Japaneseyen
USDJPY Bottom of Bullish Megaphone. Long-term buy.USDJPY is on the MA200 (1d) on top of the Rising Support Zone.
That is the bottom layer of the long term Bullish Megaphone pattern, a very strong rebound range.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price and as long as the price stays on the Support Zone.
Targets:
1. 151.980 (Resistance 1, the previous High).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has formed a Double Bottom exactly on the oversold 30.00 level. An additional strong buy signal.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
CADJPY Confirmed buy signalThe CADJPY pair has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up since the March 2020 market bottom. The recent rejection on the 1.5 Fibonacci level back to the 0.5 show it test and hold an important Support, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has only broken once in 3 years (since November 2020) and that was during last year's inflation crisis.
As long as it holds, it is a strong buy opportunity and evidence for that is the 1W RSI which has printed the same pattern (Channel Down break into a rebound) as the September 26 2022 and August 16 2021 lows. Both initiated rebounds that hit their prior Resistance levels.
As a result, we are taking this opportunity to buy and target the previous Resistance (from the September 25 High) at 111.000.
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EURJPY: Buy opportunity at the bottom of the Channel Up.EURJPY has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.011, MACD = -1.000, ADX = 41.208) as it held the 1D MA200 but remains restrained under the 1D MA50. This rebound however looks very much like the August 2nd 2022 1D MA200 rebound, which after it crossed over the 1D MA50, rallied to the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. A 1D MACD Bullish Cross will confirm this signal and we turn bullish targeting under the 1.236 and the top of the Channel Up (TP = 168.000).
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USDJPY: Growth Continues 🇺🇸🇯🇵
We have spotted earlier a bearish trap on USDJPY.
As I predicted, the price nicely recovered.
We see one more bullish pattern now.
The pair formed an ascending triangle formation on a 4H time frame
and successfully violated its horizontal neckline.
The growth will most likely continue.
Goals will be: 144.0 / 144.7
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GBPJPY Strong rally if the MA50 (1d) breaks.GBPJPY is trading inside a Bullish Megaphone pattern with the price testing now for the 2nd time the MA50 (1d).
This test is coming only 3 days after the price hit the bottom of the Megaphone.
The previous bottom formations have been very similar to the current pattern.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy when the pair closes a (1d) candle above the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 190.000 (Fibonacci 1.236 extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has made a Double Bottom formation over the oversold level of 30.00.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
USDJPY: Detailed Structure Analysis 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY went up as I predicted.
Here are the important key structures to watch.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Falling trend line
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 140.9 - 141.9 area
Support 2: 137.2 - 138.1 area
Resistance 1: 146.2 - 146.8 area
Resistance 2: 148.2 - 148.6 area
Resistance 3: 149.6 - 150.4 area
Resistance 4: 151.7 - 152.0 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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CHFJPY Breaking above the 1D MA50 and confirming the buy.The CHFJPY pair hit our 169.100 bullish target, after the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) held, as presented on our November 06 call (see chart below):
The current Bullish Megaphone that it has been trading in, has been very consistent. The recent Higher Low was made on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level such as the October 03. That was the first buy signal but now that the price is breaking above the 1D MA50 (needs to also close the candle above), we have the confirmation. On top of that, the 1D MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross.
The previous Higher High was priced exactly on the -0.236 Fibonacci extension so as a result we will target the new -0.236 Fib at 172.500.
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🔥 USD/JPY : First Long , Then SHORT ? (Read The Caption)By checking the chart of USDJPY , we can see that the price has fallen by more than 800 pips since the last analysis until now, and the final return has reached more than 1000 pips! As you can see, the price is currently gathering the necessary strength to grow again up to 144,700 to fill the liquidity void caused by this drop! The main point of view is still bearish, but with the right trigger, you can follow it with a corrective movement to the top! The important supply zone is in the range of 144,700 to 146,700!
Please share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me and support us with your likes and comments.
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDJPY The 4hour MA50 is the sell signal you wantUSDJPY is trading inside a Falling Megaphone pattern.
Every 4hour MA50 test since Nov 16th has been a sell signal, with the price action producing 5 so far.
Sell on the next near test. Target the dashed line at 140.000, which is also near the 1 year Rising Support.
Previous chart:
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AUDJPY Our trading plan on this Channel Up.The AUDJPY pair gave us the pull-back we wanted last time (November 03) and delivered a buy opportunity that hit our 97.675 target (see chart below):
The price has since pull-back and rebounded just before testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Even though it is still restrained below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), as long as the 1D MA200 holds, we expect this sequence to be the new bullish leg of the Channel Up, similar to the post July 28 bottom. The Higher High that followed, peaked just above the 1.136 Fibonacci extension level and as a result, our current target is 99.300.
If however the price breaks and closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA200, we will take the loss and attempt to cover it by shorting towards 91.800 (Support 1).
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USDJPY: Your Trading Plan For Next Week Explained 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY is closed on a key horizontal daily support.
The price formed an ascending triangle formation on that on a 4H.
142.47 is the neckline of the pattern.
IF the price breaks and closes above that on a 4H,
it will signify the strength of the buyers and highly probable bullish continuation.
A bullish movement will be anticipated to 144.0 level then.
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EURJPY: Bearish Forecast Explained 🇪🇺🇯🇵
After a test of a confluence zone based on a daily horizontal resistance and 318 retracement of the major bearish impulse, EURJPY dropped and violated a support line of a rising wedge pattern on an hourly time frame.
It is an important bearish confirmation.
We may see a bearish movement to 156.2 / 155.5 soon.
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EURJPY Rebounding on the 1D MA200.The EURJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the March 07 2022 Low and only last Thursday hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and is rebounding. At the same time the 1D RSI got oversold (below the 30.00) and is also rebounding. The last 1D MA200 rebound that turned into a Higher High for the Channel was on August 02 and peaked on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
We will use a double entry approach and open the first buy lot now and if we drop lower, use the second lot at the bottom of the Channel Up. In both cases the target is 168.000, slightly below the 1.382 Fib and top of the Channel Up.
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USD/JPY: Bullish Momentum Continues Amidst Shifting Market USD/JPY: Bullish Momentum Continues Amidst Shifting Market Sentiments
In the early European session, the Japanese Yen remains on a downward trajectory against the USD, as investors recalibrate their expectations regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policy stance. The prevailing risk-on environment, coupled with the USD's renewed strength, contributes to the ongoing decline of the safe-haven JPY. Additionally, the positive momentum for the USD is fueled by a recent CPI report and a rebound from the Fair Value Gap (FVG) liquidity-taking area, setting the stage for a bullish rally.
Technical Analysis and Bullish Momentum:
The USD/JPY price, after extracting liquidity from the FVG Fair Value Gap between the 144.500 and 142.500 areas, experienced a robust rebound, sustaining its bullish rally. The USD's renewed strength, amplified by a positive CPI report, played a crucial role in reversing the JPY's downward pressure, leading to a solid recovery. The price remains positioned above the 200 SMA and within a bullish channel, indicating a positive trend. The analysis signals a potential continuation of the upward momentum, with targets set at the 78.60% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent swing high and low.
Market Drivers and Catalysts:
The prevailing risk-on sentiment, coupled with the optimistic market outlook, contributes to the JPY's decline against the USD. Investors are adjusting their expectations for the BoJ's policy stance, aligning with the broader market sentiments. The USD gains additional traction, supported by positive economic indicators, including a recent CPI report, further reinforcing the bullish narrative.
Conclusion:
As USD/JPY maintains its upward trajectory, fueled by shifting market sentiments and positive economic indicators, traders are eyeing a potential continuation of the bullish momentum. The technical analysis supports a long position, with Fibonacci retracement levels serving as key targets. However, market participants should remain vigilant, considering potential reversals and external factors that may impact the currency pair's dynamics.
Our preference
Long positions targets at 149.75 & 150.75 in extension.
GBPJPY: Strong 1D MA200 buy opportunity.GBPJPY remains bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 34.266, MACD = -0.180, ADX = 42.349) despite today's rebound following yesterday's bottom near the S1 level. The key here is that this bottom was made very close to the 1D MA200, which hasn't been crossed since April 6th. The 1D RSI almost got oversold for a moment (near 30.000) yesterday, so all indicators point towards a rebound. We are bullish, targeting 188.00. If we get a 1D candle closing over the R1 level (188.660), we will rebuy and aim foe the HH trendline (TP = 190.000).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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USDJPY: Bottom of Channel Up. Time to decide.USDJPY is trading inside a Channel Up since the start of the year, with the 1D technical outlook just turning red (RSI = 40.803, MACD = -0.760, ADX = 32.756) as the price reached its bottom under the 1D MA100. The 1D RSI shows a rounded bottom, as it did on March 24th, so it is an optimal level to buy and target the R1 level (TP = 152.000).
Since though the November 13th top and rejection happaned on that R1 level itself, it is not impossible to see the Channel Up finally break and start a long term correction. Consequently if the price crosses under the dotted trendline, we will target the 1D MA200 initially (TP1 = 143.050) and following a relief rebound, eventually aim for the S1 level (TP2 = 138.085).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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GBPJPY Cyclical sell opportunityIt's been quite long since we had a short-term trade (see chart below) on the GBPJPY pair:
This time we found an excellent long-term sell opportunity on the 1W time-frame. As you can see it is cyclical in nature having emerged by the rejection of the price on the Higher Highs trend-line of the 4-month Ascending Triangle.
The cyclical characterization stems from the comparison with the October 18 2021 rejection on a similar Ascending Triangle Higher High trend-line. The whole structure of the two fractals looks very much alike as they both started off with an aggressive expansion phase that led to the Triangle. The Higher High rejection then, led to a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) test. We are aiming for that same 1W MA50 test, expecting it to make contact with the bottom of the Ascending Triangle at 178.500.
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