GBPJPY Confirmed long-term buy opportunity.The GBPJPY pair has recovered the late July sell-off and inserted again back within the 2-year Channel Up and even closed the last 2 weeks above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). The latter technically confirmed the bottom and the start of the new Bullish Leg.
The first Bullish Leg of the Channel Up reached the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, the second aimed even higher, so our 218.00 Target towards the peak of the Sine Wave appears to technically be a modest long-term Target.
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Jpy
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 146.03
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 149.15
Why we like it
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 142.17
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 145.20
1st Support: 142.21
1st Resistance: 146.97
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY Potential UpsideHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a buying opportunity around 189.700 zone, GBPJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 189.700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Potential bullish rise?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 145.20
1st Support: 144.16
1st Resistance: 147.93
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY Is Approaching a decent support areaHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 145.500 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 145.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY Strong buy opportunity long-term.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the October 17 2022 High. The recent 6-week correction below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) is its technical Bearish Leg in order to price new Higher Low.
The pull-back even broke below the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) but recovered as it didn't close a 1W candle below it and now the price action has settled within the 1W MA50 and MA100.
If we do get a 1W candle closing below the MA100, wait for a buy near the bottom of the Channel Up, with the least risky buy being after the 1W MACD makes a Bullish Cross (has confirmed the last 2 major long-term rallies).
If it breaks above the 1W MA50 first though, the 1W MACD will most likely also complete its Bullish Cross earlier, so we will buy nonetheless, even though the reward potential will be less. In either case, our Target is Resistance 1 (as it was on the rally that peaked on the week of November 13 2023) at 161.800.
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Bullish rise?GBP/JPY has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 189.50
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 185.03
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 195.91
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/JPY pick your side - Because this isn't easyI was asked to do an analysis on GBP/JPY
And It's like trying to get blood out of a stone.
It's premature right now and I just can't see any definitive direction.
By intuition, I would say I am more bullish than bearish.
There is a Potential Falling Flag and a Potential Cup and Handle forming on it and the price definitely needs to go higher to close above.
Then I'll have more leeway for doing a proper analysis.
The target I guess is at 205.86
Nature: MPT
Price<20 and <200
Potential bullish rise?EUR/JPY is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 161.19
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 157.59
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 165.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 145.97
1st Support: 144.16
1st Resistance: 147.31
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Does the USD/JPY Bounce Have More to Give? Does the USD/JPY Bounce Have More to Give?
Credit Agricole anticipates a potential rally in USD/JPY this week, hinging on market reactions to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming address at Jackson Hole. The bank suggests that traders might need to recalibrate their expectations for Fed rate cuts.
Current market sentiment, as reflected in the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, shows a 77.5% probability of a 25 basis-point rate cut and a 22.5% chance of a 50 basis-point cut. Goldman Sachs’ chief economist, David Mericle, also aligns with the 25 basis-point outlook for September, downplaying the likelihood of a more aggressive move.
The focus will be on Powell’s speech, scheduled for Friday at 10 a.m. ET. Should Powell strike a less dovish tone than expected, key resistance levels at 150.00 and 152.00 could be tested, with the potential for USD/JPY to surge even higher.
$USDJPY Carry trade unwind to continue? $131-108 targetsFX:USDJPY looks like it's set to fall further here.
Equities took a hit when USDJPY went from 152 to 142. Now you can see that price rallied back up into resistance at 148, rejected it and looks set to fall more unless price can recover that 148 resistance.
I could see another move down into that 131 level, however, there's a possibility that price can fall much more than that.
I could potentially see a move all the way down to 115 -108 before price finds support. Those levels would be a successful retest of the bottoming structure price broke out from. After those levels get tested, then I think USDJPY will enter a long-term bull market.
Let's see how this plays out over the coming months.
Potential bullish rise?USD/JPY is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 145.50
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 142.10
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 149.39
Why we like it:
There is a an overlap resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CHFJPY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring CHFJPY for a selling opportunity around 170 zone, CHFJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 170 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Asian Currencies May Stall as Jackson Hole Looms Investors will be watching a series of key Asian central bank decisions and inflation reports this week, as regional currencies rally to annual highs.
The Bank of Korea is set to announce its rate decision on Thursday, followed by inflation data from Japan and Singapore on Friday.
The U.S. dollar's slide resumed from last week, with markets embracing a risk-on sentiment. The yen climbed past 146 per dollar, marking its strongest level in nearly two weeks. Further selling could open up the 140.450 mark.
However, Bank of America sees the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium as a game-changer, with Fed Chair Powell possibly striking a more hawkish tone, which could strengthen the dollar. This could make the Asian currencies trades interesting considering the risk-on sentiment that has helped push them to multi-month and yearly highs.
The South Korean won has surged to a five-month high, as the central bank is unlikely to cut interest rates this week. The BOK is expected to maintain its policy rate at 3.50%.
The Singapore dollar has also extended its gains, reaching an 18-month high.
JPY, key to all other indexesJPY vs USD, key to the other index developments. As long as it holds its trendline, JPY will remain week vs the other global currencies, Japan exports will hold, carry trade arbitrages won't unwind, US bonds will not sell off (rising yields), volatility will remain contained.
But if it breaks and doesn't hold the 139JPY/$, we could witness how algos start dumping US and Euro shares and bonds. Rising JPY should also affect the Nikkei 225, retaking the path to 30k
Bullish reversal?EUR/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 159.97
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop [ loss: 157.59
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 164.87
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish reversal?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement t and could reverse to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 145.58
1st Support: 143.99
1st Resistance: 149.29
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDJPY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring NZDJPY for a selling opportunity around 90.800 zone, NZDJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 90.800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
How to track the US dollar's direction?A lowering of U.S. interest rates may be necessary, but the downside risk is a weaker USD. And a significantly weaker dollar may cause inflation to creep back up again.
Today, I will share a little hack on how to track and preempt the U.S. dollar’s direction.
To conclude:
Long-term - Down
Mid-term - Range to a breaking point
Currencies Futures and Options
Minimum fluctuation:
0.00005 per AUD increment = $5.00
0.00005 per CAD increment = $5.00
0.00005 CHF increment = $6.25
0.000050 per Euro increment = $6.25
0.0001 per GBP increments = $6.25
0.0000005 per JPY increment = $6.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com