NZDJPY Approaching the top of 3.5 years Channel Up. Strong sell.The NZDJPY pair is trading on the 4th straight green 1W candle and is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up pattern that started on November 2020. Even though it may extend to a +9.30% rise (the smallest long-term it had within the pattern), selling now offers excellent Risk/ Reward conditions. Our target is 92.000 (Higher Lows trend-line).
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Jpy
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 10 - EURJPY - (31st May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing EURJPY, starting from the 6-Month chart.
- R2F
Potential bullish rise?EUR/JPY has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 169.40
1st Support: 167.40
1st Resistance: 171.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards 23.6% Fibonacci support?GBP/JPY is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 198.03
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 195.74
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 200.53
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CADJPY Buy signal initiated. Channel Up intact.The CADJPY pair extended the Channel Up flawlessly and hit our latest Target (April 02, see chart below):
The price is now breaking above the short-term Ascending Triangle, which within the long-term Channel Up has always issued a buy signal after the price approached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The immediate Target on both previous break-outs has bee the -0.382 Fib extension.
The 1D RSI is also posting that pre break-out consolidation. As a result we turn bullish again on this pair, targeting 116.500 (slightly below the -0.382 Fib).
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USDJPY Analysis. Swing trade signal.Hello everyone i want share my idea about USDJPY Price action.
After huge uptrend, we saw some strong sellers which active after strong downside movement of JPY index. Japan government said in 2024 they will change monetary policy which was signal for swing traders, JPY index had pretty bad 2 years, it was coming strong downside, after this statement of Japan government it was first strong buyers, who really show strong buyside interest.
If we will look at Dollar index, it how us 2 thing price is still in uptrend at the moment, but after bad economical news of US government we can see sellers has control price, also if we look at us20 bond index we will see price came into downtrend which is i think additional signal of Dollar index bearish movement.
About USDJPY index, at higher timeframe, we are still in uptrend, but at the chart sellers trying to take control at price, we saw rejection from 4h fair value gap, this zone has tested after huge downside movement. 4h fair value gap and Fibonacci high sell zone is in same place but lets see what price action we will have, how i mentioned about Dollar index and JPY index, i am bearish at the pair.
I have some scenes which actually will approve i am right or not.
Always make your own research!!!
USDJPY WEEKLY OUTLOOK### Weekly Market Outlook
Monday: The week begins quietly with a U.S. bank holiday in observance of Memorial Day, leading to subdued financial markets.
Tuesday: Focus shifts to Japan for the release of the BoJ core CPI y/y. In the United States, the CB Consumer Confidence data will be closely monitored.
Wednesday: Key inflation data from Australia will be released, offering insights into the RBA's upcoming monetary policy decisions.
Thursday: A series of significant U.S. economic indicators will be published, including preliminary GDP q/q figures, unemployment claims, and pending home sales. These data points are crucial for understanding the U.S. economic trajectory.
Friday: The week concludes with several important releases. Japan will report its Tokyo core CPI y/y and industrial production data. The eurozone will release its CPI figures, the final print before the next ECB meeting. In the United States, the core PCE price index m/m, personal income m/m, and personal spending m/m data will be released, providing a comprehensive view of recent consumer activity.
Throughout the week, several FOMC members are scheduled to speak, potentially offering insights into future monetary policy. Additionally, Barclays suggests that month-end rebalancing might signal strong dollar selling, a factor to consider in trading decisions.
In the U.S., CB Consumer Confidence is expected to decline from 97.0 to 96.1. Analysts at Wells Fargo highlight a discrepancy: consumer spending has recently increased, while consumer confidence has declined since the beginning of the year, reaching its lowest level since 2022. This decline in confidence may stem from persistent concerns about rising prices, despite a drop in inflation from its peak. Additionally, a slight rise in unemployment has contributed to a less optimistic economic outlook.
Technical Analysis:
The price continues to experience bullish pressure towards 157.970, with a potential further rise to 159.820 upon breaking this level.
A correction to 156.590 is possible before resuming the bullish trend. The bearish scenario will be triggered if the support line at 156.590 is broken, potentially leading to a drop to 155.940 and 155.445
Pivot line: 156.590
Resistance line: 157.970, 159.82, 161.820
Support line: 155.950, 155.450, 154.700
The expected trading range is between support 155.450 and Resistance 157.970
previous weekly idea:
USDJPY, growth must be. Long (in time) accumulation.Hi friend. I write this idea becouse we have difficult to analyse accumulation process on USDJPY market. For the first market formed medium bears accumulation zone "1" between 156.88 - 157.14 then bulls entering at zone "2" - 156.7 - 156.94. I put my SL at 156.6 and waiting growth to strong resist level 157.46. Suppport me;)
USDJPY, growth from support. Bulls active.Hi friend. Lets look at USDJPY chart window. We have uppend channel with bulls accumulation area between support - 156.94 and transit level - 157.078. Also there is big volume of purchases from 156.51 (41 k). All of this in sum - strong bullish signal. Bulls target 157.46 (daily X-Lines level).
Follow me. And dont forget support me by boost.
GBPJPY near the current highest point of this year#GBPJPY EASYMARKETS:GBPJPY
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could USD/JPY bounce from here?Price is falling towards the pivot and could potentially bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 156.58
1st Support: 156.01
1st Resistance: 157.97
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDJPY to hold back the bulls at market price?AUDJPY -24h expiry
Broken out of the wedge to the downside.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 104.00 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 104.30 (stop at 104.70
Our profit targets will be 103.30 and 103.05
Resistance: 104.25 / 104.50 / 104.75
Support: 104.00 / 103.25 / 103.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPJPY Top of Channel Up sell signal.The GBPJPY pair gave us a solid short-term buy signal last time we looked into it (April 16, see chart below) and easily hit our Target:
The prevailing Channel Up has a clear sell signal on its top, which the price is approaching on the current Bullish Leg since the rebound on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The 1D MACD sequence is the same as the first Bullish Leg that started on January 02 2024, that time on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). That Leg pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level after it got rejected at the top.
As a result, we will wait to sell at the top of the Channel Up again and target 198.500 (Fibonacci 0.382).
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TRADE PLAN ON USDJPYHey Trader,
Check out this analysis on USDJPY.
A long entry plan is best above the intraday resistance area.
Alternatively, a short trade can be considered if the price breaks below the intraday key zone (support), retests, and resists. A short trade can be considered.
Trade safe.
sell 154.92 and tp 152.10 with stop loss at 156.2..rr 2.5i sell it coz even when dollars down he not down and so many ti_me BOj talk about to intervene.
i think they will do soon and if not a big pullback have to happens
u can put ur stop lost at 155.6 if u want a bertter RR but i scare about a big leg up
CHFJPY Sell opportunity.The CHFJPY pair is trading on a Falling Wedge pattern, which every time it formed within the long-term Channel Up, it was followed by a sharp decline. The last one hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has so far held twice, rendering it the new Support level.
Notice that all those tops, had a similar 1D MACD structure. As a result, we turn bearish on the short-term on CHFJPY, targetng 169.000 (1D MA200).
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GBPJPY → The Yen continues to weaken. Target 197.0FX:GBPJPY is testing trend support, but buyers are keeping the price away from risk zones. The currency pair is returning to the bullish zone relative to 193.5, which generally opens up the market to 195.0-197.0 upside potential
On W1, the currency pair after a false breakdown of global resistance is moving back to 195.844, which generally tells us about the strength of buyers. Interventions by the central bank of Japan played a short-term role and the news leverage has exhausted itself. Traders continue to put on short positions and still sell the national currency, which in general only strengthens the pound against the yen.
Consolidation above 193.5 confirms the bulls' intentions to continue the growth.
Resistance levels: 194.15, 195.56, 197.38.
Support levels: 193.54, 193.0
A retest of the local resistance at 194.15 is being formed. A breakdown and consolidation above this level will cause further growth towards the previously mentioned targets.
Regards R. Linda!
Potential bullish rise?USD/JPY has broken out of the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 156.58
1st Support: 154.74
1st Resistance: 158.41
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY (Nikkei Rises 0.7%, Driven by Banks and Energy Stocks) Nikkei Rises 0.7%, Driven by Banks and Energy Stocks
Japanese stocks closed higher, with gains led by the banking and energy sectors, as the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield hit an 11-year high. Mizuho Financial Group rose 3.1%, and Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings climbed 2.4%, following a 3-basis-point increase in the 10-year JGB yield to 0.975%, the highest since May 2013. Energy stocks also performed well, with Eneos Holdings gaining 6.2% and Inpex up 4.2%. The Nikkei Stock Average increased by 0.7% to 39,069.68. Investors are closely watching developments in the Middle East and crude oil prices following the death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash on Sunday. The USD/JPY exchange rate is at 155.74, up from 155.67 late Friday in New York.
The price continues to experience bullish pressure towards 156.600, with a potential further rise to 157.970 upon breaking this level. A correction to 155.95 or 155.445 is possible before resuming the bullish trend. The bearish scenario will be triggered if the support line at 155.445 is broken, potentially leading to a drop to 154.700.
Pivot line: 155.950
Resistance line: 156.590, 157.970, 159.82
Support line: 155.450, 154.700, 153.685
The expected trading range is between support 155.450 and Resistance 156.600