USDJPY Potential DownsidesIn today's trading session, our primary focus is on USDJPY, as we carefully monitor a potential selling opportunity around the 145 zone. Presently entrenched in a downtrend, USDJPY demonstrates a sustained downward trajectory. Concurrently, the currency pair is navigating a correction phase, steadily converging towards the trend at the pivotal 145 support and resistance area. This numerical level holds significance as both a historical support point and a crucial juncture where the correction may intersect with substantial market forces.
Our strategic approach for today's session involves a thorough assessment of optimal entry points within the identified 145 zone. Aligning our trading decisions with the ongoing downtrend and the potential market dynamics at the critical support and resistance area is crucial. Navigating the correction phase with precision is key as we aim to capitalize on the identified selling opportunity within the broader context of USDJPY's current trend.
Jpy
USDJPY: Growth Continues 🇺🇸🇯🇵
We have spotted earlier a bearish trap on USDJPY.
As I predicted, the price nicely recovered.
We see one more bullish pattern now.
The pair formed an ascending triangle formation on a 4H time frame
and successfully violated its horizontal neckline.
The growth will most likely continue.
Goals will be: 144.0 / 144.7
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4 major currencies meltdownI see very much potential warning alert signal of 4 major currencies of the world.
4 major currencies that I am concerning are Dollar Japanese yen Euro & British Pound.
I was seeing major upgrade of dollar index and stronger dollar but after I hearing Fed's seminar last week and analyzed quadrople charts of yen euro dollar gbp and my decision to made to short all major 4 currencies.
rapidly decline of 4 major currencies occured by soverign debt dafults or major central bank policy mistakes. I will consider major mistake will be the troublemaker and trigger.
GBPJPY Strong rally if the MA50 (1d) breaks.GBPJPY is trading inside a Bullish Megaphone pattern with the price testing now for the 2nd time the MA50 (1d).
This test is coming only 3 days after the price hit the bottom of the Megaphone.
The previous bottom formations have been very similar to the current pattern.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy when the pair closes a (1d) candle above the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 190.000 (Fibonacci 1.236 extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has made a Double Bottom formation over the oversold level of 30.00.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
USDJPY: Detailed Structure Analysis 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY went up as I predicted.
Here are the important key structures to watch.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Falling trend line
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 140.9 - 141.9 area
Support 2: 137.2 - 138.1 area
Resistance 1: 146.2 - 146.8 area
Resistance 2: 148.2 - 148.6 area
Resistance 3: 149.6 - 150.4 area
Resistance 4: 151.7 - 152.0 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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GBP/JPY Analysis – Moving Averages and Supply/Demand Bearish PerHello traders,
GBP/JPY has presented a potential bearish scenario amidst recent developments in the 50 and 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMA), coupled with supply and demand dynamics. Keep in mind that the upcoming Bank of England (BOE) interest rate decision on Thursday could influence the analysis, and traders should remain vigilant.
The 50 SMA has recently crossed below the 100 SMA, signaling a potential bearish momentum shift.
This crossover could indicate a trend reversal or the beginning of a downtrend.
Supply and Demand:
Entry Points:
Current Price (Market Entry): Given the recent bearish crossover, consider entering a short position at the current market price for potential continuation.
183.430 Level (Pending Entry): Another entry point could be around 183.430, aligning with a potential retracement to the moving average resistance.
Take Profit Points:
1st: Set the first take-profit point at 176.360, which aligns with a significant support level. This level could pose a challenge for further downward movement.
2nd: The second take-profit point is set at 180.400, considering potential resistance and supply in that region.
Risk Management:
Place stop-loss orders above key resistance levels or recent swing high please.
Evaluate risk-reward ratios before entering trades and adjust position sizes accordingly.
CHFJPY Breaking above the 1D MA50 and confirming the buy.The CHFJPY pair hit our 169.100 bullish target, after the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) held, as presented on our November 06 call (see chart below):
The current Bullish Megaphone that it has been trading in, has been very consistent. The recent Higher Low was made on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level such as the October 03. That was the first buy signal but now that the price is breaking above the 1D MA50 (needs to also close the candle above), we have the confirmation. On top of that, the 1D MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross.
The previous Higher High was priced exactly on the -0.236 Fibonacci extension so as a result we will target the new -0.236 Fib at 172.500.
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GBPJPY Technical Analysis 19.12.2023 1h chart– Previous Daily candle closed small Bullish around 180.550 within the recent Daily range as price consolidates on the lower timeframe.
– Buys on close above 181.100 targeting 4h Resistance around 181.560, Leaving Runners to the 30min Resistance formed around 181.950.
– Sells on close below 180.070 targeting 1h previous Resistance formed on 14th December 2023 around 179.370, Leaving Runners to the 1h Support formed around 179.010.
– High Impact News ahead of the Asian session for the Japanese Yen for review on interest rates, Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, Monetary Policy Statement, Bank Of Japan Policy Rate followed by Bank Of Japan Press Conference, High Volatility expected
USDJPY The 4hour MA50 is the sell signal you wantUSDJPY is trading inside a Falling Megaphone pattern.
Every 4hour MA50 test since Nov 16th has been a sell signal, with the price action producing 5 so far.
Sell on the next near test. Target the dashed line at 140.000, which is also near the 1 year Rising Support.
Previous chart:
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GBP/JPY 1D I DONT LIKE THIS PAIR
trading areas, in my opinion, the price will bounce from them. I added a horizontal line to stop loss. As for the profit, it depends on the method of taking some of the profit and completing with the rest, and so on.
The analysis depends on the gaps between the tails of the candles from which the price bounced at least once.
warning . I do not know the unseen. This analysis may be correct or it may be wrong. Please be wise
USDJPY: Is That a Bearish Trap?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Feels like we have a bearish trap on USDJPY.
The pair looks very oversold after FOMC yesterday.
Testing the key daily structure, the price went below that
but then quickly recovered, making me think that the violation was false.
We can anticipate a pullback now to 142.76
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AUDJPY Our trading plan on this Channel Up.The AUDJPY pair gave us the pull-back we wanted last time (November 03) and delivered a buy opportunity that hit our 97.675 target (see chart below):
The price has since pull-back and rebounded just before testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Even though it is still restrained below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), as long as the 1D MA200 holds, we expect this sequence to be the new bullish leg of the Channel Up, similar to the post July 28 bottom. The Higher High that followed, peaked just above the 1.136 Fibonacci extension level and as a result, our current target is 99.300.
If however the price breaks and closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA200, we will take the loss and attempt to cover it by shorting towards 91.800 (Support 1).
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USDJPY did what it should do as Per my analysis,what next?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Here's my evaluation of the pair and moving forward what is there to expect.
But let's revisit what has happened over this week. If you have not yet seen my previous post of USDJPY , you maybe refer to link below or here >>
Let's roll back on time on USDJPY to Monday, the start of the week. We see that it has been super bullish on Monday clearing the 145 and even 146.5 level that I have mentioned.
First of all we don’t see any sign on turning even on the one hourly chart for UJ. Therefore, nothing for us to short on that day.
The interesting part comes on Tues, where it seems like all the technicals aligned.
You can refer back to the analysis post I mentioned last week. I mentoned about the downtrend line on the daily and H4. 146.5 area also coincide by the last support turned resistance I hightlighted. So, naturally here's the place for us to look for short, which we saw a breakout of the consolidation and it came lower.
If you missed that, we do have opportunities to short 2 more times before the last strong move downwards on Thursday 3am Singapore time.
And then, for the rest of Thurs to Fri, it has been consolidating.
So, what to expect next?
Like I have mentioned, if the BOJ has no sign of increasing its rate, tighten their monetary policy, very likely we would see the USDJPY to resume back its longer term uptrend moves.
BUT if the BOJ indeed has some "actions" or hint to increase it rate and tighten, the likely the market will move further downwards. And that's probably why the USDJPY has consolidated right on its up trendline of the year since Jan 2023.
Let's see how PA unfolds from here on!
Happy Trading!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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GBPJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, In the upcoming week, our focus will be directed towards GBPJPY, where we are actively observing a potential selling opportunity within the 181 zone. Presently, GBPJPY is navigating a downtrend, indicative of a sustained downward momentum. Within this broader trend, the currency pair is currently undergoing a correction phase, steadily approaching the trend at the significant 181 resistance area.
The correction phase in GBPJPY introduces a dynamic element to the market, offering the prospect of a strategic entry point for sellers. The 181 resistance area holds particular importance due to its historical significance as a level where price movements have previously elicited substantial reactions. Traders will closely monitor this critical juncture in anticipation of signals that may inform their selling decisions in the coming week.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY: Your Trading Plan For Next Week Explained 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY is closed on a key horizontal daily support.
The price formed an ascending triangle formation on that on a 4H.
142.47 is the neckline of the pattern.
IF the price breaks and closes above that on a 4H,
it will signify the strength of the buyers and highly probable bullish continuation.
A bullish movement will be anticipated to 144.0 level then.
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GBPJPY to turnaround?GBPJPY - Intraday
Posted a Bullish Hammer Bottom on the Daily chart.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 180.22 level.
We look to Buy at 180.22 (stop at 179.42)
Our profit targets will be 182.22 and 182.62
Resistance: 182.10 / 183.35 / 184.60
Support: 180.30 / 178.00 / 175.15
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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SELL TRADE SETUP ON GBPJPYHey Traders,
Check out this technical analysis on GBPJPY.
GBPJPY is currently trading with bearish momentum by staying below the broken bullish trend line.
So anticipate a retest of the broken support level and consider entering SELL positions.
Keep a close eye on this; it could play out in either direction.