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EURJPY to see a temporary move higher?EURJPY - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a top. A Doji style candle has been posted from the high. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower. We look to sell rallies. Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today. We look to Sell at 165.00 (stop at 165.50) Our profit targets will be 163.80 and 163.50 Resistance: 165.35 / 167.35 / 168.95 Support: 161.90 / 160.00 / 158.70 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
GBPJPY Supported by the 1D MA50.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up since late May 2023. Recently it has been rising on a shorter term Channel Up (dotted) supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as it does, we have to stay bullish short-term, targeting the top of the Channel at 195.000. Since however the blue Channel Up has already completed a symmetrical Higher High leg at +8.24% (similar to the August 22 2023 Higher High), we face a technical necessity for a strong pull-back. We are willing to take this sell only if the pair closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA50. When it does, we will take the loss on the buy and short towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), targeting 186.500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
1
Usdjpy clearly up the upsideHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Likely this would be a trending up pair, but do keep a look out for any intervention. Frankly BOJ could be looking to intervene, and by then you should see big movement on UJ. Trade this pair carefully! Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Long
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
USDJPY:Evaluating Buying Prospects Amidst Hawkish Fed indicatorsTraders, In today's trading session, our sights are set on USDJPY, where we anticipate a potential buying opportunity around the 153.500 zone. USDJPY remains entrenched in an uptrend, presently undergoing a correction phase as it nears the pivotal support and resistance area at 153.500. Diving deeper into our analysis, let's explore the fundamental landscape shaping USDJPY's trajectory. Recent economic indicators, notably the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, have illuminated the strength of the US economy. The latest NFP figures showcased robust job creation, surpassing expectations and signaling economic resilience. This positive employment data has bolstered confidence in the US dollar, potentially driving USDJPY higher. Additionally, the CPI data revealed an uptick in inflation, exceeding market forecasts and highlighting growing price pressures. Such inflationary trends may prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish stance in its monetary policy approach. A shift towards tightening monetary policy could further bolster the US dollar's strength, providing tailwinds for USDJPY. Considering these fundamental factors alongside the technical uptrend, the potential buying opportunity in USDJPY around 153.500 presents an enticing prospect for traders. Trade prudently, Joe
Long
by JoeChampion
2
How much higher can the USDJPY go?Yen weakness despite... BoJ Exited negative rates regime Increasing geopolitical uncertainty Gold at historic highs of 2430 In 2022 and 2023, when the USDJPY approached the 152 price level, open/discreet intervention was in place to strengthen the Japanese Yen. However, in 2024, the USDJPY has now surged past the 152 resistance level, with the Japanese Yen continuing to show signs of weakness. Could 155 be the next target price level for an intervention?
Long
by JinDao_Tai
FOREX Pre-Week Analysis by R2F (Monday, 15th April 2024)Hello hello, guys! We have a new week ahead. Here is my analysis for my bias moving forward. For those who are lazy, I am basically bullish on the Dollar and bearish for XXXUSD pairs. But I suggest going through the video as I explain how I came to this bias as well as offer analysis for each of the major Forex pairs. We are in turbulent times, so trade safe out there. Protecting your capital is your NO.1 priority. It is not the time to go turbo mode all-in kamikaze style. - R2F
by Road_2_Funded
Potential bearish reversalGBP/JPY is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 191.495 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 192.562 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Take profit: 190.101 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Yen Traders Tread Cautiously as Japan Hints at InterventionAnxiety hangs heavy over the yen market. With the Japanese currency hovering near a 34-year low against the U.S. dollar, traders are wary of potential intervention from Japanese authorities. This comes as Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated the government's concerns about the rapid depreciation of the yen. The Yen's Slide: A Perfect Storm The yen's recent decline can be attributed to a confluence of factors: • Divergent Monetary Policies: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy, keeping interest rates near zero, while central banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve are aggressively raising rates to combat inflation. This widening interest rate differential makes the dollar a more attractive investment compared to the yen. • Global Risk Aversion: As geopolitical tensions and concerns about a global economic slowdown escalate, investors are seeking refuge in dollar-denominated assets, further weakening the yen. • Japan's Trade Dependence: Japan relies heavily on imports for essential resources like energy and food. A weaker yen makes these imports more expensive, potentially fueling inflation within Japan. Verbal Intervention: A Warning Shot Finance Minister Suzuki's recent statements can be seen as a warning shot to currency markets. He emphasized the government's "deep concern" about the yen's depreciation and hinted at the possibility of intervention if excessive volatility persists. However, the effectiveness of verbal intervention is debatable. Without concrete action, traders might remain skeptical. Intervention: A Double-Edged Sword Direct intervention in the currency market involves the Japanese government selling dollars and buying yen to artificially strengthen the currency. While this can achieve short-term results, it comes with drawbacks: • Costly Defense: Intervention can be expensive, draining Japan's foreign currency reserves. • Market Distortion: Heavy intervention can distort market forces and create uncertainty for traders. • Limited Effectiveness: The effectiveness of intervention depends on the size of the intervention and the broader economic backdrop. If underlying economic fundamentals favoring a weaker yen persist, intervention might have only a temporary impact. Traders on Edge: Waiting for the Next Move Yen traders are currently in a wait-and-see mode. They are closely monitoring the Japanese government's actions and statements, along with the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, for any signs that could influence the yen's direction. The Road Ahead: A Balancing Act The future path of the yen will be determined by several factors: • The BOJ's Monetary Policy: Any change in the BOJ's stance, even a hint of a future rate hike, could strengthen the yen. However, the BOJ is expected to remain dovish for the foreseeable future. • Global Risk Sentiment: If global risk aversion eases, investors might be less inclined to seek refuge in the dollar, potentially aiding the yen. • The Effectiveness of Intervention: If Japan intervenes in the currency market and does so decisively, it might provide temporary support to the yen. Conclusion: A Fragile Currency in Uncertain Times The outlook for the yen remains uncertain. While the Japanese government may intervene to curb its rapid depreciation, the effectiveness of such strategies is limited without addressing the underlying economic factors. The future direction of the yen will likely hinge on global economic developments and the monetary policy decisions of major central banks.
by bryandowningqln
4
GBP/JPY: A Closer Look at Growing Momentum - SHORTAnalyzing market trends and identifying potential opportunities is crucial for making informed decisions. One such opportunity currently presenting itself is the bearish setup on GBP/JPY, indicating a significant shift in momentum. As the price of GBP/JPY reached the 193.000 value, it coincided with the 78.8% Fibonacci level, marking a critical point of confluence. This convergence suggests a strong resistance level, indicating a potential reversal in the upward trend. Analyzing the price action and technical indicators, it appears that a bearish impulse is likely to follow. The confirmation of this downward movement is supported by our previous analysis of this currency pair, which highlighted 189.000 as the first target for a bearish trend. This analysis underscores the importance of understanding key technical levels and their significance in predicting market movements. The confluence of the 193.000 value with the 78.8% Fibonacci level serves as a strong indication of impending bearish momentum. Traders and investors should closely monitor the price action of GBP/JPY in the coming days, as it is likely to follow a downward trajectory towards the 189.000 target. Our Previous Idea
Short
by FOREXN1
3
AUDJPY - Are You Ready⁉️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 AUDJPY has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge pattern in blue. Currently, AUDJPY is in a correction phase, approaching the lower bound of the wedge. Moreover , it is retesting a strong demand in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower blue trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
GBPJPY - Trend-Following Setup!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 GBPJPY has been overall bullish , trading within the rising channel in blue. Currently, GBPJPY is in a correction phase, approaching the lower bound of the wedge. Moreover, it is retesting a strong support in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
USDJPY Top of Channel Up. Sell signal.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the July 14 2023 Low on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Currently it is about to exhaust the 2nd Bullish Leg of this Channel as it approaches its top (Higher Highs trend-line). It begun with a Low on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) and then a Higher Low on the 1D MA200. With the 1D RSI overbought for the first time since July 05 2023, we are turning bearish on USDJPY after a long time but only for the short-term. Our target is 146.500 (Support 1). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
USDJPY Eyes Upside Potential Following CPI Data BoostAttention Traders, In today's trading session, we're closely observing USDJPY, pinpointing a potential buying opportunity around the 152.900 zone. USDJPY maintains its uptrend trajectory, currently navigating a correction phase as it approaches the critical 152.900 support and resistance area. Adding depth to our analysis, let's delve into the fundamental landscape. Recently released Consumer Price Index (CPI) data showcases an upward trend in inflation. Comparing the CPI figures from recent months reveals a gradual increase: Mar 12, 2024: 0.4% Feb 13, 2024: 0.4% Jan 11, 2024: 0.3% Dec 12, 2023: 0.3% Nov 14, 2023: 0.2% The latest CPI data, released yesterday on April 10th, reported a year-over-year increase of 3.5% in March, surpassing February's pace of 3.2% and economist expectations of 3.4%. Notably, this robust inflation rate was fueled by rises in housing and gasoline costs. This acceleration in inflation can have significant implications for the US Dollar's strength. Higher inflation tends to bolster the USD as it prompts expectations of tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve to curb inflationary pressures. Consequently, investors may flock to the USD, anticipating higher interest rates in the future, which could drive USDJPY upwards. As we navigate today's market, it's essential to factor in both technical and fundamental aspects. The potential buying opportunity in USDJPY at 152.900 aligns with the bullish sentiment driven by inflation data and the broader uptrend. Trade wisely, Joe
Long
by JoeChampion
CHFJPY: Rising on the 1D MA200.CHFJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.785, MACD = -0.360, ADX = 31.970) as the price action is ranged between the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200. The dominant pattern is a Channel Up however and with the price rebounding on the 1D MA200 (unbroken since March 29 2023) and the 1D MACD has formed a Bullish Cross, we expect the new HH leg to start. Our target is the R1 level (TP = 171.500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
JPY Pairs at a Crossroads: Should You Trade or Wait?The Japanese Yen (JPY) has been making waves in the forex market, but not necessarily in a good way. Major JPY pairs like USDJPY, EURJPY, and AUDJPY have all found themselves in a tense standoff with resistance levels for nearly a week now. This has many traders wondering: is it time to jump in, or should we wait for a clearer signal? **The Resistance Tug-of-War:** Imagine these JPY pairs as tug-of-war teams, locked in a battle at a specific price point. This price point is the resistance level – a zone where buyers and sellers clash. For the past week, these pairs have been testing this resistance, with high trading volume indicating strong forces on both sides. **Why the Wait Might Be Wise:** While a potential downward move for these JPY pairs seems likely, there are strong reasons to hold off on a trade just yet. Here's why: * **False Breakouts:** Resistance levels are like bullies – they often try to intimidate price by holding it back. Sometimes, price might even experience a false breakout, surging past resistance only to fall back down. Waiting for a confirmed breakout with significant trading volume helps avoid entering a trade based on a false signal. * **Unexpected Reversals:** Even if these JPY pairs do manage to break resistance initially, there's always a chance they could reverse course. Imagine the tug-of-war team on the other side suddenly gaining strength and pulling the rope back. Waiting for sustained movement above resistance after a breakout can help you avoid getting caught in a whipsaw (rapid price swings in both directions). **Patience is a Virtue (and a Trading Strategy):** Your cautious approach of waiting for a clear breakout or breakdown with good volume in the JPY pairs demonstrates sound trading discipline. This will help you manage risk and potentially identify better entry points for your trades. **The Takeaway:** The current situation with the JPY pairs presents an interesting technical puzzle. While the potential for a downward move exists, waiting for confirmation through a clear breakout or breakdown with high volume is the more prudent strategy. This can help you avoid unnecessary risk and potentially position yourself for more profitable trades in the future. **Remember:** This is a technical analysis based on the current market conditions. Before making any trading decisions, consider other factors like economic data, central bank policy announcements, and major news events.
by OMGiTzREALHASSAN
UJStill holding a buy, moved SL in profit. With the current price movement we might get stopped out. DAILY 151.90, we finally broke and closed above. We are now either waiting for the further bullish push up or the retest so we can enter on the continuation. This is the highest price UJ has been peaked at, so we know the dollar is doing quite well. 4H 152.80 gave us a form of support and we have been going up. Yet we wait and watch as it could shoot up and create new supports or breakdown to retest old resistance as supports. 1H We are seeing a test candle which is a form of reversal so stay watching for that. 152.80 is our support for either a breakdown or reject and shoot up. 15Min
Long
by Mhangwane1
AUDJPY: Today's decline is a buy opportunity.AUDJPY is borderline bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.140, MACD = 0.500, ADX = 22.883) as today it has erased the gains of almost the past 3 days. As it approaches the 1D MA50, it is turning into a buy opportunity inside a double Channel Up pattern. At 99.000 we are turning bullish again and will aim for a +2.65% increase (TP = 101.700) for a HH. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope