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US bond bloodbath powers USD/JPY above key levelHigher US Treasury yields has propelled USD/JPY through the 200DMA and 151.95, the latter an important technical level corresponding with prior episodes of Bank of Japan intervention. If it manages to hold above 151.95, traders could consider buying the break with a tight stop either below it or the 200DMA for protection. There's little visible resistance evident until above 155, and even then it's minor. 155.40 is one potential target. Given yield differentials between the US and Japan, you could argue USD/JPY should be higher based on where it traded earlier this year when spreads sat at similar levels.
TVC:US02YLong
by FOREXcom
1
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 152.59 1st Support: 150.36 1st Resistance: 154.71 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
GBPJPY: Medium term correction.GBPJPY is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.018, MACD = 1.270, ADX = 45.334) but on a decreasing rate as the aggressive rise has taken a pause and the price, despite inside a Channel Up since August, has turned sideways since October 4th on the 4H MA50. We expect the bearish wave of the Channel Up to start any day now. Even though the previous targeted the 0.618 Fib, we will aim for the 0.5 this time (TP = 190.000) as the decline may start a little higher than the current price. Keep in mind that the best trigger to sell will be a 1D MACD Bearish Cross. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
GBPJPY H4 - Short Signal GBPJPY H4 We have made a slight adjustment to our trading zone here on GBPJPY. Moving the zone from 195 psychological price, up 60 points to around 195.600. Slight adjustments to accommodate for the recent high press attempts. Supply and resistance no doubt evident on this 195.600 price, stops now covering recent wick high prices of 196.100, with a breathing space of 5-10 points. We are ranging really nicely here, whilst stops may seem quite large, this is a fast moving pair, and the profit target it also large. This pair has been moving 100’s of points in very quick succession over the past few weeks. The range measures a healthy 200-250 points until support price/TP target.
Short
by Trade_Simple_FX
USDJPY moves sideways on positive conditionsAs the US presidential election is approaching, uncertainties will become the main focus of the market. Signs that former President Donald Trump's chances of winning the November election are increasing could contribute to the dollar's overall performance. can keep US interest rates high, thus increasing the appeal of the USD. In the short term, the Bank of Japan's policy statement on October 31 is a notable factor in the near term for USD/JPY and the Bank of Japan's clear attitude towards the adjustment should be observed. On the daily chart, OANDA:USDJPY continues to move sideways but in terms of the overall picture, the possibility of price increases still prevails. The main uptrend is noted by the price channel with key support at EMA21, and as long as USD/JPY remains above EMA21 and within the price channel, it still has a technical upside prospect in the near term. On the other hand, once USD/JPY breaks the confluence of the upper channel edge along with the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level it will have room to continue rising with a target then around 151.866 in the short term, more than Fibonacci level 0.618%. The relative strength index is flat above 50 but has not yet reached the overbought area, showing that there is still room for price growth ahead. The general assessment, trend and outlook of USD/JPY is technically bullish and notable levels will be listed as follows. Support: 149.364 – 148.823 – 148.113 Resistance: 150,739 – 151,866
by Xayah_trading
Usdjpy still seems upside but having zig zag moveHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Price actions still whips in a wedge, but general direction still up unless the structure fails. Let's watch this coming week for clearer picture! Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
USDJPY ready to fly! FA: USDJPY 🏛 Pressure on the yen is exerted by data on inflation in Japan. Thus, the national consumer price index in September decreased from 3% to 2.5%, while the index excluding food and energy prices slightly increased from 2% to 2.1%. The current inflation dynamics is unlikely to contribute to the realization of the Bank of Japan's plans for further tightening of monetary policy. At the same time, the regulator has repeatedly noted that it will not change monetary parameters during the period of high volatility in the market. 📊 In turn, the dollar received additional support after the release of data on consumer activity in the United States. Thus, retail sales in September rose from 0.1% to 0.4%. TA: 1. Uptrend on 1h time frame 2. Test ob on news in deep discount and nice bounce from it 4. Insane pin bar ( hammer ) on 1h time frame 3. liquidity sweep of Asian low 5. PDH as main target
Long
by Almenio
2
AUD/JPY looks on the verge of a breakoutAnother strong employment report for Australia helped the Aussie dollar gain traction on Thursday. And with Wall Street stocks remaining supported amid a weak-yen environment, AUD/JPY could be nearing a bullish breakout. AUD/JPY found support at the 200-day SMA on Wednesday and formed a bullish engulfing candle on Thursday. The 2-year AU-JP yield differential also appears set for another leg higher, which could help AUD/JPY break out of a potential bull flag. The 102 handle sits near the monthly R1 pivot, making it an interim target. A break above which brings the June low and 103 handle into focus. - Bulls could seek dips to the 100 handle and target the 102 and 103 handles - A downside risk for this pair is if we enter a period of risk off - A break beneath Wednesday's low invalidates the bullish bias MS
Long
by CityIndex
USDJPY: 1H Rising Wedge approaching its top.USDJPY is almost overbought on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 69.322, MACD = 0.160, ADX = 19.927) as the price is approaching the top (HH) of the 10 day Rising Wedge. A 74.00 RSI has been the most optimal sell signal during the three past highs to start shorting. Wait for the opportunity and target the 0.5 Fib at least (TP = 149.645) as it has been the minimum target during the last two bearish waves. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 17, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is down to 149.400 despite the US Dollar (USD) strengthening during Asian trading on Thursday. Later on Thursday, US retail sales data will come to the fore, which is estimated to rise to 0.3% in September from 0.1% in the previous reading. The US economic data showed a resilient economy, with inflation rising slightly more than expected in September. This, in turn, could boost the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen (JPY). LSEG calculations put the probability of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in November at nearly 100%, while the probability of the Fed pausing and keeping the federal funds rate in the target range of 4.75-5.0% is just 0.2%. Nevertheless, ongoing geopolitical risks and uncertainty surrounding the U.S. election could strengthen safe-haven flows, which would favor the yen. A plan for Israel's response to an Iranian attack this month is ready, CNN reported. U.S. officials expect it to happen before the U.S. presidential election. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said separately that Israel opposes a “unilateral ceasefire” in the war with Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon. On Friday, investors await national consumer price index (CPI) data for September for a fresh boost. The CPI excluding fresh food is expected to fall to 2.3% in September from 2.8% in August. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 150.000, when fixing above consider Buy positions, when rebounding consider Sell positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bearish drop?NZD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could fall from this level to our take profit. Entry: 90.71 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 91.02 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 90.20 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBPJPY Pull back signalGBPJPY is trading on a Channel Up but has turne sideways recently, indicating a potential top. The last major formation has been a Death Cross (1d) and last time we had one was on January 17 2023. The similarities between the two patterns are strong. The MA200 (1d) is holding for now, if it breaks it will be the sell trigger for the trade. Trading Plan: 1. Sell if the MA200 (1d) breaks. Targets: 1. 188.600 (above the 0.786 Fib). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is also trading inside a Channel Up and also portrays similar attributes as the 2023 fractal. Please like, follow and comment!!
Short
by TradingBrokersView
CHFJPY: Technically topped. Short opportunity.CHFJPY is on bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 59.579, MACD = 1.000, ADX = 53.750) but for the past 2 days have deen declining. This suggests that the top is has been priced and a technical pullback is to follow. The 1D MACD is on the verge of a Bearish Cross. All previous uptrend corrections hit or came close ot the 0.618 Fib. Consequently, we turn bearish on the short term (TP = 170.000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
GBP/JPY : Technical Analysis and a signal!hello guys! it is a risky position!! Rising Channel: The price has been trending upward within a well-defined ascending channel. However, it is currently testing the upper boundary of this channel. Resistance Zone (Red Box): Strong resistance is seen around the 196.117 level. The price attempted to break through this resistance but faced rejection multiple times, suggesting a bearish reversal could be imminent. Support Levels (Green Area): There’s a key support level of around 187.953. This support aligns with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, making it a potential target for any upcoming bearish move. Bearish Momentum: The price shows signs of weakness as it struggles below the red resistance zone. A corrective move downwards is expected, with the first target around the 190.000 psychological level, followed by a potential drop to the 187.953 support zone. Risk-Reward Setup: The chart shows a clear risk/reward scenario, where a break below the 194.462 zone may trigger a sell-off towards lower levels.
Short
by melikatrader94
2
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 149.51 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 150.33 Why we like it: There is a resistance level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 148.42 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Bearish breakout?CAD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could breakout to the 1st support level. Pivot: 108.03 1st Support: 106.91 1st Resistance: 108.68 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
Potential bullish reversal?NZD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance level which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 90.25 1st Support: 89.88 1st Resistance: 90.61 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USD/JPY Remains Strong as JPY Struggles for Upside The USD/JPY pair continued its upward trend on Tuesday, maintaining strength despite limited upside potential for the Japanese Yen (JPY). The JPY's inability to gain ground is largely attributed to ongoing uncertainty surrounding the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) rate-hike plans. Coupled with a generally positive risk tone in the markets, this has kept the JPY, traditionally seen as a safe-haven currency, from making any meaningful gains. US Data and Market Outlook Tuesday’s economic calendar for the US is relatively quiet, with no major data releases expected. However, the spotlight will turn to Thursday’s key economic reports, which include the USD Core Retail Sales (m/m), Retail Sales (m/m), and Unemployment Claims. These reports are expected to inject more volatility into the market and could influence the trajectory of the US Dollar and other major currency pairs, including USD/JPY. Given the strength of the USD near its two-month peak, the upcoming data could further support the dollar, limiting any potential upside for the lower-yielding JPY. The US Dollar's resilience continues to exert pressure on the JPY, keeping the pair on a bullish path. Technical Outlook: USD/JPY Targeting 152.000 From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY pair appears poised to extend its rally, with a potential target around the 152.000 level. This area could be reached following the release of the key US economic reports on Thursday, which may provide the necessary momentum for further gains. The technical outlook is supported by the broader strength of the USD and the lack of strong upside drivers for the JPY. The chart of JPY futures also reflects the challenging environment for the Yen, signaling continued weakness. Chart Overview: JPY Futures Chart As shown in the chart, the JPY remains under pressure in the futures market, further confirming our outlook for continued USD/JPY strength. Strategy: Patience is Key After successfully closing our previous USD/JPY trade in profit, we are now waiting for a more favorable area to enter a new position. With key economic data on the horizon, patience remains essential as we await clearer signals from the market. In conclusion, the USD/JPY pair is likely to maintain its bullish trend in the near term, with a potential target of 152.000. The combination of US Dollar strength and uncertainty surrounding the BoJ’s rate policy should keep the Yen on the defensive, at least until there are clearer indications of future central bank actions. For now, we remain on the sidelines, waiting for the next opportunity to re-enter the market. PREVIOUS CLOSED POSITION: ✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
1
USDJPY - 4H Sell SetupFX:USDJPY is displaying a clear technical setup for a bearish move. After a significant pullback following a sharp fall, the pair failed to surpass the resistance zone around 149. This area has proven strong as the price action was unable to hold above it, trapping liquidity just above the resistance. The price then rejected this zone with a sharp reversal. Additionally, the second attempt to break through the resistance further confirms the weakness, as liquidity hunting above the resistance has been met with selling pressure. This rejection, combined with the failed breakout, suggests the pair is likely to fall towards the lower targeted support zone, potentially setting up a strong shorting opportunity in the near term. This aligns with fundamental factors, including expectations of slower rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, Japan faces a cautious stance on raising interest rates, which has kept the yen under pressure. However, recent economic data from Japan, such as rising producer prices and decreased lending activity, suggests a shift may be underway, supporting further yen strength and a potential fall in USDJPY. Traders should watch for a continuation of this move, as the failed attempts to breach resistance and the liquidity grab signal further downside pressure.
Short
by Sober_Trading
2
ICT Long setup on NZDJPY👋Hello Traders, Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H1 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in NZDJPY for session trade (a couple of hours) Here is a session trade idea (since it is near support surface, we should use small lot size) Please refer to the details Stop loss, Buy Zone,open for take profit. For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview. Have a good day! Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
Long
by ICT_Trader_SB
2
Bullish momentum to extend?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 78.6% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 149.32 1st Support: 147.24 1st Resistance: 152.02 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets