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U.S. Elections: From Bullets to Green Candles🇺🇸 U.S. Elections: From Bullets to Green Candles 💡🌐 With Kamala Harris and Donald Trump both embracing pro-crypto stances, the upcoming elections are set to pivot towards crypto discussions. Moving away from controversies like the assassination attempt on Trump, the focus now is on who can best integrate crypto into America's future. Trump's bold statement about potentially using Bitcoin to back the U.S. dollar has sparked significant interest and debate. Bullish Election Impact on Crypto Both candidates are increasingly engaging with the crypto sector. Kamala is considering attending the Bitcoin 2024 conference, while Trump is expected to deliver a historic message at the same event. This shift signifies a potential future where crypto plays a central role in America's economic strategy. With the Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates, following the trend of other central banks globally, the financial landscape could be set for significant changes. Bullish again Previous Predictions and Market Impact In January 2023, I accurately predicted a strong Bitcoin entry point at $17,000, emphasizing inflation, interest rates, and solid fundamentals. This proved crucial for significant gains. 🌐 By February 2024, I predicted Trump's resilience amidst pressure, highlighting his favored status as "the loud rooster," and he indeed remained a prominent figure. My analysis of the geopolitical landscape was spot on, with Biden stepping down, leaving Harris to face the new favorite: The Rooster Trump. 🌐 Technical Analysis and Projections The chart shows a new nice flag, indicating potential significant upward movement. Expect big green candles, possibly pushing Bitcoin to $100,000 or even $160,000, influenced by the election dynamics. These bullish patterns are supported by strong fundamentals and increasing institutional interest. Political Influence on Market Sentiment The political climate has always had a profound impact on market sentiment. Trump's potential plan to use Bitcoin to back the U.S. dollar could revolutionize the financial landscape, driving significant market momentum. This unprecedented move might not only stabilize Bitcoin's value but also cement its status as a legitimate reserve asset. Future Outlook and Strategic Implications Looking ahead, the integration of crypto policies by either candidate could define America's financial future. Harris might continue the current administration's regulatory path, while Trump’s approach could be more radical, potentially transforming the U.S. dollar into a Bitcoin-backed currency. Investors should stay informed and prepared for rapid market changes. The anticipated interest rate cuts in the U.S. add another layer of complexity and opportunity, as they could stimulate the economy and potentially bolster the crypto market further. Let's hope for democracy and peace: no more bullets, big green candles. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 A bit of fun: 🏳️‍🌈Ka'mala (not Kama'la) Harris identifies as a she/her crypto enthousiast who keeps saying ''what can be unburdened by what has been" 🏴‍☠️ Trump has been dodging bullets like Neo in the Matrix , yelling 'FIGHT' seconds after being shot! Some serious Cowboy stuff! Who do you prefer and why? Let me know in the comments.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
1
How would the market react to a Trump or Kamala victory?In recent days, the financial markets have exhibited increased sluggishness as investors await the outcome of the US elections. Kamala Harris and Donald Trump represent two starkly contrasting visions for the future of the United States. This article will explore the potential effects each candidate could have on key financial assets, including Oil, Gold, Bitcoin, the S&P 500, and EUR/USD. Oil (Brent) If Kamala Harris secures victory in the election, it is likely that her administration will prioritise renewable energy initiatives and stricter environmental regulations, potentially curtailing the use of fossil fuels. This shift could lead to limitations on oil production and a subsequent decrease in supply. With global demand expected to remain stable, this scenario may initially drive Oil prices higher. Conversely, a win for Donald Trump could result in a relaxation of environmental regulations and an incentive to boost domestic oil production. This approach, often articulated by Trump, may increase US supply available for both domestic consumption and export, potentially leading to lower prices, depending on global demand. Trump's administration might also adopt more aggressive policies towards OPEC, adding to market volatility. Gold (XAU/USD) Kamala Harris is likely to support expansionary fiscal policies, including increased spending on social programs and infrastructure projects. This rise in expenditure may lead to a higher federal deficit, contributing to inflationary pressures and prompting the Federal Reserve (FED) to consider raising interest rates to manage inflation. Higher interest rates could initially weigh on Gold prices, as investors might seek the better yields offered by government bonds. However, ongoing support for international conflicts, such as in Ukraine and Israel, could sustain geopolitical uncertainty, which typically favours Gold as a safe-haven asset. Under a Trump administration, fiscal policies may shift towards tax cuts and reductions in welfare programs. Such cuts could depress government spending and lower aggregate demand, potentially leading to a decrease in inflation and creating room for possible interest rate cuts. Reduced interest rates might drive investors towards equities for better returns or prompt them to seek refuge in Gold during market turmoil. Moreover, Trump's focus on domestic security and diminished global involvement could exacerbate existing conflicts, further elevating Gold prices in the short term. Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Kamala Harris has yet to articulate a definitive stance on cryptocurrencies, but the Democratic platform generally leans toward increased regulation. A stricter regulatory environment could deter institutional investment in Bitcoin, potentially exerting downward pressure on its price in the event of a Harris victory. In contrast, Donald Trump has displayed a growing enthusiasm for cryptocurrencies during his campaign, which could catalyse an initial price appreciation for Bitcoin. Additionally, his rapport with Elon Musk, a prominent Bitcoin advocate, strengthens the case for potential gains in BTC should Trump win. S&P 500 Should Kamala Harris assume office, her administration is likely to continue implementing economic stimulus measures, which could bolster the S&P 500, particularly in the green technology and renewable energy sectors. However, tighter regulations on oil and finance industries might adversely impact certain sectors. Therefore, a moderate appreciation of the S&P 500 is plausible, especially if fiscal stimulus supports domestic consumption. On the other hand, a Donald Trump victory could propel the S&P 500 into a strong upward trend, driven by corporate tax cuts and a less interventive regulatory environment. The financial markets tend to react favourably to tax reductions and deregulation, and a decrease in government expenditure could lower inflation in the short term, providing the Fed with room to reduce interest rates. This scenario could enhance credit access and stimulate domestic consumption, benefiting both corporations and the S&P 500. EUR/USD A Kamala Harris presidency may adopt a more cooperative and diplomatic approach to international relations, particularly with the European Union. This stance could strengthen the euro, potentially driving the EUR/USD pair higher due to improved trade relations. Furthermore, robust spending policies might weaken the US dollar, increasing demand for the euro. Conversely, if Donald Trump wins the election, the euro could depreciate against the dollar as his protectionist and aggressive trade policies tend to favour the dollar in the immediate term. Trump's "Make America Great Again" slogan underscores his commitment to bolstering domestic trade and the dollar. Consequently, any policy that negatively impacts trade with the EU, such as tariffs or aggressive trade measures, could further weaken the euro while benefiting the USD. Preparing for Diverse Market Outcomes In conclusion, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump emerges victorious could result in markedly different consequences for the financial markets. It is crucial to recognise that the market is likely to wait and observe which policies will be implemented in practice. The repercussions of the US elections may resonate for months ahead as market participants acclimatise to this new reality. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
by Marketscom
99% rate cut odds in election week? With both the election and an upcoming Fed meeting in focus, markets could face a surge in volatility this week. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, traders are placing a 99% probability on a quarter-point rate cut at the conclusion of the Fed’s policy meeting on Thursday, following a half-point cut in September. After the rate decision, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to speak. But, even if Thursday brings a clear election outcome, Fed officials are likely to sidestep any questions about potential policies from the next administration until the winner assumes office. Only then will they assess how campaign pledges translate into actual policy, watching closely to see how businesses, consumers, and financial markets react before making any further moves on monetary policy.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Can $DMAGA Hit New Highs Before the 2024 Elections?In a wild blend of meme culture, political narrative, and cryptocurrency, Dark MAGA (ETH: DMAGA) has emerged as a token deeply tied to the so-called “Dark MAGA” movement. The token's community-led revival, following its abandonment by its original creators, has created a unique project fueled by a mix of meme warfare, political satire, and celebrity endorsements. With Elon Musk and others pushing the Dark MAGA narrative, the $DMAGA token has garnered attention across the crypto world. What Is Dark MAGA ($DMAGA)? Dark MAGA is an Ethereum-based token with the overarching narrative of supporting the "Dark MAGA" movement, which envisions a vengeful Donald Trump defeating his enemies. The movement has gained traction in meme culture, and (ETH: DMAGA) is now a part of this resurgence. The token, once left for dead, has seen a community takeover (CTO) led by @seanybitcoins and other key figures, including @LordDefi, one of the earliest Bitcoin adopters from 2010. This takeover has reinvigorated the project, with the token’s price surging dramatically as of late. The current price sits at $0.0000033, reflecting a 35% increase in the last 24 hours, driven by Elon Musk's involvement in promoting the narrative, and his past support of Donald Trump. Key Statistics - Current Price: $0.0000033 USD - Market Cap: $1.39M USD - 24-Hour Trading Volume: $921,780 USD - Circulating Supply: 420.64 billion DMAGA coins - Max Supply: 420.64 billion DMAGA coins - Contract Address: 0x5640e0560e6afd6a9f4ddb41230d0201d181fea7 - Pooled DMAGA (Liquidity): 46.94B DMAGA Technical Outlook Dark MAGA (ETH: DMAGA) has seen a 35.29% surge in the last 24 hours. Its technical indicators show signs of early momentum building up as the project gains attention. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 49 reflects a moderately neutral position, indicating that while the token is not overbought, it is still in an early-stage rally with potential for upward movement. The project currently boasts a 24-hour trading volume of $921.78K, and the market cap stands at $1.39M. Despite minor dips, $DMAGA has consistently stayed above key moving averages, suggesting a strong underlying trend that could see further gains. On the liquidity front, the token's total pooled DMAGA sits at 46.94 billion, with a paired liquidity pool in WETH, the contract address being 0x8f8120fddb7b372d40d518f93ec371455d375b7b. Community Takeover & Political Meme Support The project's revival is driven by a passionate community and key crypto figures. @seanybitcoins and @LordDefi have been instrumental in leading this movement, organizing Twitter spaces and discussions that tie in Dark MAGA’s memes and political sentiments with real-world narratives. The key turning point for $DMAGA’s growth came from Elon Musk. His tweet about Dark MAGA catalyzed a massive spike in the token’s value, creating a rally fueled by his influence and meme culture. Musk’s public endorsement of Donald Trump and his significant $75 million contribution to Trump's campaign further cemented $DMAGA’s place in this movement, tying it deeply to the political ecosystem. The top 10 holders own 30.85% of the circulating tokens, which reflects a moderately decentralized distribution, ensuring that the community remains influential in guiding the token’s future. Potential Risks Despite the promising technical setup and strong community backing, the token still faces the typical risks associated with meme coins. Price volatility remains high, and a significant portion of the token supply is concentrated in a few wallets, which could pose risks of large sell-offs. Moreover, much of $DMAGA’s success depends on the continuation of the Elon-Trump narrative. A shift in political sentiment or waning meme culture could impact the token’s price trajectory. However, with the election looming, there’s optimism that the coin’s connection to this ecosystem will continue to fuel its growth. Conclusion Dark MAGA ($DMAGA) is a fascinating example of a meme coin with a political twist. Backed by a strong community and influential figures like Elon Musk, the project has positioned itself for further gains, especially as the U.S. election approaches. While there are risks inherent to its meme-driven nature, the token's current technical setup and fundamental backing make it a potentially profitable play for those willing to ride the wave.
UNISWAP:DMAGAWETH_8F8120.USDLong
by DEXWireNews
$DJT Climbs 18.55%—Boosting Trump’s Net Worth By Over $500 MlnShares of Trump Media & Technology Group (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DJT ) surged by 18.55% on Monday, significantly increasing Donald Trump's net worth by over $500 million. This marks a notable rebound for the stock, which has faced volatility in recent months. Trump Media, which owns the social media platform Truth Social, saw its stock price rise to nearly $30 per share. Trump, who holds a 57% stake in the company, benefited from the sharp rise, bringing his net worth to $5.5 billion. The surge in Trump Media stock comes as speculation around Trump’s potential election win intensifies. Betting markets have given Trump higher odds of winning, with Election Betting Odds trackers showing Trump leading Kamala Harris at 53.2% to 45.8%. The stock, often labeled a “meme stock,” has reacted strongly to these political developments. Political Influence & Investor Sentiment Trump Media’s stock price often mirrors the former president's chances in the upcoming U.S. election. As election betting markets sway in favor of Trump, so do investor sentiments surrounding $DJT. The rise in stock value can be largely attributed to Trump's increasing chances of a successful political comeback, leading investors to bet on the company’s future under a potential Trump presidency. Additionally, the company's recent launch of Truth+ streaming services has contributed to the renewed attention. Trump Media (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DJT ) recently announced the rollout of Truth+ on the web, with future plans to expand into iOS, Android, and major smart TV platforms. This move is expected to broaden the company’s user base and provide an additional revenue stream. Technical Analysis: From a technical perspective, (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DJT ) is displaying strong bullish signals. As of the time of writing, the stock has formed a bullish engulfing pattern, confirming a potential continuation of upward momentum. The stock is currently trading above key moving averages, with the RSI sitting at an overbought level of 76. While the stock is in an overbought zone, this is a common feature for NASDAQ:DJT during sharp rallies, especially given the influence of political and media news on its price movement. The stock's current resistance level is set at $40, a significant pivot that mirrors a previous support level from June 2024. Breaking through this resistance could lead to a new rally, especially if Trump's election prospects improve further. On the downside, support is positioned around $23, which is also near the stock’s one-month high. A move toward this zone would likely lead to consolidation before the next leg higher. Election Impact on Long-Term Prospects The outcome of the U.S. presidential election could have a dramatic effect on the future of NASDAQ:DJT stock. If Donald Trump emerges victorious, it is highly likely that the stock could test or exceed its all-time high (ATH) of $66, a level reached in February 2022. However, if Trump loses, the stock could face steep declines, with experts like Matthew Tuttle suggesting it could plummet to zero. For now, Trump Media’s performance remains heavily influenced by external factors, particularly political events. Investors are advised to keep a close watch on polling data and election betting odds, as these will be critical in forecasting the stock's trajectory over the next several months. What to Watch For The next major catalyst for NASDAQ:DJT will be its third-quarter earnings report, expected in mid-November. The previous report showed lower-than-expected revenue, leading to a stock price drop. Investors will be watching closely to see if the company's new streaming platform and growing political momentum can offset earlier losses. If Trump’s political influence continues to rise, the stock could easily outperform expectations.
NASDAQ:DJTLong
by DEXWireNews
4
Must-Watch Events in U.S. Politics This Week With six weeks until Election Day, Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by 5 points, 49% to 44%, according to a new NBC poll. Harris' favorability has surged 16 points since July, the largest increase for any candidate since George W. Bush after 9/11. Harris is set to unveil new economic proposals on Thursday, expanding her vision for an “opportunity economy.” Meanwhile, Trump is now urging early and mail-in voting, despite previously blaming it for election fraud. As for a second debate, Harris has accepted an invitation for October 23, but Trump seems reluctant after their first encounter. Additionally, House Speaker Mike Johnson has proposed a stopgap funding bill to prevent a government shutdown before the Sept. 30 deadline, with a vote expected on Wednesday.
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull_Markets
Trading the Presidential Debate Investor focus is about to turn to the televised presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. With the race currently so tight, even a small post-debate shift in voter sentiment could impact key markets. Budget forecasters are grappling with constant changes, and Tuesday's Harris-Trump debate could introduce new ideas. What we currently know: Trump’s recent embrace of crypto, including plans to fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler and promote U.S. Bitcoin mining, could fuel volatility in digital currencies. Harris, though less vocal on crypto, supports policies fostering tech growth, but her stance remains less defined. Trump’s plan to slash the corporate tax rate to 15% could boost S&P 500 earnings, while Harris’s proposal to raise it to 28%, a move that may weigh on profits and valuations. The U.S. dollar could rise under Trump’s policies, with tariffs and increased fiscal spending driving inflation and higher interest rates. However, current estimates show Trump's agenda significantly increasing federal debt which may weigh on its long-term outlook.
BLACKBULL:BTCUSD
by BlackBull_Markets