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JPYUSD

Who's ready for a FRED 50 Trillion Balance Sheet? I Am. Japan has no completely lost control of their bond yields. Japan has completely lost control the US Yield Curve Control. The FRED paused (as I expected they had no choice). The FRED realizing they need to initiate YCC / QE / Rate Cuts before end of 2023 or we're going to see an economic meltdown. Option 1, let yields raise > mortgages blow up > bank collateral blows up bail out 100 Trillion. Option 2, start YCC / QE / Rate Cuts down > things don't blow up but spend 50 Trillion. What's hilarious is there is ZERO news coverage on this ZERO, the USA setup a YCC facility with the BOJ to patch bond yields yet the JAPANESE currency CANNOT handle it and the BOJ is starting to actually panic / tap out. People waiting for a "country" to enact the third world war, I'll give you a hint they always start when some major financial system breaks. That's this this is where we are at. Japan has a GDP of only 4.941 Trillion, if they initiate more YCC / QE they will start to turn into the Turkish Lira and then mass people are going to panic about US bonds. THERE IS ZERO chance we get to 2025 without a FRED balance sheet of over at least 30 Trillion, buckle up.
TVC:US10Y
by FederalXBT
FRED Are Done Raising Rates -- Raise Rates? Japan Collapses. Japanese Currency Strength is back to 1987 levels Japan is the main source of YCC for the USA buying down bond Yields If USA raises rates any more Japan will be in free fall collapse (hyperinflation) They need to pause at worst start reducing rates. My guess? Money printer is coming back and will come back fast to save the Yen, this is not just a "Asian currency" this is the single weak point for the entire US bond system if the Yen goes the US bond yields go ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Japan cannot tap out and raise rates, Japan cannot ditch the Yen and adopt the US Dollar, Japan is in some serious trouble here. All Japan can do is continue to issue "Stimulus Packs" that is making the M3 go parabolic that leads to serious inflation. Now what happens when a country issues unlimited Stimulus Packs and cannot raise interest rates?
TVC:DXY
by FederalXBT
4
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OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
DXY Is About To Revert - Peak Strength Index - 63 DXY Possible? The DXY has been in a position like this 3 times in history 1985 | 2001 | 2023 Every time the DXY has had a TSI 4W cross while the Stoch RSI was in the afterburn stage of rising with the Japanese Currency (JPY) either breaking major support or major resistance it has led to a complete rubber band reversal of the DXY. We now have the USDJPY hanging onto to support from 1990s. DXY losing momentum, PMI index reverting. DXY in Burn Zone. TSI showing strength loss. Annual inflation rate in the US 3% Does not matter if you think the SPY is overvalued, the FRED is done raising rates Inflation has collapsed (for now) meaning their next option is to hold / drop rates + initiate stimulus. This will cause a panic reaction and rush back into all assets away from bonds and money market funds. Recession will be avoided for 2024 and many will blame the FRED for "printing money" but the reality is this is going to cause every market to overheat and burn up depending on how fast the DXY reverts. This is where you get the flash backs of 1920s leverage something worse will develop over the next years and create a larger problem. Get the popcorn ready.
TVC:DXYShort
by FederalXBT
Asian Currency Crisis - Part two? Aussie Dollar Collapsing. RU Aussie Dollar looking extremely weak adding it to the list. Japanese Yen extremely weak China Yuan Extremely weak. There's a problem brewing in Asia / Oceania if the FRED does not start lowering rates you're going currencies like the JPY / CNY / AUD potentially lose 30-70% of its value against the United States Dollar. Japan cannot raise rates due to the leverage used by the BOJ to buy US treasuries and Japan Treasuries. China lowering rates will not work as its completely reliant on cheap US Dollars to function. Australia have also pivoted due to them having the highest household debt in the world, Australia relies on China to purchase resources, they cannot raise rates to deal with inflation the system cannot handle it. These could be the first major currencies to enter the point of no return debt to GDP ending up like Venezuela, Argentina, Turkey, Lebanon Debt To GDP Ratio's JAPAN - 264% "GOV debt to GDP" AUSTRALIA - 113.60% "House hold Debt" CHINA - 80% "GOV debt to GDP" For people who are unaware once you go past 100% in debt regardless if its Government or household, there has never been a currency in history that has survived paying off its debt and retracing. Currencies failing will make debt cheaper to repay? well the second side of that is CPI / Inflation Japan & Australia cannot seem to get out of. Sanctioning Russia & forcing a new BRICS development has really backfired here.
Short
by FederalXBT
USDJPY | FRED RATE CUT / BOJ / QE to Infinity Emergency Is here. Japanese Yen running the risk of entering Hyperinflation like the Argentine Peso thanks to the USA. JPY Used to purchase US Debt while USA has Inflation problem has caused them to purchase more than expected including the FRED running (System Open Market Account (SOMA) (soft YCC) China cannot get growth due to US higher rates slowing business growth meaning > Bank Of China has to start rate cutting and essentially do extreme QE or China will collapse. Japan will be FORCED to not raise interest rates due to them owning the most US Debt (bonds) on low interest rates. Japan is experiencing spike in inflation and currency devaluation as people are figuring this out. China forced to QE to counter deflation Yuan will collapse. Japan forced to QE to counter inflation Yen will collapse. If Japan raises rates the BOJ & institutions have to offload US bonds collapsing the US Bond market as the interest rates will destroy the carry trade. FRED cannot pause they have no choice to start rate cuts within the next months. If the FRED does not do this Japan's demise will send the US bond market under forcing QE / YCC by the FRED sending the FRED balance sheet to all time highs. If the FRED does not do this China could experience a complete society breakdown. There's a log term H&S on the JPY/USD that was going to eventually be tested leading to a -47% of the JPY currency (they will be forced to QE to locals to deal with currency collapse like Argentina leading to even more devaluation. NIKKEI225 Adjusted for Japan M3 supply showing more and more strength since the 1980s alerting local people are starting to lose faith in the Japanese Yen. This is no longer a "get Inflation lower story" it has started a sovereign debt and sovereign currency crisis. If people are unaware how much power and the FRED has in this situation, this could provoke the start of a new Cold War. What happens when the biggest holders of US debt Japan / China implode? the entire US bond system implodes. Suddenly the countries like El Salvador getting their credit upgraded while the US credit gets downgraded are looking very smart right now. End Game.
by FederalXBT
Yen season is coming or not?Hello Traders We believe that JPY will show us a large move in next few days. First yen(JPY) has a significant economical fundamental data in upcoming week. Second BOJ has mentioned their concerns about Yen value , and probably they will take an action in market. Third EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY and USD/JPY are showing similar technical patterns indicating another drop or possible higher low. Our technical view has been shown in the chart. If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing. Thanks For Reading Team Fortuna -RC (Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
Short
by FortunaInvestments
🚨USDJPY will fall by Bearish Gartley Harmonic Pattern🚨USDJPY managed to form a Bearish Gartley Harmonic Pattern in the 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡. A confirmation sign of point D of the Bearish Gartley Harmonic Pattern can be a Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern . 💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two consecutive peaks. 🔔I expect USDJPY will FALL to the 🟢 support zone(139.00JPY-137.620JPY) 🟢. 🔅U.S.Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze ( USDJPY ), 4-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
17
XAUUSD : TRADE situation Hi Guys, I hope you are well As I mentioned in the previous analysis, after reaching a very strong support in the range of the green box, the market shot upwards. Now I expect to see the gray box range and then a quick move towards $2000. The analysis is in the high time frame and only shows the way. For trading, you must have your strategy in the short time. SecondChanceCrypto ⏰ 31/JULY/23 ⛔️DYOR Always do your research. If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them. And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Secondchancecrypto
XAUUSD : DAILY ROADMAPHi Guys Hope you well. According to the previous analysis, the price was able to move up from the support zone. According to the chart, I expect such a move. The analysis is in the high time frame and only shows the way. For trading, you must have your strategy in the low time. SecondChanceCrypto ⏰25/JULY/23 ⛔️DYOR Always do your research . If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below.and I will answer them. And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Secondchancecrypto
XAUUSDT DAILY: IMPORTANT AREAHi Guys Hope You well As you can see, we have reached a very important demand area in the daily time. With the price being supported in this area, I expect to be able to grow to the supply area around the price of $2000. The analysis is in the high time frame and only shows the way. For trading, you must have your strategy in the low time. SecondChanceCrypto ⏰5/JULY/23 ⛔️DYOR Always do your research . If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below.and I will answer them. And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Secondchancecrypto
JPYIRR SHORT JPY weakness continues:Strong bearishIran’s currency hits record low amid tensions with the West Depreciation of the rial comes amid boiling tensions with the West and continuing protests in Iran. On Sunday, the United States dollar went past the 450,000-rial mark for the first time on the open market. On Sunday, the central bank said it will soon raise the maximum amount of currency that can be sold to an individual annually from 2,000 euros ($2,176) to 5,000 euros ($5,439) in an apparent effort to show it has no shortage of currency. The cap was introduced after the US unilaterally abandoned the 2015 Iran nuclear deal with world powers in 2018 and imposed harsh sanctions, triggering a new currency crisis in Iran. To combat currency devaluation, Iran’s police force has periodically announced the arrest of dozens of currency speculators in recent months. Japan's Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki kept up verbal warnings on Tuesday against the yen's depreciation, saying he would respond appropriately if currency moves became excessive. At the end the interest rates differential between 2 countries are important. Which country offers more interest rates for your money? That currency is the winner
Short
by DaveBrascoFX
5
USDJPY will go UP by Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern🚀USDJPY is moving on 🟢 support zone(139.10 JPY-137.60JPY) 🟢. Also, USDJPY has managed to form an Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern in the support zone. I expect USDJPY to start growing after completing the pullback to the neckline and at least touch the 🎯 target 🎯 of the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern. 📚Since the Regular Divergence(RD+) between the right and left shoulders is clearly visible, this point adds to the validity of the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern. 📚Another sign that increases the validity of the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern is that the momentum of USDJPY approaching the neckline is greater on the right shoulder than on the left shoulder. 🔅U.S.Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze ( USDJPY ), 4-hour time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
49
🚀 USDJPY | Get on board 🚀Hello. Japan mobilised hundreds of billions of USD in its currency reserves in 2020 to defend the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) unmoved monetary policy and the JPY itself as the BoJ refused to hike the policy rate from -0.1 percent or to lift the yield cap on 10-year Japanese government bonds at 0.25 percent. As 2022 rolls into 2023, the pressure on the JPY and the Japanese financial system mounts again on the global liquidity crisis set in motion by the vicious Fed policy tightening and higher US treasury yields. Pay attention to the news. 🛒 USDJPY - LONG 🛒 📈 4H TimeFrame 📈 🚀 🚀 If you want to help me here, please follow me 🚀 🚀 ✅ Random Win Idea ✅
Long
by Alert_Me
6
USDJPY | SELL NOW AND BUY LATER? (maybe)Hey Everyone! I believe USDJPY can have both scenarios for the following reasons: SELL setup: - USDJPY has been very bullish recently and needs a strong rejection. - Even with NFP news outcome being positive the USD is currently falling slightly. - There is a good bearish channel and stoploss is covering our 100-200 moving averages. Buy setup: - After the likely rejection I believe a strong pullback to the psychological level 137.00 could trigger huge bullish pressure. - That's where the 200 moving average is sitting on the daily and the 4h is nearby which usually trigger a reaction in the market. - Overall market direction is also very bullish in favour for USD. My personal opinion: I would not sell, I would wait for that pullback and stay patient, but for those who love a little risk, could be a good trade-down. If moving averages do manage to break to the upside, this trade becomes invalid.
by FX-TradingLions