Continuation of the flat under the pressure of seasonal salesAnd so a difficult week is behind us, with overcoming the middle of the quarter. Against the background of positive factors, the week and the second half of the quarter opened above 2500, which provides market support and reduces the potential for decline. However, we have only come to a temporary consolidation of the market and it is too early to talk about a trend change to bullish. The final consolidation of the direction will take place in June. So far, the market has switched to seasonal sales from the 11th, as I warned about, and the bulls' task is to compensate for them. Technically, there is still a lot of potential for retest 2100-2150, which may happen in the coming week.
In an optimistic scenario, the new week will open above 2500. In this case, on Monday and Tuesday we will see insignificant sales again and the ether will not go below 2250 with a return to the hay in the second half of the week. In a more negative scenario, the week will open below 2500, in which case sales up to 2100-2150 are likely in the first half of the week, but with further purchases to 2500 due to the opening of the second half of the quarter above the level.
Today and tomorrow, there is a possibility of a wave of purchases, but I do not recommend keeping large-cap coins in operation, since seasonal sales in a negative scenario may last from mid-May to August, which will lead to their steady decline. Small-cap coins may show more significant growth impulses during this period.
We are also approaching the next assignment of the monitoring tag and delisting, which will have an additional impact on altcoins. So far, fantokens are in a good position, which successfully compensate for the drawdown of the altcoin index and are trying to grow, as they remain undervalued. I think they will remain interesting for speculators in the near future due to the drawdown of the rest of the altcoin market. ATM and city look the most interesting so far, which can continue to grow from their current positions, due to the lack of futures with active sales and the most oversold position. Under an optimistic scenario today and tomorrow, growth waves similar to acm are likely for them. Acm also has a high growth potential, but it may take time to accumulate with a retest probability of 0.75-90 before a new wave of purchases. Second of all, I am considering the alpine juv porto lazio. There is a possibility that binance will continue to add futures to fantokens every week, which will give new growth impulses.
In addition to fantokens, fio chess pivx adx quick, which remain in an undervalued position, can show a new wave of growth. I will be looking at them closer to the middle of the week.
