JPYUSD
Big Picture: $SPX, $VIX, 10YR, $AAPLThe Dow just closed 10%, making it the largest single-day point decline since 1987.
The main issue I have with this though is, there is no catalyst in the near-term to reverse things. The selling really just compounds on itself now. Very little of this actually correlate to underlying fundamentals... which is even more worrying.
Meanwhile, the dollar remains surprisingly strong relative to other countries, though, versus Asia basket, we are getting kicked.
Guess we'll just be waiting for ol' J.P. to take the stage next week. The $500M repo is a great starting point, but it's really going to take more than cash infusions to stop the pan(dem)ic.
www.reuters.com
USD/JPY (LONG) - Technical & Fundamental AnalysisI will be looking to enter a long trade within the purple box which is a key daily zone that has previously acted as a resistance for price and we are now looking for it to act as support.
We have added confluence to this trade via the blue trend line which we can see has previously been well respected and therefore this increases confidence that this will serve as an area of support.
Fundamentally, we have seen the dollar finally start to show some weakness today following the steep decline in US equities caused by the growing market fears of a Corona Virus pandemic. However, it is my view that this will be a short lived decline for the dollar. It is still perceived to be the strongest economy in terms of weathering an economic slowdown should the virus continue to worsen. The Yen on the other hand is facing a weakening economy which will only get worse given its closer exposure to China, therefore this correction is USD/JPY is likely to be short lived and we look to take a long position using tech analysis to find our entry
JPYUSD Third leg M in productionDaily Chart:
Price action is touching higher timeframe trendline en will have higher probability to come down again.
Also M in production to produce its third leg down.
With Fibonnaci in place, my projection TP is back down to the 100% fibonnaci.
Wait on Price action on the 1 Hour Time Frame. (Sell position)
USDJPY approching buy zone NOTE: its best to wait for more confirmation...we must see if it takes support 1 or 2.
if it goes to support 2 maybe support 1 becomes resistance.
USDJPY is approaching the 1st buy zone. if it takes support we can expect a bounce up to 1st or 2nd resistance. if it breaks above 1st resistance then move sl on it and move tp to 2nd resistance (my opinion).
Nikkei USDJPY ratio at a very significant levelTVC:NI225/USDJP is at the same level it was in 1991,1995,1997,2018. The horiztontal trendline extends from 1990-2019 nearly 30 years. A closing above this trendline on a monthly basis will signal a bullish scenario in the Japanese stock market in my opinion.