Capitec Vuvuzela with bullish bias & strong fundaments to R2,485Capitec has been in this Broadening Pattern (Vuvuzela) formation since November 2023.
It breaks into higher highs and lower lows. But the overall momentum and trend channel is up.
It will continue trading in this range until we get a breakout of the resistance or support. My bet is it will first trade to the top of the range at R2,485.92.
Capitec has always been the outlier compared to the other banks with very little correlation. WHen it does well, it runs up regadless what the bigger banks are doing.
Also fundamentally, it doesn't seem to follow suit with the Big 5.
Firstly, Capitec announced a substantial 15% growth in headline earnings, which reached R9.7 billion.
This increase was driven by growth across various sectors of the bank, including a notable 124% profit surge in its business banking sector and a significant increase in net lending, investment, and insurance income
Also, Capitec has been actively investing in innovative digital solutions and client rewards programs, which have contributed to its strong performance.
They introduced a variety of digital payment solutions like Apple Pay, Samsung Pay, and Google Pay with zero transaction fees, as well as their own secure online payment tool, Capitec Pay.
So ye, big up to an innovative unclipped wings bank like Capitec.
Jse
Merafe Dividend messed up analysis to the upside of R2.00What a difference a dividend makes!
The payment went out on the 15 April 2024, and because there are derivatives that traders can trade off - the algorithm droped the share price quite significantly.
I don't think this company should be providing such high dividends if it wants growth in the share price, but hey I'm just the guy behind a computer.
So last time, we saw a Dividend release in September, it took 6 months for the share price to make it's way up and close the gap.
Now it is likely for the same thing to happen.
This is not a technical analysts haven type market because fundamentals trump the price action.
But overall, I guess shareholders are remotely happy for their income distribution and in the long run Merafe will one day hit R2.00 :D
Bidvest in resting mode until the big breakout up to R290.00Bidvest has been moving in a sideways consolidation pattern called a Diamond Pattern since November 2023.
This is where there is a tug of war between the bulls and the bears.
BUt the fact that the price is holding quite well despite the international market crashes, means the buyers are holding the stock strong.
It will most like need a few more weeks/months for the pattern to play out. But once it breaks above the consolidation, we can easily see the price head up to R290.00
It's a patience game for Bidvest.
Exxaro looks fantastic to R208.22! We recently saw it break out of the medium downtrend since January 20024.
The price broke above the W Formation's neckline and above the 20 and 200MA.
This states the medium term nature is HIGH probability for upside.
The concern is the price gapped up and now needs to fill.
SO I am patiently waiting for the Gap to close and then rebuy on the bounce of the retracement.
Target to R208.22.
Merafe Dividend payout caused a break in analysisMerafe was easily set to great upside to R1.72
This was due to a Box Formation, Upside and Price above the moving averages.
But then 22 cents Dividend was given out which caused the share price to drop quite quickly.
So is the analysis still on? I guess it is as long as it hasn't hit the risk level.
But these are things to take into account and learn from.
PPC M Formation ready to break down to R2.37?M Formation has formed on PPC since November 2023.
This is a very risky trade analysis due to the high volatile nature of the share.
But if the uptrend holds strong and lower highs continue, we could see a very big fall with the cement company.
Medium Probability Trade
Price<20 and Price <200MA
Target R2.37
Renergen showing tremendous upside to come BOX Formation has formed on Renergen. Also there is a rounding bottom.
The price has broken above the neckline of the Rounding Bottom but not the box form yet.
Once it does, we should get an easy indication that the market wants to head up.
The nature of the analysis is Medium probability due to
Price>20MA
Price<200MA
Target 1 will be to R21.82
Netcare looking sick at the moment - Target R10.36Inv Cup and Handle has formed on Netcare since November 2023.
It is a high probability nature that the price is likely to drop as the price is below both 20MA and 200MA.
First target is to R10.36.
NOTE: I do acknowledge that there could be a short term W Formation which could cause some chop and even short term upside.
So this is indeed a medium term analysis.
ABSA showing major downside to come to R76.08Head and Shoulders has formed ont he dail since Early 2022...
The price broke below the neckline and has since then, been showing lower highs within the down channel,
We also have confirmed downside with the Moving Averages.
Price< 20 and <200
It looks bleak but the system is the system, so the first target is set to R76.08
Sasol showing upside to come with two patterns target R228.61There are two potential rising formations to come for Sasol.
Either Rev Cup and Handle or Inv Head and shoulders
We do need the confirmation though for upside to continue to come.
Moving averages yield a Medium Probability setup with
Price>20
Price<200
Oil is also confiriming a short to medium term rally which will help push up the price
Target R228.61
Anglo American Plats rare metal and rare formation showing upsidBroadening Formation (Vuvuzela) and W Formation is forming on AngloPlats.
We are seeing synergy with the upside with the platinum price and platinum stocks.
I guess no suprise knowing they work in tandem with each other.
Also, there is a good chanc eof upside with the price above both:
Price>20 and Price>200
Wait for break above the necklines and we could get a Target of R1,001
Moving onto the fundamentals:
The increase in Anglo American Platinum's stock price in 2024 can be connected to the broader market dynamics affecting platinum prices.
Factors like a global supply deficit, driven by production challenges and rising demand from sectors such as automotive and green technologies, contribute to the metal's price increase.
As Anglo American Platinum is a major producer of platinum, these market conditions likely positively impact the company's stock price by enhancing profitability prospects due to higher platinum prices.
PPC made a bad turn taking it to the next target R2.37M Formation has recently formed on PPC.
We are seeing negative signs more than positive.
On Tuesday, the price crossed below the 200MA which confirmed downside to come.
Now we can expect a test and a consolidation period before further downside, but well need the price to cross and close below the 200MA first.
Target R2.37
Capitec fakeout and waiting for conservative buy levelWe saw Capitec form a W Formation. The price broke above the neckline and then made a fakeout.
Now it will be testing the uptrend support line before further upside to come.
I am bullish cautiously, but we still need the demand levels to pick up.
The target will then be R2,485.00
Standard Bank just made a huge signal to SELL to R150Standard Bank has formed an M Formation.
The nature of the analysis is down and is a sell as it's broken below the neckline and the price is below both the 20 and 200MA>
So it looks like the next target is R150.00.
FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals also came out today and yesterday which could influence the price and the large candle today.
Standard Bank Group Says FY Headline Earnings Per Ordinary Share At 2590.4 Cents
Standard Bank posted a 27% in annual profit.
And there was an appointment of a non-executive director
Write off Kibo Energy off your time wastersThese are the type of stocks that I don't even give one breath of a time to see.
Yes I'm doing that now, but the thing is there are MANY traders who think these are the stocks they can buy at 1 cent and hold to 4c - 400% return and this can lead to one of three ways.
1. You hold forever
2. You strike lucky and it actually does go there
3. It goes to 0 and gets liquidated and you lose your money
But as traders, these are time wasters.
There is no liquidity, no volume, there is no action.
I can't analyse this type of stock and this is purely for the savvy Penny Stock INvestors who have read the fundamentals, share ratios and have seen the proespects for a POTENTIAL future for the stock.
Other than that for traders - I leave it alone.
UPDATE: Target Reached Aspen R206.03 - Next target higherSymmetrical Triangle was a a text book trade. The previous trend was up. Price broke above the apex 3/4s in and the momentum continued up.
We had further indicators of confirmation for upside to come.
Price>20
Price>200
Target 1 R206.03
So what now? Well we can expect somewhat a consolidation, and a potential Cup and Handle to form. Then we have the next target above R221.
It might be messy to buy now, but in good time it should present a great opportunity. I'll let you know.
TARGET REACHED Grindrod hit at R12.60 - Next?The W Formation target reached at R12.60.
We then had a skew Cup and Handle, which the price has broken above its brim level today.
It's another High Probability position as the
Price>20
Price>200
Next target will be at R14.40.
WIll update you on anything if it changes.
UPDATE: Pan Africa hit the target at R.475 - Do we sell?Well this analysis took forever.
The price broke above the Broadening Reverse Symmetrical Triangle (If there is such a thing) in June 2023.
If you held on this long to exit and bank a profit, you would be lucky if you even made some money considering the daily interest charges on CFDs...
However as a share and equity investor, this position would have been the perfect medium term trade.
Sometimes, when I project such large targets, I think of just going back into equities.
Regardless, the trend id still up - Gold is still bullish and out other Gold positions are all longs.
So, keep to the trend until it bends...
Uncle T out.
TARGET 1 reached - Next target is even higher to R28.68Bell Equipment reached our first target R20.54 in November 2023.
It then had a mark-up phase before consolidating into a W Formation.
Once the price broke above, we knew demand and buying was still on the cards.
technically we have price above both 20MA and 200MA.
So the next target for Bell Equipment is set to R28.68.
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Bell Equipment is a pivotal player in South Africa's heavy equipment industry, renowned for its strong and reliable machinery, particularly in the construction, mining, quarrying, agriculture, forestry, and waste handling sectors.
Foundation and Specialization:
Established over sixty years ago, Bell Equipment has become South Africa's only major designer, manufacturer, and distributor of heavy equipment, recognized globally as a specialist in articulated dump trucks (ADTs).
Core Product:
The ADT is Bell Equipment's core product, showcasing the company's innovation and leading performance globally. Bell ADTs are exported worldwide from their manufacturing plants in South Africa and Germany.
Product Range and Strategic Dealerships:
In addition to its own products, Bell holds strategic dealerships with several leading global manufacturers, offering over 120 products suited to various applications, including wheel loaders, excavators, motor graders, and more.
International Presence:
Bell Equipment has a strong international presence, with operations not just in Southern Africa but also in key global markets like North and South America, the Middle East, and parts of Europe and Asia.
Innovation in Tracked Carriers:
The company has introduced Bell Tracked Carriers, leveraging its expertise in ADTs, designed for challenging terrains and conditions, such as remote pipeline projects in the US, with applications expanding globally.
UPDATE Vukile still building its way to R17,59This is from the last update.
We saw an Inv Head and Shoulders from AUg 2023 to December 2023.
The price then broke above the Brim and the entire market went through an uptrend trajectory.
Higher lows each time, one fakeout, then a continued bullish momentum nuation.
Price remains above the 200MA and 20MA which signals upwards to come.
The target remains at R17.59
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Vukile Property Fund Limited is a notable retail-focused Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) operating in South Africa and Spain.
Establishment and Listings:
Vukile was established in 2002 and listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) on June 24, 2004. It expanded its listings to the Namibian Stock Exchange on July 11, 2007.
CEO:
Laurence Gary Rapp has been leading Vukile as its Chief Executive Officer, guiding the company's growth and expansion strategies.
Diverse Portfolio:
The company owns a variety of retail properties across South Africa and Spain, providing a well-diversified exposure across different macroeconomic drivers and a substantial Rand hedge portfolio. Its South African property portfolio includes around 40 properties with a gross lettable area (GLA) of approximately 859,772 square meters.
Recent Achievements:
Vukile has demonstrated resilience and growth, delivering a 10% increase in its cash dividend and updating its FY2024 guidance with positive expectations.
Specialist Focus:
As a specialist retail SA REIT, Vukile focuses on delivering spaces and experiences that exceed customer and tenant expectations, aiming to be the most trusted and respected retail property business in South Africa.