JPYUSD: The yen rally continuesAfter Bernanke visited Japan, and whispered into Kuroda's ear, the market reacted with a strong decline in the Yen, accompanied by a broad risk on rally that absorbed the Brexit losses. It's possible that this rally has topped, with all or most bears forced to cover their shorts, collaborating with the momentum run.
If you are a 'Key Hidden Levels' subscriber, one look at the RgMov indicator here will tell you what the main trend is, and when to enter long to rejoin this trend. It'll be a good idea to enter longs above today's high on Monday, with stops under today's low, or you can speculate on this new daily high, and just enter at market now. It's up to your risk aversion and discretion, just keep in mind the setup's rules involve buying the new daily high on Monday, and sacrificing a couple pips, for a lower risk entry.
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my real time whatsapp alerts and swing trading newsletter, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Nikkei 225 JPN225 CFD
JPN225 NikkeiBased on what I am taught, every time RSI hits 80 and above there should be a new high after retrace. There are 3 possible peaks in this picture, the lowest has already been breached. leaving the other 2. Same case as usual if there is a MACD gold cross in the future for this chart, I will be very careful. This is a monthly chart for study purpose; not trading.
How this pans out we will have to be patient. Each candle is a month so sit back and relax.
USDJPY: Critical level testedUSDJPY has hit the previous monthly uptrend mode, and is currently stuck inside this zone. It would be a colossal feat, for Yen bulls to drive the pair under this key level, so I will watch it with keen eyes during this week. I'll update the post with intraday and daily/weekly charts as needed. It would give us clues about the future of the S&P500 and Nikkei, if we see the smart money players start to accumulate long positions again.
After Monday's close, I'll add a 'Brexit key level' to the chart in an update, and will monitor price action closely from here onwards.
I labeled a monthly downtrend signal, as per the 'time at mode' method, comprised of 7 months worth, and a price target that was exceeded already. There are 2 bars left for this decline to potentially end, and send USDJPY back up to the highs, unless yen bulls are strong enough to push the pair below support. Keep your eyes wide open, this is a really significant level, and from here we might get a terrific trading opportunity once the direction is clear, wether the downtrend ends or it continues further down to the 2011 lows.
Check out my updated track record here: pastebin.com
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers!
Ivan Labrie
Link to Tim West's chatroom: www.tradingview.com
We discuss setups like this often there. Feel free to stop by and subscribe to his indicator pack. If you have any questions ask.
Risk disclaimer: My analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance0.57% on such information.
(D) Correction > Breakout > Oversold > BullsFX:JPN225
Waiting price action to print a bearish corrective structure (reduce time frame), trade the breakout, wait for oversold rsi conditions for an eventual reversal trade, targeting the top of most recent structure.
Eventual Bearish Bat pattern at 88.6% retracement @19395$
Safe Trades;
JPN225 4h Elliot wave and pattern analysisOn the 4h chart a Head & Shoulders pattern is in progress. If price breaks the neckline, the target is +- 14700 based on measuring the gap between the neckline and the head. PLUS on this point is also a trendline which can provide support for the price. The 2 possible Elliot Wave scenarios that I have in mind are:
Scenario 1(blue scenario): Wave IV has finished, currently riding wave 2 down of V up. This scenario is invalid if price sets a lower low.
And:
Scenario 2(pink scenario): Currently riding wave c down of IV down. Target +- 14700. This scenario becomes invalid if price sets a higher high.
Personally I favor Scenario 2(the pink scenario) because then most parts of my puzzle come together (Head & Shoulders pattern, EW count, Trendlines etc.)
A possible strategy could be: SHORT position if price breaks the neckline with a Stop Loss of : 16845 (1 point above high of JUN 6) and Take Profit of: 14750 (a little above the target and trendline).
Please click HERE if you want to see the full analysis!
Have a nice weekend and happy trading!
Jouke Hartman