#CHFJPYIn a floor above the range of 137.512 A: We are building a floor in the form of a triangle pattern in the range of 139.543 to 142.344.
Now we are exactly on a static resistance area of 142.438. It is expected that by breaking it, we will experience a growth of up to 50% of the triangle pattern up to 143.859 area, which will be exactly on the static resistance area of X.
If the X area is broken, we can expect growth up to the next resistance in the area of 144.772 and after that we have the completion of the expected harmonic pattern in the area of 145.716.
At each step of the steps, you can decide on the continuation of the process and the amount of correction. But in general, the goal is to complete the pattern in the area of 145.716.
JPY (Japanese Yen)
CHFJPY - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 300 PIP ) 💲Pair Name : CHF/JPY
🗨Time Frame : 4hrs
➕Scale Type : Large Scale
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🗒 spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most important points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
✔️ Key Technical / Direction ( / Long )
Type : Mid Term Swing
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Bullish Break
142.800 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Pattern Break Out
- Visible Range Lvn
- Day / Week High Break
- High Traded Volume Zone
Bearish Reversal
145.850 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Pattern Target
- Visible Range Poc Area
- Fixed Range Value
- Fibo Golden Area
CHFJPY - Video Top-Down Analysis!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for CHFJPY .
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
CHFJPY I It will fall from resistance 100 pipsWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
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CHFJPY - Short from here ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CHFJPY .
I expect here bearish price action as price raid buy stop liquidity and rejected from bearish order block + institutional big figure 142.000. I see price to take out sell stop liquidity below equal lows.
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CHFJPY LONG TRADE PROJECTIONCHFJPY is holding a consolidation and here we have two possibilities. With the recent rise up from the bottom support, expecting the price to do a bullish breakout and follow the pinned target price level. Any chance of a bearish breakout on the support will flip the setup and expectation over the confirmation.
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Federal Reserve's Recent Interest Rate Hike and its Impact | 2.1The Federal Reserve raised the target range for the federal funds rate by 0.25% to 4.5%–4.75% in its February 2023 meeting. This was a smaller increase than the previous meeting and pushed borrowing costs to the highest level since 2007. Policymakers expect to raise the target range further to reach a restrictive monetary policy that will help bring inflation to 2%. The Fed Chair, Powell, said that the disinflation process has just started and that interest rates are not yet restrictive enough. The dollar index fell 1% after the announcement as investors saw a more dovish tone from the Fed. The future of interest rates will depend on the cumulative impact of monetary policy, economic and financial developments, and the time it takes for monetary policy to affect the economy and inflation.
The stock market reacted positively to Powell's comments, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all finishing higher. Companies like Snap, Peloton, and Advanced Micro Devices also had significant changes in their stock prices after reporting earnings. The US Stock Market Index (US30) is expected to be at 32863.60 points at the end of the quarter and 29734.22 in 12 months.
The ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 47.4 in January, the lowest since May 2020 during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. This indicated a third consecutive contraction in factory activity as companies slowed their output to match demand and prepare for growth in the second half of 2023. Other indicators such as new orders, production, and backlogs of orders also declined, while supplier deliveries and the price index increased. Employment rose slightly, but companies are positive about the future and do not plan to substantially reduce headcounts.
CHFJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Hello,Friends!
Based on the technical analysis
And the recent minor fundamental news
CHFJPY looks bullish to me overall
I think market-makers will be pushing the pair up
That is why we are going long!
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Week ahead 1/29/2023 The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and the US non-farm payrolls report are the most highly anticipated events in the US, as savvy investors like myself keep a close eye on the economy. The inflation numbers have shown signs of cooling, giving me hope that the Federal Reserve might slow down its monetary policy tightening with a modest 25 bps rate hike on Wednesday.
Meanwhile, Europe's central banks are expected to raise interest rates by 50 bps on Thursday, with the European Central Bank and the Bank of England leading the charge in their aggressive campaign against inflation. I'll also be following key reports on growth, inflation, and unemployment for the Euro Area , Germany , Italy , France , and Spain .
Across the pond, China 's PMI data will be in the spotlight as the world watches the first gauge of the world's second-largest economy after the government transitioned away from its zero-Covid policy. In Japan , I'll be following consumer confidence figures, housing starts, industrial production, retail sales, and unemployment rate.
Down under, Australia will have a packed week with the Ai Group Manufacturing Index for January and retail sales, housing credit, and building permits for December. In New Zealand , I'll be following the December trade balance and fourth-quarter labor market figures.
So, to summarize, here's what we have in store this week:
US:
Federal Reserve's interest rate decision
US non-farm payrolls report
ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs
JOLTs Job Openings
ADP private payrolls
S&P Global PMIs
Earnings season with prominent companies reporting (AMD, Meta Platforms, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, and Qualcomm)
Europe:
European Central Bank and Bank of England interest rate hike
Eurozone inflation, growth, and unemployment reports
Germany's prices and trade
Euro Area business survey
Switzerland's KOF leading indicators
Turkey's inflation rate
January's manufacturing and services PMIs
Asia:
China's PMI data
Japan's consumer confidence, housing starts, industrial production, retail sales, and unemployment rate
India's Union Budget and January PMIs
South Korea's inflation and trade data
Australia and New Zealand:
Ai Group Manufacturing Index and retail sales
Housing credit, building permits, and trade balance
Labor market figures
USD/CHF for weekend ending 1/29/2023The Swiss franc recently dropped to 0.92 per USD, retreating from its 1-year high of 0.916 on January 16th. As I assess the situation, I consider the outlook of monetary tightening by both the Swiss National Bank and the Federal Reserve .
The recent slowdown in Swiss inflation has limited the expectations for further rate hikes by the SNB. According to December's inflation data, the rate fell to 2.8%, below the SNB's target of 3% and market expectations of 2.9%. Despite this, the Chairman of the SNB, Jordan, has stated that further rate hikes shouldn't be ruled out, as second-round inflationary pressures still linger in the country's economy. Last year, the SNB raised its key rate by 175bps, taking borrowing costs out of negative territory for the first time since 2011.
According to our neural network based forecasting model, the Swiss Franc is estimated to reach 0.93 by the end of this quarter. The same model and market analysts predict that the Swiss Franc will reach 0.98 in 12 months.
CHFJPY - AMD Pattern Confirmation ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CHFJPY.
Here we have AMD Pattern Confirmation and also price formed normal divergence + rejected from institutional big figure 142.000. I expect price to distribute even lower.
‼️Attention!!! Due to the fact that we have a lot of news events upcoming week, the analysis can be invalidated.
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The week of 23 Jan CHFJPY – Opportunity to grab +1300 pips … butBut do you have the discipline and patience??
This pair has been rising since June 2021 but things may be changing now. As my daily chart shows, price has crossed below the 200 SMA and has just retested it from below. Also important is the fact that it has been rejected with a nice pin bar on a daily basis. It is not the nicest looking downtrend but the sequence of lower highs and lower lows is very much present. We have enough evidence that the market is not accepting high prices.
As I said above, there is the potential of more than a thousand pips here. But holding on for a long period is not easy, it requires:
- a wide stop loss say +300 pips (to be above 143.10)
- total belief in this trade for a few months.
- the ability to see the market go against you multiple times.
- patience to hold the trade for an extended period of time.
- overcome the urge to move the stop to break even too early.
If you can do all that, this may be a great opportunity to obtain massive profits. This may be an early stage of a downtrend and if it continues and strengthens, it could last a long time. Otherwise, hold that bearish bias for several months and look to take multiple smaller trades as this pair makes its way to the downside.
Nothing is 100% in trading, but I have a high degree of confidence in this trade.
As always, use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades.
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What do you think about this trade idea? Please comment and share your thoughts!!
AUDCHF I Short from top of channelWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
**AUDCHF Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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