dxy daily chart U.S. Dollar Rallies as Biden Nominates Powell as Fed Chair
Investing.com — The US Dollar Index has rallied Monday after U.S. President Joe Biden formally announced he will nominate Jerome Powell to serve as the chairman of the Federal Reserve for a second term.
Powell is set to end his current four-year term in February, and there was much speculation about who Biden would nominate before today's announcement.
Biden will also nominate Lael Brainard, the other candidate for the top job, as vice-chair.
The DXY hit a high of 96.239 in reaction to the news, with the EUR/USD falling as low as 1.1236 and XAU/USD seeing the strongest move, dropping around $28.
The dollar's strength is a reaction to the continuity that Powell will provide; however, there is also the fact that many considered Brainard to be even more dovish than the current Fed chair.
JOE
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Phan tich EURCHF Ngay 27/08/2020+ Khung W1: xu huong giam, hien gia dang sideway tich luy trong vung (1.07116 - 1.08502), gia sideway sau khi dieu chinh boi xu huong giam manh truoc do, gia phan ung vung Fibo 0,236 nhung chua pha duoc cho thay luc ban van con manh, tuy nhien luc nen hien tai cho su kim nen manh, lien tiep la nhung cay pinbar va doji , co the thay gia se som co huong di manh ve mot phia. Hien nen tuan van nam duoi duong trendline giam chua the pha len nen lien tuc tao ra nhung cay nen fakey. Duong EMA 21 va MA 50 di ngang do dang sideway manh, RSI cung khong co xu huong ro rang khi o khu vuc 55
+ Khung D1: Xu huong tang, hien gia dang tich cuc sideway tich luy, su dao dong nay da trai qua 27 ngay nhung van chua co su buc pha. Ngoai ra gia dang chay trong mot kenh gia tang khong ro rang.
- EMA 21 va MA 50 cung di ngang sideway
- RSI D1 cung cho thay su sideway nhu bieu do gia.
+ Khung H4: Gia lien tuc sideway nhu khung D1,
chung ta co the lien tuong den mot dam rung o day, gia sideway rat du doi. Viec chung ta o day chi can doi gia thuc su pha khoi vung bien duoi 1.07121 hoac vung bien tren 1.08492 moi co the giao dich
- EMA 21 va MA 50 hien dang cat nhau di xuong, nhung do sideway manh nen thuc su rat kho tin duoc o thoi diem nay
- RSI cung khong khac gi bieu do gia, RSI vo nghia o day, duy chi co dieu day tam cua RSI ngay cang cao nhung dieu nay van rat kho doan gia se di ve dau.
Plan:
1. Green: buy khi gia pha qua vung gia 1.08486 sau do retest lai co tin hieu buy, TP 1.09162 ; SL 1.07915
2. Yellow: Gia co the tiep tuc di sideway giua vung can 1.07123 - 1.07915, ta nen dung ngoai vi do bien dong kho luong khi gia di sideway nhu hien tai
3. Red: Sell khi gia pha qua vung gia 1.07123 va retest lai cho tin hieu sell; TP 1.06013 ; SL khoang 1.07373
Phan tich EURGBP Ngay 25/08/2020+ Khung W1: xu huong tang, hien gia dang sideway tich luy trong vung (0.89456 - 0.90695), gia sideway sau khi dieu chinh boi xu huong tang manh truoc do, gia phan ung khu vuc quanh vung 0.618 cho thay luc mua khong con manh nhu truoc. Dinh RSI cung giam dan cho thay xu huong tang co phan yeu the hon truoc. Duong MA 50 di ngang the hien sideway, EMA 21 huong len nhung khong qua doc.
+ Khung D1: Gia dang dao dong sideway tich luy trong vung (0.89368 - 0.91769), hien tai gia da qua xuong kenh gia tang va dang di chuyen sideway chua cho xu huong ro nao, nen hien tai dang di chuyen trong nen insidebar giam truoc do
- EMA 21 va MA 50 cung di ngang sideway
- RSI D1 cung cho thay su sideway nhu bieu do gia.
+ Khung H4: xu huong hien tai van dang sideway voi bien do rong trong vung (0.89442 - 0.90700)
- Ta thay H4 dang chay trong kenh gia giam tuy nhien do chu yeu sideway nen kenh gia nay khong qua manh, gia hien tai dang co cum di chuyen trong mot vung tam giac de cho su buc pha cho xu huong tiep theo
- EMA 21 va MA 50 van dang di ngang do sideway
- RSI hinh thanh kenh gia giam tuy nhien no cho dau hieu som cua su pha khoi kenh gia RSI va cho 1 xu huong tang tiem nang.
Plan:
1. Green: buy khi gia pha qua vung gia 0.91763 sau do retest lai co tin hieu buy (ngoai ra gia cung quay tro lai kenh gia tang va hop luu voi duong kenh gia duoi) , TP 0.92647 ; SL 0.91037
2. Blue: Buy khi gia pha qua kenh gia tren cua kenh gia giam va vung can 0.90695 sau do retest lai tao tin hieu , TP khoang 0.91578 ; SL 0.89968
3. Yellow: Gia co the sideway giua vung gia 0.89696 va duong kenh gia tren cua kenh gia giam tao thanh tam giac hoac cai nem giam. Neu dung ke hoach thi ta co the co 2 truong hop
- Buy khi gia pha len vung tam giac ; TP 0.90689 ; SL o 0.89355
- Sell neu gia pha xuong vung tam giac; TP o 0.86767 va SL o 0.90488
4. Red: Sell khi gia pha qua vung gia 0.89375 va kenh gia duoi cua kenh gia giam sau do retest lai; TP 0.86767 ; SL khoang 0.89666
Phan tich CHFJPY Ngay 21/08/2020+ Khung W1: dang xu huong tang, nen tang lien tiep nhieu tuan, 2 duong MA huong len, RSI gan vung qua mua nen nen dang co su dieu chinh
+ Khung D1: gia dang giam dieu chinh sau da tang manh, gia dang dao dong tich luy trong vung (115.448 – 116.917). Ngoai ra gia con dang di chuyen trong kenh gia voi goc hon 30 do cho xu huong tang manh, day la xu huong vung ben.
- EMA 21 va MA 50 cung huong len voi do doc manh, cho kha nang gia co the tang tiep tuc.
- RSI D1 cho thay su qua mua manh, cho nen gia co su dieu chinh, nhieu kha nang gia tiep tuc tang sau dot dieu chinh nay.
+ Khung H4: xu huong o H4 hien tai dang giam, gia hien dao dong trong vung 115.700 - 116.608
- O kenh gia D1 ta thay khi quan sat H4 gia co su pha ra khoi kenh gia sau do quay lai vao trong va bat dau nhung luc giam, xu huong chinh van tang tuy nhien dong thai giam nay the hien ro dan khi gia tiep tuc pha kenh gia duoi.
- EMA 21 va MA 50 cat nhau khi gia giam tuy nhien MA 50 van con thien huong tang, gia van dang sideway trong 1 vung nhat dinh nen can doi them
- RSI Cho thay gia da xuong vung qua ban sau do retest duong RSI 50 tiep tuc bat xuong cho kha nang co the gia se giam.
Plan:
1. Blue: buy khi gia pha qua trendline giam va vung can 116.924 sau do retest co tin hieu. TP 117.637 va SL 116.320
2. Green: Buy khi gia di chuyen co cum lai nhu trong 1 cai nem tang sau do pha khoi vung gia 116.462 ; SL 116.186, TP o 116.924. Sau do co the xem phan ung thi truong buy tiep o vung can nay, SL 116.733; TP o dinh cao nhat 117.637 . Sau do xem phan ung co the tiep tuc buy neu co xac nhan.
3. Yellow: Gia co the di chuyen sideway giua 2 vung gia 115.912 - 116.462, truong hop nay nen dung ngoai dam bao an toan cho gia co xu huong ro rang hon
4. Red: Sell khi gia pha qua vung can 115.454 sau do retest cho tin hieu giam; TP o vung can 114.630; SL khoang 115.897
5. Pink: Sell khi gia pha qua khoi vung can 114.113 sau do retest cho tin hieu giam; SL khoang 114.874 va TP khoang 113.156
Phan tich AUDNZD Ngay 20/08/2020+ Khung W1: xu huong chinh tang manh, luc nen tang o nhung tuan truoc the hien xung kha manh, hien tai nen dang rut rau tao thanh 1 cay pinbar voi rau tren kha dai, RSI qua mua nen su dieu chinh la hop ly
+ Khung D1: gia dang giam dieu chinh sau da tang manh, gia dang dao dong trong vung (1.09297 – 1.10442), gia dang tro lai xu huong cap 1 theo LT Down sau 1 khoang thoi gian dieu chinh. Ngoai ra gia vua pha khoi kenh gia giam o khung W1, kha nang gia co the dieu chinh ve vung dinh gan nhat
- EMA 20 nam duoi nen va dang huong len voi do doc lon, MA 50 dang huong len cho thay gia van dang co xu huong tang
- RSI D1 cho thay su qua mua manh, cho nen gia co su dieu chinh
+ Khung H4: xu huong chinh dang tang, hien gia dang dieu chinh theo khung D1
- Gia dang chay trong kenh gia tang voi goc khoang 45 do cho xu huong tang tuong doi manh, kenh gia nay la 1 kenh gia ben vung. Ta thay gia thoat ra ngoai kenh gia roi di chuyen nguoc vao kenh gia cho kha nang giam.
- EMA 20 dang di ngang vi gia dang dieu chinh va MA 50 van dang huong len the hien xu huong tang.
- RSI Cho thay su phan ky tai vung dinh gia, sau do gia da giam dieu chinh nhu hien tai
Plan:
1. Green: Buy khi gia pha qua khu vuc can 1.10306 va retest tao tin hieu ,TP khu vuc can tren dinh o day ta nen theo doi doi SL duong vi luc nen manh co the di xa, SL khoang 1.10090
2. Blue: Buy khi gia pha qua vung can 1.09820 va retest lai, hop luu trendline, TP vung can dinh 1.10439 va SL 1.09554
3. Yellow: Gia co the di sideway giua 2 vung can
1.08662 - 1.09820 sau do co the bat tang theo xu huong chinh hien tai.
4. Pink: Buy khi gia hoi test vung can dinh gan nhat o khung D1, tai day hop luu kenh gia duoi va tao tin hieu. TP 1.09694 ; SL 1.08544
5. Red: Sell khi gia pha qua kenh gia duoi va vung can 1.08662 - 1.08839 sau do retest tao tin hieu; TP 1.07837 ; SL 1.08950
Phan tich EURCAD Ngay 19/08/2020+ Khung W1: xu huong chinh tang, gia da dieu chinh ve khu vuc FIBO 0,5 sau do tang den gan dinh cu nhung khong vuot duoc va dang dieu chinh sideway giam
+ Khung D1: gia dang co xu huong giam va tich luy trong vung (1.56536 – 1.57563)
- EMA 20 dang di ngang nen chua cho thay xu huong ro rang, MA 50 dang huong len cho thay gia van dang xu huong tang truoc do
- RSI D1 cho thay cac dinh RSI giam dan cho thay gia giam dieu chinh nhu hien tai
+ Khung H4: xu huong chinh dang giam, hien gia dang dieu chinh va dang co dong thai giam theo xu huong giam khung D1
- Gia dang chay trong kenh gia tang voi goc khoang 30 do cho xu huong tang tuong doi manh, kenh gia nay la 1 kenh gia ben vung. Hien gia vua pha qua kenh gia duoi cho kha nang tiep tuc giam
- EMA 20 va MA 50 cat nhau nhau va dang co phan huong xuong nhung chung ta phai doi nen H4 dong nen moi co the xac dinh xu huong sap toi.
- RSI Cho thay su phan ky tai duong 60 nhung cung khong qua ro rang do gia dang sideway mac du chay trong kenh gia, trendline RSI cung cho thay su pha vo kenh gia cho xu huong giam dang hinh thanh manh.
Plan:
1. Green: Buy khi gia co tin hieu tai vung gia khu vuc 1.58091 hop luu voi viec pha trendline tang khung H4 va retest ,TP khu vuc can tren dinh 1.59373, SL vung gia 1.57950, Ty le RR khoang 1:3
2. Yellow: Gia co kha nang sideway giua vung can 1.56116 - 1.57565 thi ta nen dung ngoai, neu o khu vuc nay xuat hien cac mo hinh tam giac va nem ta moi xem xet doi tin hieu giao dich
3. Red: Sell khi gia pha xuong vung gia 1.55527 - 1.55821 va retest lai, TP tai vung gia 1.54424, SL 1.56180, ty le RR khoang hon 1:2.
4. Blue: Buy khi gia tu ngoai kenh gia di tro lai vao trong va test lai vung can khoang 1.57155
hop luu voi kenh gia duoi cua kenh gia tang. TP khoang 1.58091 va Sl khoang 1.56937. Ty le RR gan 1:2
5. Pink: Sell khi gia pha qua kenh gia hien tai va test lai vung can 1.56629 - 1.56886 hop luu voi kenh gia duoi vua pha cho tin hieu sell. TP o khoang gia 1.55821 , SL khoang 1.57104; ty le RR khoang gan 1:2
Phan tich EUR/AUD Ngay 18/08/2020+ Khung W1 xu huong chinh la giam, hien gia dang co su dieu chinh. O nhung tuan gan day gia lien tuc xuat hien nen pinbar tang cho thay kha nang gia co the dieu chinh xa hon ve vung FIBO 0,236
+ O khung D1, Hien tai gia dang dao dong tich luy trong vung (1.63534 - 1.65585)
- EMA 20 & MA 50 dang di ngang nen chua cho thay xu huong ro rang
- RSI D1 hien dang co su phan ky trong ngan han o duong 60 tuy nhien no khong qua tin cay khi thi truong dang sideway hien tai
+ Khung H4 dang la xu huong tang, gia dang chay trong kenh gia co goc khoang 40 do cho 1 xu huong tuong doi manh, nhin rong hon co the thay gia dang di chuyen trong mot cai nem tang. Gia da hoi test gan khu vuc FIBO 0,5 va chua pha duoc vung nay nen luc mua o H4 van con tuong doi tot.
- O H4 thi ban chat la gia di sideway bien do rong, chua co xu huong ro rang, gia da di ngay cang gan voi nem tang, cho kha nang co the but pha
- EMA 21 huong xuong & MA 50 dang di ngang nen chua cho thay xu huong ro rang
- RSI hien tai cung khong cho tin hieu nao ro rang.
Plan:
1. Green: Buy khi gia co tin hieu tai vung gia khu vuc 1.65029 hop luu voi viec pha trendline giam khung H1 va retest ,TP khu vuc can tren dinh 1.67054 - 1.67739, SL vung gia 1.64284, vi day cung la mo hinh tam giac nen SL ben duoi canh. Ty le RR khoang 1:2
2. Yellow: Gia co kha nang sideway trong mot cai nem tang sau do moi buc pha len hoac xuong.
- Buy khi gia pha len tren cai nem, TP khu vuc can tren dinh 1.67054 - 1.67739, SL vung gia 1.64284, vi day cung la mo hinh tam giac nen SL ben duoi canh. Ty le RR khoang 1:2
- Sell khi gia pha xuong cai nem, TP 1.64415, SL
1.65100 phia tren canh cai nem. Ty le RR 1:2. Sau do xem xet co the tham khao tiep plan 3
3. Red: Sell khi gia pha xuong vung gia 1.64339 - 1.64410 va retest lai, TP 1.63382 - 1.63595, SL 1.64705, ty le RR 1:2. Neu gia di dung nhan dinh, xem xet sell tiep khi gia pha khoi vung 1.63382 - 1.63595 va retest, TP 1.61020 vung can bat dau kenh gia tang, SL 1.63689, ty le RR 1:5
Phan tich GBPUSD Ngay 16/08/2020+ Khung W1 xu huong tang (Xu huong chinh lon van la giam tuy nhien luc mua da cho thay co the day la su dao chieu chu khong phai la su dieu chinh voi xu huong chinh nua)
- Quan diem cua GU dang la tang khi no lan luot break out khoi vung FIBO 0,382 cho den 0,5. Hien luc tang manh da ngung lai, 2 tuan vua qua la mot trang thai sideway tich luy, nhieu kha nang se bung no trong tuan toi.
- Hien tai gia dang dao dong trong vung SDZ cua khung tuan W1 (1.32004 - 1.30727) nen viec vung ho tro nay ngan can gia pha len khoi 2 duong kenh gia voi da tang manh truoc do la dieu de hieu.
- Hien gia dang chay trong kenh gia giam cua khung W1 nen quan diem buy van phai cho gia pha qua duoc kenh gia nay.
- EMA 20 & MA 50 dang cho thay kha nang se cat nhau va do doc len kha tot, chi bao dang cho chung ta thay tiem nang cua xu huong tang la co the xay ra
- RSI hien dang cham duong 60, day la diem thuong cho su dieu chinh ve gia khi trong vung sideway, tuy nhien voi the nen hien tai thi quan diem buy dang ro rang hon la sell.
+ Khung D1 xu huong tang, gia da pha qua vung can 1.27237 - 1.28120 va the hien quan diem tang manh. Hien tai gia dang sideway tich luy trong vung 1.30787 - 1.31875
- O khung D1 ta thay gia dang dao dong trong 2 duong kenh gia tren cua khung W1
- EMA 20 & MA 50 da giam do doc len do gia da sideway trong 2 tuan, tuy nhien 2 duong MA van dang the hien xu huong tang
- RSI tu vung qua mua tro lai vung duoi duong 70 cho thay su dieu chinh ro rang sau da tang manh cua gia, o RSI D1 thi quan diem cho viec gia co the se quay lai test vung can 1.27237 - 1.28120 truoc khi co nhung dong thai tang cao hon nua la co the xay ra
+ Khung H4 dang sideway tich luy trong 1 tam giac. Tuong quan ve nen cho thay luc ban dang manh hon luc mua. Tiep tuc cho gia buc pha khoi vung tam giac voi nhung luc buy sell manh de co the xem xet giao dich
- EMA 20 & MA 50 dang nam ngang do gia dang sideway nen chua co dau hieu buy sell ro rang o thoi diem nay.
- RSI hien tai cung khong cho qua nhieu tin hieu, no vua dieu chinh khi cham duong RSI 60 khi ma nen dang trong the sideway.
Plan:
1. Blue: Buy khi gia vuot khoi vung can 1.32004 va retest lai vung tam giac tich luy truoc do, TP vung can 1.35158 va SL o 1.29741 , ty le RR khoang hon 1:2,5
2. Yellow: Gia di chuyen sideway mot thoi gian sau do cho buy hoac sell khi gia thoat khoi tam giac voi tin hieu dep, trendbar lon, TP cho lenh sell la vung can 1.27237 - 1.28120, TP cho lenh buy la vung dinh 1.35158 . SL o 2 goc tren duoi cua tam giac. Tuy nhien neu SL nhu tren thi RR khong cao nen nhieu kha nang dung ngoai hoac luot song khung nho hon
3. Pink: Buy khi co tin hieu trenbar tang tai vung can 1.27237 - 1.28120 khi gia pha khoi tam giac quay ve vung can nay va co tin hieu, tai day co the la noi gia quay ve de tao da tang trong dai han, test ve vung can dinh gan nhat bi pha qua truoc do. SL 1.27090 va TP o 1.31875. Ty le RR khoang 1:3
Sau do neu luc tang manh co the cho tin hieu buy tiep khi gia tiep tuc pha qua vung can 1.31875
4. Red: Sell khi gia pha xuong tam giac sau do retest cho tin hieu trenbar sell, SL 1.30632, TP vung can 1.27237 - 1.28120, ty le RR khoang 1:3 . Sau do xem xet co the buy khi co tin hieu tiep tuc voi Plan 3
Phan tich USDJPY Ngay 17/08/2020+ Khung W1 xu huong chinh la giam, hien gia dang sideway tich luy, 3 tuan gan nhat la nhung cay pinbar va trendbar the hien luc mua dang manh dan len.
- Hien tai gia dang dao dong tich luy trong vung (105.710 - 107.060). Hien gia dang chay trong kenh gia tang cua D1 voi goc 40 do cho xu huong tang tuong doi manh, kha nang hinh thanh kenh gia ben vung.
+ O Khung D1, EMA 20 & MA 50 dang huong xuong chua cho thay xu huong ro rang nhung co su dieu chinh khi gia cham MA 50
- RSI D1 don gian chi cho thay su dieu chinh gia sau nhieu ngay tang lien tiep
+ Khung H4 xu huong chinh dang la tang, hien gia dang retest lai vung ho tro cung nhu vung dinh cu gan nhat sau khi gia pha qua
- Hien tai gia dang dieu chinh ve vung gia 105.710 - 106.104
- O Khung H4, EMA 20 cho mot huong xuong con MA 50 dang di ngang cho thay day kha nang chi la mot doan dieu chinh truoc khi gia bat len va di xa hon
- RSI H4 co dau hieu phan ky tren dinh cho su dieu chinh gia nhu hien tai, hien duong RSI van dang huong xuong manh, kha nang gia cham duong kenh gia duoi va hop luu vung ho tro 105.710 - 106.104 cho kha nang co the buy len.
Plan:
1. Blue: Buy khi gia co tin hieu tai vung gia 105.710 - 106.104, SL vung gia 105.652, TP vung gia 107.129 - 107.299 vi day la vung SDZ gan dinh nen gia co the phan ung lam dao chieu. Ty le RR khoang hon 1:2
2. Yellow: Gia di chuyen sideway giua kenh gia duoi va vung can 106.911 mot thoi gian co kha nang hinh thanh mot nem tang. Luc nay gia co 2 TH tang hoac giam, gia pha qua dau thi Buy sell huong do, SL theo ky thuat canh tren hoac duoi cua nem. TP lenh buy tam vung dinh xuat phat cua kenh gia giam, TP lenh sell tam khoang day thap nhat hien tai
3. Green: Buy khi gia qua pha vung can dinh 107.300 sau do gia retest lai vung can nay sau do cho tin hieu tiep tuc tang, TP dinh bat dau kenh gia giam, va Sl khu vuc gia 107.000, ty le RR khoang 1:4
4. Red: Sell khi gia pha xuong vung can 105.710 - 106.104 , pha ca kenh gia tang hien tai, sau do gia retest lai vung nay, co tin hieu sell ro rang ta thuc hien lenh sell. TP day thap nhat hien tai, SL 106.536 , ty le RR khoang 1:3
Phan tich AUDCAD Ngay 13/08/2020Xu huong chinh hien tai cua AUDCAD o khung W1 la xu huong tang, o tuan nay gia dang co xu huong giam, nhung tuan truoc do cung cho thay co luc ban day manh khien nhung cay nen W1 lien tiep co rau tren dai, chung ta nhin sang khung D1 co the thay sau da tang manh thi gia da tao mo hinh vai dau vai va pha khoi duong co voi mot cay nen giam D1 tuong doi manh, o khung D1 thi xu huong giam dang chiem uu the.
Ngoai ra, AUDCAD con dang di chuyen trong mot kenh gia giam o khung D1 the hien luc xu huong giam dang manh. Hien gia dang test ve vung ho tro D1 0.94338 – 0.94676, hop luu voi kenh gia duoi cua kenh gia khung H4, chung ta co the doi phan ung o khu vuc ho tro nay de co huong di tiep theo cho cap tien nay
Nhin qua chi bao RSI, thi hien tai nen W1 dang qua mua nen co su giam gia o day, nhung khung khac thi RSI chi dang the hien xu huong giam tuong tu voi gia khong co gi noi bat, khung H4 cho dau hieu phan ky chua thuc su ro rang nen chung ta khong tham khao RSI o thoi diem nay.
Plan chien luoc:
1. Truong hop gia giam 1 (duong mau xanh duong): Xem xet sell vung can gia 0.95458 – 0.95575 khi xuat hien tin hieu sell, ngoai ra vi tri nay co the hop luu voi kenh gia tren cua khung H4 hien tai (duong mau trang), hop luu ca viec hoi test kenh gia duoi cua kenh gia tang cu (duong mau cam) ma gia pha xuong khi tao mo hinh 3 dinh – vai dau vai, kha nang gia hoi test de co the tim mot da gia nham giam manh hon trong nhung tuan toi va TP hien tai o khoang vung can 0.94340 – 0.94666 la vung can khung D1 nen nen co the quay dau o day, SL se o vung can gia 0.95759. Ty le RR o day vao khoang gan 1:3
2. Truong hop gia tang 2 (duong mau xanh la): Xem xet buy vung can 0.94340 – 0.94666 khi gia pha len khoi duong kenh gia tren va pha vung ho tro nay sau do test lai vung can thi ta tim tin hieu buy de giao dich len, chung ta co the TP o khu vuc can gia 0.96280 – 0.96398, SL co the o tam 0.95323. Ty le RR co the dat khoang 1:3
3. Truong hop gia giam (duong mau do): Xem xet sell khi gia pha qua duong can 0.94340 sau do gia hoi test ve khu vuc can 0.94340 – 0.94666 , sau do 1 lan nua neu no co tin hieu giam xuong pha qua khoi vung day ma no vua tao thi chung ta setup 1 lenh sell , SL o khoang 0.95179 va TP co the o vung can 0.93166. Ty le RR vao khoang 1:3
4. Truong hop gia di sideway giua 2 vung can 0.94340 – 0.94666 va 0.95458 – 0.95575 (duong mau vang) thi ta co the xem xet sell theo xu huong tai khu vuc vung can 0.95458 – 0.95575 khi co tin hieu sell tuong tu nhu plan 1, tuy nhien phai can than khi gia sideway hep dan tao mo hinh nem hoac tam giac thi nen xem xet doi su pha vo xac nhan xu huong tiep theo vi hien tai gia van dang nam trong kenh gia giam cua H4 (duong mau trang)
Phan tich GBPCAD Ngay 11/08/2020Xu huong chinh hien tai cua GBPCAD la tang o khung W1, luc cua gia di khong con manh nhu nhung tuan truoc, gia giam nhe o tuan roi voi mot cay pinbar giam the hien su luong lu cua nha dau tu, de thay no vua tao ra mot cay inside bar nen gia dang di sideway, chung ta nhin sang khung D1 co the thay xu huong trong ngan han o hien tai la giam va kha nang la no dang dieu chinh voi su tich luy de co nhung buc pha moi trong cac tuan tiep theo.
Hien tai gia dang dao dong giua 2 vung gia 1.7349 – 1.7675 , o khung D1 ta thay nen tuan dang di ngang va co su giam dieu chinh ro ret, nen lien tiep nam trong vung nen cua cay truoc no, de nhin ro hon chung ta co the sang khung H4, o day chung ta lai thay rang so luong nen do chiem da so tuy nhien no lai mang mot luc giam kha rut re, dieu nay chu yeu la do anh huong boi xu huong chinh van la xu huong tang, luc nguoi mua tuy khong the hien ro nhung phan nao de lai kha nhieu dau hieu giang co giua 2 ben bang nhung cay nen pinbar co duoi dai noi tiep nhau nhung ve chu dao ta van thay nen co kha nang giam trong ngan han ve nhung vung ho tro manh o khung D1 de tim co hoi bat len va tro lai voi xu huong tang.
Ngoai ra, GBPCAD con dang di chuyen trong mot kenh gia tang o khung W1 voi goc khoang 35 do, vi vay chung ta nen xem xet gia ve vung kenh gia tren hop luu voi vung ho tro truoc do khu vuc 1.7122 – 1.7204 de xem xet co tin hieu vao lenh buy, vi tri nay thuan duong kenh gia duoi cua nen W1 , co kha nang cung se thuan kenh gia duoi cua kenh gia tang o H4, thuan xu huong chinh va thuan vung ho tro noi tren. Tuy nhien, chung ta khong the loai tru kha nang luc tang manh tro lai va chi test ve vung ho tro 1.7302 – 1.7347 sau do bat tang. Quay lai D1, neu nhin ky hon chung ta lai thay gia dang hinh thanh mo hinh cup and handle = coc va tay cam , kha nang cao khi pha duoc trendline H4, gia se tiep tuc xu huong chinh cua minh sau khi da tich luy du luc.
Nhin qua chi bao RSI, khung W1 chua cho thay dau hieu ro rang nao cua RSI, tuy nhien o khung D1 cho thay gia sap cham trendline tang cua RSI, neu RSI di dung thi kha nang gia ve khu vuc ho tro 1.7302 – 1.7347 va bat la hoan toan co kha nang.
Plan chien luoc:
1. Truong hop gia tang (duong mau xanh duong): Xem xet buy vung ho tro gia 1.7122 – 1.7204 khi xuat hien tin hieu buy ro rang va TP o khoang 1.7611 vi gan voi khu vuc ho tro bi mat can bang cung cau manh kha nang gia dieu chinh khi o khu vuc nay va SL ban dau se o vung gia 1.6964 , day la vung hop luu nhieu yeu to nhu da phan tich o tren.
2. Truong hop gia giam (duong mau do): Xem xet sell vung ho tro gia 1.7124 – 1.7207 khi gia pha qua vung ho tro nay va quay ve test lai, SL co the tam gia 1.7281 , day la truong hop hiem xay ra o thoi diem hien tai khi co nhieu vung ho tro va mo hinh bo tro cho xu huong tang tiep dien.
3. Truong hop gia di sideway (duong mau vang): Hien tai gia thuc su dang tich luy giam nen gia van co kha nang di sideway truoc khi tao mot mo hinh gia nao khac bo tro cho xu huong chinh la xu huong tang, gia co kha nang dao dong trong vung ho tro la 1.7124 – 1.7207 va 1.7548 – 1.77921 , voi kha nang se la sideway tang, neu tin hieu dep hoan toan co the xem xet buy tai vung ho tro 1.7124 – 1.7207 va TP o vung 1.7548 – 1.77921 khi co tin hieu dao chieu tro lai trong vung sideway nay.
4. Truong hop gia tang manh len han khoi duong trendline cua H4 sau do hoi test tai chinh duong nay va khu vuc vung ho tro gia 1.7302 – 1.7347 thi co the tim mot lenh buy neu co tin hieu dep, luc nay co the TP nhu plan 1 la 1.7611 , SL luc nay vao khoang gia 1.7266 (duong mau xanh la)
5. Truong hop gia khong di theo nhung nhan dinh o tren ma tang len khu vuc ho tro 1.7548 – 1.77921 sau do moi giam xuong khu vuc 1.7124 – 1.7207 thi nghia la 1 lan nua gia muon sideway tich luy truoc khi no co the di chuyen vuot khoi khu vuc sideway nay, luc nay neu co tin hieu buy dep thi ta se xem xet thuc hien lai plan 1 nhu da neu o tren (duong mau hong)
Phan tich AUDNZD Ngay 09/08/2020Xu huong chinh hien tai cua AUDNZD la tang, luc di chuyen rat manh, gia tang manh lien tiep trong nhieu tuan, nen W1 dong nen la 1 cay trendbar tang manh the hien luc buy rat tot cho tuan sau.
Hien tai gia dang dao dong giua 2 vung gia 1.077 – 1.086 va truoc do ta thay co su xuat hien cua nen insidebar va cay nen D1 cua thu 6 tuan roi da chi ra quan diem buy manh khong the choi cai tuy nhien neu chi xet ve mo hinh inside bar nay thi co le chung ta phai cho gia pha qua nhung vung gia cao nhat va thap nhat cua cay nen me moi co the xem xet buy hay sell nhung quan diem o day tam thoi chung ta chua xet sell. Day la khu vuc kha nhay cam de quyet dinh, boi nen ngay dang phan ung du doi voi vung ho tro cua khung tuan trong khi luc tang manh da day cap AUDNZD di vao the sideway nhe
Nhin qua chi bao RSI cho dau hieu phan ki o khung W1 va qua mua o khung D1, ta thay duoc gia co kha nang se dieu chinh truoc khi muon tang manh hon nua, Chung ta sang khung H4, rat de thay rang gia dang dao dong trong mot cai tam giac va no moi vua pha qua vung tam giac nay, tuy nhien can doi den dau tuan sau xem no co thuc su la mot cay nen pha khoi vung tam giac nay hay khong, neu no bat ngo giam lai cho mot tin hieu false breake thi kha nang lon la gia se giam theo chi bao RSI dang qua mua o khung D1. Hon nua cap AUDNZD con nam trong kenh gia giam cua khung W1 nen nhieu kha nang gia se len cham vung ho tro va hop luu voi kenh gia khoang gia 1.0867 , khi do gia se dieu chinh la mot du doan co co so dang chu y.
Ngoai ra, AUDNZD con dang di chuyen trong mot kenh gia tang o khung D1 voi goc khoang 45 do, vi vay chung ta nen xem xet gia ve vung kenh gia duoi hop luu voi vung ho tro truoc do khu vuc 1.0750 – 1.0772 de xem xet co tin hieu vao lenh buy theo xu huong chinh hon la nhung kha nang khac.
Plan chien luoc:
1. Truong hop gia tang (duong mau xanh duong): Xem xet buy vung gia 1.0750 – 1.0772 khi xuat hien tin hieu buy ro rang va TP o day co the tuy khau vi vi tin hieu cho thay day la 1 deal co TP kha xa, nen khi gia di dung huong nen doi SL de an toan von hon la de TP de toi da hoa loi nhuan va SL ban dau se o vung gia 1.0669
2. Truong hop gia giam (duong mau do): Xem xet sell vung gia 1.0750 – 1.0772 khi gia pha qua vung ho tro nay va gia quay tro lai test truoc khi gia giam, SL co the tam gia 1.0809. Tuy nhien thi do xu huong tang manh nen can nhac dung ngoai hon la vao lenh sell o thoi diem hien tai.
3. Truong hop gia di sideway (duong mau vang): O vung nay neu gia di ngang tich luy, chung ta nen dung ngoai cho co hoi ro rang hon vi cap tien nay cung rat thuong xuyen di sideway va tao cac mo hinh nem va tam giac , di nhien van xem xet buy theo xu huong chinh.
4. Truong hop gia khong di theo nhung nhan dinh o tren ma tang manh vuot khoi kenh gia giam cua khung W1 thi ta con 1 ke hoach D rang gia se quay tro lai va test khu vuc 1.0856 – 1.08824 neu co tin hieu se xem xet buy theo xu huong chinh, SL luc nay vao khoang gia 1.0788
Phan tich CHF/JPY Ngay 09/08/2020Xu huong chinh hien tai cua CHFJPY la tang, luc di chuyen manh tang lien tiep trong nhieu tuan, nen tuan dong nen la 1 cay pinbar tang the hien luc buy tot cho tuan sau.
Hien tai gia dang dao dong giua 2 vung gia 115.450 - 116.519 va thuong xuyen xuat hien nen pinbar hoac trendbar co rau dai tren khung D1 cho chung ta thay co su bien dong manh o cap tien nay. Nhin qua chi bao RSI cho dau hieu phan ky o khung D1, ta thay duoc gia co kha nang se dieu chinh truoc khi muon tang dai han, Chung ta sang khung H4, gia ket thuc tuan gan cham vung ho tro o dinh vua moi tao, vi vay sang tuan kha nang lon gia se giam xuong tao the vai dau vai khi gia test lai vung ho tro bi mat can bang cung cau tuong doi manh vung gia 116.170 – 116.519. Vi xu huong chinh la tang nen chung ta se can nhac nhieu voi nhung lenh sell nen kha nang neu khi gia hoi ve duoc 114.888-115.129 thi xem xet that ky.
Ngoai ra , CHFJPY con dang di chuyen trong mot kenh gia tang, vi vay chung ta nen xem xet gia ve vung kenh gia duoi hop luu voi vung ho tro truoc do da lam gia bat gia len kha manh , kenh gia nay dat khoang hon 50 do , the hien luc tang manh
Plan chien luoc:
1. Truong hop gia tang (duong mau xanh duong): Xem xet buy vung gia 114.878-115.129 khi xuat hien tin hieu buy ro rang va TP o diem kenh gia tren khoang gia 117.000 va SL o ben duoi vung ho tro khu vuc gia 114.789 vi no thuan xu huong chinh va o khu vuc ho tro cung nhu hop luu voi kenh gia duoi.
2. Truong hop gia giam (duong mau do): Xem xet sell vung gia 114.300-114.630 khi nen pha qua vung ho tro nay va gia quay tro lai test truoc khi sap han. Tuy nhien thi hien tai khong co qua nhieu kha nang cho plan nay
3. Truong hop gia di sideway (duong mau vang): O vung nay neu gia di ngang tich luy, chung ta co the xem xet buy quanh vung ho tro 114.300-114.630 de thuan theo xu huong van dang la tang, tuy nhien thi het suc can trong va chi luot song ngan, neu gia o thoi diem do qua bien dong thi chung ta nen dung ngoai cho an toan. Tim co hoi voi nhung cap khac.