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CAD/JPY breaks trend lineAlong with other yen crosses, the CAD/JPY has been printing bearish price action this week amid rising expectations that the BoJ will tighten its belt next week. The narrowing of yield differential between Japan and those of the rest of the world have helped to put some downward pressure on the al JPY pairs. Having broken the 108.55-108.90 support area (shaded in red), this area may now turn into resistance upon re-test from below. The next level of support is seen around 107.50/60 area, followed by the longer-term bullish trend line. Should this trend line also break down then we could see an accelerated move lower in the coming days. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Short
by FOREXcom
Gold (xauusd) indicating a bullish trend on the 2-hour timeframeBased on the provided chart: ### Key Observations: 1. **Trend**: The price is trading within an upward-sloping channel, indicating a bullish trend on the 2-hour timeframe. 2. **Structure**: - BOS (Break of Structure) and ChoCh (Change of Character) annotations highlight the market respecting structure levels while maintaining its upward trajectory. - Recent formations suggest a continuation of the bullish trend after a corrective phase. 3. **Cup Formation**: A rounded bottom ("cup") pattern is visible, often interpreted as a bullish continuation signal. The breakout above the rim of the cup suggests potential further upside movement. 4. **Targets**: - Immediate resistance lies near the upper boundary of the channel (around 2,700–2,710). - A breakout above the channel may lead to more significant gains. ### Potential Trade Scenarios: 1. **Bullish Scenario**: - Enter on a confirmed breakout of the rounded bottom pattern. - First target: 2,700 (upper channel boundary). - Second target: 2,730 (extension beyond the channel). 2. **Bearish Scenario**: - If the price rejects the upper channel boundary or fails to maintain momentum, expect a pullback toward the midline of the channel, around 2,660–2,670. - In case of a breakdown, key support lies near 2,640–2,650. ### Additional Notes: - Monitor volume on any breakout or rejection for confirmation. - Keep an eye on key economic events or news that might influence gold prices, as these can affect momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 155.70 1st Support: 154.70 1st resistance: 157.04 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USDJPY - Will the weakness of the yen stop?!The USDJPY pairing in the 4 -hour timeframe is between EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its mid -term uptrend. If corrected by publishing economic data this week, we can see the downward trend and then the restricted demand zone, and in that area with the right risk. The valid defeat of the specified resistance range will pave the way for the pair up to 160. Tatsu Yamasaki, a former Japanese official, stated in an interview with Nikkei that collaboration between Trump and Tokyo could help normalize the dollar-yen exchange rate. He suggested that Trump should work with Tokyo to weaken the overly strong dollar. Such cooperation could strengthen economic relations between the two nations and bring greater stability to financial markets. Meanwhile, robust U.S. labor market data for December has led many analysts to conclude that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates further at this time. Some even predict that the report could pave the way for the Fed to raise interest rates in 2025. An economist at Bank of America wrote in a note, “Our baseline forecast is that the Federal Reserve will keep rates steady for an extended period. However, the risk of a rate hike is growing.” According to the economist, factors such as core inflation growth or rising inflation expectations could trigger a rate hike.Concerns also revolve around Trump’s policies, including tax cuts and tariffs, which may contribute to higher inflation. Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), remarked that the Federal Reserve might delay rate cuts due to stable labor markets and inflation nearing target levels. She also predicted that global economic growth will remain steady as inflation gradually declines in 2025. Georgieva highlighted uncertainties surrounding trade policies under the new U.S. administration, emphasizing their potential impact on the global economy. Additionally, she expects global interest rates to remain relatively high for an extended period. Kazuo Ueda, the Governor of the Bank of Japan, stated that interest rates will be raised if economic improvements and price growth continue. He noted that the final decision on this matter will be made next week. Ueda’s remarks contributed to strengthening the yen in financial markets. Himino, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan, indicated that if economic projections materialize, monetary easing policies will be adjusted and interest rates increased. He stressed the need for continuous monitoring of U.S. economic policies under the new administration. Domestically, one of the critical issues remains the outlook for wage growth in the fiscal year 2025. Himino acknowledged various risks, both domestic and international, while noting that the U.S. economy is expected to remain strong. Masato Kanda, a former currency official for Japan, continues to comment on the yen. Speaking in Tokyo, he emphasized that currency markets should move based on fundamental principles, and any sudden deviations from these fundamentals require correction. Separately, Nippon Steel announced that it is the sole partner capable of fully preserving U.S. Steel, keeping its blast furnaces operational, and maintaining jobs in the industry. The company stated that its commitments have been shared in multiple meetings with various stakeholders, including employees. Meanwhile, Lourenco Goncalves, CEO of Cleveland-Cliffs, has been accused of unfair biases, as he cannot match the scope and scale of Nippon Steel’s proposal. Nippon Steel emphasized its determination to take whatever measures are necessary to finalize the deal.
Short
by Ali_PSND
Heading into overlap resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 98.14 1st support: 96.93 1st Resistance: 99.02 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Bearish drop?NZD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 88.69 1st Support: 87.69 1st Resistance: 89.69 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USDJPY POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on USDJPY The price broke out of a strong intraday resistance zone, although the Trend remains bullish and the set Trendline keeps the price on the higher part of the market. The price is developing, and I am waiting for a retest of the previously broken resistance and used as support before I look for a LONG trade. A BUY opportunity is at the top above the weekly Low at 1.04480. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Trade Responsibly! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by Adefxc
USDJPY consolidating before the next leg up.USDJPY is trading inside a Channel Up since September 16th and in the past 4 weeks has been ranging. This consolidation was also seen on the previous Channel Up pattern of 2024, halfway through the pattern. The 1day RSI patterns among the two are identical, which means that this is a strong buy opportunity. Buy and aim for Resistance A at 162.000 as a short term, low risk target. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Long
by TheCryptagon
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/JJPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 98.15 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 98.70 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 96.91 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
1
GBGJPYHey Traders! Let’s Dive Into GBP/JPY 🔍 Here’s a breakdown of an exciting setup I’m watching closely on GBP/JPY (Daily timeframe). It’s shaping up to be a textbook bearish continuation let me walk you through the key details: Bearish Flag Pattern The chart shows a classic bearish flag in action. After a strong sell-off (the flagpole), the price has been consolidating within an upward-sloping channel, forming the "flag." This is often a pause before the next leg down, and the measured move suggests we could see significant downside if the flag breaks. Entry & Confirmation Patience is key here! I’m looking to enter at 188.000, but only after confirmation. Ideally, I want to see price rejection at the bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) or clear signs of selling pressure at this level. No confirmation, no trade—that’s how I roll. 😉 Stop Loss (SL) The stop loss is placed just above the flag's upper boundary. If price breaks above, it invalidates the pattern and signals that the bears may have lost control. This small risk is worth taking for the potential reward ahead. Targets to Watch Here’s where it gets exciting: First target: 179.000 – A key intermediate support level. Final target: 160.000 – A major historical support zone and the projected move from the flagpole. If the breakdown plays out as expected, this could be a fantastic risk-to-reward setup. 🎯 Key Levels to Keep in Mind Resistance at 199.000: The ceiling holding back upward momentum. Support at 188.000 & 179.000: Zones where price may react before heading lower. My Take This setup screams bearish momentum, but as always, I’m waiting for confirmation before pulling the trigger. The bearish flag, coupled with a clean breakdown at the FVG, could pave the way for a strong move south. Discipline and proper risk management are non-negotiable—don’t chase it! 🚨 What’s your view on GBP/JPY? Let me know in the comments! 💬 Trade safe, RAY Feel free to tweak this as needed! NO FINANCIAL ADVICE
Short
by Ray_1717
1
Could we see some weakness in AUDJPY in the near term?Both currencies are currently on the weaker side against their major counterparts. Despite the RBA holding off from cutting, nor hiking rates, the AUD struggled to find strong grounds. Similarly for JPY, where the currency has been hit because of no significant action taken by the BoJ, it has been tough for the yen to find strength. Also, strong global stock market activity made safe-haven yen less attractive. Given that MARKETSCOM:AUDJPY is seen as somewhat of a risk-on/risk-off monitor, we can see that the pair has been in “limbo” from around the end of August. From around the beginning of December, the pair started moving slightly upwards within a short-term rising channel formation. If we purely look at that structure, then we also examine the prevailing trend, which has been to the downside, meaning there is a greater chance for FX_IDC:AUDJPY to exit the channel through the lower side of it. However, until we see that exit, we can not assume the breakout will be lower. At the time of writing, looking at our EMAs on our daily chart, we can see that the price action is below all of them, indicating possible weakness to come. The MACD is showing some weakness in the upside momentum, and the RSI remains below 50. These are technical indications of potential downside in the near term. Nevertheless, we would prefer to wait for a clearance of the lower side of the aforementioned channel, before considering any downside movement. For us to shift our attention to some higher areas, a break of the upper side of that rising channel may indicate bullish activity. If that happens, the rate would also be placed above all our EMAs, possibly attracting more bulls into the field. RISK DISCLAIMER 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
GBPJPY Buy signal on a 5-month bottom.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 05 2024 bottom and yesterday it made a Higher Low at the bottom of the pattern. This has been a buy opportunity 2/2 times and based on the similarities with the September 11 2024 Low, we can expect the new Bullish Leg to start and peak on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. Our Target is 204.000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
2
Bearish drop?GBP/JPY is rising towards the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 192.49 1st Support: 190.20 1st Resistance: 193.37 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Bearish drop?EUR/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 161.39 1st Support: 157.91 1st Resistance: 165.23 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 157.90 Why we likeit: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.23% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 158.19 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 157.34 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USDJPY Analysis Here's a bullish channel setup on USDJPY! The pair is respecting the ascending trendline, and we’re seeing signs of potential upside movement. 🚀 🎯 Targets: Take Profit 1: 158.451 Take Profit 2: 158.825 Take Profit 3: 159.154 📉 Stop Loss: 157.582 (below the channel support). The pair is currently trading near the channel’s lower boundary, offering a great risk-to-reward ratio. Keep an eye on this one—it could deliver solid gains! 💰 Let’s see how this plays out! 💹
Long
by Charts_M7M