JPM
BAC run-up till ER NYSE:BAC
With vaccine news, banks are expected to have less money put aside to cover default-risk-related assets, that is the recent run up.
Also the fed Rate has "quietly" go up and US 10Y also run up which cause this bank bull run.
so Bull side: more vaccine/news rally this can go to test 30.4 level , which could be a strong resistance.
Bear side: considering 2H,4H MACD strength as declined although price has pushed higher, this indicate upside strength losing.
Overall : current price indicate bull side, unless 27.8 area breaks ( we also have 20MA below) we can hold and using covered calls at 31 level to lower position cost.
Patience is the key.
The chart doesn't lie, Bullish Flag breakout for JPM? JPM is noticeably breaking the downward blue sloping resistance of a possible bullish flag, notice on the RSI we have already seen a breakout of the pattern and a re-test of old resistance turning into new support, very bullish.
Not a big fan of JP Morgan, only for bashing Bitcoin, other than that, they have the FED in their back pocket, DON'T FIGHT THE FED, FFS!
Or, did the FED bypass banks with a digital USD?
Time will tell, but the chart is bullish, stonks only go up!
JPMorgan: Good report, indicators say the opposite.Despite the excellent earnings report released yesterday that showed the company hit the forecasts, our indicators, based on technical analysis only tell us that the stock in its the way down.
According to the MACD, we should see a sharp drop by the end of the week also, the RSI doesn't say differently.
The bottom line is the same: For the long run JPMorgan is certainly a-must stock in every portfolio but, it can be a bad entry point.
Trade safe
Financials in trouble200sma has been a strong resistance since the March drop. The red circles show 4 times trying to get to it.
Placing fibonacci retracement lines shows confluence with a support level (green rectangle from late June --> early July)
The 20sma crossed below the 50sma on September 27th. (Bearish signal trend model)
Also, if we close at the current price, we are getting a bearish engulfing candle.
I would feel comfortable getting in around $22.7, being fundamentally bullish on the sector.
JPM_Base of Wave Three has arrived. BULL MARKET LIVES!There are a lot of different models for this, and It's hard to determine, but some of the models I have seen have the first wave forming at the first high after the covid sell-off (96.55), but I consider that cluster part of market chaos/confusion and consolidation and therefore part of the formation of wave 1, wave 1 saw the highs of 115, initially I believed, the pullback of wave two was ending at the end of July/Beg. Of Sept---but now I think it extended lower in what seemed a long and torturous wave…but! Just over the last 1-2 days the base has started to form and we are beginning wave 3, which will likely back shortly 115 (earnings?), then a wave 4 pullback will be swift and decisive (opposite of wave 2—as per the typical convention of these waves) after which JPM will progress upwards towards a level that will surpass their ATH…which, could even come sooner than later...Post election might see an end of short wave 4 pullback and final wave 5 going into the new year.
Regardless of the exact trajectory the waves take, I do believe Banking is showing signs of rotation---not necessarily reflective in a price extension at current, but by the signals that other sectors are taking a breather, and the banks are slowly creeping out of consolidation and in an upward leaning trend.
Possible Head & Shoulders for JPM?JP Morgan is under pressure, and rightfully so, considering they've been caught with their hand in the cookie jar, once again, ahhhh the blasphemy!
I always find it ironic when the same banks calling Bitcoin a fraud get caught for fraud or money laundering, it strengthens the argument for Bitcoin every single time.
Possible H&S breakdown, bearish cross on the KST. I zoomed in on the KST so the bearish cross is noticeable, but if you zoom out there's a noticeable H&S pattern.
Descending Triangle on the RSI, similar to the blue pattern in the price action, potentially double bearish confirmation.
The FED is busy saving the DXY & trying to prevent the USD from losing world reserve currency status, so maybe they'll let assets decline until elections are over, who really knows? But if the USD collapses I don't imagine all assets prices will increase, it could get fugly.
XLF Getting as tight as it can getPicture perfect chart here.
Only 4% between following key levels:
- Support line has been tested 5 times & now coinciding with 50 dma
- Resistance line has been tested 2 times & has been coinciding with 200 dma
Daily RSI convergence confirming price action
While in the middle of those support / resistance lines, 2 major dma's, we are also stuck between the 50 & 61.8 retracement levels (Pre-Covid high to Covid low)
Is the massive $C breakdown this week to be interpreted as a signal of strength or a look into the future for the financial sector?
With $XLK & $XLV having already posted huge recoveries and subsequent gains on the year, is it $XLF's turn to run hot in the reflation trade?
Can $XLF hold its gains if the rest of the broader market continues to sell off lower, representing what would most likely be dubbed the 'Great Rotation' ?
So many questions, however I think this chart & the $SPX chart is all you're going to need over the next month and a half heading into election.
If (lol) - WHEN this thing breaks out, on notable volume and a huge move in the RSI, I think it'll drag the market along with it, whether to the upside or downside.
** I am currently sitting on a bullish $BAC position, so my bias is bullish but it can easily head the other way.