Jp225
Japanese Stock Index "Nikkei 225" Can Lose 30% in the CorrectionNikkei 225 (JP225), commonly known as Nikkei, is a stock index for the Tokyo Stock Exchange, the world’s third-largest stock exchange with a market capitalization of US$5.6 trillion.
As the leading index of Japanese stocks, Nikkei 225 (JP225) is a price-weighted stock index, equivalent to the American Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, comprising Japan’s most powerful 225 blue-chip companies on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
Let’s take a look at Nikkei's structure via the Elliott Wave principle.
The monthly chart above reveals that the 2009-2018 rally had formed a textbook five-wave impulse pattern. It is labeled 1-2-3-4-5 where the five sub-waves of wave 3 is visible.
Unfolding Correction Makes Nikkei 225 Bulls Vulnerable
The Elliott Wave theory states that a three-wave correction in the opposite direction follows every impulse. And indeed, the decline from 24595 to 18951 in 2018 can be seen as a simple a-b-c zigzag in wave A. The Nikkei 225 spent the entire 2019 trying to recover from that low and top at 24412 in December 2019 as a three-wave zigzag in B.
This three-wave down and three-wave up pattern make JP225 vulnerable to further decline as it only a part of larger A-B-C flat or W-X-Y double zigzag Elliot Wave correction.
Bearish targets near the support area of wave 4 or lower are plausible. If this assumption is correct, we can expect another selloff in wave C to approximately 15000 from the current level. That's a ~33% drop, I think now is not the time for bravery when it comes to the Nikkei 225 or investing in Japan's stock blue chip. Observing from a safe distance makes more sense.
Do you think a 30% decline is plausible on Nikkei?
JP225 analysis for next 7-10 daysConsidering many positive factors in the worlds politics and economy JP225 has a great chance to rise in next week.
Also, other indexes can rise, but JP225 has the greatest technical levels to minimize possible risk.
If something important happens, I will update the post.
BULLISH OPPORTUNITY ON EURJPY!!Once again guys, we have another beautiful set up here.. oh btw, if you don't follow me already.. HIT THAT FOLLOW BUTTON.
Right,Right.. Let's dive into the technicals. We have a nice Bullish run before price reaches that point of resistance where price starts to retrace bearish. As you have probably gathered, my strategy is simple and I would recommend everyone who is trying to find their strategy to keep it simple. That's the trick. The profitability is in the simplicity.
50% Fibo retracement is marked at the grey line which is my entry for this trade. I have risked 1%. This is calculated by the number of pips from my entry to my stop loss and then multiplied by the cost per pip ( i.e. 160 pips x $8.80).
Bullish divergence is present and take profit as been marked too.
Happy trading all and remember to hit that follow button :)
Malika K
Might be a good chance for a short on NikkeiNikkei looks to be on a desceding trend on the hourly chart. As we can see it broke downwards it's ascending trend and continued it's global image searching for lower lows, as it broke downwards an ascending trend developed in the daily chart.
What we're looking here is that price has respected it's current trendline and failed to breakout ema's 50 giving out a tiring candle signal, that's the first bell indicating that a reversal is likely.
According to it's current trend searching for lower lows, the price may search for a lower low around the orange indicated section as it is an important support, which is also close to fibbonaci's level 1.272 coming from the downward breakout from the previous uptrend.
I'll operate this trade once the candle in the hourly chart closes red or giving a japanese pattern of reversal.
Dual trend exploitationI've not seen this sort of stuff before on Tradingview, so I do apologise if everybody knows about it.
I show how I used both a microtrend change on a 15 min time frame and a macrotrend position to get a suitable entry position on Japan225. Note carefully, that this is not a 'win'. I totally expect to lose but if that happens the loss will be minimal. If however the trend moves in my favour, I shall simply follow it without need of a target or predefined get-out point. In this way I do not need to 'predict' anything.