Jpy
NZDJPY forming a top?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bearish.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
Bespoke resistance is located at 89.00.
We look to Sell at 89.00 (stop at 89.25)
Our profit targets will be 88.40 and 88.20
Resistance: 88.90 / 89.10 / 89.40
Support: 88.60 / 88.25 / 88.00
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Bearish drop?EUR/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 163.78
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 164.76
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 162.12
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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USDJPY: Channel Up extending its 2nd bullish wave.USDJPY continues to trade on an highly bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.571, MACD = 1.090, ADX = 47.294) as today made a new high inside the 4 month Channel Up. It is on its 2nd bullish wave and it has started its 2nd stage, as it crossed above the 0.382 Fibonacci level, much like the previous bullish wave on October 21st. Aim for the 0 Fib near the top of the Channel (TP = 164.000)
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Yen Struggles as Investors Question BoJ's Rate Hike ProspectsThroughout the first half of the European trading session on Monday, the Japanese Yen continues to struggle against the US Dollar, with the exchange rate slipping to 0.006436 as I write this article. Investor skepticism regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) potential for further interest rate hikes plays a significant role in this downward trend. This uncertainty, combined with an overall positive market sentiment, is putting pressure on the traditionally safe-haven Yen.
Moreover, the recent widening of the yield gap between US and Japanese government bonds—intensified by the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance—further contributes to the Yen's decline. As the Fed signals a more aggressive monetary policy, the lower-yielding Yen becomes less attractive to investors.
In terms of market outlook, we are anticipating a continuation of this bearish trend for the Yen against the Dollar.
USD/JPY Previous Idea as reference:
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gold (xauusd) according to lower time frame,
Based on the chart provided:
1. **Descending Channel**:
- Gold appears to be trading within a descending channel, indicating a bearish trend in play.
2. **Resistance Zone**:
- A resistance area is marked near the upper trendline of the channel, suggesting that sellers might enter around this level.
- Price is currently near this resistance zone.
3. **Bearish Confirmation**:
- The text notes to wait for bearish confirmation before executing a sell trade. This could involve a rejection from the resistance zone (e.g., a bearish candlestick pattern like a pin bar, engulfing candle, or increased selling volume).
4. **Trade Plan**:
- If bearish confirmation occurs at the resistance zone, price is expected to drop back toward the lower boundary of the descending channel.
- Potential targets:
- Mid-level support (likely around 2630).
- Lower channel line (near 2610 or lower).
5. **No Confirmation, No Trade**:
- If price fails to confirm bearish rejection and instead breaks out above the resistance zone, no trade should be executed as the bearish structure would be invalidated.
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?EUR/JPY is rising towards pivot which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 164.97
1st Support: 162.65
1st Resistance: 166.66
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 99.58
1st Support: 98.49
1st Resistance: 100.18
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 98.53
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 98.90
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 97.854
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPJPY Trade Idea 2The last 2 weeks(19th to now.
We had gains come back down.
In the Monthly tf, it became a wick.
Either way, I got my weekly/Daily take profit levels.
On the 4HR, I'm looking for entry levels to sell( I will still need further break of structure to the downside.
On the 1HR, I'm looking to take some buys to my daily target level of 197.526 or my 4HR target level of 196.060. BUT first I I would need further break of structure to the upside.
To increase my Win rate I have to stick to my rules.
EURJPY, BOJ didn't increase the ratesEURJPY / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
EURJPY is showing strong bullish momentum after the BOJ's decision not to increase rates, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, the price is making new highs for now. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the breakout zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
GBPJPY - Will the pound continue to grow?!The GBPJPY currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. If we continue to move towards the supply zone, we can sell with an appropriate risk reward. The downward correction of this currency pair towards the demand zone will provide us with the next buying position.
The mortgage approval statistics for the UK in November indicate that the number of approved mortgages has reached 65.7K, which is below the forecast of 68.7K and the previous figure of 68.3K. Additionally, net consumer credit dropped to £0.9 billion, falling short of the £1.2 billion estimate. Net mortgage lending also declined to £2.5 billion, below the forecast of £3.2 billion and the previous figure of £3.4 billion. The annual consumer credit rate also fell, reaching 6.6%.
On Sunday, Elon Musk stated that Nigel Farage should step down from leading the UK’s right-wing Reform Party. Musk wrote on his social platform, X, “The Reform Party needs a new leader. Farage lacks the necessary ability.”
This statement came despite Musk having appeared to support Farage previously, even taking a photo with him last month. Media outlets had speculated that Musk, a close ally of Donald Trump, the U.S.President-elect, might provide significant financial support to the Reform Party to challenge the UK’s Labour and Conservative parties.
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group has expressed a bearish outlook on the British pound, pointing to potential rate cuts by the Bank of England as a key factor. The group stated that market pricing for the Bank of England’s rate reductions this year is overly conservative. They anticipate that the Bank of England will implement further cuts, which would likely weaken the pound against other currencies, particularly non-dollar ones. Additionally, with the U.S. dollar showing further signs of weakening, the pound is expected to remain under pressure.
The financial group also highlighted rising energy prices as a vulnerability for the UK, particularly in light of Ukraine’s refusal to extend its natural gas transit agreement with Russia to Western Europe. The UK’s limited storage capacity exacerbates its susceptibility to market price fluctuations, increasing concerns about a rise in service costs this year. Higher energy prices are expected to negatively impact consumer spending, weaken business confidence, and drive up overall costs.
Meanwhile, a recent private survey revealed that Japan’s service sector activity expanded for the second consecutive month in December, driven by strong demand and increased trade activity. According to the survey conducted by S&P Global Market Intelligence, the final services PMI rose from 50.5 in November to 50.9 in December. While this was lower than the preliminary estimate of 51.4, it remained above the 50.0 threshold for the second consecutive month, signaling economic expansion.
The Bank of Japan Governor, Mr. Ueda, recently stated:
• There is a possibility of raising interest rates if the economic recovery continues.
• The timing of adjustments will depend on economic conditions and inflation trends.
• He hopes for balanced growth in wages and prices.
• Wage increases remain a critical factor.
• The cycle of rising wages, economic recovery, and increased consumption gradually reinforced each other throughout the past year.
BITCOIN (BTC/USD) BASED ON 1H-TIME FRAME ANALYSIS,
Based on the chart you provided, here's the current analysis:
1. **Current Price Action**:
- BTC is trading near 97,800, within a rising channel.
- There are visible higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), confirming the bullish momentum in the short term.
2. **Resistance Zone**:
- The key resistance is marked at 99,000 (blue zone), where BTC previously reversed. This is a strong area to watch for potential selling pressure.
3. **Support Levels**:
- Immediate support lies near 97,000 (orange zone).
- A deeper support zone is visible around 95,500 to 96,000, which aligns with previous demand and bullish order blocks.
4. **Potential Scenarios**:
- If the price continues its upward trend, a test of the 99,000 resistance zone seems likely.
- Rejection from 99,000 could signal a retracement back to the 97,000 or even the 96,000 level for support retests.
- Breaking and closing above 99,000 might open the door for BTC to target higher levels, possibly 100,000 or beyond.
5. **Market Structure**:
- The chart shows a recent break of structure (BoS) to the upside, indicating bullish strength.
- However, keep an eye on any potential change of character (ChoCh) near the resistance zones, which might suggest a reversal or slowdown.
My Suggestion:
- **For Bulls**: Look for buying opportunities on pullbacks near the 97,000 or 96,000 support zones with a target near 99,000.
- **For Bears**: Wait for confirmation of rejection near the 99,000 resistance zone before considering a sell, targeting the lower support zones (97,000 or 96,000).
Bullish rise off pullback support?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 156.12
1st Support: 153.39
1st Resistance: 160.24
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/JPY Analysis: Bullish Momentum Awaits Key ConfirmationUSD/JPY Analysis
The overall trend remains bullish, but confirmation of the bullish scenario requires a 4-hour candle close above 157.980. If this occurs, the price is likely to target 159.820 and 161.820.
On the other hand, if a 4-hour candle closes below 156.580, it signals a potential drop toward 153.980. A further break below this level could see the price decline to 151.780.
Stability above 157.980 will reinforce the bullish momentum, with targets at 159.820 and 161.820.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 156.590
Resistance Levels: 159.40, 161.82, 163.20
Support Levels: 154.64, 153.43, 151.790
Trend Outlook
Bullish: Above 157.980
Bearish: Below 156.580
Consolidation: Between 156.45 and 157.98
previous idea:
GBPJPY | Long ideaJPY pairs have been going on a bullish ride and I expect it to keep going. I am looking for a drop in the zone (green arrow) before I would be interested in a long position. To be honest I don't even think it is going to get there, it might go flying instead of dropping first.
Anyway, let me know what you think!
GBPJPY - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: (Daily Time-frame)
While the price is below the resistance 199.79, resumption of downtrend is expected.
Technical analysis:
The descending flag taking shape suggests we will soon see another leg lower.
Trading suggestion:
Price rejected from Trend Hunter Sell Zone (198.42 to 199.79). We are going to open 8 sell trade based on these Take Profits:
Take Profits:
196.00
193.51
191.88
189.47
186.23
182.78
178.41
Short Term forecast: (H4 Time-frame)
The Uptrend is broken, and the price is in an impulse wave.
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone.
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs.
SL: Above 199.79
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