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ARI stunning Cup and Handle target to R340Cup and Handle has formed very nicely on the weekly chart. We've also had a strong breakout, confirming from the open of the candle. The moving averages are bullish 7 > 21 >200 RSI >50 - higher lows Bullish Target 1 - R340.00 Here's some information about the company to those who are international: African Rainbow Minerals (JSE:ARI) is a diversified South African mining company that was founded in 1997. The company has operations in the coal, platinum, manganese, chrome, iron ore, and copper industries, among others. ARM is listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange and is one of the largest mining companies in South Africa. It is also involved in various social and environmental initiatives in the communities where it operates.
JSE:ARILong
by Timonrosso
Tigerbrands hit our Take profit price at R219.05CHALLENGE TRADE UPDATE: Tigerbrands (TBS) TAKE PROFIT REACHED After a long hold of almost 2 months, Tigerbrands reached our take profit price at R219.05. I was a bit hesitant considering the global chaos and downside that has come down on the markets. But I guess because Tigerbrands is less connected offshore, is the one of the reasons why it's wings were not clipped for movement. The bias is still long and I expect upside to come, but we need to wait for the next Breakout pattern, Follow for more daily trades and analyses :) Trade well, live free Timon MATI Trader Extra news about Tigerbrands if you didn't know: Tiger Brands is a South African multinational food and beverages company that was founded in 1957. The company is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa, and is listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. Tiger Brands is one of the largest food companies in Africa, with a diverse range of products that includes grains, confectionery, processed meats, baby food, and beverages. Some of the well-known brands owned by Tiger Brands include All Gold (Doesn't get better than these jams), Tastic, Jungle Oats (Cinnamon is amazing), Bakers, and Albany (Best bread I've ever had in my life). Tiger Brands has operations in over 20 countries in Africa, as well as in Asia, Europe, and the Middle East.
JSE:TBSLong
by Timonrosso
DRD Gold perfect for the picking to R14.12Cup and Handle has formed on DRD and is looking pretty good. There has been a retracement where it will be testing the uptrend as well as the Brim level on the Cup... Also Moving Averages have crossed up with 7>21>200 Fundamentally, I am bullish on gold in the medium to long term. Despite the interest rate hikes, the chart is neglecting them and is showing the price wants to trend up. Mostly because investors are losing their faith and trust in crypto and they'll be investing in safe havens like gold. If you see here the chart is screaming a buy... Target R14.12
JSE:DRDLong
by Timonrosso
Compounding Trading EXPLAINED with an exampleListen up. If you want to grow your portfolio exponentially, you’ll need to understand this concept. It’s called ‘compounding’. In short, Compounding is a strategy where you allocate your money with your original and current portfolio in order to reinvest it and grow it into an even larger portfolio. Let’s cut to the chase with an example. Meet Jack and Jill. Jack and Jill both deposit R100,000 into their trading accounts and they decide to follow each other’s trades exactly. At the end of the first year, their portfolio performances were identical. As they enter their second trading year, Jack decides to do one thing different to Jill. He decides to withdraw all his profits so that he can enjoy a lavish holiday. Jill on the other hand, decides to reinvest her profits. This way, in the next year, she’ll be able to grow her account even more. They trade this way for the next 10 years. Let’s compare how their portfolios differ. Simple trading versus Compounding trading in action It is clear that Jill is a lot wealthier than Jack where, she has been able to grow her account from R100,000 up to R2,164,657 in just 10 years. Jack on the other hand is right back to where he started, but with 10 memorable holidays. Which position would you like to be in? Every year, Jack takes on the simple interest trading approach. This is where he continues to earn returns on his original portfolio value only. At the end of each year, he takes out the R36,000 in profits, that he earned, and uses the money to go on a holiday. Even after 10 years, Jack continues to bank a fixed R36,000 each year leaving his trading portfolio back to his starting account of just R100,000. Jill on the other hand, takes the compounding interest trading approach. This is where she continues to re-invest her earnings into her portfolio each year, in order to grow it even larger than the previous year. After 10 years of trading, Jill’s R2 million trading account continues to snowball and compound each year. The science of compounding is an extremely effective wealth building strategy. Do you have a trading or investing question, let me know and I'll be happy to help where I can. Trade well, live free. Timon Financial trader since 2003
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
4 Problems when you Hold a Delisted ShareAs we are expecting Steinhoff to delist soon. What if you continue holding shares in the company? From my experience when a company goes from listed to private it means a few things. 1. Liquidity issues Volume will be low where you might not be able to exit a position with a rightful buyer or sell 2. lack of transparency This leads to uncertainty for the business as shares holders won't have the transparent information like they would with a public company. 3. Valuation With a company listed privately, this can lead to investors pricing in the business rather than shareholders. This can result in slower performance in the price of the share. 4. Market perception The fact that a company has been delisted can be seen as a negative development by some investors, who may view it as a sign of financial distress or poor management. This can affect the market's perception of the company and its shares, which can in turn affect the value of your investment. Do you have a fundamental analysis question? Let me know in the comments and I'll answer in simple terms. Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
Steinhoff hit my price target and I am very worried for it now!We saw a major drop of 44% with Steinhoff to just 90cents and Its market capitalisation lost as much as R3bn in the fall from R6.9b yesterday Steinhoff is in troubled waters with a debt of R185 billion. There is a deal where if Shareholders will agree, they will end up owning 20% of the company. The Creditors will own the rest. The problem is the company will no longer be listed on the stock exchange. From my experience when a company goes from listed to private it means a few things. 1. Liquidity issues Volume will be low where you might not be able to exit a position with a rightful buyer or sell 2. lack of transparency This leads to uncertainty for the business as shares holders won't have the transparent information like they would with a public company. 3. Valuation With a company listed privately, this can lead to investors pricing in the business rather than shareholders. This can result in slower performance in the price of the share. 4. Market perception The fact that a company has been delisted can be seen as a negative development by some investors, who may view it as a sign of financial distress or poor management. This can affect the market's perception of the company and its shares, which can in turn affect the value of your investment. I would not touch Steinhoff with even my pocket money for sweets at this stage. Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
SShort
by Timonrosso
3
Future of Customer Services with Trading the marketsThe Future of Customer Services with Trading The new era of trading all depends on two things… The experience for trading and the superior customer service, that comes along with it… Consumers depend on it and companies reap the rewards by adapting to excellent customer service to prevent them from failing. In this article, we’ll focus on 7 trends that will shape customer service in the future. This applies for not only trading but with most businesses. Let’s get to them… Trend #1: Social Media Live Chat Human assistants will help answer their customer questions, with a live online chat software or by downloading an application. Think of Skype, Zoom, Facebook or via their personal website. As more people adapt to online communication, the more companies will utilise these opportunities. After all, it’s all about meeting the customers where they are most likely to be. WITH TRADING – There are already live online communication options where human operators can help with trading platform, charting, business features and offers. Trend #2: Virtual Chatbot A virtual chatbot is a pre-programmed response with an artificial intelligence software. You most likely know them as virtual assistants. This way is a cheaper, faster and more consistent approach to help answer customers questions without the need of a human operator. With virtual chatbots there’ll be no restricted or waiting times. Also with machine learning, means the bots will get better, they’ll be more researched and will provide better answers over time. WITH TRADING – You’ll be able to ask for financial markets information, prices, charts, how to guides and trading platform queries. Trend #3: RIP Phone Calls & Faxes Companies will strive to cut costs and cut out old fashion ways. This includes mobile-data related phone calls taking a back seat as well fax machines. WITH TRADING – You’ll notice that with most global Forex and trading companies, they have taken out the options of phoning and faxing them. This shouldn’t worry you as they are adapting to the new ways of trading. Trend #4: 24-Hour Support With Apps Instead of calling or messaging companies via mobile communication, companies are adapting to more text and voice messaging apps. I’m talking about WhatsApp and Facetime. It’s cheaper, faster and more accessible from anywhere in the world. This will bring about 24 hour support, for their customers. WITH TRADING – I’m sure you’ll be able to send a quick message to your broker via WhatsApp or another app to place or close a trade or facilitate other transactions. Trend #5: Video Email Email has been the most widely used tool for customer service. In the future, we’ll be taken to the next level where email will allow for video emails. This way we’ll have a higher level of engagement and with a more personal and natural touch. WITH TRADING – You’ll be able to ask your trading related query with an illustration rather than explaining via text. And when you receive your answer, it will be shown with an easy to understand and visualise demo explanation. Trend #6: Remote Working & Flexible Times COVID-19 was the catalyst that helped push the remote working environment for employees. As customer service and contact agents are confined more to their homes, they will be working with more flexible times. WITH TRADING – Instead of an employee having to work in an office setting, they will be more flexible with their times. Eventually, we’ll see questions answered by them at all hours of the day. Trend #7: Multi-language Support Customers are connecting with more companies, located all over the world. It is critical to offer customer service support in multiple languages. The more languages are offered, the bigger the reach for potential customers. WITH TRADING – Forex and crypto-currency is a global phenomenon, taking over the world. It is inevitable for these kinds of companies to offer their services in different languages. Final words With us being able to expose, report and send our reviews about our experiences, means one thing… Businesses will continue to strive to serve and improve their customer support and services. And that’s why, it is and should always be a priority for companies to improve. Is customer services improving with trading? Let me know in the comments... Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
What a Leopard can teach you about Successful trading I’m from South Africa. I’ve observed the movements and ways of life of wildlife at different game reserves, resorts and zoos. Penwarm, Kruger National Park, Londolozi and Sabi Sand Game Reserve to name a few. And I’ve seen how leopards work when they catch their prey. This methodology is very similar to how we as trader should act in the financial markets. They lurk behind the bushes in a crouch position. They can wait all day for just the right moment to pounce on its prey and bring the hunt back to its family. Even though they know they can outrun their prey, they still wait for the perfect moment to pounce. Either they’ll wait for the animal in a vulnerable position, injured or the perfect time where they will have a higher probability of catching it.. Patience my friend. That’s the most important element to grow your portfolio. You don’t make money taking a trade. You make profits while holding, waiting and letting the market play out. Here are five reasons why Patience is key for your trading success. #1: Stops you from making impulsive decisions Once you’re in your trade, holding and leaving it alone can help you avoid making impulsive decisions that are based on emotions rather than careful analysis. #2: Helps you spot high probability trades You need to have the patience to wait for the right opportunities to arise, rather than jumping into a trade just because you're feeling anxious. #3: Hold onto winners Trading is NOT about banking small profits. Because you do that and your losses will outweigh your winners. Your Risk to Reward should ALWAYS be above 1.5 at the minimum. This way you’ll hold onto your positions for longer periods of time, which can increase the potential for profits. #4: Takes away fixation When you enter into a trade, you may feel the instinct to watch it and observe ALL day. This will spark up your cortisol levels and will distract you from your higher priorities you have in a day. Once you’ve taken the trade, leave it alone to do its thing. You have your winning trading strategy in place. #5: Wait for the prey Like a leopard, successful traders need to be patient and wait for the right opportunities to arise, rather than acting impulsively or making rash decisions. This is why having a clear and proven plan can also teach us the importance of running it which is essential for success in the financial markets… If you enjoyed this article follow for more Daily tips. I enjoy sharing information I've gained since 2003. Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
1
Bidcorporation still in the Twilight-zoneIt definitely can seem tempting to buy (go long) a stock like Bidcorp as by theory it's broken above the Cup and Handle pattern and the moving averages look great 7>21 >200. However, it's also good to look at the broader picture of price action. Bidcorp has been moving in a sideways rectangle formation since February 2021... I think only above R30.00 will give me some semblance of hope of a new bull run... Until then, I'm hesitant to go long.
JSE:BID
by Timonrosso
2
25 METRICS and 10 BENEFITS of a Trading JournalTrading Journals are essential. It's your game plan to what you could potentially see in the future as a trader. In the above image are the 25 metrics every Trading Journal should have... And below are 10 benefits for having a trading journal... 1. KEEP TRACK A trading journal helps to keep track of your trades, including the reasons for making the trade, the results of the trade, and any lessons learned. 2. CUT OUR BAD HABITS It can help to identify and eliminate bad habits and biases in your trading. 3. POWERS DISCIPLINE A trading journal can help to improve your discipline, which is essential for long-term success in trading. 4. CONSISTENCY It can help you to develop a consistent and effective trading strategy. 5. FEEDBACK FOR REFINEMENT A trading journal can provide valuable feedback that can be used to refine and improve your trading. 6. FOCUS ATTAINED It can help you to stay focused and avoid making impulsive decisions. 7. TRACKS SUCCESS A trading journal can provide a valuable record of your progress as a trader, which can be useful for reviewing and analyzing your performance. 8. CONFIDENCE BOOSTER It can help to increase your confidence and reduce stress by providing a clear and objective record of your trading activities. 9. STAY ORGANISED A trading journal can help you to stay organized and avoid missing important details or opportunities. 10. LEARN AND IDENTIFY NEW POSSIBILITIES It can be a valuable tool for identifying and learning from your mistakes, which is essential for long-term success in trading. Why else do you think a trading journal is essential? Let me know and follow for more daily trading tips from information I've gathered over the last 20 years as a financial trader. Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
The Money Multiplier of TradingThere is one tool with trading, which you can accelerate your portfolio, compared to with investing. I’m talking about Gearing (or leverage). To wrap our head around this concept, here’s a more relatable life example. When you buy a house for R1,000,000, it is very similar to trading derivatives. Initially, the homeowner most probably won’t have the full R1,000,000 to buy the house with just one purchase. Instead, they’ll sign a bond agreement, make a 10% deposit (R100,000), borrow the rest from the bank and be exposed to the full purchase price of the home. This is a similar concept for when you trade with gearing. Gearing is a tool which allows you to pay a small amount of money (deposit) in order to gain control and be exposed to a larger sum of money. You’ll simply buy a contract of the underlying share, use borrowed money to trade with and be exposed to the full share’s value. Let’s simplify this with a more relatable life example: How gearing works with CFDs Let’s say you want to buy 1,000 shares of Jimbo’s Group Ltd at R50 per share as you believe the share price is going to go up to R60 in the next three months. You’ll need to pay the entire R50,000 to own the full value of the 1,000 shares (R50 X 1,000 shares). In three months’ time, if the share price hits R60 you’ll then be exposed to R60,000 (1,000 shares X R60 per share). Note: I’ve excluded trading costs for simplicity purposes throughout this section If you sold all your shares, you’ll be up R10,000 profit (R60,000 – R50,000). The problem is you had to pay the full R50,000 to be exposed to those 1,000 shares. When you trade a geared instrument like CFDs, you won’t ever have to worry about paying the full value of a share again. A CFD is an unlisted over-the-counter financial derivative contract between two parties to exchange the price difference of the opening and closing price of the underlying asset. Let’s break that down into an easy-to-understand definition. A CFD (Contract For Difference) is an Unlisted (You don’t trade through an exchange) Over The Counter (Via a private dealer or market maker) Financial derivative contract (Value from the underlying market) Between two parties (The buyer and seller) to Exchange the Price difference of the opening and closing price of the Underlying asset (Instrument the CFD price is based on) Let’s use an example of a company called Jimbo’s Group Ltd, who offers the function to trade CFDs. The initial margin (deposit) requirement is 10% of the share’s value. This means, you’ll pay R5.00 per CFD instead of R50, and you’ll be exposed to the full value of the share. To calculate the gearing (or leverage ratio) you’ll simply divide what you’ll be exposed to over the initial margin deposit. Here’s the gearing calculation on a per CFD basis: Gearing = (Exposure per share ÷ Initial deposit per CFD) = (R50 per share ÷ R5.00 per CFD) = 10 times gearing This means two things… #1. For every one Jimbo’s Group Ltd CFD you buy for R5.00 per CFD, you’ll be exposed to 10 times more (the full value of the share). #2. For every one cent the share rises or falls, you’ll gain or lose 10 cents. To have the exposure of the full 1,000 shares of Jimbo’s Group Ltd, you’ll simply need to buy 1,000 CFDs. This will require a deposit of R5,000 (1,000 CFDs X R5.00 per CFD). With a 10% margin deposit (R5,000), you’d have the exact same exposure as you’d have with a conventional R50,000 shares’ investment. Here is the calculation you can use to work out the exposure of the trade. Overall trade exposure = (Total initial margin X Gearing) = (R5,000 X 10 times) = R50,000 With an initial deposit of R5,000 and with a gearing of 10 times, you’ll be exposed to the full R50,000 worth of shares. In three months’ if the share price reaches R60, your new overall trade exposure will be R60,000 worth of shares (1,000 shares X R60 per share). If you sold all of your positions, you’d bank a R10,000 gain (R60,000 – R50,000). But remember, you only deposited R5,000 into your trade and not the full R50,000. This is the beauty of trading geared derivative instruments. Hope that helps for those who don't really grasp Gearing... Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
JSE:AGLEducation
by Timonrosso
4 Sacrifices every trader makesFirst of all, trading is not a short-term proposition to get rich. Anyone who says otherwise, needs to spend some time thinking about doing before speaking inside a jail cell. No… Trading is a lifestyle that you’ll need to adapt and integrate into yours and your family’s financial future. Whenever you start something new, especially for a financial gain, you’ll need to make some form of sacrifices. In today’s article we’ll discuss the four sacrifices every successful trader will make. SACRIFICE #1: Time The money is not going to just fall into your lap. You’re going to need to put in the time to work through the process of successful trading. As a new trader you’ll need to read as many books, websites and forums on how to trade. This will prepare you for what trading is all about. Then you’ll need to take time to learn which: • Markets you wish to trade • Method you’ll use to get in and out of your trade. • Money you’ll risk to grow your portfolio • Mind you’ll need to adapt to avoid any unnecessary emotions from taking over and interfering with the process. Then finally you’ll need the time to back-test, forward-test and actually trade on a daily or a weekly basis. This time can range from 5 minutes a week, which is what I follow with the MATI Trader System, to 5 hours a day if you’re more of an aggressive intraday based trader. No matter what career you pursue, you’ll need to sacrifice the necessary time to learn the ins and outs of it. SACRIFICE #2: Money Another inevitable sacrifice you’ll need to make is to take money out of your savings to trade. I say savings because you should never risk any money you can’t afford to risk or any money that you use on a monthly basis to finance your life. Once a month as you get paid, deposit just 5% of your savings into your trading account. This way you’ll be able to grow your portfolio at a faster and a more sustainable. The other side of money you’ll risk is of course, with every trade you take. Most successful traders out there risk around 1%, 2% to 3% per trade, in order to make a 2%, 4% or even a 6% gain on your portfolio. SACRIFICE #3: Thrill You’ll need to sacrifice the THRILL of trading and exchange it for FOCUS. Trading should be seen as a business rather than playing the lottery once a week. As much as I have loved trading the MATI Trader System for the last 18 years, I’ve also taken it very seriously. Before you commit any money into the markets, you’ll need to have a solid watch list, trading system and money management rules to follow methodically. This way you’ll have a mechanical approach to trading without the thrill, when you bank a profit or without the devastation, anger and disappointment. Remember that a winning portfolio is not about taking a few trades but the 100s of trades over time. Make sure you have the focus for when you trade in the week and sacrifice the thrill for on the weekends when the markets are closed. SACRIFICE #4: Space The final sacrifice you’ll need to make is to make space. Make sure your trading desk is clear of any distracting books, devices and objects that have no aid to your trading. A cleaner and clearer trading desk will prevent a number of distractions for when you trade which could result in unnecessary stress, anxiety and worry. Also you’ll most likely need to make space for just one more monitor. By having two monitors, you can use one for your trading platform to buy, sell and modify trades. The other monitor will then be used for your charting platform to analyse, assess and seek more trading opportunities. Are they actually sacrifices? Coming to the end of the article, I’ve just realised something. These four ‘sacrifices’ you’ll make as a professional trader – Are they sacrifices or are they just opportunities you can take for trading to be smooth sailing?
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso