Japaneseyen
USD/JPY at Critical Juncture: Evaluating Peaks and Intervention The USD/JPY has surged to multi-year highs in the 151.000s amid a broader strengthening of the US Dollar and shifting trade dynamics, exerting downward pressure on the Japanese Yen. Currently positioned at 151.590, the pair finds itself within a robust resistance zone, hinting at a potential retracement following the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy meeting.
As the USD/JPY approaches a critical intervention zone, historically monitored by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) for FX market stabilization, there arises a likelihood of resistance to further appreciation. This intervention zone, noted by analysts at MUFG, underscores the BoJ's proactive stance in curbing excessive Yen weakness beyond the 150.000 threshold.
The proximity to this intervention zone implies a possible inflection point for the USD/JPY, suggesting a pending reversal or consolidation in the near term. Such dynamics highlight the intricate interplay between central bank interventions and market sentiment, shaping the trajectory of currency pairs like the USD/JPY.
GBPJPY: Head and Shoulders formed. Sell signal.GBPJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.345, MACD = 0.240, ADX = 29.640) as the recent bullish run came to an end on the HH trendline. For now the 1D MA50 held but the peak pattern formed is a Head and Shoulders. The 1D MACD is on a Bearish Cross, so the short signal is complete. Our target is the S1 level, potentially a contact with the 1D MA200 (TP = 185.500).
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USDJPY: Excellent buy opportunity.USDJPY is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.212, MACD = -0.110, ADX = 47.052) but not only is the price making a rebound on the 1D MA200 but the 1D RSI is also staging a rebound from nearly oversold levels, much like it did on July 13th 2023. All this price action is taking place inside a long term Channel Up pattern, so this is a buy opportunity with significant upside potential. Our target is the top of the Channel (TP = 160.00).
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USDJPY: Important Key Levels to Watch 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Here is my latest structure analysis and important key levels
to watch on USDJPY.
Resistance 1: 147.6 - 148.0 area
Resistance 2: 149.1 - 149.4 area
Resistance 3: 150.7 - 150.9 area
Support 1: 145.8 - 146.4 area
Support 2: 144.3 - 144.9 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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Japanese Yen May Face A RecoveryJapanese Yen has been very weak since start of the year, but we can see a three-wave A-B-C corrective decline on Japanese Yen Futures chart, which can be now completed by current sharp reversal up above important trendline. So, we believe that Japanese yen may now face a recovery in the upcoming days/weeks, maybe months, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
GBPJPY Pull-back to the 1W MA50 as per historic pattern.The GBPJPY pair broke recently above the 2023 High has been consolidating these past 3 weeks. This consolidation can technically be the start of a new correction back towards the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) in order to test the market demand and get confirmation.
This is exactly what took place in October 2014, which as you can see, is the fractal that GBPJPY's 4-year Channel Up (since the March 2020 COVID bottom), is almost identical to. In fact we are at the +53.99% increase level since the bottom as the pair was on September 2014, displaying remarkable fractal symmetry.
Based on that, we are medium-term sellers on GBPJPY, targeting 183.000 (1W MA50) where we will reverse to a buy again and target the top of the Channel Up at 200.000.
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USDJPY Bullish for the rest of the year. Sell in 2025.This time we view the USDJPY pair from a very long-term perspective as there has been much confusion lately over its trend and we want to put things into context. As you can see on the 1M time-frame, the price is getting out of a consolidation phase (blue ellipse) that has been lasting for a little more than a year. The rally since the January 2021 bottom has been enormous but this is not the first time that the pair is pulling out something similar.
Since the April 1995 bottom, there have been another 2 such rallies (Nov 1995 - Aug 1998 and October 2011 - June 2015) of +85% and +66.75% respectively. The first peaked marginally below the 1.382 Fibonacci extension while the second marginally above it.
This indicates that the pair still has considerable room to extend this rally to and the confirmation is that it ust got out of the blue consolidation phase. The previous two give us a Sell Zone within 171.630 - 190.500. As a result, we will stay bullish on USDJPY probably until the end of the year and start selling in 2025 after the price enters the Sell Zone.
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USDJPY: Your Trading Plan For This Week 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY is trading in a bullish trend.
After the price set a new higher high, we see quite an extended consolidation
within a horizontal range.
150.9 is the resistance of the range.
If the market breaks and closes above that on a daily,
we can anticipate a trend-following movement.
Next resistance will be 151.6
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the support of the range
may trigger a bearish continuation.
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GBPJPY - GJ DailySimple Trading:
1. Perfect inverted head and shoulders
2. Pull back to the .382 of impulse
3. break above Monthly resistance with a strong higher high above .382
4. Restest to breakout zone/monthly Resistance.
Do not overthink it. We are in a bullish market with clean higher highs. Pay attention to previous high zones (yellow lines). The target is place for 200.000.
EUR-JPY Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bearish correction and will
Soon hit a horizontal support
Of 161.588 from where we
Will be expecting a bullish rebound
Because we are bullish biased on the pair
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
JPYX WILL REVERSE ON THE DEMAND ZONEJPYX has returned to the earlier demand zone highlighted across both hourly and daily timeframes. Additionally, we've observed the fulfillment of a five-wave count within the current bearish trend, suggesting the potential for a reversal at this established demand zone.
USDJPY Bullish within a Double Channel UpThe USDJPY pair has been on a Channel Up pattern since the December 28 2023 Low. That was a Higher Low on a potential (blue) Channel Up running from July 14 2023, as both Higher Lows have been formed on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). The longer term pattern remains however a Bullish Megaphone on Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
The 1D RSI indicates that we might be in a similar spot as May 22 2023 of the previous Bullish Leg of the Megaphone, a structure that peaked on the 1.786 Fibonacci extension level on the Higher Highs trend-line. Before pursuing that target though (161.900 = 1.786 Fib), we will settle for the top of the blue Channel Up at 154.000.
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CADJPY: Bullish Trend Continues 🇨🇦🇯🇵
CADJPY is trading in a long term bullish trend.
After an extended correction, the market resumed growth
and set a new higher high higher close on a daily, violating a key horizontal resistance.
We can expect a bullish trend continuation.
Next resistance - 112.5
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EURJPY: Very Bullish Sentiment 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY is trading in a bullish trend on a daily.
After the price set the last high, the market started a correctional
movement within a bullish flag formation.
The resistance of the flag was broken yesterday with a strong bullish imbalance.
We can anticipate a bullish trend continuation now.
Goals: 161.44 / 162.5
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