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[EDU]What has happened to USDJPY?More downside ?Here's my PlanHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. In short, here are some key takeaways from the news on Thursday from the BOJ: asia.nikkei.com - The JPY strengthened by over 5 yen against the dollar in response to comments by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda hinting at a potential exit from the bank's negative interest rate policy . - BOJ Deputy Gov. Ryozo Himino's statement that exiting the negative-rate policy would have limited impact fueled speculation of a policy shift, contributing to yen appreciation. - Market briefly hit $141 then settled at $143. - The BOJ is set to hold its final policy meeting of the year on Dec. 18 and Dec. 19. Speculation grows about potential modifications to policy, including ending negative interest rates or adjusting the yield curve control policy. My thoughts: From the pointers above, it is obvious what has led to the sudden strong buying of the JPY (USDJPY goes down). Firstly, ever since Japan's stance on continuing the monetary easing in Japan as compared to other major countries it can be obvious from Chart that JPY has depreciated greatly. Now that there is hint of removing this easing, JPY spiked up sharply. From this event, we can also witness that how a 'few words' from key stakeholders in the Forex market can led to huge volatility in the Forex markets. If you have short positions, most likely you got profits, what if you are on LONG and without stoploss ? So, always manage your position, put stoploss! Moving forward: I feel this effect will be in play till BOJ's last meeting on 18-19 Dec. So from now till then, I would be looking to go short on USDJPY. Looking at the charts (refer to charts): Weekly = Potential double top forming Daily and H4 = Trendline broke with Lower Lows and Lower highs. On H4,I am watching the blue zone for turning points.,namely 145 and 146 levels. Are after 18-19Dec, let's see what speech will be delivered and plan our trade accordingly from there. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
EURJPY Rebounding on the 1D MA200.The EURJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the March 07 2022 Low and only last Thursday hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and is rebounding. At the same time the 1D RSI got oversold (below the 30.00) and is also rebounding. The last 1D MA200 rebound that turned into a Higher High for the Channel was on August 02 and peaked on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. We will use a double entry approach and open the first buy lot now and if we drop lower, use the second lot at the bottom of the Channel Up. In both cases the target is 168.000, slightly below the 1.382 Fib and top of the Channel Up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
NZDJPY to move higher from doji?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart. Further upside is expected. RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 89.50 will confirm the bullish momentum. We look to Buy at 89.15 (stop at 88.83) Our profit targets will be 89.95 and 90.00 Resistance: 89.50 / 89.95 / 90.00 Support: 89.25 / 89.15 / 89.00 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
"USD/JPY: Japanese Yen Halts Decline, Eyes US CPI Data"The Japanese Yen regained positive momentum in the Asian trading session on Tuesday. USD/JPY partially eroded some of the strong recovery seen in the past two days. Investors are awaiting the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for fresh impetus ahead of the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY showed a certain degree of recovery last week at the crucial 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The subsequent move exceeded the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the recent decline from the vicinity of 152.00, or the YTD high, supporting bullish sentiments. However, the sharp rise during the day halted near the 200-hour SMA, now closing around the 146.50 level. This area will now play a crucial pivot point, and clearing it would allow the price to test the 50% Fibonacci level, around 146.80, and reclaim the 147.00 milestone. Meanwhile, oscillators on the daily chart are deep in positive territory, supporting the potential for some upward action at higher levels. This suggests that the resistance at the 100-hour SMA, around 145.85, may now act to defend the downside just ahead of the psychological level of 145.00. Further selling pressure could push USD/JPY back towards the intermediate support zone of 144.55-144.50 on the way to the 144.00 mark. A convincing break below this level would be considered a strong bearish catalyst, paving the way for deeper losses. On the other hand, the Japanese Yen (JPY) extends its downward trend for the second consecutive day, pushing the USD/JPY pair towards the 146.00 level during the European trading session on Monday. A report on Friday suggested that comments from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda last week were misunderstood, and the central bank will maintain the status quo until positive wage inflation begins. This comes alongside weaker-than-expected GDP reports from Japan, indicating the domestic economy remains fragile and expectations of imminent rate hikes may be inflated. Conversely, the US Dollar (USD) attracts some renewed buying interest after betting on an early Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing was scaled back, proving to be another supportive factor for the USD/JPY exchange rate. Friday's closely watched US employment figures showed a rapid growth pace in November, with the unemployment rate dropping to 3.7%. This indicates signs of underlying strength in the labor market and suggests that current market pricing for a rate cut in March 2024 may be premature. The recent sharp upward move seen around the USD/JPY pair in the past hour may be attributed to some technical buying based on sustained strength beyond the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA). This suggests that concerns about a deeper global economic downturn and geopolitical risks may limit losses for the safe-haven JPY and restrict any further upside moves for the currency. Traders may also limit strong bets ahead of this week's significant event/data risks - US Consumer Price Index on Tuesday and the crucial FOMC policy decision on Wednesday."
by Larissa-Trader
USD/JPY Weakens on Fed Rate Cut Speculation and BoJ PivotThe Japanese Yen has surrendered recent gains against the US Dollar amidst speculation of a Fed rate cut in March and a shift in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policies. Despite a day-end recovery, USD/JPY experiences one of its worst trading days in over a year, dropping below 142.00 and closing just above 144.00. Despite the intraday recovery, USD/JPY had one of its worst trading days in over a year, slipping below 140.00 in November last year. Throughout Thursday's trading session, USD/JPY transitioned from a slight decrease to a drop below the 200-day Simple Moving Average, requiring significant progress for a recovery towards the 147.00 handle. The 50-day SMA is currently positioned higher than the price action on Thursday, pushing towards the 114.90 region. Expectations of a Fed rate cut weigh on the US Dollar There is growing speculation that the Federal Reserve has concluded its rate hikes and will commence a rate cut in March, putting pressure on the US Dollar. In contrast, the Bank of Japan is expected to move away from extremely loose monetary policy in the coming months. This, coupled with risk aversion sentiment, offsets the safe-haven appeal of the Japanese Yen. USD/JPY witnessed a more than 4% decline on Thursday, quickly dropping below 142.00 before larger markets staged a modest recovery, pulling the Japanese Yen (JPY) back into a reasonable price range. USD/JPY closed Thursday down by around 2%, while the Yen entered Friday's market session in the green for the week. The Yen saw a broader market recovery following unconventional comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, unexpectedly hinting at the eventual end of BoJ's negative interest rate policy, possibly in the early part of next year.
by Larissa-Trader
GBPJPY: Strong 1D MA200 buy opportunity.GBPJPY remains bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 34.266, MACD = -0.180, ADX = 42.349) despite today's rebound following yesterday's bottom near the S1 level. The key here is that this bottom was made very close to the 1D MA200, which hasn't been crossed since April 6th. The 1D RSI almost got oversold for a moment (near 30.000) yesterday, so all indicators point towards a rebound. We are bullish, targeting 188.00. If we get a 1D candle closing over the R1 level (188.660), we will rebuy and aim foe the HH trendline (TP = 190.000). See how our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
USDJPY: CURVE ANALYSIS (1D)-SL @ 151.95 🚫 SLO @ 147.59 (conservative) ⏳ SSO @ 146.84 (moderate) ⏳ TP1 @ 143.60 (shaving 25%) TP2 @ 139.60 (shaving 25%) TP3 @ 136.70 (shaving 25%) TP4 @ 132.20 (shaving 25%) TP5 @ 129.60 (closing ALL Sell Orders) BLO @ 128.50 (1D) ⏳ -SL @ 127.22 🚫 NOTES: PA has been hanging out in the Supply Zone for over 95 days!!! 📉 AND NOW, it's ready to tank from here ✨ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The USDJPY is currently trading at 147.243, down 2.2769% from the previous close. The pair is currently in a downtrend, as evidenced by the following technical indicators: — Moving averages: The 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages are all sloping downwards. This suggests that the downtrend is likely to continue. —Relative strength index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 32.25, which is below the 30 level that is considered to be oversold territory. This suggests that the pair may be due for a bounce. — MACD: The MACD is currently below the signal line, which is another indication that the downtrend is likely to continue. ✨ FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS The USDJPY is a popular currency pair to trade because it is considered to be a safe haven currency. This means that investors tend to buy USDJPY when they are worried about the global economy. The Japanese yen is also considered to be a currency that is sensitive to interest rate differentials. This means that the USDJPY tends to rise when interest rates are higher in the United States than in Japan.
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
1