Jpy
Buy AUD/JPY Bullish ChannelThe AUD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 101.04, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 101.94
2nd Support – 102.54
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EURJPY bottomed on the 1D MA50. +5.40% upside potential.The EURJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 16 Low. Yesterday it made a Higher Low on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and rebounded. This is identical to the post December 07 2023 Channel Up, which was also supported by its 1D MA50 until its very top (July 11 2024).
The 1D RSI sequences between the two fractals are also similar and even more importantly the Channel Up patterns appear to have a high degree of symmetry. So far the two Bullish Legs have risen by +5.40%.
As a result, we are expecting another +5.40% from yesterday's bottom, so our Target is just below it at 170.000.
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Bearish reversal?NZD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 92.00
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 92.46
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 91.12
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Potential bullish bounce off overlap support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 154.69
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 153.62
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 156.56
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPJPY First 1D Golden Cross after 19 months. Strong BUY.The GBPJPY pair is forming today a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first such pattern in exactly 19 months (April 21 2023). Naturally this is a huge bullish signal alone, as technically the Golden Cross calls for upside action. But more specifically for this pair's price action, it indicates the high probability of an immediate aggressive push as the current formation is very similar to the April 2023 one.
As you can see, both were trading within a Channel Up up to the moment of the Golden Cross, having started after a 1W MA100 (red trend-line) test. The 1D CCI trading on Higher Lows below -100.00 (oversold) is a confirmation that the price Channel Up breaks aggressively to the upside.
The previous Golden Cross pushed the price just above the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, to a +18.40% rise. Throughout this time, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting the uptrend.
As a result, we turn long now on GBPJPY, targeting 215.000 (just above the 3.0 Fib extension).
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Could the price reverse from here?NZD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Entry: 91.99
1st Support: 91.10
1st Resistance: 92.44
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY Trade IdeaUSD is in bullish , which means all other weak currencies should be bearish.
As you can see in the chart of FX:USDJPY weekly open is holding as a support. once it breaks this support and holds it as a resistance, I will short it with this confirmation, and put stop loss at previous candle high. And tp would be current year mid.
I will keep you updated with all my trades.
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 19, 2024 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) rose against its US counterpart during Tuesday's Asian session, although it lacked bullish confidence amid uncertainty over the timing of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) next interest rate hike. In addition to this, risk-on sentiment reflected in the overall positive tone in the equity markets may be contributing to the safe-haven yen's decline.
That said, geopolitical risks and lower US Treasury yields could prevent a significant downside for the low-yielding yen. In addition, speculation that Japanese authorities may intervene to support the national currency may deter bears from aggressively betting on the yen. The focus will now shift to Japan's consumer inflation data and global PMIs due out later this week.
Japan's Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa said Tuesday that “it is crucial to raise wages for all generations with an economic package.”
He also noted that he is “aiming for the cabinet to approve the economic package soon.”
At the time of writing the analysis, the USD/JPY pair is consolidating on the latest round of declines just above the 154.10 level, having lost 0.36% on the day.
Trade recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Could the price rise from here?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 154.66
1st Support: 153.44
1st Resistance: 156.54
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDJPY to find buyers at current swing low?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
The selloff is close to an exhaustion count on the daily chart.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 90.50.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further downside before the uptrend returns.
We look to Buy at 90.50 (stop at 90.25)
Our profit targets will be 91.50 and 92.00
Resistance: 91.20 / 91.50 / 92.00
Support: 90.25 / 90.00 / 89.70
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Sell USD/JPY Bearish FlagThe USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 154.42, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 153.18
2nd Support – 152.55
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Pullback resistance ahead?NZD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 91.37
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 92.38
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 90.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR/JPY Bearish Setup: Supply Zone Rejects, New Lows in Sight!After a significant bearish move, price is consolidating and appears to be respecting the supply zone, suggesting a continuation of the downtrend.
Support Levels:
Immediate target support at 162.263.
Extended target at 160.207.
A potential bearish scenario with price rejecting the supply zone, targeting the mentioned support levels.
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 162.263 (first support level).
TP2: 160.207 (extended support level).
USD/JPY:Yen Recovers as Interventions and Geopolitical Tensions The Japanese Yen has gained some ground against the U.S. Dollar, leading the USD/JPY pair to settle at 154.30 on Friday. This recovery is fueled by speculation that Japanese authorities may intervene in the foreign exchange market to support the domestic currency. Additionally, rising geopolitical tensions are providing further backing for the safe-haven JPY.
Though the Yen is finding support, a slight decline in the U.S. Dollar is also helping to limit the upward movement of the currency pair. As noted in our previous discussion, the Dollar Index (DXY) appeared poised for a retracement. However, at the time of writing, the USD has managed to regain some strength against the JPY, trading around 154.72.
Analysis from the Commitment of Traders (COT) report suggests a potential reversal in the market's direction. Furthermore, historical seasonality trends indicate a possible shift toward bearish conditions, reflecting patterns observed over the last decade. This raises the possibility of continued bearish momentum for the USD/JPY pair moving forward.
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GBPJPY SELL IDEAThis is just my idea, if you're just starting out its important for you to stick with your own analyst. I don't care if your setup is dead wrong... Learn from it, adjust and try again.
I'm waiting for a breakout to the downside to enter again.
I have 2 targets inmind:
195.886 and 197.000
Once they get reach, I'll look for breakouts to the downside.
I'm looking at 189.858 for my TP .
Previous entry: 199.500 to 195.886.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 154.69
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 155.23
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 153.90
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURJPY | MarketoutlookThe policy divergence between the US Fed and SNB supports the pair at lower levels.
Jobless claims dropped to 227,000 for the week ending October 19, down from 242,000 the week before, suggesting some stability in the labor market. The four-week moving average rose by 6,750, reaching 231,000, which indicates that jobless claims are still showing fluctuations despite the recent decline.
The S&P Global Flash U.S. Manufacturing PMI increased slightly to 47.8 in October, up from 47.3 in September. However, this still shows that manufacturing activity is contracting for the fourth month in a row. On the other hand, the Flash Services PMI rose to 51.5, indicating modest growth in the services sector, which is important since it makes up a large part of the U.S. economy.
USD/JPY: USD Faces Correction Ahead of Key Retail Sales DataThe Japanese Yen has strengthened as the US Dollar begins to correct downward in anticipation of upcoming Retail Sales data. Japan's GDP annualized growth for the third quarter was reported at 0.9%, a notable decline from the 2.2% growth seen in the second quarter. In response to currency market volatility, Japan’s Finance Minister Kato emphasized his commitment to taking necessary measures to counter excessive fluctuations in foreign exchange rates.
From a technical analysis perspective, the current price indicates a rebound in an area where multiple supply zones converge, suggesting the potential for a pullback of the USD against the JPY. Retail traders continue to show a bullish stance towards the US Dollar, while other market participants appear uncertain or bearish in their outlook.
Given the significant rally in the USD that followed the Trump election victory, we are observing for a possible correction. As these dynamics play out, attention to price patterns and broader economic indicators will be essential for traders navigating this market environment.
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USD/JPY is still in its upward trendBy examining the trend in the one-hour time frame, USD/JPY has an important support range in the range of 153.38-154.02.
In general, this scenario is reinforced that USD/JPY can increase in price up to the resistance of the channel ceiling in the range of 158.08, provided that there is no closing of the four-hour candle time below the important support interval in the range of 153.38-154.02.
USDJPY: Buy opportunity inside the 1H MA200 and 4H MA100.USDJPY is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.138, MACD = 1.880, ADX = 50.518) which perfectly explains the Channel Up it's been trading in since October 8th. At the moment the price is on an aggressive bearish wave, which got accelerated today as it was rejected on the 1H MA50. The result is so far a direct hit on the 1H MA200 for the first time since Nov 10th. The last two HL were on the 4H MA100 however, so there is still some more room to fall but even on the current level the reward largely outweighs the risk. We are just over the 0.5 Fibonacci level afterall, which is where the November 5th low was formed. We're long, aiming for a +3.20% rise (TP = 158.500).
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