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Sell GBPJPY Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/JPY pair presents a potential selling opportunity on the H1 timeframe, fueled by a recent bearish breakout from a triangular consolidation pattern. Key Points: Bullish Triangle Breakout: Though seemingly counterintuitive, the price has broken downward from a bullish triangle formation, characterized by converging resistance and support lines. This often indicates a reversal of the prior upward trend and a shift in momentum towards the downside. Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price near 187.40, offering an entry point close to the breakout level. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 186.05 and 185.16, marking previous support zones within the triangle. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance line of the broken triangle at 188.70 Fundamental Updates : Bank of England (BoE) Meeting and Interest Rate Decision (Feb 2): While the BoE is expected to raise rates again, the focus will be on the size (25bps or 50bps) and future policy guidance. Dovish pronouncements could weaken the GBP and benefit selling GBP/JPY. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
8
GBPJPY Medium-term sellThe GBPJPY pair delivered the best sell signal possible on our last bearish call (November 30 2023, see chart below) as it got rejected exactly on the Higher Highs trend-line back to the Support of the Ascending Triangle: Today's analysis is on the 1D time-frame where you can see that the price then rebounded exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and hit again the Higher Highs trend-line. That makes it again a technical sell opportunity and we can see the price already starting to reverse. So far it continues to be a symmetrical price action with 2021 and early 2022 and along these lines, we can argue that this is a similar Higher Highs rejection with early January 2022. As a result, we are taking that sell opportunity to target the 1D MA200 at 183.000 as the pair did on January 24 2022. When the 1D RSI hits the 30.00 oversold barrier again, we will take a long-term buy position expecting a break above the Higher Highs trend-line this time. We will update on the Target when that time comes. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
JPY: Tokyo driftThe sharp falls in Tokyo inflation for January remind investors of the ending of the BoJ’s YCC and/or NIRP in 2024 are not set in stone. Tokyo inflation is a very good leading indicator for the nationwide inflation data. Tokyo inflation excluding fresh food as well as headline inflation plunged below the BoJ’s 2% target to 1.6% YoY; well below the consensus forecasts. January is the first time Tokyo inflation excluding fresh food is below the 2% target in a bit over 18 months. Tokyo inflation excluding fresh food and energy dropped to 3.1% YoY; also well below the consensus forecast. The Tokyo inflation data will challenge the increased confidence expressed by BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda in his post-meeting press conference that the central bank will meet its inflation goal. This confidence helped the JPY stage a modest rally this week as JGB yields moved higher in anticipation of the formal ending of YCC as well as NIRP in the coming months. The Minutes to the BoJ’s December meeting continue to feed this speculation as Board members shared the view that deepening discussion on the timing and pace to raise rates was required. Another factor that can give ground to the Yen is the BOJ intervention in the Forex market which had already happened a couple of times in 2023. They are closely tracking the USDJPY rate and tend to intervene around the 150.00 level which is about to be tested soon. For now, BOJ prefers FX interventions as they are effective so far and not damaging the already deflating economy as real interest rate increases would do. The Japanese Governor Ueda is also using his words wisely as we can see, only speaking about potential interest rate hikes affects the currency as if they increased them already although getting out of the ultra-loose policy is highly unlikely in 2024. Check out my other ideas below:
PEPPERSTONE:JPYXShort
by Elite_Forex
USDJPY:Breakout and Eyeing a potential retrace.In the upcoming week's trading session, our focus is on USDJPY as we anticipate a selling opportunity around the 149.800 zone. USDJPY has recently shifted from an uptrend and is currently undergoing a correction phase, presenting an opportunity as it approaches the 149.800 support and resistance area. As traders, it's important to monitor USDJPY closely as it navigates this correction phase. The 149.800 zone serves as a significant level where price action may encounter resistance, aligning with the broader market sentiment and technical analysis.
Short
by JoeChampion
Sell NZDJPY Triangle BreakoutA bearish triangle pattern has emerged on the NZD/JPY 30-minute chart, signaling a potential decline in the pair's value. Key Points: 1. Triangle Breakout Pattern: The pair has been consolidating within a triangle formation, characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This often indicates indecision before a decisive move. 2. Sell Entry Opportunity: A break below the lower support line of the triangle, around 90.10, could signal a bearish breakout and offer a potential sell entry. 3. Bearish Targets: If the breakout materializes, initial bearish targets could be found at the support levels of 89.56 and 89.20. 4. Resistance Level: The resistance level at 90.40 may act as a barrier to further upward movement, reinforcing the potential for a downside breakout. 5. Risk Management: A stop-loss order could be placed above the upper resistance line of the triangle to manage risk in case the breakout fails. Fundamental Updates : Weaker New Zealand Trade Data: New Zealand's trade deficit widened in December, potentially weakening the Kiwi Dollar against the Yen. Risk Aversion: Recent geopolitical tensions and concerns about global economic growth could trigger risk aversion, pushing investors towards safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
1
Cad/Jpy Capturing the Yield SpreadThe recent Houthi attacks on oil tankers have escalated geopolitical tensions, particularly impacting the global oil market and consequently influencing the Canadian dollar (CAD) as a commodity currency. Simultaneously, the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) cautious stance post-earthquake suggests potential extensions of accommodative measures. Geopolitical uncertainties, especially in the oil market, tend to affect the CAD due to its correlation with commodity prices. This situation may create an opportunity for a CAD/JPY long position, considering the CAD's sensitivity to oil price fluctuations amid heightened tensions. Strategic entry points, coupled with diligent monitoring of oil market developments and BOJ's policy announcements, could present favorable conditions for a CAD/JPY long trade, with the anticipation of potential CAD movements amid evolving geopolitical dynamics
Long
by Elite_Forex
11
USDJPY Bearish reversal towards the 1W MA50The USDJPY pair eventually took the bearish path last time we made a trading plan (November 28 2023, see chart below) and hit the 143.550 Target: The price has now made a short-term (at least) top as the 1D RSI got rejected near the 70.00 Overbought barrier. As a result we are expecting a reversal towards at least the 1W MA5 (red trend-line), which has been the long-term Support as it formed the bottoms (and subsequent rebounds) of December 28 and July 14 2023. As a result our Target is 143.000, even though the downtrend may very well extend as low as the Higher Lows trend-line. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
GBPJPY: Systemic Top being formed. Sell.GBPJPY is on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.529, MACD = 1.210, ADX = 62.251), which is a natural consequence of the strong 3 week rally since the January 2nd bottom. However this rally appears to have come to an end as not only has the price hit and got rejected twice on the R1 level (188.660) but the 1D RSI has also reach the top of its six month Channel Down and is reversing. The price action's HH trendline is a little higher, so we can allow some space for a final blow off top before a selloff. The Sine Waves so a clear and very consistent Peak-Bottom pattern and right now the price is exactly on the Peak. Consequently, we consider the current price level as a low risk sell opportunity. We are targeting the 1D MA200 (TP = 182.350). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
Buy USDJPY Triangle Breakout USD/JPY M30 Triangle Breakout Hints at Potential Upswing A bullish triangle pattern has emerged on the USD/JPY 30-minute chart, suggesting a possible shift in momentum towards the upside. Key Points: Triangle Breakout: The price has been consolidating within a triangle formation, characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This consolidation has now given way to an upside breakout, potentially indicating a renewed bullish trend. Buy Entry Opportunity: The break above the triangle's upper boundary around 148.10 presents a potential buying opportunity. Bullish Targets: If the upward momentum continues, initial targets could be found at the resistance levels of 149.04 and 149.43. Risk Management: To manage potential downside risks, a stop-loss order could be placed below the triangle's lower support at 147.70 Additional Considerations: Keep an eye on broader market sentiment and economic releases from both the US and Japan, as they can influence the currencies' relative strength. Employ proper risk management practices, including appropriate trade sizing and stop-loss orders, to safeguard your capital.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
🇺🇸 USDJPY 🇯🇵 - The growth of the currency pair may continue USDJPY will continue its growth provided that the dollar index will also continue its growth. Japanese banks are not doing well, the national currency continues to weaken. The dollar index may rise a little bit, as the interest rate cuts are still far away. Based on technical assumptions, there is a chance to see the continuation of the currency pair growth Reasons for further growth: 1) Uptrend 2) Strong dollar index and weak Yen 3) Consolidation of price after the rally. No correction 4) Possible false breakdown of PDL before PDH breakout
Long
by AndeWave
GBPJPY: Thoughts and Analysis Pre-BOJToday's focus: Pattern – Continuation, resistance test. Support – 37,400 Resistance – 187.63 - 184.35 Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Our focus today is on the GBPJPY pre-Bank of Japan. Looking at price, we can see it continues to trade on fast trends higher but has stalled at resistance. The market could now be waiting to see what's next from the Bank of Japan. Will they tweak their bond-buying program? We have seen some solid volatility from past meetings. Could this be another? We have run over two scenarios in today's video, and we will look to see what happens next for the JPY after tomorrow's BOJ meeting. Rates are expected to remain on hold, and the statement and outlook report are expected between 11:30 am and 4 pm on Tuesday this week. Good trading.
by Eightcap
Potential turning on UJ h1?Tradingview Ideas: Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Very nice run on UJ last week. You may also refer back to my previous analysis where i was bullish on UJ. Hopefully your got some pips too! The higher timeframe is still on the upside, just that pullback could be there and do take note of the tuesday rate news by BOJ Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Connecting the Dots: CPI Numbers and USDJPY OpportunitiesIn today's trading session, our attention is on USDJPY, as we monitor a potential buying opportunity around the 147.500 zone. USDJPY, currently in an uptrend, is in a correction phase, approaching the trend at the 147.500 support and resistance area. Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, let's consider the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Examining the CPI figures from the past months, there has been a gradual decrease, with the most recent data showing a CPI of 3.4%, surpassing the forecasted 3.2% and slightly down from the previous month's 3.7%. Now, let's connect this data to potential USD strength. A stable inflation environment can contribute to a stronger US dollar, as it signals economic stability and confidence. With the recent CPI figures, indicating a balance between inflation and expectations, there is potential for the USD to gain strength. Traders looking to engage in USDJPY should keep an eye on both fundamental and technical aspects. As always, trade safe.
Long
by JoeChampion
3
Sell USDJPY Triangle PatternUSD/JPY M30 Triangle Breakout Signals Potential Downtrend A bearish triangle pattern has emerged on the USD/JPY pair's M30 chart, hinting at a potential breakdown and further downward movement. Key Points: Pattern: The pair has been consolidating within a triangle formation, characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This often indicates a period of indecision before a decisive move. Sell Entry: A break below the lower support line of the triangle, around 148.10, could signal a bearish breakout and offer a potential sell entry. Targets: Potential bearish targets are located at the support levels of 147.16 and 146.60. Stop Loss: A stop loss can be placed above the upper resistance line of the triangle, around 148.50, to manage risk. Additional Considerations: Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment and fundamental factors influencing both the USD and JPY will also impact the pair's price action. Economic Data: Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases from both the US and Japan, as they could influence the currencies' relative strength. Risk Management: Employ proper risk management strategies, including appropriate trade sizing and stop-loss orders, to protect your capital. Fundamental Factors : 1. Mixed US Housing Data Dampens USD Strength: Earlier on Friday, mixed US housing data, including weaker-than-expected housing starts but a surprising rise in building permits, cast doubt on the strength of the US economy and capped gains for the dollar. This could put downward pressure on USD/JPY. 2. Weak Japanese Machinery Orders Add to Downside Risks: Japan's core machinery orders, a key indicator of future capital spending, unexpectedly declined in November, raising concerns about the health of the Japanese economy. This could lead to increased safe-haven demand for the Japanese yen, weakening USD/JPY further. 3. Rising Global Risk Aversion Favors JPY: Heightened geopolitical tensions and ongoing recession fears in some economies are prompting investors to seek safe-haven currencies like the yen. This could contribute to a decline in USD/JPY. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
8
USDJPY, yup yup went up n up, nice move after mid week!Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Did some pretty nice trade on UJ Long, bias still on the upside until unless something changes! Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Long
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
2
Buy AUDJPY Channel BreakoutBoJ not changing policy, intensified interest rate differential game: Comments from the country's monetary authorities suggest a new wave of pressure on the yen after three months of easing or ‘recharging’. With the Bank of Japan not changing policy, the yen is potentially under pressure from an intensified interest rate differential game. And this game promises to be more aggressive now than a year ago, as yield spreads between Japan and the US have widened for both short and long-term yields. The current higher interest rate environment is an opportunity for Japan to competitively devalue its currency to support national exporters, which it failed to do in the last decade in the era of zero interest rates. Price breaks the channel now, its good chance to buy now. Thank you
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6