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Jhqdx

JHQDX has an uphill climb to close at the Call JHQDX Jan Roll was predicted well ahead of this idea, but I used some chartArt to emphasize it's predictive capabilities. Quants on fintwit still reject my claims. if Modelling 1-6 months out down to the strike and day wasn't enough. Or predicting the bottom with a price target. For April Roll my indicators are telling me the Call is a to heavy to climb in only 4 days so I'm going to have to predict we find a path to the more neutral area of Zero Gamma of 4050 which also happened back in July 2022.
SP:SPX
by SPYvsGME
3
Do you want to know what it is?Do you want to know what it is? *nod* The Flow is everywhere. It is all around us Even now in this very post You can see it when you look in your account Or when you turn on your Favorite stream You can feel it when you trade When you go to the casino When you pay your taxes It is the wool that has been pulled over your eyes to blind you from the truth What truth? That you are a slave, like everyone you were born into Debt, a prison you cannot smell or taste or touch. A prison for your PnL Unfortunately, no one can be Told what the Flow is. You have to trade it for yourself. ———————— Jan 13
SP:SPX
by SPYvsGME
10
Hedged Equity UpdateI wrote this script to track 3 hedged equity funds. I've been following these funds for nearly 2 years now. This is the first time in 2022 that I have seen the funds positions line up in positive gamma. All of 2022 the hedged equity funds were aligned in negative gamma and sold off into expiration. Except when dealer Gamma exposures is positive or short squeezed by other large market funds / orders. Most notable was strength from this positioning shortly after SLR restrictions were loosened for the pandemic. March - June 2020 Expect Shiny and Don to be supportive flows. Buying dips and selling tops. While Tiny provides fuel for short squeezes. Range for expiry is 4300 high and 3838 low. Likely pin into OpEX this month is 4069 and if TSLA gets itself together 420 on spy by the end of the month. As for the smaller hedged equity fund positions. Tiny just reset at the end of Nov. Short 4320 Call Long 3855 Put Short 3250 Put Shiny is chilling at delta accumulation in positive (supportive) gamma.
SP:SPXLong
by SPYvsGME
12
Bear Rally has ArrivedI know everyone has been waiting on a bear rally and I'm seeing a bunch of signals pointing to this being the breakout for one. Both bulls and bears got shaken one way then the next last week. This weeks update on the market index hedges is forecasting a rally into the end of October. JHEQX Playbook. After reset JHEQX provided firm support at its zero gamma range. It almost seemed unnatural the past few trading days. JHEQX shows us after reset there is support there is typically a break at reset or rally. Last 2 resets Same structure repeating. Looking back at the crash of 2020, it occurred during JHQTX window of weakness and flipped the big hedge JHEQX into negative gamma and right through JHEQX WOW into OPEX Quad Witching. JHQDX Playbook This is about the time JHQDX and its 14k contracts make a run out of the money. Since this a long put position, dealers are short futures. This plays right into October 31 Corp. Buyback blackout periods are reducing. If earnings aren’t to bad this week. We could see a run up to 3900 by Oct 31. Update on Indicator. I’m currently working on solving the issues with implied volatility. It’s a complicated problem without having options quote and historical prices for options. In the mean time I will keep publishing updates on the equity hedges. Not Financial Advice As always, these hedging theories are just that, theories. They usually take weeks to confirm and play out so keep that in mind. China is holding back GDP numbers and there could be land mines all throughout earnings. If you use any of my publications for trading. Have stops. Don't trade 0DTE unless you are gambling. There are plenty of tail risks and markets will continue to move 1 step forward and 2 steps back until some sense of normality in bonds and commodities is achieved.
SP:SPXLong
by SPYvsGME
16