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IMplats long after a extended sideways move Target R259.69Cup and Handle has formed on Implats. The price has broken out and is meandering sideways before the next move up. Platinum companies as well as the precious metal is setting itself for great upside as investors and instiutions are piling their funds into the metal as a form of safe haven... We are going old school right now where the old ways work better than investing in unstable Cryptos... More bullish signs 7 > 21 > 200 Target R259.69 Bullish
JSE:IMPLong
by Timonrosso
A Santa Claus Rally for the JSE in 2022? What is expected from a Santa Claus Rally? The Santa Claus rally, is essentially where we see stock prices locally and globally rise and close off positively by the end of December. And so, we can expect a rally in December which we can all profit from… Why December? We aren’t 100% sure but we have some speculations on why the market tends to rally… #1: Investment managers cut down on their taxes This is the time when you’ll see investors and investment managers, selling their stocks to lock in tax reductions before the end of the year. Once they sell their positions, they then buy other stocks and markets that they believe will rally in the next year. The buying of these stocks, leads to a rise in stock prices which pushes the stock market indices up. Theory #2: Investors enjoy their bonuses by buying into investments Investors also like to spend their bonuses on investments like stocks… And when they buy, demand picks up. And this leads to higher stock market prices. Speculation is one thing. But nothing confirms a Santa Claus Rally more than proof in the charts… The JSE has gone up 14 out of 19 Decembers! What you see, is the monthly JSE-ALSI stock market chart since 2003… Looking at the chart you can see how each December (Vertical blue line) performed from 2003 up ‘till 2021 Year Gain/Loss Year Gain/Loss 2003 : 7.39% 2004 : 1.28% 2005 : 6.84% 2006 : 3.90% 2007 : -4.99% 2008 : 0.51% 2009 : 2.62% 2010 : 6.69% 2011 : -3.26% 2012 : 2.72% 2013 : 3.27% 2014 : -0.53% 2015 : -1.15% 2016 : 0.48% 2017 : -1.33% 2018 : 4.63% 2019 : 3.51% 2020 : 3.83% 2021 : 4.66% So, there’ve been 14 out of 19 Decembers (74% win rate) that have shown positive gains. And in total, the JSE has accumulated 41.07% gains in all of those Decembers. This means, you have a higher chance of profiting from buying this Christmas than selling. And right now, this December the JSE ALSI 40 is already up an insane 14.48% gain. And I am seeing no signs of a slow down yet… I guess a Santa Claus rally is more likely than not, but we have had three to four winning years in a row... Things are looking good for now but the month is young... Do you think we will have a JSE Santa Claus Rally? Let me know. Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
1
Why I LOVE Trading View - Best I've seen in 20 yearsWhether you're new to trading or you’re an advanced chartist – we all have the same expectations when it comes to choosing a charting platform. It must be online, fast, safe, customizable and user friendly. And you know what – it should be free! With the high competition of charting platforms available world-wide, each company must ensure they have free, live streaming, cutting edge, secure and easy to use platforms to offer their customers and clients at the very least – top-notch service. I’ve used many charting platforms since 2003. From London School of Investments, Amibroker, MetaStock, ProTrader, Cycle Trends, IG Markets, Oanda, MetaTrader, Sword Fish… You name it. But there is ONE free charting platform, which has become my absolute favourite over the years, Trading View... TradingView (est. 2012) is a world leading, cutting-edge FREE online visualisation financial charting platform for beginners up to the most advanced professional traders, with over 10 million subscribers. The platform has direct access to unlimited live streaming data from stocks, futures, bonds, indices, Forex, commodities, ETFs and even crypto-currencies. It allows you to customise your watch lists, back test your strategies, share, publish or enjoy live and active trading ideas, signals and tutorials through the platform or directly to your Twitter and Stock Twits feed. With TradingView you’ll be able to enjoy this free charting phenomena across either your web browser, Android or Apple iOS devices. It's incredible to have such a thorough and advanced charting platform. It's even more amazing for new traders under 5 years of experience to have this cutting-edge technology platform to learn how to trade and enjoy the trading process... Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
Losses are Just the Costs of TradingLosses are nothing! Come on. Don't you pay for food, electricity, taxes. Don't you run your company with expenses and costs? Don't you spend every now and then on a vacation, time away and even unpaid leave? This is life and it should be NO different with trading. Trading losses are nothing but costs that come with achieving future success. But... and it's a big but. Just like you can control whether to spend your ticket on Economy or First Class. Just like you can choose to go to a 3-star hotel or a 5 star. Just like you can choose between a chicken dish or a lobster. So to must you manage your risk with trading. The learning fees, and the losses you take with trading can all be controlled at a point with obviously your volume, the markets you choose and where you place your stop loss... Every trade needs to be taken into consideration with high risk management skills. Don't be scared of trading losses- it comes with the territory as with life. What do you think? Does this help? Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader Financial trader since 2003
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
2
Prosus also long to R1,445.20 and correlates to Naspers ideaCup and Handle also has formed on Prosus with the Moving averages looking strong with 7>21>200 Target R1,445.20. There is a strong correlation with Naspers which is showing almost identical charts. The RSI has also broken above the Negative divergence and is in the upward momentum territory >50. The only concern as I often mention are the gaps in the charts which shows high volatility and potential for Gaps close. The bias however is bullish.
JSE:PRXLong
by Timonrosso
2
The BEST Trading IndicatorWith the ever increasing number of indicators, it makes sense that beginner traders’ wish to cut the steep learning curve by trying to find which indicator is the best and the most profitable to choose from. It’s overwhelming to start trading with so many jargon terms like, the MACD, RSI, Stochastics, ADX, Bollinger Bands and so on… Luckily, you won’t ever have to worry about any of these indicators. Here’s why… The quest to find the perfect trading indicator There is a big misconception when it comes to learning how to trade. Most new people start by going onto Google to search for the ‘best trading strategy’ or the ‘best trading indicator’ to speed up their success. Everybody wants to find that perfect trading indicator that will help them profit 80% to 100% of the time. Yet, at most, there are only 5% of traders’ out there who are able to make a consistent income with trading. I have two main reasons on this matter, which I’ve gathered since 2003. Reason 1: All indicators are history With local and international markets such as the stock market, Forex and even with crypto-currencies, there are billions of rands traded every day. With the ongoing economic, socio and political events taking place, every transaction from either a company, private individual or even a bot is entirely unique and UNEXPECTED. So which indicator is the best to choose from? Well before you go and do research on each indicator there is to trade with, let me spare you the time and tell you this… Every technical indicator and oscillator out there, is based on one thing. HISTORICAL DATA. When you add an indicator onto a chart, it can only show one of three things which are either the: Current momentum. Current trend direction or the. Demand and supply based on buying and selling volume. Not one indicator has any form of predictive qualities. Even with the dawn of Artificial Intelligence and Quantum Computing, there will most likely never be that one indicator that will be able to predict the future with accuracy and certainty every time. However, let’s say there is that one Quantum Computer that is able to take every news event, internal and external factor into account. The information assembled and collected, will still be based on past data. By now you may be feeling like your life has been a lie with all the marketing fluff out there with the 100% win-rate and get rich quick scams, but I assure you there is one legit way to succeed from trading. Reason 2: Each element is essential It doesn’t take just one trading strategy to bank a consistent income. It doesn’t take just a few rules to follow and, It doesn’t take a whole lot of money to fund your account to make it as a trader. No, in actual fact it takes four equally important elements namely: MARKETS: You need to find the best markets that are out there to trade and when to trade them. METHOD: You need to create or adopt a proven trading strategy that will fit your personality. (Price action with a few patterns is all that's needed to spot probability trades). MONEY: You need to have just a couple of money management rules, to follow every time you take a trade. MIND: You need to find a way to develop trading self-confidence as well as a strong mindset throughout your career. This is where so many different trading companies, publications and even education institutions seem to miss the mark. They either specialise ONLY in psychology, trading analysis or just on money management. Unfortunately, this is one hobby or lifestyle where being an expert in ONE field will not guarantee your success.
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
2
Trading 101 - What is a Derivative & why are they revolutionary?Derivatives trading! What I believe has been the absolute market revolution since shares. Derivatives might sound complicated and something you would hear from a professor or a know-it-all businessman – but they’re really not. I am no academic or even remotely one of the smartest guy’s in the world. And if I can grasp the idea and understanding of derivatives, I pretty much guarantee you will too. Also, if you want to take trading seriously and really make a living with it, you’ll need to understand derivatives trading sometime in your career. Let’s start at the very beginning. What is a derivative? – Collins English Dictionary – ‘A derivative is an investment that depends on the value of something else’ When it comes to trading, a derivative is a financial contract between two parties whose value is ‘derived’ from another (underlying) asset. Let’s break that down more simply: A derivative is a financial contract (CFDs, Spread Trading, Futures, Forwards, Options &Warrants) Between two parties (the buyer and seller) Whose value (the market’s price) Is derived (depends on or comes from) Another underlying asset (Share, index, commodity, currency, bond, interest-rate, crypto-currency etc…) You’ll find that the derivative’s market price mirrors that of the underlying asset’s price. Why trade using derivatives? The absolute beauty about trading derivatives is that they are a cheaper and a more profitable way to speculate on the future price movements of a market without buying the asset itself. You don’t get all the benefits with derivatives What’s probably important to note with derivatives, is this. When you buy a derivative’s contract, you’re not actually buying the physical asset. You’re simply making a bet on where you expect the price to go. EXAMPLE: When you buy actual shares of a company, means you’ll be able to attend AGMs (Annual General Meetings), Vote and claim dividends from a company. When you trade derivatives on the underlying share, means you’ll be exposed to the value of the shares and the price movements – and that’s it! As a trader, when you buy or sell a derivative, you’re not actually investing in the underlying asset but rather just making a bet (speculation) on where you believe the market’s price will head. This gives you the advantage and opportunity to: Buy low (go long) a derivative of the underlying asset and sell it at a higher price for a profit or Sell high (go short) a derivative of the underlying asset and buy it back at a lower price for a profit Remember when I said it was cheaper and more profitable? You can thank margin With derivatives, you’ll normally pay a fraction of the price of the total sum and still be exposed to the full value of the asset (share, index, currency etc…) The fraction of the price paid is called ‘margin’. EXAMPLE: To buy and own 10 Anglo shares at R390 per share will cost you R3,900 (R390 per share X 10 shares). To buy and be exposed to 10 Anglo shares using derivatives, and the margin of the contract is 10% per share, means you’ll only pay R390 (R390 per share X 10% margin per derivative X 10 shares). I’m sure you can see that with derivatives, you’ll be exposed to more and pay less which will gear up your potential profits or losses versus when trading shares. This is why we call derivatives, geared financial instruments. Enjoyed the article comment below and follow for more... Trade well, Live free Timon MATI Trader Also my socials are below thanks to Trading View.
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
BACK TO THE FUTURE VS TRADINGI watched the Oscars recently and saw Michael J. Fox receive his humanitarian award. This brought me back to my childhood with the legendary Back to the Futures movie... Also this year we saw The Back to the Future stars Doc Brown (Christopher Lloyd) and Marty McFly (Michael J. Fox) reunited and shared the stage at the New York Comicon 2022. This is where they reminisced over their iconic roles in the beloved film trilogy. There were a bunch of mixed emotions but mostly the feeling of nostalgia and childhood memories… And so, I watched the trilogy and I found it was super interesting to watch a movie when at the time, they were trying to predict the future by making a number of predictions about 2015… They certainly got a few spot ons such as: • Smart watches • Hover boards • Virtual reality headsets (which we use Quest, PlayStation and even HTC) • Talking from TV to TV (Instead we use tablets and smart phones, but close enough) • Donald Trump like figure as president They also made a few wrong predictions like: • People wearing their pockets inside out • Dogs having drones walk them (but we do have drones though) • Mechanical car fuel attendants • Pizza hydrators But overall, there is a very big lesson we can learn from this… If scientists, businessmen, producers, directors and actors can’t accurately predict the future, nobody can. And trading the financial markets are similar to “Back to the Future” movies. It’s unpredictable and normally plays out differently to what we think… Thing about the future is… When you know what is going to happen and you act according, the future changes… Let’s say you know what’s going to happen at a certain point in the future. If you act according to what will happen in the future, then your action will change the future. So, if the future is so unpredictable, how can anyone ever make money from trading? Simple. You don’t need to know the future when you trade When you take a trade, you should never try to predict where the market will go. Instead, we should base the future predictions and decisions on one word. Probability. If the market is moving up, there is a higher chance it will continue to move up. (It’s going up for a reason). If the market consolidates in a sideways formation and then the price breaks down, there is a higher chance the price will continue to move down. We say, go with the trend rather than against it… Our job is not to predict every turn and bank a profit from every point move. Our job is to anticipate a change in the market, wait for confirmation and then act accordingly to follow the MORE likely scenario… You might not get it right 30% to 40% of the time, but you can get it right 50% - 70% of the time during certain market environments… That’s all I do when I do trades and analyses… I base probabilities on where a market is more likely to go at a certain time… If I’m wrong, I adjust – rather than deny… This was a short reminder of why you don’t need to predict the markets to make it as a trader. Did you enjoy this short piece? Let me know in the comments. It's a passion to help share the knowledge I've gained over the last 20 years as a trader. Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
2
When you should feel THRILL as a traderThrill is a dangerous emotion to have as a trader. Especially, when you bank a winning trade, when you lock in profits during a favourable environment and when you count your profits at the end of the week. You are only as good as your last trade. Which means, you need to forget about the past and focus on the future. However, this doesn't mean you can't enjoy the journey during the trading day. I've been in the markets since 2003 and yes I do get thrill and enjoyment but NOT when I bank a winning trade. Here are 6 elements I get thrill from... 1. When analysing the markets and seeing what opportunities lie up. 2. When optimising strategies and seeing how to improve by finding new markets, removing old markets that don't work and possibly tweaking the system according to the current market environment. 3. Searching for trades always feels like somewhat a treasure hunt. When X marks the spot, we know to take action. 4. Monitoring results. This isn't monitoring daily or weekly results but rather looking at your journal over an extended period of time. Look at your drawdowns, look at where you are in terms of having your portfolio at ATH and seeing what market environment your system is in. 5 Adapting new markets and instruments...There are always new high liquid and low volatile markets that will suit your system. It's our jobs to look, analyse and adapt into the new. 6. Reading new developments. Are there better trading platforms, new indicators to help with your current system and maybe even new calculations to manage your drawdowns better? What about the instruments. I've gone from trading shares, warrants, ETFs, Futures, Spread Trading to CFDs. You never know when the next instrument will come... I hope this helps give some enlightenment on when you should feel thrill as a trader. Cut the ego, cut the instant gratification of today's performance and focus on the marathon. Follow for more daily trading lessons :) Trade well, live free... Timon
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
REVEALED: 14 Ways to Spot a Trading ScamIf you’re new to trading, listen up. There are serpent companies and individuals out there, with only one goal. To make profits and money for themselves and NO one else. They do this by exploiting the newbie trader’s optimism, greed and fear by tricking them into what I call “Easy-Money-Traps”. As a savvy trader, you need to know how to spot and avoid these scams, before you fall victim to one of them. I’m going to kick you off with 15 of the most common trading scams you may find nowadays. SCAM #1: Flaunting money and posing in flashy cars WARNING: When you see an advert with a fake ‘guru’ posing in a Lamborghini holding stacks of cash, this manipulates people into thinking they’re rich. REALITY: Most times the cash notes are fake and worthless, which is prop money that is usually used in movies. It’s also been proven that 90% of these companies or individuals usually rent the car, borrow it from their rich friend or they take selfies in front of a stranger’s car. WHAT TO DO: Don’t believe everything you see online. Scam #2: They chase after your contact number WARNING: When a fake “guru” begs for your contact number and persuades you to buy a trading course or ticket to their seminar. The more aggressive they are trying to get your money, means that their primary income is mostly likely from what they’re trying to sell rather than the money they make when trading. REALITY: A true trader with a product or service to offer, will not pester you, sound desperate and bully you with tons of marketing and promises. Their main goals are to offer you value, help and develop a relationship over time. WHAT TO DO: Never share your contact number just to “Learn More”, “Book A Free Consultation” or “Check Out” information on what the product is about. You will have marketers call you on a weekly basis trying to suck you into buying their products. Scam #3: There is NO background information WARNING: When a scam artist has little to no background or legal information. Whether it’s a trader, broker, money manager or an educator – Never work with anyone who doesn’t have the following: • A website • A proven track record (at least 5 years) • Valuable content • An “About Us” page (To learn more about them) • Contact information • Customer reviews and testimonials (Ask people!) • A company registration number • Tax registration details• Financial regulation • A website that isn’t secured (When it starts with HTTP and not HTTPS) REALITY: Most times these non-regulated individuals will try their luck to get you to deposit money into their account and then will disappear. WHAT TO DO: Always do a full check-up on the person or company through Google, Facebook, websites and reviews and take notes with the bullet points above to see if the person or company is licensed, legit and regulated by independent organisations. Scam #4: You can’t withdraw your money WARNING: Your broker or money maker, doesn’t allow you or limits your ability to withdraw funds or profits. Whenever there are delays to withdraw your money, chances are you’re dealing with illegitimate trading companies. It should never take more than a few days for your money to be returned… WHAT TO DO: Don’t invest a single cent more into the company, until you have received your funds. Use your rights and speak to a lawyer about your options, in order to find a way to get your money back. NOTE: This does not apply to fixed-term securities such as, hedge funds, bonds, retirement funds with periodic redemption rights and other constraints. Scam #5: Failure to prove their BOGUS trading results WARNING: When you see someone bragging about their winning trades or money they made for the day and how they can help you – but not willing to prove their results. Watch out with Facebook and Instagram posts on traders posting fake trading results on Telegram, MyFxBook, WhatsApp and other groups. REALITY: If they are not willing to prove their results, chances are they have been Photoshopped and are only trading with a demo account. Also you’ll see them posting their gains and winnings only and never their losses. This is a big red-flag for me which screams out – SCAM! WHAT TO DO: Avoid any person who is not willing to share their broker statements or trading results which have been verified by a reputable and licensed firm. Scam #6: When they urge you to buy immediately WARNING: When someone tries one of their high-pressure sales techniques to get you to invest or buy a product or service on the spot. If ever you get one of those sleazy salesperson’s try to intimidate you, make you feel stupid for not making a decision – warnings bells should ring. Many con artists, will pressure you with limited time offers or tell you to buy on the phone or you’ll lose the deal. REALITY: A legit and ethical company will never create such urgency. They will in fact, want you to do your own research, consider your options and take your time to see if their product or service offered will benefit you or not. They will NEVER force you to buy anything on the spot. WHAT TO DO: Do your own research before you make a decision, and make sure you leave those high-pressure salesmen charlatans. Scam #7: You hear bad investment advice or too-good-to-be-true deals WARNING: When you hear bogus advice or too-good-to-be-true statements from an individual or company that is contrary to anything you’ve ever been told. As soon as you hear any of these messages, they are most likely scams: • “You can put your life savings into our brokerage firm.” • “Follow our +80% win rate trading system.” • “Do you want GUARANTEED returns?” • “Take out a loan and invest with us.” • “You’ll bank over 10% a month.” • “We don’t use stop losses.” • “100% accurate signals.” • “Get rich quickly.” • “Easy money.” WHAT TO DO: Don’t run away just yet. Do the full check up on the company and with their track record and then decide for yourself. Most times it’s just the marketing agency, rather than the actual trader, who’s trying to hype up the copy through their copywriting, Click Funnels, Value Ladders etc… Scam #8: They ask for your personal information WARNING: When someone asks you for unnecessary personal information to make a transaction. There are salesperson’s out there that will ask you for a bunch of unnecessary personal information including: • Bank card details • Facebook account details • Phone number • Income per month • Trading account password • Home address REALITY: If you’re looking to invest in a trading product or service or open an account with an institution, then no trusted and legit company will ever ask for the above details. WHAT TO DO: Never give any details to an individual or company that you don’t trust. You can also ask for their Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy statements, to read each detail of their security and privacy matters. Scam #9: You get a call from a stranger WARNING: You may get an unexpected and unsolicited local or international phone call “cold call”, email, letter or personal visit from a stranger offering you a deal. REALITY: These are most times marketers or customer services trying to sell you something, in order to make a sale. WHAT TO DO: Kindly tell them to remove your number off their data-base and that you will do your own research and will call them back if you are interested in what they have to offer. Scam #9: Watch out for bad wording WARNING: When the company or individual is packed with bad wording. Bad wording includes: • Misspellings • Incorrect dates (Look at the footer of a website where it says ©) • Badly written content • Unprofessional content i.e. emoticons, !!!, ??? and swearing • Typos everywhere • URL website has spelling mistakes e.g. (Foerxtrading.com) WHAT TO DO: This should be your judgement… NOTE: I personally am sceptical whenever I see any of the above, even though I may make a typo or grammar mistake with my own content every now and then. Scam #10: The never-ending Facebook scams WARNING: When you see posts that offer you free signals, tools, get rich quick messages or advertising ploys that direct you to deposit money. You’ll see countless scams on a daily basis in Facebook groups and pages that will direct you away from them by sending messages such as: • “Inbox me” • “Ask how” • “Join our Telegram” • “100% accurate signals” • “Reply add” • “Do you know you can make XXX amount of money” • “Click this link” • “Ask for more info” • “Daily free signals” • “Daily 200 – 500 pips” • “Guaranteed results” • “No scam” WHAT TO DO: Do your thorough research and follow the above #3 step before making your decision. EXTRA TRADING SCAMS TO WATCH OUT FOR: #11: Trading software, robot or EA that guarantees a +70% win rate system. #12: Fake Facebook profile name, picture with dodgy friends. #13: Any product or service that promises “Zero-Risk”. #14: Any notion that promises you riches quickly and tells you to trust them or take their word for it. If you enjoyed this trading lesson of the day let me know in the comments and follow me for more daily tips. Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso