JPN225 at Major Support Level – Bullish Rebound ExpectedPEPPERSTONE:JPN225 reached a significant demand zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a key support zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if buyers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this demand zone, there is a high likelihood of an upward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 39,068 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Nikkei 225 JPN225 CFD
$JPIRYY -Japan's Inflation Rate (CPI)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY 4%
(January/2025)
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- The annual inflation rate in Japan climbed to 4.0% in January 2025 from 3.6% in the prior month, marking the highest reading since January 2023.
Food prices rose at the steepest pace in 15 months (7.8% vs 6.4% in December), with fresh vegetables and fresh food contributing the most to the upturn.
Further, electricity prices (18.0% vs 18.7%) and gas cost (6.8% vs 7.8%) remained elevated with the absence of energy subsidies since May 2024.
Additional upward pressure also came from housing (0.8% vs 0.8%), clothing (2.8% vs 2.9%), transport (2.0% vs 1.1%), furniture and household items (3.4% vs 3.0%), healthcare (1.8% vs 1.7%), recreation (2.6% vs 4.0%), and miscellaneous items (1.4% vs 1.1%).
In contrast, prices continued to fall for communication (-0.3% vs -2.1%) and education (-1.1% vs -1.0%).
The core inflation rate rose to a 19-month high of 3.2%, up from 3.0% in December and topping consensus of 3.1%.
Monthly, the CPI increased by 0.5%, after December's 14-month top of 0.6% rise.
Is there life in the old dog yet? Thoughts on Japan...Japan, once known for its high standard of living and expensive prices, has seen a dramatic shift. Today, Japan is often praised by travellers for its affordability, with the Yen weakened by decades of financial repression. While Japan's industrial and infrastructure standards remain high, its citizens are becoming poorer. The average monthly income has fallen sharply from $4,000 in 2012 to just $2,240, putting it on a par with countries such as Spain.
Japan's current economic policies, particularly its refusal to raise interest rates despite inflation remaining above the 2% target for over 31 months, are worrying enough. The Bank of Japan's reluctance to adjust interest rates due to Japan's high level of government debt has kept the key interest rate at just 0.25%. As a result, Japanese savers have turned to foreign currency investments, further weakening the Yen.
Currency depreciation has never led to greater competitiveness or long-term prosperity, and countries such as Argentina and Italy are examples of where such policies have failed to deliver the desired results. In contrast, countries such as Singapore, Norway and Switzerland remain at the top of global income rankings. We could also draw parallels with Germany's own departure from the "hard currency" club, as it and the wider Eurozone follow Japan's economic model.
Questions on my mind:
- Given Japan's current economic environment, how do we view on the long-term stability of the Yen?
- With Japanese wages stagnating, do we see opportunities in Japanese equities or sectors that could benefit from a weaker currency?
- How might Japan's refusal to raise interest rates affect foreign investment in the country over the next few years?
- Do you think the trend of low interest rates and currency depreciation will continue in the Eurozone and how might that affect global markets?
- In a scenario where Japan continues on this economic path, what other regions or emerging markets might offer better investment opportunities in comparison?
$JPINTR -Japan's Interest Rate (December/2024)ECONOMICS:JPINTR 3.6%
(December/2024)
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- The annual inflation rate in Japan jumped to 3.6% in December 2024 from 2.9% in the prior month, marking the highest reading since January 2023.
Food prices rose at the steepest pace in a year (6.4% vs 4.8% in November), with fresh vegetables and fresh food contributing the most to the upturn.
Further, electricity prices (18.7% vs 9.9%) and gas cost (5.6% vs 3.5%) increased at the fastest rate in four months with the absence of energy subsidies since May.
Additional upward pressure also came from housing (0.8% vs 0.9%), clothing (2.9% vs 2.6%), transport (1.1% vs 0.9%), furniture and household utensils (3.0% vs 3.7%), healthcare (1.7% vs 1.6%), recreation (4.0% vs 4.5%), and miscellaneous items (1.1% vs 1.1%).
In contrast, prices continued to fall for communication (-2.1% vs -3.0%) and education (-1.0% vs -1.0%).
The core inflation rate rose to a 16-month high of 3.0%, up from 2.7% in November and matching consensus. Monthly, the CPI increased by 0.6%, the highest figure in 14 months.
JP225/Nikkei 225 Index CFD Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the JP225/Nikkei 225 Index CFD market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout.
Buy entry above 39200.0
Sell Entry below 38200.0
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 40300.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
Bearish Robbers TP 37400.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Current Fundamentals:
Japanese Economy: The Japanese economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace, with a forecasted GDP growth rate of 1.2% for 2023.
Monetary Policy: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy, with a negative interest rate of -0.1% and a commitment to purchase Japanese government bonds (JGBs) to keep the 10-year yield around 0%.
Inflation: Japan's inflation rate has been rising, but it remains below the BOJ's target of 2%. The current inflation rate is around 0.5%.
Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China have had a negative impact on the Japanese economy, particularly on the country's export-oriented industries.
Upcoming News:
BOJ Interest Rate Decision: The BOJ is scheduled to announce its interest rate decision on March 18, 2023. The market expects the BOJ to maintain its current monetary policy stance.
Japanese GDP Growth: The Japanese government will release its GDP growth data for Q4 2022 on March 10, 2023. The market expects the economy to have grown at a moderate pace.
US-China Trade Talks: The US and China are scheduled to resume trade talks in March 2023. A positive outcome could boost the Japanese economy and the JP225.
Bullish Factors:
BOJ's Ultra-Loose Monetary Policy: The BOJ's commitment to maintaining its ultra-loose monetary policy could continue to support the Japanese stock market.
Weakening Yen: A weakening yen could boost Japan's export-oriented industries and support the JP225.
Improving Corporate Earnings: Japanese companies have been reporting improving earnings, which could support the JP225.
Bearish Factors:
Global Economic Slowdown: A global economic slowdown could negatively impact the Japanese economy and the JP225.
Trade Tensions: Escalating trade tensions between the US and China could negatively impact the Japanese economy and the JP225.
Rising Inflation: Rising inflation could lead to higher interest rates, which could negatively impact the Japanese stock market.
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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$JPIRYY -Japan Inflation Rate Highest in Near 2 YearsECONOMICS:JPIRYY 3.6%
(December/2024)
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- The annual inflation rate in Japan jumped to 3.6% in December 2024 from 2.9% in November,
marking the highest reading since January 2023 as food prices rose the most in a year.
Meanwhile, the core inflation rate climbed to a 16-month peak of 3%, in line with estimates.
Japanese inflation and BoJ rate decision coming upLet's have a look what may happen with MARKETSCOM:JAPAN225 and FX_IDC:USDJPY after we get the Japanese data on Friday.
We will be monitoring the data carefully, especially the rate decision, as it will be the first hike since July of last year.
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
Nikkei 225: When Will it Break Out of its Range?Chart Analysis:
The Japan 225 index remains within a clearly defined horizontal range, suggesting consolidation and indecision among market participants.
1️⃣ Key Resistance and Support Levels:
Resistance: The upper boundary near 40,236 serves as a key resistance, capping upside attempts.
Support: The lower boundary around 37,708 offers a critical level of demand, preventing deeper pullbacks.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
The 50-day SMA (blue) at 39,018 aligns closely with the current price, acting as a pivot point within the range.
The 200-day SMA (red) at 38,706 reflects the broader bullish structure and serves as a longer-term support level.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 53.12, reflecting neutral momentum with no immediate overbought or oversold signals.
MACD: Showing flat momentum near zero, consistent with range-bound trading conditions.
What to Watch:
A breakout above 40,236 or a breakdown below 37,708 will likely signal the next major directional move.
Watch for price action around the 50-day SMA for clues on short-term direction.
Monitor RSI and MACD for any divergence that could indicate an impending shift in momentum.
The Japan 225 is in consolidation mode, with well-defined boundaries providing traders with clear levels to monitor for potential breakout or breakdown scenarios.
-MW
JPN225 (The Nikkei) slowly being squeezed to the upsideTake a look at the daily chart - the flat top and an upward sloping trendline. You would agree that for the past 4 months, a slow squeeze to the upside has been happening. Price is now also above the 200dma and this gives me a bullish bias. Ideally, price being contained in the upper part of the triangle would be another factor of confluence. Another one or two bounces off the trendline will add more confirmation. The situation will become clearer in the next few days and continued build up to the bullish side will motivate me to go long with 42,400 as target.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk.
If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
$JPIRYY -Japan's CPI (November/2024)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
(November/2024)
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- The annual inflation rate in Japan climbed to 2.9% in November 2024 from 2.3% in the prior month, marking the highest reading since October 2023.
The core inflation rate rose to a 3-month high of 2.7% in November,
up from 2.3% in October and surpassing estimates of 2.6%.
Monthly, the CPI increased by 0.6%, the highest figure in 13 months.
$JPINTR - Japan's Interest RateECONOMICS:JPINTR
(Devember/2024)
source: Bank of Japan
-The Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained its key short-term interest rate at around 0.25% during its final meeting of the year, keeping it at the highest level since 2008 and meeting market consensus.
The vote was split 8-1, with board member Naoki Tamura advocating for a 25bps increase.
Thursday's decision came despite the US implementing its third rate cut this year, as the BoJ needed more time to assess certain risks, particularly US economic policies under Donald Trump and next year's wage outlook.
The board adhered to its assessment that Japan's economy is on track for a moderate recovery, despite some areas of weakness.
Private consumption continued its upward trend, aided by improving corporate profits and business spending. Meanwhile, exports and industrial output remained relatively flat.
On inflation, the YoY figures have ranged between 2.0% and 2.5%, driven by higher service prices.
Inflation expectations showed a moderate rise, and the underlying CPI is expected to add gradually.
"JP225 / NIKKEI225" Japanese Index Market Bullish Heist PlanHola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist "JP225 / NIKKEI225" Japanese Index Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe
Target 🎯 : 41.000
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TradeCityPro | NIKKEI 225 Market Trends and Key Levels👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Today, we’ll analyze the NIKKEI 225, the stock market index for the Tokyo Stock Exchange, identifying key entry and exit points.
🌏 Overview of NIKKEI 225’s Recent Movements
Recently, the NIKKEI 225 has experienced volatility due to:
Concerns over tech stocks - Yen appreciation. - Possible interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan , Declines in major stocks like SoftBank and Tokyo Electron have contributed to recent drops.
On the other hand, indices like the Hang Seng in Asia have performed better, supported by positive news about stock buybacks, highlighting contrasting trends in regional markets.
🕒 Weekly Timeframe Analysis
The primary trend remains bullish but shows weakness due to rejections near the key resistance at 41,185.
However, the formation of a higher low indicates weak sellers and supports a longer-term bullish outlook.
As long as the price stays above the curve line and critical support at 33,903, the bullish trend remains intact , Breaking 41,185 would confirm a new primary uptrend.
📆 Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, a rejection from the 40,104 resistance has led the price to consolidate within the range of 37,367 to 40,104.
This rejection has formed a Double Top pattern, a bearish structure.
Target for this pattern: After breaking 37,367, the price may drop towards 35,152.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
The price is currently in a range box, resting on critical daily support.
If this support at 37,747 breaks with selling pressure, a move towards 36,677 is likely.
💥 Short Trigger:
Confirmed break below daily support at 37,747 , Alternatively, a rejection from the trendline could also trigger a short position.
📈 Long Trigger:
If the price finds support and moves upward, breakouts above the trendline and the trigger level at 38,466 can confirm a long position.
📝 Final Thoughts
NIKKEI 225 remains in a pivotal zone, with key supports and resistances guiding potential moves. Ensure proper risk management and monitor price action at critical levels for optimal trade entries.
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
NIKKEI Long Trade Targets Await!NIKKEI Trade Details:
The Nikkei index on the hourly timeframe confirms a bullish setup, with a clear long entry signal as per the Risological swing trading indicator . The trend is gaining strength, and the chart suggests a potential move towards profit targets.
NIKKEI Key Levels:
Entry: 38304
Stop Loss (SL): 38004
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 38674
TP2: 39273
TP3: 39873
TP4: 40243
NIKKEI Analysis:
The chart indicates a recovery with higher lows and sustained buying pressure. The Risological trendline confirm the bullish trend, and momentum indicators align with the upward trajectory. With calculated risk, this trade offers a solid reward ratio.
NIKKEI Outlook:
Monitor for momentum consistency to hit targets. Stay alert for profit-locking opportunities at each target level to maximize gains. Watch out for resistance near higher levels to secure returns effectively.
Japan Nikkei index- just a quick post to show u something.
- As always everything is in the graphic.
- Now look at Japan Index closely.
- So a quick crash happened but look where Nikkei Bounced.
- i always speak in my posts that :
- " Supports are always turning to resistances ".
- " Resistances are always turning as supports ".
- Here you have a perfect exemple with Nikkei225.
- if u can trade Cryptos, u can trade anything else!
Happy Tr4Ding !
JP225 / NIKKEI 225 Index Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Ola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist JP225 / NIKKEI 225 Index Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
NIKKEI 225 INDEX: Breaks Out! TP1 Done – Higher Targets AwaitNIKKEI 225 INDEX Analysis:
The Nikkei Index shows promising bullish momentum on the 15-minute timeframe, with the first target (TP1) successfully reached using the Risological Swing Trading Indicator. This long trade setup suggests a potential continuation towards higher targets as buying pressure remains strong.
Key Trade Details:
Entry Level: 38,384.25
Target Levels:
TP1: 38,544.16 (Achieved ✅)
TP2: 38,802.91
TP3: 39,061.66
TP4: 39,221.57
Stop Loss: 38,254.88
Market Insight:
The Nikkei’s breakout reflects positive sentiment in the Japanese equity market, likely influenced by global economic factors and investor optimism. This upward movement aligns with a strengthening technical trend, supporting the possibility of reaching the remaining targets if the bullish momentum sustains.
Summary:
With TP1 already hit, traders eye the remaining targets. A tight stop loss below the recent breakout level offers protection while allowing for gains as the trade progresses towards TP2 and beyond.
Nikkei continues to hold back the bears.NIK225 - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 38870, resulting in improved risk/reward.
We look to Buy at 38870 (stop at 38550)
Our profit targets will be 39670 and 39820
Resistance: 39660 / 42155 / 45325
Support: 37705 / 36330 / 34955
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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