Renergen losing it's energy - Support needs to hold or troubleRenergen has been on a one way trajectory down along with the solid downtrend.
We have the price below 20MA and 200MA
Now if the support does not hold, it could confirm an M Formaiton, which will send the price further down to R1.31
If the price has bottomed then there may be some type of hope for Renergen.
Jse
Transcap bottomed and could go up from here to R2.11RISKY ANALYSIS alert.
It looks like the bottom is in for Transcap. But the downtrend is strong and there is a prominent resistance line that definitely needs to break first.
Also it's a medium analysis because the Price>20 but<200MA
We have a small W Formation that has formed and price has broken above the neckline.
So I have a small target of Target R2.87.
The analysis will play as long as the support holds at R2.11.
DRD leading the resources pack and heading up R23.80DRD is looking like one of the better resources that are showing upside to come.
Despite the Expropriation Bill, Depsite the uncertainty with Tariffs and US pulling funding.
DRD looks to be the star child of resources.
Price>20 and 200
W Formation
Target R23.80
Merafe really took a HUGE dunk! And more to come to 93 centsMErafe dropped 18% yesterday.
Big unexpected move due to an array of events~
First we had Trump pulling funds from SA.
Second with the major expropriation bill that is leading to Foreign direct investments to leave SA.
Merafe Resources has announced that it may start suspending some of its ferrochrome furnaces in May 2025, leading to a substantial decrease in ferrochrome production in South Africa.
This decision follows a business review launched by Merafe, in collaboration with Glencore Operations South Africa through their chrome Pooling and Sharing Venture, as they evaluate possible strategies to tackle ongoing market challenges.
Either way, this is a BIG black swan for Merafe and it seems like there is more downside to come with the technicals.
M Formation
Price<20 and <200MA
Target R0.93
RISKY BUSINESS!
Aspen showing upside to R204 despite Trump pulling funds from SAOk this isn't the best formation.
We have the price above 20MA but still below 200MA.
On the other hand, we have a solid bottom formed and a W Formation along with a Box Formation with it.
So with the pull back and the retest, we could get a bounce up which will send the price to potentially R204.60
Even though Trump has pulled funding from South AFrica due to the Expropriation Bill being announced, this will pull funds from Healthcare, to developments and more...
But it seems like the Fair value of Aspen is underpriced and the market is likely to turn up from here. SO I am bullish for now.
Growthpoint showing anything but growth technically in 2025Inv Cup and Handle has formed on Growthpoint with the price breaking below the Brim level and below the Moving Averages 20 and 200.
We see a strong downtrend established. and it looks like it's about to enter into Penny Stock Territory.
Target R9.38
Naspers NEXT push up to R501 with a Double Motion?W Formation has formed after some consolidation range in the last few months.
The JSE is also showing strong upside to come as it's catching up to American markets as laggards do.
Technicals are also looking promising with Price>20 and 200MA which deems it HIgh Probability as per the last trade idea.
Target R501.59
Firstrand looking horrendous - Target to R64.47Inv Cup and Handle has formed on First rand.
Price<20 and <200 which makes it a Medium Probability trade.
But judging by the large down candle and the Fair Value Gap - means momentum is strong to the downside.
Target R64.47
This is strange considering how bullish the JSE Top 40 is looking. So it might be either a large fakeout or there is downside to come for the banks.
JSE 200 next target up to 85,321 thanks to 3 Bullish signalsHigh Probability Analysis has lined up with the J200 (JSE Top 40)
We have three bullish confirmation signals including:
1. Up channel (Between the two ray trend lines)
2. Cup and Handle (Wait for break for complete confirmation)
3. Price>20 and 200MA
Target 85,321
Great for upside and buying stocks with the JSE!
UPDATE Murray and Roberts - Th big restest in play before upsideSince the last update, M&R was heading up on a smooth trajectory.
The bears probably thought it was going up too quickly and too soon.
So there is a temporary pause in the uptrend with the inv cup and handle.
We are likely to get an uptrend test to see if there are any sellers around that area.
If ther price bounces from there or anywhere around the higher low, we could see it continue with the current target at R4.75
UPDATE ACL Profit target reached at R2.22Since the price broke abbove the W Formation and the Price went above above 20 and 200
THe momentum and buying just took off at an alarming rate.
So within ONE week, the price shot up to R2.21 which was even a surprise to me with the speed of the analysis.
So what now?
Now, it's in a dangerous area. The trend is so steep it can come down just as fast.
If the buyers have conviction they will drive the price sideways first before the next buy up.
But we'l have to give it some time before we decide.
ASPEN nearly ready for a strong shot down to R151.06!Inv Cup and Handle has been forming on Aspen.
The price is >20 and 200 showing that the momentum is down.
I am eagerly waiting for a strong break below, before I look at getting into a long holding short (sell trade).
My first target will be at R151.06
UPDATE: Transaction Capital ready to ride to R5.30
Medium Probability Analysis has formed on TCP.
The price is below the 200 and above the 20MA.
But what's important from the last update is the support level has been tried and tested and is strong at R2.30.
Hopefully it is impenetrable and will keep the buying and demand up.
The W Formation has formed, broken up and now we need a strong push from buyers to get this up to the first target at R5.30
UPDATE: Arcelerormittal on track to the first target to R2.22Arc from the last update completed the W Formation.
It finally broke above and what pressure there was for the buying and demand to kick in.
The Price is above 20 and 200 and the momentum is strong on the up.
This is a high probability long (buy) analysis
Target R2.22
Stadio trend haven heading up to R6.70?Since July, Stadio has been in a a strong trend up.
I've drawn a diagonal Rectangle pattern showing the support and Resistances.
So if the Path continues, we can see it coming a bit down before making it's way up to R6.70.
We need to be aware of the support and resistances and if there are any breaks, the analysis may change.
Until then it's going up.
Nampak on par with the second target at R494.75Since the first target was reached, we then had a Trend traders haven.
Then we had a CUp and Handle form which broke above confirming upside.
The analysis turned into a high probability analysis with Price>20 and 200
The second target is therefore on par to R494.75
Vodacom showing strong upside after CUp break to R140.37Cup and Handle has formed on the daily.
The pattern has formed since May 2023 and only now recently it's broken up.
SO this is a massive analysis and a High probability analysis whiich is likely to work out.
Also the Price>20 and 200
So the first major target is at R140.37
Adcock Ingram is looking to erect to R89.25Cup and Handle has formed on the healthcare stock.
We saw a strong pattern form and break above, This is in relation to the JSE Top 40 rally since America cut interest rates.
It's also a high probabiliity trade
Price>20 and 200MA
My first target is at R89.25