WOW - Remembering all Mr. PresidentsLmao, I did not remember this. It's from long time ago trying to understand a little bit more this bank. Maybe is something irrelevant but it could be helpful to feed the curiosity some people still have and expand their knowledge with a better research. Also if i lose this idea again for some months I'll know where to find it now.
There I tried to find correlation between democrat presidents or republican and the action price development from that far, just for educational purposes like I said. Just to be able to dig a bit more and find political causes related to the historical growing of one of the biggest banks on Earth.
I found this when I was checking other "too big to fail" banks recent movements, to check the impact with all this infinite stimulus have been announced almost everywhere, and anyone with sufficient authority is printing money now. What a mess, isn't it?
Please hope you find your own conclusions from here, always keep that curiosity... and doubt.
Thanks!
Jpmorgan
JMP technicaly based forecast
📌Short intro:
I am full time trader - analyst * High accuracy of ideas * Technicaly and Fudnamentaly side in analysis * Comment if have any questions or want to send support * Price action - FIBO - Candl pattern * FX - STOCK - CRYPTO * Simple ideas
💡 JPM technicaly based idea, technicaly indicators showing we can expect higher recovery phase, global economy is in slow phase of recovery, we can see price is near to break FIBO 0.382 in this case FIBO 0.382 is and support zone, expecting to see break ad higher push in price till FIBO 0.6 or till trend line.
📌Have on mind, trading involves risk, check idea on your own tactic, if have questions pls comment!
Thanks on supporting!
All best, good luck!
EVIDENCE OF MANIPULATION!THE LAST TIME WICKS OF THIS NOMINAL SIZE OCCURRED, BUYING HAD BEEN BANNED (FOLLOWED BY BUYING LIMITS), THE VATICAN WAS SHORT SELLING THEIR METALS RESERVES TO SUPPRESS THE PRICE, AND THE CURRENT FUTURES PRICE SUPPRESSION MECHANISM WAS ESTABLISHED!
China comes back to life, experts calculate lossesChina yesterday began to actively restore economic and industrial activity in the country. Judging by official figures, the epidemic has begun to decline, so there is reason to believe that the worst is over.
In this light, yesterday's growth in demand for risky assets is generally explainable. Perhaps the global economy in general, and China in particular, will get off easily. At least Bloomberg analysts believe that the impact of the epidemic on the economy will be extremely short-term. Although they note, in the first quarter of China's GDP growth will slow down to 4.5%.
In general, the uncertainty with economic damage is likely to be a factor restraining another bout of unbridled optimism in the financial markets.
The fact is that its scope can be more serious and tangible. For example, Simon McAdam from Capital Economics believes that the coronavirus will cost the world economy $ 280 billion and ultimately lead to the fact that the world economy in the first quarter of 2020 will not grow for the first time since 2009.
JPMorgan analysts expect China’s GDP to grow by only 1% y/y in the first quarter (they predicted an increase of 6% y/y before the epidemic). Goldman Sachs expects the coronavirus to subtract 2% from the global GDP.
And Morgan Stanley recently proposed how to measure the real extent of the downtime of the Chinese economy - by analyzing the level of air pollution. According to their calculations, air pollution in Guangzhou, Shanghai, and Chengdu is only 20-50% of historical values. This may mean that human activity here (transportation and industrial production) is only 50-80% of the usual.
In general, the optimists or pessimists will determine the dynamics of prices in financial markets on who ultimately turns out to be right. Uncertainty just hangs in the air, which means that for now, it is better to trade inside the day with small stops. We will look for points to buy gold and the Japanese yen intraday. We will sell oil at the time of its growth.
Also, we will buy the British pound. Yesterday's data on GDP (+ 1.1% y/y against the forecast of 0.8% y/y) and industrial production (+ 0.1% against the forecast + 0.3%) did not give rise to sales and important support 1,29. So, a rebound up is quite likely.
JPM Dark Pool Quiet DistributionJPM has been running well over the past quarter. However, as the fractional and odd lot new investors buy, the giant Buy Side Institutions are selling. The white candlesticks over the past few days reveal just how heavy the Dark Pool large lot selling is, as the gains are below the previous highs. The risk is that the new investors may run out of capital, which could create a sell down at least temporarily.
ANALYSIS OF JP MORGAN 20.11.2019The price above 200 MA, indicating a growing trend.
The MACD histogram is above the zero lines.
The oscillator Force Index is above the zero lines.
If the level of resistance is broken, you should follow the recommendations below:
• Timeframe: H4
• Recommendation: Long Position
• Entry Level: Long Position 131.10
• Take Profit Level: 132.50 (140 pips)
If the price rebound from resistance level, you should follow the recommendations below:
• Timeframe: H4
• Recommendation: Short Position
• Entry Level: Short Position 130.00
• Take Profit Level: 129.50 (50 pips)
USDJPY
A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 108.30
GOLD
A possible long position at the breakout of the level 1479.00
USDCHF
A possible long position at the breakout of the level 0.9920
GBPUSD
A possible long position at the breakout of the level 1.2990
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Goldman Sacks warns that buybacks are ‘plummeting,’Goldman warns that buybacks are ‘plummeting,’ ending a big source of buying power for the market
Corporate buybacks are “plummeting” as companies tighten their purse strings, and it could have a big impact on the market, Goldman Sachs warned in a note to clients.
In the second quarter, S&P 500 share buybacks totaled $161 billion, about 18% less than the first quarter, the firm found. The amount spent on buybacks this year is down 17% from a year earlier, although it is on track to be the second highest total on record, Goldman said.
The firm anticipates that this trend will continue, saying “early indications suggest second-quarter weakness in buybacks may persist.”
For 2019, total buybacks will drop 15% to $710 billion, and in 2020 they see a 5% decline to $675 billion, the firm predicted.
Share repurchases have been a key element during this bull market, the longest on record. By repurchasing shares, a company reduces the number of shares outstanding. It can have the effect of boosting the stock price and lifts earnings per share figures.
It’s a frequent, but not always popular, move for companies. Some argue that instead of using buybacks, companies should invest more in capital investments. And Washington is taking note. The House Financial Services Committee, for instance, is looking at ways to reform buyback spending laws.
All spending is slowing
The slowdown in buybacks is part of a larger trend of spending cuts, Goldman found, as trade uncertainty and stalling global growth weigh on the market.
Total cash spending fell by 4% year over year in the first half of the year, according to the firm. It anticipates cash spending for the entire year will decline by 6%, making it the sharpest yearly decline since 2009.
During the third quarter “CEO confidence plummeted to the lowest level since the Global Financial Crisis,” Goldman said. It cited a recent study from Duke University that found a majority of CFOs expect the U.S. will be in a recession within the next year.
“Companies spend less cash when policy uncertainty is high. During August, global economic policy uncertainty registered the highest level in at least 20 years. Historically, growth in aggregate S&P 500 cash spending has been weaker during periods of high policy uncertainty. The combination of an ongoing trade conflict and next year’s US presidential election will likely result in lingering uncertainty,” Goldman’s David Kostin wrote
Analysis of JP MORGAN 18.10.2019The price above 200 MA, indicating a growing trend.
The MACD histogram is above the zero lines.
The oscillator Force Index is above the zero lines.
If the level of resistance is broken, you should follow the recommendations below:
• Timeframe: H4
• Recommendation: Long Position
• Entry Level: Long Position 121.40
• Take Profit Level: 123.00 (160 pips)
If the price rebound from resistance level, you should follow the recommendations below:
• Timeframe: H4
• Recommendation: Short Position
• Entry Level: Short Position 119.00
• Take Profit Level: 118.50 (50 pips)
USDJPY
A possible long position at the breakout of the level 108.75
GOLD
A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 1484.00
USDCHF
A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 0.9865
GBPUSD
A possible long position at the breakout of the level 1.2920