JP225 / NIKKEI 225 Index Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Ola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist JP225 / NIKKEI 225 Index Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
Jp225
Nikkei to break to the upside?NIK225 - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom. Posted a Bullish Hammer Bottom on the 4 hour chart.
This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return.
Further upside is expected, however, due to the strong resistance above we prefer to buy a break of 38857, which will confirm the bullish sentiment.
Short term bias is mildly bullish.
We look to Buy at 38857 (stop at 38357)
Our profit targets will be 40057 and 40357
Resistance: 39660 / 42155 / 45325
Support: 37705 / 36330 / 34955
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NIKKEI is starting the new bullish phase.NIKKEI (NI225) gave us the most accurate buy entry we could get last time (September 10, see chart below) as we bought right above the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the price immediately rebounded to the 0.786 Fib of its July 11 High:
The symmetry with the September - December 2023 fractal continues to be striking, which is also evident on the 1D RSI which made a 2nd bounce on the Symmetrical Pivot Zone as the previous fractal did on December 08 2023.
The price bounced on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the December 2023 rally that followed, reached the 1.786 Fibonacci extension before the next short-term consolidation.
As a result, we can upgrade our medium-term Target to 43000, which is still considerably below the 1.786 Fib.
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Nikkei continues to hold back the bears.NIK225 - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 38870, resulting in improved risk/reward.
We look to Buy at 38870 (stop at 38550)
Our profit targets will be 39670 and 39820
Resistance: 39660 / 42155 / 45325
Support: 37705 / 36330 / 34955
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NIKKEI to continue hold back the bulls?NIK225 - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Previous resistance located at 40008.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Sell at 39998 (stop at 40551)
Our profit targets will be 38457 and 37705
Resistance: 42155 / 45325 / 46980
Support: 37705 / 36330 / 34955
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Update idea
JP225 / NIKKEI 225 Cash Index Market Money Heist PlanHola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist JP225 / NIKKEI 225 Cash Index Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
NIKKEI225 Bullish ContinuationNIKKEI225 seems to exhibit signs of Bullish continuation.
Bulls may eventually face a strong support zone around 41500 till 42500. If price action breaks this zone, we may see an ALL TIME HIGH. Till then, opportunity may be seized.
Trade Plan
Entry @ 37400
Stop Loss @ 35100
TP1 @ 39700
TP2 @ 42000 OR Ride Further with Caution
No. of Trades: 2
Move SL to Break Even if TP1 hits.
JP225 where to now?As you can see the grey box is a clear area of liquidity for both holding support and resistance. Flip the grey box and we see a good move up imo. This happens to sit right near the 0.5 retracement which is also a very important level of interest.
I will continue to monitor volume closely as it is compressing into a narrow channel and it is only a matter of time before we get an indication of where price may be heading.
JPN225 to continue in the upward move?NIK225 - 24h expiry
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
Our short term bias remains positive. The primary trend remains bullish.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
We look to buy dips.
20 4hour EMA is at 38645.
We look to Buy at 38650 (stop at 38370)
Our profit targets will be 39350 and 39480
Resistance: 38880 / 39000 / 39171
Support: 38750 / 38463 / 38250
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Nikkei to find buyers at market price?NIK225 - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains positive.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
20 4hour EMA is at 38333.
We look to Buy at 38340 (stop at 38030)
Our profit targets will be 39010 and 39190
Resistance: 38817 / 39000 / 39200
Support: 38500 / 38300 / 38000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
JP225 / NIKKEI INDEX 225 Money Heist Plan On Long SideMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist JAPAN 225 Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent Swing Low
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 1h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style
SPX500, JP225, DE30. Analysis for CompetitorsHello traders and investors!
Over 55,000 traders have registered for The Leap paper trading competition. The assets in the competition include SPX500, JP225, and DE30. This analysis may help in making the right decision.
Weekly Timeframe Analysis:
All three indices interacted on the daily timeframe with the level at the base of the last buyer's impulse on the weekly timeframe: SPX500 at 5193.1, JP225 at 36375.7, and DE30 at 17479. On Friday, when the weekly candles close, we will know the results of this interaction.
Daily Timeframe Analysis:
SPX500 and JP225 are in a downtrend. The start of the latest seller impulses are 5571.8 and 39090.9 respectively.
JP225: Today, the price is interacting with 50% of the last seller impulse (34798.4). We are observing the seller's reaction. If the seller does not show strength, we wait for the price to interact with the weekly level 36375.7, where selling opportunities can also be found. There is currently no context for buying on the daily timeframe.
SPX500: The price is still on its way to 50% of the last seller impulse (5333). Note that the 50% level of the last seller impulse (5333) almost coincides with the upper boundary of the price gap (candle from 02.08.24, its close is 5333.6). I anticipate that we will see a seller's reaction at these levels, and it is advisable to look for selling opportunities. If the seller does not show strength, the next significant resistance for the buyer's movement is 5398.6 (the minimum of the penultimate seller impulse), where selling opportunities can also be found. There is currently no context for buying on the daily timeframe.
DE30: The situation is different. The price has formed a sideways movement, with the upper boundary at 18796.5 and the lower boundary at 17941. The seller in the 6-7 vector of the sideways movement has moved below the lower boundary. Note that the 50% level of the seller's impulse (17909.5) and the lower boundary of the sideways movement (17941) almost coincide. It is advisable to look for selling opportunities at these levels. There is currently no context for buying on the daily timeframe.
Hourly Timeframe Analysis:
JP225: On the hourly timeframe, there is an uptrend. The start of the latest buyer impulse is 32793.4. The key candle of the impulse is at its end (the candle with the highest volume in the impulse, marked on the chart "KC").
Buying opportunities can be considered from the buyer's defense of the range 34282 - 34798 or after the formation of a new buyer impulse from buyer zones within this impulse. Keep in mind that there is a downtrend on the daily timeframe.
If the seller engulfs the key candle of the impulse, it will provide context for looking for selling opportunities.
SPX500: The price has formed a sideways movement, with the upper boundary at 5318.9 and the lower boundary at 5198.6. The upper boundary is slightly below the daily levels (5333 and 5333.6). Within the sideways movement, it is advisable to look for selling opportunities from the upper boundary and buying opportunities from the lower boundary.
Selling opportunities can be considered if the seller defends the upper boundary of the sideways movement, interacting with the daily levels.
Buying opportunities can be considered from the buyer's defense of the lower boundary of the sideways movement, in the range of 5198 - 5215. Keep in mind that there is a downtrend on the daily timeframe.
DE30: The buyer has not yet managed to start an uptrend on the hourly timeframe. We only see one impulse so far. The price has already interacted with 50% of the latest buyer impulse, but the buyer has not yet managed to form a new impulse (an hourly candle closing above 17569). There is no clear context for buying or selling on the hourly timeframe at the moment.
If we consider the 2-hour timeframe, selling opportunities can be looked for from the upper boundary of the sideways movement in the range of 17647.6 - 17731.2. Buying opportunities can be considered after the price breaks upwards out of the sideways movement and the buyer defends this breakout.
Online analysis of the daily timeframe: trend or sideways www.tradingview.com
Nikkei to form a higher low?JP225YJPY - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Short term bias is mildly bullish.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 37830 level.
We look to Buy at 37830 (stop at 37530)
Our profit targets will be 38580 and 38680
Resistance: 38570 / 41135 / 42120
Support: 36990 / 35705 / 34425
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
JP225 to continue in the downward move?NIK225 - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A higher correction is expected.
Our short term bias remains negative.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Weekly pivot is at 37771.
We look to Sell at 37805 (stop at 38125)
Our profit targets will be 37005 and 36805
Resistance: 38570 / 41135 / 42120
Support: 36990 / 35705 / 34425
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Japanese Equities Remain Compelling Despite Record Crushing RiseAnimal spirits are palpable in the Land of Rising Sun. Nikkei-225 smashed through it previous all-time-high set more than 40 years ago. Japanese equity markets have turned steaming hot over the past year after stagnation through lost decades.
Strong foreign investment inflows, positive impact from the corporate governance reforms, portfolio rebalancing away from China, and low valuations, are collectively serving as robust tailwinds for the Japan equity market.
Yet risks remain from an early BoJ policy pivot, high inflation eroding spending power, and limited domestic capital investment.
This paper delves into factors driving record rally of Nikkei-225 index, its outlook, and posits a hypothetical trade to benefit from its continued ascent.
WIDE RANGING REFORMS IN PLAY TO BOOST MARKETS. IS IT WORKING?
In 2022, the Tokyo Stock Exchange (“TSE”) embarked on market restructuring plan with the creation of new market segments.
Source: Tokyo Stock Exchange
TSE rolled out a raft of corporate governance reforms in March 2023. It summarized key initiatives that investors aspire to see into fruition, namely (a) Weigh the cost of capital from investors perspective, (b), Report profitability and valuation metrics from multiple perspectives, and (c) Allocate resources to improve corporate value.
Reforms aim to boost capital efficiency by utilizing excess cash reserves held by Japanese firms. Price-to-book ratio (“PBR”) is a key metric in TSE’s cross hairs. As of 31/Dec , more than half the firms that have submitted disclosures have a PBR of less than one. PBR less than one suggests that a firm’s dissolution value is greater than its market cap.
Data Source: TSE
Even among some of the largest firms in the country, PBR is less than 1.
Data Source: TV Stock Screener
A TSE Review shows that firms are allocating additional resources towards growth initiatives. It suggested share buybacks and dividends were effective means for improving profitability.
Impact of the reforms are visible in many ways. Higher shareholder returns (through dividends and buybacks) are already manifest across many firms.
Still, there is a long way to go. Disclosures and reforms are not widespread yet. As smaller firms join, capital investment could spread wider.
Data Source: TV Stock Screener
Also, while dividend growth is high, capex growth remains low. A focus on investor returns improves stock valuations in the near term. However, a larger push towards long-term capital investments will be required for long-term sustained growth.
Capital spending by firms surged 16.4% YoY in Q4.
Japan’s Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is pushing for its citizens to invest in domestic firms rather than save. He has re-launched the NISA tax-free investment programme. It provides extended tax-exemption periods and higher annual investment limits. The scheme, if successful, could channel large chunks of new capital into Japanese equities.
Domestic participation remains low for now. Japanese investors prefer foreign stocks over domestic ones as per a Morningstar study .
VIBRANT FOREIGN INFLOWS IN JAPANESE EQUITIES
While domestic investors are yet to embrace its domestic markets, foreigners are leading the charge. US investors have poured USD 8.3B into Japan focused ETFs ( AMEX:EWJ , AMEX:BBJP , and AMEX:DXJ ) since 2023.
JAPANESE EQUITIES REMAIN UNDERVALUED
Japanese equities remain under-valued. Warren Buffet famously invested USD 6 billion during the pandemic in Japanese trading giants citing that he was offered a “ridiculous price”.
Despite the recent market surge, P/E for stocks in the Nikkei-225 stands at mere 20.8x. Comparatively, stocks in the S&P 500 have an average P/E of 34.9x.
Data Source: TV Stock Screener
Nikkei-225 valuations are even more attractive when adjusted for growth. Average (excl. outliers) TTM PEG ratio for Nikkei-225 firms is 1.3x while for the S&P 500 its 2.5x.
Data Source: TV Stock Screener
Low profit growth remains a concern for Japanese firms. According to the Japan Ministry of Finance figures , ordinary profits rose by 13% YoY in Q4 2023, while high, that’s slower than 21% during Q3 2023.
JAPAN IS ALSO AN AI BENEFICIARY
Tokyo Electron, Renesas, and Advantest, constituents within the Nikkei-225 index have emerged as AI rush beneficiaries. Specifically, Tokyo Electron has surged more than 58% YTD. Softbank is another top performer thanks to its investment in $ARM.
Heatmap of Nikkei-225 with key firms that comprise a large weightage in the index highlighted in blue.
Nikkei-225 is a price-weighted index. Tokyo Electron commands the second largest weight in the index at 9.4% due to its high price. Advantest is third with 4.7%. Softbank ranks fourth with 4.45%. Therefore, a sustained AI fuelled market rally is likely to positively impacting the index.
Not just the chip stocks, the Nikkei rally has been top-heavy due to outperformance of other large stocks too. Fast Retailing (the top weight in the index) is also supported by strong tailwinds and solid financial performance which has clocked a 26% rise YTD (versus 19% jump in the index).
If outperformance among the large Japanese firms continue, the Nikkei will continue to race at a fast pace.
NIKKEI IS STARTING TO FACE HEADWINDS
Despite impressive performance and bright outlook, cause for concerns exist in the near term. Rising concerns that the BoJ may exit its loose monetary policy sooner than previously expected could snap the rally.
Inflation has started to rebound. Wage growth estimates are solid. Revised figures for capital spending are expected to show that the economy avoided a technical recession in Q4.
The benchmark index is starting to face resistance. An earlier than expected BoJ pivot could put brakes on this rally.
Some market participants expect the BoJ policy pivot as soon as the 19/March policy meeting. Most expect the pivot to occur at the 26/April meeting. A consensus on the exact meeting has not been reached among BoJ officials according to Bloomberg .
HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP
Nikkei is benefiting from strong tailwinds. It also faces the risk of a near-term correction, particularly from anticipated strengthening of the Yen.
A hypothetical long position in the Yen denominated CME Nikkei-225 index futures with an entry upon near term correction is posited for a superior reward-to-risk ratio.
The following hypothetical trade setup comprising of a long position in the Nikkei-225 Yen Denominated futures expiring in June (NIYM2024) benefits in case the Nikkei-225 rises.
As the payout from the position is denominated in Yen, a strengthening of the Yen will serve as an additional boost to the dollar P&L.
• Entry: 37,900
• Target: 41,690
• Stop Loss: 35,000
• Profit at Target: ¥1,895,000 ( (41690 – 37900) x 500 Yen/index point)
• Loss at Stop: -¥1,450,000 ( (35000 – 37900) x 500 Yen/index point)
• Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 1.3x
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
DISCLAIMER
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.