NZDJPY Approaching the top of 3.5 years Channel Up. Strong sell.The NZDJPY pair is trading on the 4th straight green 1W candle and is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up pattern that started on November 2020. Even though it may extend to a +9.30% rise (the smallest long-term it had within the pattern), selling now offers excellent Risk/ Reward conditions. Our target is 92.000 (Higher Lows trend-line).
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Japaneseyen
CADJPY Buy signal initiated. Channel Up intact.The CADJPY pair extended the Channel Up flawlessly and hit our latest Target (April 02, see chart below):
The price is now breaking above the short-term Ascending Triangle, which within the long-term Channel Up has always issued a buy signal after the price approached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The immediate Target on both previous break-outs has bee the -0.382 Fib extension.
The 1D RSI is also posting that pre break-out consolidation. As a result we turn bullish again on this pair, targeting 116.500 (slightly below the -0.382 Fib).
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TRADE SIGNAL - BUY EURJPYWeekly and daily price bars has not moved bullish at all (no top wick), and price seats currently on psychological level 170.000. There are chances that price has found support at that level. If so, then expect a bullish swing up to 171.000 in the coming hours or days.
Confluences (A.K.A checklists) to look out for:
✅Price at psychological level?
❌Has there been a recent intraday range?
❌Do you see 30 mins or 1 hr price bar closure outside recent range?
❌Will position be in the direction of 4hr and Daily trend ?
✅Has nearby wicks to the left-hand-side been identified and marked as potential problem area/TPx?
Go long only when you tick out this checklist!!!
Trade parameters:
Buy @ 169.982 - 169.781
Flex SL 169.449
Final TP 171.002
Warning:
1. trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose.
2. Previous performance is not a guarantee that my signals will profit you. Accept and implement this idea at your own risk.
3. You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!!
BR,
Kings
Learn how to trade. See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
GBPJPY Top of Channel Up sell signal.The GBPJPY pair gave us a solid short-term buy signal last time we looked into it (April 16, see chart below) and easily hit our Target:
The prevailing Channel Up has a clear sell signal on its top, which the price is approaching on the current Bullish Leg since the rebound on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The 1D MACD sequence is the same as the first Bullish Leg that started on January 02 2024, that time on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). That Leg pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level after it got rejected at the top.
As a result, we will wait to sell at the top of the Channel Up again and target 198.500 (Fibonacci 0.382).
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TRADE SIGNAL: EURJPY LONG 21 May 2024Factoring in some learning from my previous 2 trade signals, i have strong conviction that EJ might pullback to immediate past resistance(now support) to gather some liquidity before pushing up. Hence i'd recommend long positions for the pair. See details below
Position Parameters;
Entry BUY @ 169.500 - 169.223
Flex SL 169.060
Final TP 170.496
Note: i'd share updated confluences from next post.
Warning:
1. trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose.
2. Previous performance is not a guarantee that my signals will profit you. Accept and implement this idea at your own risk.
3. You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!!
BR,
Kings
Learn how to trade. See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
CHFJPY Sell opportunity.The CHFJPY pair is trading on a Falling Wedge pattern, which every time it formed within the long-term Channel Up, it was followed by a sharp decline. The last one hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has so far held twice, rendering it the new Support level.
Notice that all those tops, had a similar 1D MACD structure. As a result, we turn bearish on the short-term on CHFJPY, targetng 169.000 (1D MA200).
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GBPJPY: Bullish continuation. 1D MA50 in full support.GBPJPY is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 69.343, MACD = 1.720, ADX = 59.150) and is extending the bullish wave inside the 16 month Channel Up. The overbought technicals shouldn't be a factor for a bearish reversal as long as the 1D MA50 continues to support. We are confident with buying, aiming at the top of the Channel Up (TP = 208.000).
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AUDJPY Channel Up topped. Sell signal.The AUDJPY pair reached the top of its long-term Channel Up, while at the same time the 1D MACD is about to complete a Bearish Cross today. This is a strong sell signal combination and the minimum decline that the pair has within this Channel Up on a pull-back, has been -1.84%. As a result our short-term Target is 102.650.
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USDJPY Channel Up aiming higher.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the December 28 2023 market bottom and has started the new Bullish Leg on the May 03 2023 bounce (Higher Low) on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The previous two Bullish Legs rose on average by +8.00%, so we expect a similar development. As a result we are bullish, targeting 163.000.
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EURJPY Still bullish. Continue buying the dips.The EURJPY pair gave us a textbook buy-low-sell-high two-way trade last time we looked at it (March 25, see chart below) and hit both targets:
Right now it may be shifting into a new Channel Up (dashed), diverging slightly from the (blue) long-term one. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been holding as Support basically since the January 10 bullish break-out, so technically the long-term trend remains bullish.
Our Target is 173.500, the top of the (blue) long-term Channel Up.
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Bond Market Hints Towards a Second Wave of Shorts to hit the JPYLate last year the Spread of the US/JP Carry Trade hit the PCZ of a Bearish Shark resulting in it pulling back to the 50% Retrace, this came ahead of Bearish Action in the stock market and strength in the JPY. However, the bounce at the 50% retrace indicates that it could turn into a Bullish 5-0 which would result in higher highs. In addition to that, the leverage ratio on the trade has been forming what looks to be a nice looking Cup with Handle pattern, which if it plays out would bring the leverage ratios up from 500% to well over 800%. This would likely align with higher highs in the SPX, Higher Inflation Rates, Higher Commodity, Import/Export Costs, and a continuation of the falling Japanese Yen.
I will leave the chart of last year's Carry Spread Chart Post below for reference.
USDJPY: Bullish short term. Attention at the top of the Channel.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.858, MACD = 0.730, ADX = 52.633) and is rebounding after almost the second 1D MA50 test in 2 weeks. The pair is capitalizing on the bullish momentum of the 1 year Channel Up but this rebound could be the last before a correction, as the price is very close to the HH top trendline. Our goal is still that top (TP = 160.000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EURJPY BULLISH - 15 May 2024Like, comment and share with your peers!
Am looking for buys on EURJPY between the range below.
Find my confluences below;
✅Price at psychological level?
✅Has there been a recent intraday range?
✅Do you see 30 mins or 1 hr price bar closure outside recent range?
✅Will position be in the direction of 4hr and Daily trend ?
✅Has nearby wicks to the lefthand side been identified and marked as potential problem area/TPx?
With these ticked, i choose my entry and SL accordingly with the intention of giving my trade a second chance if my SL is hit
Position Parameters
Entry 169.000-169.364
SL 168.687 (flexible - put SL as occasion serves you and give the trade a second chance if SL is hit)
TP 170.505
Drop a comment to let me know if you have picked up a thing or two form my analysis
Warning:
1. trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose.
2. Previous performance is not a guarantee that my signals will profit you. Accept and implement this idea at your own risk.
You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!!
BR,
Kings
Learn how to trade. See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
Entry 169.000-169.364
SL 168.687
TP 170.505
EURJPY Long Continues - 10 May 2024Like, comment and share my analysis with your frineds
Morning Friends,
EJ has a very strong bullish outlook and will most likely continue pushing up.
Entry - 167.650 - 167.721 area
SL 167.397
TP 168.507
Warning : trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose.
You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!!
BR,
Kings
Learn how to trade. See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
EURJPY Long - 09 May 2024I expect to see price pump after that wild range.
SL 167.030
TP 168.010
Make sure to apply proper risk management.
Warning: trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose.
You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!!
BR,
Kings
See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
EURJPY: Going Up Again?! 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY leaves clear bullish clues,
after a breakout of a solid intraday resistance last week.
After the violation of the underlined structure,
the price started to consolidate within a horizontal range.
Bullish violation of the resistance of the range this morning
is an important bullish confirmation.
We can expect more growth now.
Next resistance - 186.5
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EURJPY: Time For Pullback?! 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY may retrace from a key daily horizontal resistance.
The market looks quite overbought after quite an extended bullish movement.
A cup & handle formation on an hourly time frame indicates a local strength
of the sellers.
I expect a retracement at least to 166.76 support.
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Can this Falling Wedge save the Japanese Yen?The Yen has taken quite a beating this year, but upon analyzing its price action I noticed it is currently inside a falling wedge which usually breaks upwards most of the time, so perhaps this pattern can help rescue it from further demise. We will know soon enough as its nearing its apex. *not financial advice*