NEPI Castle ready to Rock up to R159.60 W Formation formed on NEPI.
It's a W Formation because the second rounding bottom is more than 50% the height of the first.
Nature: High probability analysis
Price>20
Price>200
Uptrend (Safety line - check)
First target will be at R159.60
I personally don't have experience trading this market, so not sure how it will play out - but the candles and liquidity seem ok.
Jse
Barlo ready to rock shareholders world to R131.98Cup and Handle formed on the daily after sideways consolidation over the last year.
We had a strong breakout and the nature is igh probability
Price>20
Price>200
We have an Uptrend (Safety line) in Check which gives some security for upside.
Target R131.98
JSE Top 40 LONG analysis still in check to 85,633Look I don't care whether the market rallies or falls. We trade either way and follow the trend.
But on bigger time frames, it states and shows us what is rather than what the media and Jim Cramer says.
And right now, the long analysis still applies for a few reasons.
1. W Formation, broke out and now going to test support 1 (Safety line 1)
2. Price<20 but still above 200MA which states the market is in a bull market.
3. If the price breaks below the safety line 1 it could go to 68,000 before it turns up again.
So all in all the analysis still has a weird up target to 85,633 on the daily chart.
And the market is still up 2.40% for the year - So it's not all bad babies.
MTN just took a nose dive with a scary down target of R47M Formation formed on MTN, with the price breaking out on 13 June 2024.
We see price below 20SMA and 200SMA showing a high probability analysis.
And there are two downtrend lines confirming the momentym of downside.
First target will be set to R47.34
Sasol short about to get stopped out - Ready for a swing longTrades don't always work out.
The trick is to prepare for not only the stop loss to be hit but also the counter action immediately afterwards at times.
So in this case, the false break below lead to a rounding bottom and following another higher rounding bottom
If it breaks above, we will be stopped but the next trade will be imminent for a long position.
This is how we do it as active or hyper traders :)
R207.16 - New target upside
UPDATE Nampak target 2 set to R494 thanks to RegressionNampak W Formation broke above the neckline and rallied in a few short days to the first target at R271.81.
Now there is no breakout pattern emerged but there is a Regression channel showing a trend. With an uptrend line.
Below the uptrend line is the safety like which means, we can expect the price to continue up for now until it hits the target at R494.75.
Looks good
Mr Price priming for MAJOR upside in 2025Potential Inv H and S has been forming since September 2021.
Mr Price, has tested its lows at R125.00 multiple times, and the price continues to rocket up.
It now needs to form one more shoulder, higher low and cross above.
And we could see Mr Price at R305.37 by 2025.
NATURE of the analysis: High Probability
Price>20
Price>200
Target R305.37
Northam just broke out of its cup and handleCup and Handle formed on Northam and the momentum is looking good for upside.
As many brokers and market maker in SA don't allow trading PLatinum, the only next options we have are platinum stocks. So this one is one that is almost mimicking the precious metal.
We are seeing price above 20 and 200MA. And this means it's a High probability analysis...
Target R167.75
#USDZAR Down channel formingUSDZAR has been trading in a defined sideways channel 19,40-17,40 for close to 18 months. Early days, but another down channel looks like it might be forming.
If this is the case, 17,40 could be challenged in coming weeks and a break of the bottom of the the sideways channel at 17,40 could be on the cards.
REVERSAL Idea - Capitec Bank - first down to R2400 then up 2900Broadening Pattern has formed with Capitec.
When this pattern forms it bounces between ranges.
Right now it bounced off the top of the range, and is most likely to come down 50% from the most recent rally.
Once it comes down to a target of R2,400 then it could consolidate move sideways and then breakup to the next target at R2,900.
This is a little different from breakout trading, but I was asked for an analysis around this.
Impala Platinum new target now UP to R126.27M Formation is now turning into a W Formation
We never had the break down and now it is looking up, along with the platinum price.
So we need to adjust course.
Now we are waiting for a breakout above the Neckline of the W Formation then the next target will be around R126.27
Nature: High Probability
Price>20
Price>200
UPDATE: Sasol new upside in line to R242.67 target Since the last major update where we expected Sasol to reach a low of R112.00
Now the price has broken above the downtrend, we are seeing a more optimistic view.
And this is in the light that Brent Crude price is going up nicely along with a weaker US Dollar.
So, I am looking for upside for Sasol to around R242.67 now just to retest the resistance from the previous breakout.
UPDATE: Arcelormittal found major support - Still warningThese illiquid and low volatile penny stocks need weekly charts to remotely see the biger picture.
There are two facts.
The price broke below the Inv Cup and Handle with price bring below both 20 and 200 MA.
Second, the price has stabilised around an extremely strong and important support level at R1.00.
If it breaks R1.00 it's doomed to 20c.
I'll try be an optimistic but keeping to my analysis for now.
PPC target has been extended to R4.60W Formation formed on PPC.
The price broke out of the downtrend since January 2024.
and we have further confirmation with price above both 20 and 200MA.
The target has therefore been increased to R4.60.
With the new building of the malls in South AFrica and the property boom, I don't blame a company like PPC to have invested interest from the shareholders.
UPDATE: Target reached Nampak at R271.81 what's next?Nampak shot up a LOT faster than I ever imagined.
And it destroyed the first target at R271.81.
Problem is the uptrend is extremely steep which can signal flat panic amongst the buyers. I would now wait for a 50% pull back from the most recent low and high to about R243 and then some consolidation before it runs up again.
It's still very bullish but there needs to be some form of equilibrium for the market.
Let's see.
JSE Top 40 setting itself for great upside to 84,346Cup and Handle has formed since September 2023.
We are waiting for an imminent breakout.
With the new cabinet in play, stronger rand and weaker US Dollar with Granpa Biden bringing the US down. We are in for a potential rally with the JSE.
Question is, will the AMerican markets lead the JSE too?
When the US dollar weakens, we generally see a rally in their markets - which is great.
High Probability analysis as the
Price>20
Price>200
Extended uptrend has shown demand and buying being stronger.
Target 84,346
LONG opportunities coming our way.
UPDATE: Absa Target reached at R181.95 what next?Cup and Handle formed on Absa, broke up and out of it.
On 12 June I said it was imminent for a breakout to the upside, but I had NO clue how fast this thing was going to rally.
And it was only a Medium Probability Trade
Price>20
Price<200
Now that the price has shot up, it obviously is silly to just buy and go long without waiting for a trend confirmation signal in my case.
But we do have a DOWN gap (Breakaway gap) that has a 70% chance of closing based on history.
However, we need some bullishness before we do anything.
Is Absa setting itself for upside to R181.95Cup and Handle seems to be forming on Absa.
There was little supply (selling) which caused a major push up on the bank stock.
Banks have lagged many of the leading markets, and so hopefully they play catch up once the JSE TOp 40 picks up yet again.
RIght now it's in Medium Probability territory.
MPT
Price>20
Price<200
Target R181.95
BIdcorp Diamond formation ready for a break ups to R526?We need a Weekly chart as there is too much chop on the daily.
Bidcorp has been moving nowhere slowly since April 2023.
And during this time it's been moving in a Bullish Diamond Formation.
Why it's bullish is because the previous trend and pole was up.
SO we are expecting a sideways move before the break up and out of the pattern.
Next target will be at R526.74
UPDATE: PPC shifted the analysis to upside target at R4.26W Formation formed on PPC and there has been a breakout of the downside since December.
The M Formation that formed I expected to breakdown never confirmed and so, the analysis has switched.l
It's not easy making analysis probabilities with low liquid penny stocks like PPC.
Funny I never thought PPC and Penny Stock would be in the same sentence but here we are and it shows how unpredictable markets are.
Price>20 and Price>200 - HPT
Target R4.26