channel Up (dotted) supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as it does, we have to stay bullish short-term, targeting the top of the Channel at 195.000.
Since however the blue Channel Up has already completed a symmetrical Higher High leg at +8.24% (similar to the August 22 2023 Higher High), we face a technical necessity for a strong pull-back. We are willing to take this sell only if the pair closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA50. When it does, we will take the loss on the buy and short towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), targeting 186.500.
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Yen Traders Tread Cautiously as Japan Hints at InterventionAnxiety hangs heavy over the yen market. With the Japanese currency hovering near a 34-year low against the U.S. dollar, traders are wary of potential intervention from Japanese authorities. This comes as Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated the government's concerns about the rapid depreciation of the yen.
The Yen's Slide: A Perfect Storm
The yen's recent decline can be attributed to a confluence of factors:
• Divergent Monetary Policies: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy, keeping interest rates near zero, while central banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve are aggressively raising rates to combat inflation. This widening interest rate differential makes the dollar a more attractive investment compared to the yen.
• Global Risk Aversion: As geopolitical tensions and concerns about a global economic slowdown escalate, investors are seeking refuge in dollar-denominated assets, further weakening the yen.
• Japan's Trade Dependence: Japan relies heavily on imports for essential resources like energy and food. A weaker yen makes these imports more expensive, potentially fueling inflation within Japan.
Verbal Intervention: A Warning Shot
Finance Minister Suzuki's recent statements can be seen as a warning shot to currency markets. He emphasized the government's "deep concern" about the yen's depreciation and hinted at the possibility of intervention if excessive volatility persists.
However, the effectiveness of verbal intervention is debatable. Without concrete action, traders might remain skeptical.
Intervention: A Double-Edged Sword
Direct intervention in the currency market involves the Japanese government selling dollars and buying yen to artificially strengthen the currency. While this can achieve short-term results, it comes with drawbacks:
• Costly Defense: Intervention can be expensive, draining Japan's foreign currency reserves.
• Market Distortion: Heavy intervention can distort market forces and create uncertainty for traders.
• Limited Effectiveness: The effectiveness of intervention depends on the size of the intervention and the broader economic backdrop. If underlying economic fundamentals favoring a weaker yen persist, intervention might have only a temporary impact.
Traders on Edge: Waiting for the Next Move
Yen traders are currently in a wait-and-see mode. They are closely monitoring the Japanese government's actions and statements, along with the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, for any signs that could influence the yen's direction.
The Road Ahead: A Balancing Act
The future path of the yen will be determined by several factors:
• The BOJ's Monetary Policy: Any change in the BOJ's stance, even a hint of a future rate hike, could strengthen the yen. However, the BOJ is expected to remain dovish for the foreseeable future.
• Global Risk Sentiment: If global risk aversion eases, investors might be less inclined to seek refuge in the dollar, potentially aiding the yen.
• The Effectiveness of Intervention: If Japan intervenes in the currency market and does so decisively, it might provide temporary support to the yen.
Conclusion: A Fragile Currency in Uncertain Times
The outlook for the yen remains uncertain. While the Japanese government may intervene to curb its rapid depreciation, the effectiveness of such strategies is limited without addressing the underlying economic factors. The future direction of the yen will likely hinge on global economic developments and the monetary policy decisions of major central banks.
USDJPY Top of Channel Up. Sell signal.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the July 14 2023 Low on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Currently it is about to exhaust the 2nd Bullish Leg of this Channel as it approaches its top (Higher Highs trend-line). It begun with a Low on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) and then a Higher Low on the 1D MA200.
With the 1D RSI overbought for the first time since July 05 2023, we are turning bearish on USDJPY after a long time but only for the short-term. Our target is 146.500 (Support 1).
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Yen looks VERY STRONGIt has been some time since we checked the #Japanese #Yen vs US #Dollar.
Updated the chart a bit since last time.
Clear bottom forming inverse head & Shoulder pattern.
Broke and retested the 2002 highs.
Bounced off the Green Moving Avg, successful retest.
Japanese are selling foreign investments as their #interestrates have increased. We've spoken on that a few times.
USDJPY - 2 SCENARIOS 📉📈Hello Traders !
On The Daily Time Frame, The USDJPY Reached The Resistance Level (151.908 - 151.318).
So, We Have 2 Scenarios:
BEARISH SCENARIO📉:
If The Market Breaks The Support Level (150.261 - 150.693) and Closes Below That,
We Will See a Bearish Move📉
TARGET: 147.150🎯
BULLISH SCENARIO📈:
If The Price Breaks and Closes Above The Resistance Level ((151.908 - 151.318),
We Will See a Bullish Move📈
TARGET: 154.620🎯
AUDJPY: Today's decline is a buy opportunity.AUDJPY is borderline bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.140, MACD = 0.500, ADX = 22.883) as today it has erased the gains of almost the past 3 days. As it approaches the 1D MA50, it is turning into a buy opportunity inside a double Channel Up pattern. At 99.000 we are turning bullish again and will aim for a +2.65% increase (TP = 101.700) for a HH.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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