SPOT Spotify Price Target after H&S and Joe Rogan controversyToday you will probably have the chance to buy SPOT at the price of its IPO in 2018.
But the price target, in my opinion, it`s even lower.
Looking at the Head and Shoulders Bearish chart pattern combined with the Joe Rogan controversy that has exposed Spotify’s weaknesses, i would say $126 per share is my buy area.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Joerogan
Massive Bullrun Into Earnings | Moving In Divergence $SPOTIt's time to unload on longterm shares. No one is paying attention to Spotify SPOT . Media outlets and even us traders have both been rather silent on Spotify and it's movement.
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This stock currently sits above what has proven to be a temp support @ $230 . We have a monthly support @ $227
Watching the orange downtrend as previous resistance, we just saw a confirmation of this breakout today.
Possible long on a break of downtrend with next resistance @ $242.
Upside targets: $242, $265, $284.
Possible Short Entry: $220
DotcomJack | Thanks for the support!
Bless up traders
SPOT has been on a tear in 2020.. but will it continue?Diving into SPOT, if you've been in this stock this year you've probably been pretty happy with the performance. With a number of big product releases and the effects of JOE ROGAN and MICHELLE OBAMA signing exclusive deals to drive subscribers, the stock pumped so fast from around $180 to nearly $300, that if you blinked you probably missed it.
Well, what now? Do you buy at these levels, do you wait? Whats this company really worth?
Obviously SPOT has a lot of competition. With AAPL launching their new subscription service packages that basically will force me to have Apple Music, and AMZN launching podcasting on their music service, how many music services does one person need?
I still love my SPOT subscription more than any other service option out there. That's what keeps me believing in this stock. I don't want to ever give up my Spotify, and I bet most others don't either. I'm willing to put my money where my mouth is.
Remember NFLX just 5 years ago? That might be where SPOT is today. It's worth considering.
Now let's look at the chart. I've drawn an Elliot Wave pattern in there, and what a correction might look like. We are definitely in a correction pattern right now. My intuition and my bet is that we are in the 2nd wave of a much larger cycle. What excites me about that is the 3rd wave tends to be the largest move. That would mean if you want to play a longer term trade like me, you want to buy in anywhere in the $182-$227 range. I would recommend your sweet spot to be above $200, even around $210-220 depending on your tolerance for missing a buy opportunity.
This stock has a lot of love, and psychological supports are a thing. That's why I find it unlikely we'll see this stock below $200 again unfortunately, and if we do then we need to double check our fundamental analysis and if nothing has changed we will go in with both hands.
Now the real exciting part of that trade, should you get in around these levels and lower, is the longer term target is close to $400. Should SPOT continue to diversify their service offering and have that "sticky" product effect where it's just something we all need to have, this isn't farfetched, and is a likely story to happen in the next 1 year.
Meanwhile, for the shorter term trades, volatility in this stock can be good, and therefore if we are in a 2nd wave correction, then this is a great time to both be getting a position, but also trading within the correction to make that position as cheap as possible for your 3rd wave run.
If this does manifest, and one plays it correctly, by the time you reach my longer term target you should be able to sell a portion of your stack and hold a free and sizable position in this household name.
Disclaimer: I am not a professional, nor do I claim to know what I am doing. I chart for my own education and revealing potential trade setups. I am always open to constructive feedback and resources that you can recommend to "up" my game. Thank you!
Joe Rogan already made Spotify $3.22 Billion + the FutureFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, here are a few insights. Since Spotify was already mostly on a bullish run, and the market had a chance to retrace from most of the noise, I am using a $160 to $180 price as a metric not $190. If you look at 20/160 you get 0.125. Now I am going to multiple by 0.78 as hype multiple rather than attributing all that growth to just the deal. 78% is still way too generous, but I think it is decent given how popular Joe Rogan is. 0.125*0.78 is coincidentally right on 0.0975. I multiple that by the current market cap and get 3.22452 billion. I seen this YouTuber do a video saying the Joe Rogan deal made Spotify $5 billion. Personally, I understand the reasoning behind his metric, but he didn't consider Spotify was already bullish and that not everyone trading Spotify are Joe Rogan fans. He also didn't give a decent shortening or reaction time. Joe Rogan contributed to the a major push in the rally continuation. I think it is fair to say around a 78% push pre contributing to sentiment reaction. Also Spotify's ROI for a $100 million dollar deal is 32x in a short time period which is for every $1 you have $32. That means literally 3100%. If Spotify made the same deals every 11 days or so, and profit kept compounding over and over again a year, that would be an annualized ROI percentage of 14,847,931,113,934,977,527,395,976,847,246,204,891,384,177,320,001,536%. That means that a deal like this is extremely rare . Spotify made one of the best partnership deals a content platform could make, and likely they wouldn't be able to find creators that popular in which they can offer that same amount too for a really long time. Untop of all this, Spotify said they want Joe Rogan's clips migrated to their platform. I myself am a creator who posts content on Spotify. If Spotify decided to allow video integration, it can easily even annihilate companies the likes of the size of YouTube. CEO Susan Wojcick's management of YouTube included higher attention to many mainstream media sources over small creators (trying to be cable competitive). YouTube also been having a broken content management and Copyright system for a while in many creator's voiced opinions. The whole way things played out is most likely YouTube ruined its edge factor and didn't differentiate itself. Joe Rogan was probably already planning an exit, and Spotify found an opportunity due to what one can call a competitor's lackluster management style. I think a realistic target in the future if Spotify starts rolling out video updates and doing all this is a long target of $325 within a year or so. It would be interesting to see how that plays out.