JNJ
JNJ presenting a BUY LEVELNYSE:JNJ
The Conservative Stop offers less exposition and a great Risk/Reward Ratio of 5 at the risk of being too tight .While the wide stop offers much more room for the trade at the expense of a lesser Risk/Reward Ratio around 3.5 .
Whatever your style ,trading is a game of probabilities and the bulk of the profit if not all the significant profit is realised on a long serie of trades and not solely on a single trade . Results of any Individual trade shrink to insignificance when compared to the sum total of the long serie of trades . At the same time it is important to stick each time to your edge on the market in order to profit on the long term .
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JNJ BO W4 running flat; ext W5 of V ends in 2023 bef recessionIn the bigger picture in this weekly chart, JNJ BO of the big multi-year red upchannel & retested it several times in 2021 when JNJ was making wave 4 of V which is a running flat consolidation lasting the whole of 2021 bottoming in 29 Nov2021.
Notice that the bigger wave IV is an expanded flat (megaphone pattern) bottoming in covid low. Now it has completed wave 4 of V & has successfully broke out of this wave 4 running flat consolidation breaking the 174 resistance. First attempt was in August of 2021, a false BO (bulltrap) before it crash down to complete wave 4 & also again retest the big red upper upchannel for the 5th time. (It was retested a total of 7 times)
The whole wave V was pretty much in the form of an upchannel. JNJ now doing the final wave 5 of V. This looks like an extended wave 5 which will end sometime in 2023 before recession.
JNJ belongs to XLP staples group & has recently been outperforming SPX as it is a defensive stock in times of market uncertainty.
Not trading advice
$JNJ to make new ATH's$JNJ looks primed and ready to make new all-time highs this week. JNJ is in an ascending channel and based on RSI staying above 50 combined with MACD building and not near its relative "max" (about 4.44), this stock looks like it has legs. I think it is about to break through resistance relatively easily.
With this risky, volatile, day-to-day market, healthcare will be one of the sectors to hide out in and have relative stability and more potential for upside. A good defensive place to be that can be a lucrative trade/investment. JNJ is the best-in-breed, blue-chip with a solid diversified portfolio and potential for capital appreciation alongside a 2.40% dividend yield.
Healthcare is going to be a killer sector to be in if you have about a 5-year time horizon. During tightening cycles, tech, energy, and utilities do well, but I do see healthcare being one of the need-to-be in sectors going forward.
Johnson and Johnson at Key Resistance? Johnson and Johnson - Short Term - We look to Sell at 176.93 (stop at 178.95)
Previous resistance located at 176.00. We look to sell rallies. This provides an excellent risk/reward opportunity to fade the current bullish move. Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Our profit targets will be 172.09 and 168.20
Resistance: 176.00 / 180.00 / 200.00
Support: 170.00 / 165.00 / 155.00
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Johnson and Johnson loosing ground. JNJImmediate targets at 165, 156, 149. Invalidation at 194.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
INVERSE $MRNA breaking out!Massively bearish setup on MRNA. Whether we get one more deadcat, I do not know, but this thing is going to 170/180 area and could be as soon as next week. $125 is my final target. The amount of downside risk in MRNA is absolutely staggering. This is basically a $50-70 stock without the covid premium.
711 - Desperados: Momentum/Trend Cloud @ 7 - 12% correction to well over 23% on Trend... extremes.
Notice how Momentum has fallen below Trend.
A Picture of health or dysfunction.
IV
AAPL @ 61%
TSLA @ 63%
NVDA @ 77%
AMD @ 88%
and Beacon of Safety PFE @ 85%
Baba is now 90%
Pfizer is extreme as is Baba.
These are all later stage readings for Implied VX.
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All signs of a Shorter Term process of carving out a High prior
to the Ice Bucket challenge from the Federal Reserve.
Johnson & Johnson | Fundamental Analysis | LONG SETUP ⚡️For much of the previous decade, the stock of diversified healthcare behemoth Johnson & Johnson has consistently delivered market returns (if you count dividends as part of total return on equity). Investors flocked to this company because of its solid balance sheet, its status as a dividend aristocrat, and its unique ability to consistently bring new blockbuster pharmaceutical products to market in a timely manner.
Since the beginning of this decade, however, J&J stock has largely underperformed the broader markets. The stock has lost its luster recently because of the baby powder litigation, the lack of enthusiasm among investors for the $30 billion acquisition of Actelion, the maker of pulmonary arterial hypertension drugs, its high valuation, and the relatively low sales of its COVID-19 vaccine.
Will J&J stock be able to return to its previous market successes or should investors move to a more favorable environment? Here's a look at both sides of the question.
1. J&J may be one of the top stocks in healthcare today, but this $444 billion titan is about to undergo some major changes that could lead to a decline in its performance.
According to a Nov. 12 announcement, the company plans to split into two businesses over the next 24 months. One of the new businesses will focus on consumer health products and the other on the development and commercialization of pharmaceuticals and medical devices. The transition will be one of the largest in the company's 135-year history, and it will entail reshuffles in all areas, including senior management.
This means that serious risks loom on the horizon that shareholders have not yet had to deal with. Splitting the business in two may turn out for the best, but it's important to remember that things haven't been going in the right direction for some time. Over the past five years, quarterly revenue has grown by only 28.9 percent, while quarterly profit margins have fallen by 25.4 percent. Similarly, quarterly net income is down 3.85% and quarterly free cash flow (FCF) is down more than 19% over the same period. There is no guarantee that the separation will solve these problems.
In addition to the uncertainties associated with the separation, the company also faces new hurdles regarding revenue from the coronavirus vaccine, which is expected to bring in $2.5 billion in 2021. On Dec. 16, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention issued a recommendation that the company's vaccine should not be used if vaccines from competitors such as Pfizer are available. The recommendation comes amid ongoing concerns about the J&J vaccine's poor efficacy and its ability to cause rare and life-threatening complications in some people.
Therefore, this is a particularly risky time to invest in J&J stock. Time will tell if the company can gracefully survive its breakup.
2. Wall Street has not been particularly receptive to J&J's proposed separation and for good reason. After all, the company's health care division contains several iconic brands, such as Benadryl and Tylenol, which are proven cash cows. Wall Street's fears about this separation, however, may have been exaggerated. As evidence, Pfizer recently went through a slimming process, separating its legacy products business without any adverse consequences.
And J&J, for its part, seems more than capable of pulling off the same maneuver without any major hitches. This is evidenced by a wide range of fast-growing pharmaceutical products, such as the multiple myeloma drug Darzalex, the immune-mediated inflammatory disease drug Stelara, and the plaque psoriasis drug Tremfya.
It was these three key products that drove the company's pharmaceutical segment in the third quarter of 2021, up 13.8% from a year ago, excluding acquisitions and sales. Moreover, J&J is one of the best in the business at launching new pharmaceutical products for areas with large unmet medical needs.
In fact, this separation should allow the company's pharmaceutical division to shine from a top-line perspective. And that's a big plus for growth-oriented investors.
Income investors may be concerned about the potential impact on the company's much-desired dividend. Fortunately, J&J management has already said that future dividend payments should remain about the same as the current quarterly distribution after the split.
Overall, J&J stock seems poised to turn into a top play for growth and earnings after the upcoming split.
JNJ Formed a nice Double Bottom patternHi everyone,
$JNJ formed a nice Double Bottom pattern on Daily timeframe . The price hit twice the strong support formed at around 155 price level.
It recently broke the resistance level at 167 and now it is ready to test it again as a support level.
If tested successfully it offers a really nice buy setup.
If you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
* 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗶𝗻𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗮𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘀𝗶𝘀 𝘀𝗵𝗮𝗿𝗲𝗱 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗽𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗶𝘀 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝗳𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗮𝗱𝘃𝗶𝗰𝗲 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗶𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗲𝗱𝘂𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗽𝘂𝗿𝗽𝗼𝘀𝗲 𝗼𝗻𝗹𝘆! 𝗔𝗹𝘄𝗮𝘆𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱𝘂𝗰𝘁 𝘆𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗼𝘄𝗻 𝗮𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘀𝗶𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵.
Signal buy $JNJTSI Shadow triggered a bullish crossover and candles have closed above the Filter Line. I will buy shares at the open today.
I will scale out 50% of my position when it hits 3R (11.63%) and let the rest run until price close below the 100-200 cloud/ribbon
I will not close the trade if price close below the 100-200 EMA cloud before price reaches the 3R, i will let it open until it hits the stoploss
Discounted Cash Flow valuation between $ 207 to $ 227
JNJ Potential for a move upI am a data science enthusiast and decided to share some of my models results here. My current model scans over 300 stocks and 300 etfs. It tries to predict probable moves over the next 10 trading days. JNJ has been one that has been highlighted. Think the model is on to something considering that it has had quite a move down the last few months. The model has predicted 6 for JNJ which means it is expecting a reasonable move up over the next 10 days.
I use python for all my scripting of the machine learning. If you know about sklearn it can generate a confusion matrix like below for JNJ. I have included the confusion matrix on the chart where columns are what my model predicted and the rows are what the values actually were. The values 0 to 1 are indicative of a negative return over the next 10 trading days and 2 to 7 positive moves. 0 means a are large expected down move and 7 a large expected upward move for the stock.
Also have a look at my Patreon page where I publish more ideas: www.patreon.com
ONCS - WEEKLY CHART DOUBLE BOTTOM? IS IT POSSIBLE? WILD.All,
I mean you can't tell me this isnt a textbook double bottom if this was on 5M its a buy. Crazy on a weekly chart. Would be a huge long position and wouild have to hold. Interesting. If this bottom holds here might actually buy and hold some just to see if we can get a 3-4 PT hit.
JNJ - STOCKS - 29. OCT. 2021Welcome to our Weekly V2-Trade Setup ( JNJ ) !
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4 HOUR
Bearish turnover towards main sr!
DAILY
Expecting another push to the upside..
WEEKLY
Great long entries and pa
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STOCK SETUP
BUY JNJ
ENTRY LEVEL @ 161.48
SL @ 159.16
TP @ Open
Max Risk: 0.5% - 1%!
(Remember to add a few pips to all levels - different Brokers!)
Leave us a comment or like to keep our content for free and alive.
Have a great week everyone!
ALAN
Johnson & Johnson | Fundamental Analysis | MUST READ ⚡️The world's largest health care company is about to get a little smaller. Johnson & Johnson recently told investors that it intends to spin off its consumer health products business into a separate new company.
If you've been considering these dividend-paying stocks for one reason or another, there's nothing wrong with the impending split. In fact, it makes the stock much more attractive. Here's a closer look at the company's plans so you can see why.
Johnson & Johnson is a huge conglomerate with more than a hundred separate subsidiaries divided into three operating segments: pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and consumer health. Janssen, the company's pharmaceutical business, is the largest and fastest-growing of its subsidiaries. Pharmaceutical sales growth is outpacing the diverse medical devices segment, but the company wants to keep the two segments together. That's because convincing doctors to order knee replacement devices is not that much different than convincing doctors to prescribe a new cancer treatment.
Johnson & Johnson practically created the consumer health care business more than 130 years ago, so at first, its division will seem strange. However, when the dust settles, the separation will likely benefit investors.
The consumer healthcare segment is expected to generate about $15 billion in revenues in 2021, about 7 percent more than in 2020. The as-yet-unnamed new consumer health drug company will start with 20 different brands with annual sales of more than $150 million.
The 7% growth rate that J&J expects this year in terms of underlying revenue for the consumer health segment is pretty good. Unfortunately, the comparison to 2020, when people made significantly fewer purchases, is a bit misleading.
Not surprisingly, Johnson & Johnson wants to focus on pharmaceutical sales. Over the past five years, pharmaceutical sales have grown at an impressive rate of 9.2 percent a year. Over the same period, the company's other two segments have struggled to keep moving in the right direction.
Revenue from the high-margin pharmaceutical segment also had a much stronger impact on the bottom line. In the third quarter, adjusted pre-tax income from the pharmaceutical segment was $5.7 billion. Pre-tax earnings from medical devices and consumer healthcare were $1.7 billion and $0.9 billion, respectively.
If you're interested in buying Johnson & Johnson stock before it transforms into two companies, you have plenty of time to think it through. The company plans to complete the planned spin-off in 18 to 24 months.
Shares of both new companies will initially have smaller payouts, but don't let that worry you. Dividend payments on both new shares are expected to be the same amount that shareholders will receive before the split.
At recent prices, Johnson & Johnson stock offers an attractive yield of 3.1 percent, and investors can expect much higher returns on their initial investment in the future. The company is a dividend aristocrat that has not had a single year without a payout increase since the Kennedy administration.
Johnson & Johnson's dividend program stands on such a solid foundation that steady increases in the coming years should not be a problem. Over the past 12 months, the company has used just 42% of the free cash flow generated by operations to pay dividends.
It should be noted that these dividend-paying medical company stocks may not be suitable for every investor, especially those who are willing to take high risks in exchange for the chance to make huge profits. While it is unlikely that Johnson & Johnson will far outperform the broad market, investors can reasonably expect two steadily increasing dividend payments for years to come.
Johnson & Johnson | Fundamental Analysis | Must Read...Johnson & Johnson is a leader in several areas of pharmaceutical research, including oncology and immunologic diseases. The company's portfolio of drugs in these two areas brings in billions of dollars in revenue each quarter. The company is currently seeking to strengthen its market share in COVID-19 vaccines.
This year, Johnson & Johnson anticipates generating $2.5 billion from sales of its COVID-19 vaccine, well below the $33.5 billion and $20 billion, respectively, expected by Pfizer and Moderna. Fortuitously, some up-to-date developments favor Johnson & Johnson's ambitions in this profitable market.
Most COVID vaccines currently available in the U.S. are given to patients in two doses about a month apart. J&J's vaccine is injected in only one dose. Based on real-world data and Phase 3 clinical trials, the company is sure that a single dose of its vaccine is 75% effective against severe cases of COVID for at least 28 days after vaccination.
This efficacy compares disadvantageously with the effectiveness of vaccines marketed by Pfizer and Moderna, as well as a vaccine developed by Novavax, which has not yet received emergency use authorization (EUA) in the United States. All three vaccines have proven at least 90% effective in preventing COVID in clinical trials.
Nevertheless, Johnson & Johnson recently revealed data showing that a booster dose (or second dose) of the vaccine, given two months after the first dose, improves its effectiveness to 94% against the onset of severe COVID. On Oct. 5, the company applied for EUA approval from the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to administer a second dose of the vaccine.
Then, on Oct. 15, a panel convened by the FDA voted unanimously for the agency to issue the company an EUA approval. The last wek, the FDA granted the company this long-awaited approval.
In addition to getting the green light a little later than some of its competitors, Johnson & Johnson's COVID vaccine faced several obstacles. In mid-April, health authorities decided to suspend the distribution of the vaccine after it was suspected of causing blood clots in some patients (the original EUA approval was granted in late February).
Regulators canceled that suspension about a week and a half later, arguing that the known benefits outweighed the known risks and requiring a new warning on the vaccine label going forward. Indeed, six patients out of more than 6.8 million vaccinated were known to have been affected by this adverse event. This episode is now left behind, but since the pandemic is not yet over, mainly because of the more dangerous delta variant of the virus, the need for vaccines remains.
Since the second dose of the J&J vaccine seems to increase its effectiveness, this can only have a positive effect on its sales. This is especially true given that the FDA has not placed any health-related (or similar) restrictions on who can get a second dose of the vaccine from Johnson & Johnson. But here's the catch: the company has pledged not to profit from the product for the duration of the pandemic. In other words, boosted sales of vaccines will have no meaningful impact on the bottom line in the short term.
In the future, the company may profit from its vaccine when the pandemic fades and if COVID becomes a seasonal disease like the flu, as some predict. But even then, given how competitive this market is, the J&J vaccine will have only a very moderate influence on a company that typically makes more than $10 billion in profits a year.
In other words, investing in Johnson & Johnson because of its COVID vaccine is not a good idea. Luckily, there are plenty of other reasons for that. Consider the company's diversified operations. Its pharmaceutical business, the largest by revenue, includes quite a few blockbuster products whose sales continue to grow.
Here are a few of them: in the third quarter (ended Sept. 30), revenue from the immunosuppressant Stelara was $2.4 billion, up 22.2% from the previous quarter. Oncology drug Darzalex increased its sales 43.7% year over year to $1.6 billion. This is just the tip of the iceberg for the company, with several dozen late-stage programs in development.
Expanding its product line and approving new drugs is commonplace at Johnson & Johnson. Its consumer health products segment sells over-the-counter products with broad appeal, including Listerine, Neutrogena, Aveeno, and Tylenol. The company's medical device business adds to its revenue base.
Here's another reason to invest in this company: the company has increased its dividend every year for more than 50 consecutive years, making it the Dividend King.
The company currently has a yield of 2.53%, higher than the S&P 500 Index's 1.38%, and maintains a conservative cash payout ratio of 47%. That makes it engaging to income-seeking investors. In other words, Johnson & Johnson may not be the best stock to buy the COVID vaccine, but it remains a solid pharmaceutical company to invest in.