JNUG
Jnug to gold Well I havnt done gold for a while now but it appears to me that a nice setup to go long is presenting itself. This ICL has been stretched but that just makes me more confident that I have a safe Jnug play here. I am not about to try to guess what kind of wave count we are in. However, If we have started our move down into the larger C wave then this move up could look like what I drew. However, It could also be the beginning of the end of the B wave which would take us higher than I drew. I will be just fine with a move back up to the 1300 range before reassessing the pattern. Jnug will do well. but I will be watching its movement along with gold to get a feel for how powerful this move will be.
Jnug chart
Gold Mercury Retrograde and Friday Blood RED MoonThe uncertainty surrounding the ongoing trade war between the US and China has been driving the price of gold lower, instead of higher, as would normally be the case in times of heightened geopolitical risk. This is due to the close correlation between gold and the Chinese yuan which has remained firm in recent months. The Chinese government has allowed the Chinese currency to weaken in order to offset the drag on Chinese growth caused by US tariffs on billions of dollars worth of goods. Furthermore, mounting signs of a renewed round of monetary easing has also been weighing on the currency. Especially following Monday’s announcement of tax cuts and infrastructure projects and after the PBoC on Wednesday said that a capital requirement for some banks would be eased in order to support lending.
From their recent respective peaks back in April, the yuan is down by 8% while gold has lost 9.3%. Most of the relatively worse performance seen in gold has occurred during the past week as the market prepares for what is expected to be a very strong US Q2 growth number on Friday.
Gold has once again managed to find support ahead of $1,200/oz, an area which has provided support in the past and which represents a 50% retracement of the $329/oz rally seen between December 2015 and July 2016. For this level to hold, however, it is clear that the dollar appreciation needs to pause or reverse, especially against the yuan as highlighted above.
In the week to July 17, gold’s continued slump to a one-year low helped trigger another spate of heavy short-selling by funds. The net-short reached 22,000 lots, just shy of the 24,000 lots record seen in December 2015. Back then this bearish view was reached just before the first US rate hike signalled a low point from where gold rallied strongly. The current gross-short of 132,000 lots has never been seen bigger and it has left gold in a much better position to react to price-friendly news.
Gold Unprecedented Volume Spike - $1.7 BillionOver 82 million shares were traded in the triple leverage gold stock ETF (NUGT) on July 17, 76 million in 40 minutes, which is about $1.7 billion worth.
This is triple the previous record of 27 million on December 15th, 2016, after which NUGT doubled in two months.
Long?
Silver/Gold Triple Three Pattern? HelpSpent a silly amount of time on this. Every Combo pattern seemed off until I came across this one.
Wanted to focus only on Elliot Wave Theory. I'm trying to learn more about combination structures WXY and would welcome an expert opinion if any have one.
There's some sort of double corrective structure going on here in Silver, I can just smell it. But can't put my finger on it.
I'm reaching far out on this one so it could easily get invalidated, but it corresponds nicely to what I was originally thinking would play out in Gold/Silver over the next year. It took me a very long time before I realized that we might only be half-way through this corrective period, and this is the only structure that fits given that we only have half the price action to speculate off of.
Just throwing a stray metals post out into the ether of bitcoin posts.
This is the link to the idea:
www.google.com
Gold - approaching decision phase slowlyBlue box will be deciding factor for Gold in long run. I don't think this recession Gold is going to go up, unless it breaks the trend. In the last 3 recessions (1990, 2001, 2008-9) only the 2001 recession saw a gold rise, and even that was not too impressive. On a longer time span, there have been only 4 instances in the last 100 years where gold rose prominently and would have been a great investment.
Watch for blue trend lines. Longer trend lines in red. 2018 year end to 2019 first quarter would be deciding factor for new trend of Gold.
The tale of Gold & Silver ratioJust buy physical Silver here, and close your chart.
Come back in 5 years and flip your silver to gold. Repeat that process by flipping back to gold once the ratio hits 80 again,
I'snt it easy? You've just found yourself a trading strategy for the rest of your lives.
You dont have to trade a lot to achieve the same returns as the actively managed funds out there.
That's all.
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Yes, I'm not even mentioning
the endless fiat that ECB, FED, BOJ could print on the next crisis.
the absurd amount of M1 money supply out there today versus gold price historically
for political risk (mainly China versus the USA)
the depleting supplies of silver versus exponential increasing demand from tech
speculative demand when those of the above happens, and none of the retail investor are even interested in silver or gold today!! Look at the sales of US mint, absolutely cratered
massive shorts by JPMorgan unwinding
why store your funds in banks knowing that they're insolvent?
why store it there when they're paying near negative interest rate which cannot even keep up with inflation?
why store it knowing that they're lending it from you for absolutely free, and lending it out to credit card gamblers at 30% interest annually
Cryptocurrencies like bitcoin, and gold, silver are of the same asset that's outside the financial system.
They're a short against tyrants in power.
GDX Miners CautionHere's my 2 cents on the miners. Based on the last 7 months or so, it looks like we had 2 cycles and are currently in a 3rd. They range about 109-137 days. In each of these waves you can see three minor waves. If we are currently in the 3rd wave of the 3rd cycle then I would expect it to be LT and drop fairly soon. It shouldn't take out the highs of April unless there is a new trend higher happening? The peaks at "1" have each been lower than the previous, where the lows have all been about the same. I'm really not sure what to make of all this, just sharing...........