$KAS broke major support and could face a significant drop!CRYPTO:KASUSD has been experiencing steady declines after failing to sustain higher levels over the past few months. It recently broke a critical major support trendline, signaling the potential for further downside.
This breakdown occurred after several attempts to push higher were rejected, especially around the $0.20 range, which had acted as strong resistance in the past.
The break below the trendline, which has held strong for months, signals that selling pressure is intensifying.
We're now closely watching how it reacts within the Supply Zone around $0.1251 - $0.1291. A rejection from here could accelerate the move downward.
Key Levels to Watch:
Short Entry Idea 1: Rejection from $0.1291
Short Entry Idea 2: Rejection from 4H SIBI at $0.1257
TP1: $0.1183
TP2: $0.1079
TP3: $0.0915
Expect further downside if CRYPTOCAP:KAS fails to reclaim these levels soon, as we could see it test Major Demand Zones below.
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Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, and you should not take it as such. Always conduct your own research and due diligence before making any trading decisions. Markets are highly volatile, and following any chart blindly can lead to significant losses. Trade responsibly and use risk management strategies.
Kaspatrading
Kaspa – Could this finally be the moment I'm right? TA + TPDescending Trading Channel:
KASPA is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel, with both resistance and support levels guiding its movement.
The price has consistently rebounded from the lower support line while facing rejections near the upper resistance line.
Potential Reversal Signals:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently around the 39 level, suggesting that KASPA may be entering an oversold zone. This could indicate a potential reversal if the RSI crosses the 40-50 threshold.
Stochastic Oscillator: Showing a reversal from oversold conditions, implying a possible short-term bullish momentum.
VMC Cipher & HMA Histogram: The VMC Cipher indicator and HMA histogram are showing early divergence signals and possible upward momentum, indicating potential price strength if the pattern continues.
Breakout Probability:
If KASPA manages to break above the descending channel’s resistance with sufficient volume, it could signal a bullish breakout.
A breakout above $0.12 with strong momentum could potentially lead to a mid-term upward trend.
Trading Plan
Entry Points:
Aggressive Entry: Enter at the current price around $0.115, anticipating a breakout from the descending channel.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout above $0.12 with a retest and confirmation of support, minimizing the risk of a false breakout.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place a stop-loss slightly below the current descending support line, around $0.11, to limit potential losses if the price reverses downward.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: $0.14 (near previous highs within the channel).
Target 2: $0.16, aligning with the upper trend lines in a possible new uptrend.
Target 3 (Long-Term): New all-time high (ATH), estimated around $0.22 if momentum sustains.
Time Estimation for New ATH:
Based on previous price cycles and behavior, a bullish breakout from the descending channel could gradually drive the price toward a new ATH in approximately 2-3 months. This timeline considers consolidation phases and typical market momentum seen in KASPA's previous movements.
Risk Management:
Use 1-2% of the portfolio per trade to manage exposure.
Adjust stop-loss and targets as the trade progresses, monitoring for potential corrections or unexpected reversals.
This trading plan and analysis anticipate a bullish breakout based on the current technical setup. However, always monitor for confirmation and adjust for new market conditions.
KASPA trading plan and technical analysis (4h chart frame)Technical Analysis + trade plan by Blaž Fabjan
Pattern: Falling Wedge
The chart shows a clear Falling Wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal signal. This pattern is characterized by a downward sloping resistance and support line that converges. A breakout from this pattern often leads to a price surge.
The breakout is expected as the price is nearing the end of the wedge and has touched the support line multiple times.
Support and Resistance:
Resistance Line: The upper boundary of the wedge acts as a resistance level. A successful breakout would target higher price levels.
Support Line: The lower boundary of the wedge acts as support and has held several times.
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is around 38.57, indicating that the asset is close to oversold territory. A bounce is likely once the RSI dips further or consolidates.
Stochastic RSI: Currently, the Stochastic RSI is at 30.08 and 37.92. This also indicates a potential reversal from oversold conditions, supporting the bullish outlook.
Volume: The volume has been declining, which is typical before a breakout. Watch for an increase in volume as confirmation of a breakout.
VMC Cipher B: The indicator suggests that the downward pressure is easing. A shift towards green momentum waves could signal the start of the upward trend.
HMA Histogram: This indicator is showing a very slight bullish crossover, reinforcing the potential for a reversal.
Price Action:
Price is currently consolidating just above the support of the wedge. This creates a critical juncture, where the next few candles could determine the breakout direction.
If the price breaks out of the wedge, expect a retest of the former resistance turned support before moving higher.
Trading Plan by Blaž Fabjan:
Entry:
Aggressive Entry: Enter at the current price (~$0.1366) anticipating an imminent breakout from the falling wedge.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the resistance level of the wedge (around $0.145), followed by a successful retest before entering a long position.
Stop Loss:
Set a stop loss slightly below the wedge support, around $0.127 to $0.129, to limit downside risk in case of a false breakout or continued downtrend.
Targets:
First Target (T1): $0.160 - This target aligns with the previous high and key resistance.
Second Target (T2): $0.180 - If the momentum continues, this level could be reached, representing a measured move from the wedge breakout.
Third Target (T3): $0.200 - For more aggressive traders looking to hold longer, this level represents a strong psychological resistance.
Risk Management:
Position sizing should be calculated based on your risk tolerance, but a 2-3% risk per trade is generally recommended. Ensure you are not overexposed.
Use a trailing stop once the price reaches the first target to lock in profits while allowing for further upside.
Confirmation:
Watch for an increase in volume and strong bullish candles breaking through the wedge's resistance line to confirm the breakout.
If the price fails to break out of the wedge or closes below the support, the pattern is invalidated, and short-term bearish action could continue.
Conclusion:
The falling wedge pattern and supporting indicators suggest a potential bullish breakout in the near term. A well-planned entry near the breakout, combined with a proper stop-loss and profit targets, offers a favorable risk-reward ratio for this setup. Be cautious of potential false breakouts and follow through with the technical signals closely.
KASPA USDT 4H CHART TA+price predictionHi! Today I will analyze Kaspa / Usdt chart on 4h timeframe and I will look up what's following in near future - price prediction. TA by Blaž Fabjan
The descending triangle is highlighted, signaling a potential bearish continuation or reversal.
1. Resistance is marked on the chart, suggesting that the price is struggling to break above that level.
2. Support is seen near the base of the triangle. If this support level breaks, a more significant downside is expected.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher Divergences: Suggesting a mix of bullish and bearish divergences. Current momentum appears bearish, as evidenced by the divergences. However, there could be a potential reversal, depending on the market structure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Sitting near the lower range (~42.77), which suggests that the asset is not yet oversold, but it's approaching a level that could present a buying opportunity if oversold conditions are met.
Stochastic RSI: It appears oversold (~42.35), indicating that a reversal or upward momentum might be due soon.
Price Action:
The chart shows a potential downward move towards the lower boundary of the triangle, which is marked with an emoji representing the target zone. A bounce from this zone may lead to a bullish breakout, as indicated by the upward arrow.
If the price falls below the triangle, the next support is likely around the $0.1500 level (as per the emoji), with a possible further decline if that level is breached.
Volume:
The volume appears stable, but no significant spikes indicate a strong trend change or momentum yet. Low volume during a potential breakdown would suggest a weaker move, while a volume spike could confirm the breakout/breakdown.
Trading Plan
Short-Term Outlook (Bearish Continuation):
Entry: If the price breaks below the current support at ~$0.1600, short positions could be considered, targeting the next support near $0.1500 or lower.
Stop Loss: Set just above the resistance level, around $0.1700, to minimize risk.
Target: Short-term targets would be $0.1500 (first support), potentially moving lower depending on market conditions.
Bullish Reversal (Medium- to Long-Term Outlook):
Entry: If the price bounces off support (as indicated by the chart), wait for confirmation of a reversal before entering. Look for a close above $0.1700 as a bullish sign.
Stop Loss: Set below the triangle's lower boundary at ~$0.1550.
Target: First target could be around $0.2100, following the chart’s indication of a potential sharp upward movement. Breakouts from descending triangles often lead to significant upward momentum.
Confirmation:
Wait for confirmation of direction either through volume increase or a clear breakout from the triangle. Trade cautiously within the triangle as price movements could be choppy.
In summary, the chart suggests a possible short-term bearish movement towards the $0.1500 level, followed by a potential bullish reversal. Watch for breakout confirmation and act accordingly based on the defined trading plan.
KAS: Pullback in UptrendTrade setup : Following a breakout from Falling Wedge pattern and above 200-day moving average, price signaled resumption of Uptrend. However, it reached $0.19 resistance where it got rejected in February and was also very overbought (RSI > 80), and pulled back on profit taking. This is almost identical situation to that in February. We would be buyers on pullbacks near $0.15 support area for another swing trade entry with +25% upside potential back to $0.19. Stop Loss (SL) at $0.138. If price breaks above it's ATH of $0.194, the next possible resistance levels (price targets) based on Fibonacci Extensions are: $0.207 (61.80%), $0.223 (78.60%), $0.243 (100%) and $0.30 (161.80%).
Pattern : Pullback in Uptrend. Price remains in an Uptrend but has pulled back, which could present a 'buying dip' opportunity. Traders should look for the nearest support level where price could stabilize and resume its Uptrend. This support level could be a level where price bounced off of in the past, or a level that was previously resistance. (concept known as polarity).Learn to trade key levels in Lesson 3.
Trend : Short-term trend is Strong Up, Medium-term trend is Strong Up and Long-term trend is Strong Up.
Momentum : Price is neither overbought nor oversold currently, based on RSI-14 levels (RSI > 30 and RSI < 70).
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $0.15, then $0.13. Nearest Resistance Zone is $0.194, then $0.24.
KASPA: Pullback in UptrendTrade setup : Following a breakout from Falling Wedge pattern and above 200-day moving average, price signaled resumption of Uptrend. However, it reached $0.19 resistance where it got rejected in February and was also very overbought (RSI > 80), and pulled back on profit taking. This is almost identical situation to that in February. We would be buyers on pullbacks near $0.15 support area for another swing trade entry with +25% upside potential back to $0.19. Stop Loss (SL) at $0.138.
Pattern : Pullback in Uptrend . Price remains in an Uptrend but has pulled back, which could present a 'buying dip' opportunity. Traders should look for the nearest support level where price could stabilize and resume its Uptrend. This support level could be a level where price bounced off of in the past, or a level that was previously resistance. (concept known as polarity).Learn to trade key levels in Lesson 3.
Trend : Short-term trend is Strong Up, Medium-term trend is Strong Up and Long-term trend is Strong Up.
Momentum is Bullish but inflecting. MACD Line is still above MACD Signal Line but momentum may have peaked since MACD Histogram bars are declining, which suggests that momentum could be nearing a downswing. Price is neither overbought nor oversold currently, based on RSI-14 levels (RSI > 30 and RSI < 70).
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $0.15, then $0.13. Nearest Resistance Zone is $0.19.
KASPA Repeating it again?Kaspa coin is performing again the same pattern it played some weeks ago. If this pattern is goin to repeat again, we could see a pump that could lead the price around $0.24 (i have multiple confluence about this target) in the next months. In order to see the pump, the support level at $0.10/$0.09 must hold
Kaspa vs. Bitcoin: A Tale of Two Crypto TitansKaspa vs. Bitcoin: A Tale of Two Crypto Titans
In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency, new contenders emerge to challenge the established giants. Among them stands Kaspa, a rising star boasting innovative technology and a dedicated community. While Bitcoin remains the undisputed king, Kaspa presents a compelling alternative with its unique features and potential.
Technological Divergence:
The most fundamental difference lies in the underlying technology. Bitcoin operates on a traditional blockchain, a linear chain of blocks recording transactions. Kaspa, on the other hand, utilizes a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG), offering faster transaction speeds and scalability. This DAG structure allows for concurrent transactions, significantly increasing throughput compared to Bitcoin's single block per 10 minutes.
Pros and Cons:
Kaspa:
Pros:
Faster Transactions: Kaspa boasts significantly faster transaction speeds, enabling near-instantaneous confirmation compared to Bitcoin's hour-long wait times.
Scalability: The DAG architecture allows for theoretically unlimited scalability, potentially accommodating millions of transactions per second.
Fair Distribution: No pre-mine or ICO ensures a fair launch with an even playing field for all participants.
Mining Efficiency: Kaspa's mining algorithm is designed to be energy-efficient, offering a more sustainable alternative to Bitcoin.
Cons:
Market Maturity: Kaspa is a young project with a relatively small market cap compared to Bitcoin, making it more susceptible to market fluctuations.
Development Stage: While the technology is innovative, it is still under development, and its long-term viability remains to be seen.
Limited Adoption: Kaspa's acceptance and use cases are still in their infancy, limiting its real-world application compared to Bitcoin.
Bitcoin:
Pros:
First Mover Advantage: Bitcoin enjoys the first-mover advantage and established brand recognition, leading to widespread adoption and high liquidity.
Security and Stability: Bitcoin's network is extremely secure and has proven its resilience over time, making it a trusted store of value.
Large Ecosystem: A vast ecosystem of businesses and services supports Bitcoin, facilitating its use in various aspects of the economy.
Cons:
Scalability Issues: Bitcoin's blockchain technology struggles with scalability, resulting in slow transaction speeds and high fees.
Energy Consumption: Bitcoin mining consumes a significant amount of energy, raising concerns about its environmental impact.
Centralization Concerns: Mining pools control a large portion of the network, potentially leading to centralization and manipulation.
Price Target:
Predicting the future price of any cryptocurrency is a near impossible task. However, considering Kaspa's promising technology, fair launch, and growing community, its price potential is attracting attention. Some analysts suggest it could reach $100-$200 within the next few years, while optimistic projections even mention $500-$1000 in the long run.
Conclusion:
Kaspa and Bitcoin represent two distinct visions for the future of cryptocurrency. While Bitcoin remains the dominant force, Kaspa offers a glimpse into a potentially faster, more scalable, and sustainable future. Ultimately, the choice between them depends on individual investment strategies and risk tolerance. While Bitcoin offers stability and widespread adoption, Kaspa carries the potential for significant growth and innovation. Regardless of individual preferences, it is clear that both projects are shaping the future of cryptocurrency, pushing the boundaries of technology and challenging the established norms.
*Kaspa began trending late in 2023 as it was listed on Binance Futures. Having already seen an increase of 81,654% since the start of price data. Launched on November 7th, 2021, and the first price data comes from June 1st, 2022, where KAS traded hands for $0.0001699, its all-time low. It traded sideways until November 2022, when it saw a 694% increase in price, reaching almost $0.01 per coin.
After starting 2023 trading at $0.005278 per KAS, the price has since risen to a high of $0.154, an increase of 2,818%.
From May to August 2023, in anticipation of Kaspa’s first Halving event, Kaspa saw a rise of 273%.
Kaspa looks to be in a wave 3 heading to 23c up to 49-50c after it made a cup and handle pattern.
This is not financial advice!
Kaspa Update | KASUSDT UpdateKUCOIN:KASUSDT CRYPTO:KASUSD
Hello, dear traders!
Ah, well, well...
Our price chart's been playing hard to get with that stubborn $0.1500 resistance, giving it a go three times, no less! But alas, here comes the downturn.
Buyers, feeling a bit let down by the lack of perpetual growth, are wrapping up their trades, and wouldn't you know it, the bears decide to join the party. We're looking at a drop, folks.
Now, down to the 0.500 Fibonacci Ratio, we're in for a price slide. After a little breather, expect the downtrend to strut its stuff all the way down to the $0.1000 level.
✅ Wishing you all the luck in the trading arena. May the charts be ever in your favor. ✅
⚠️ Disclaimer: The viewpoints shared represent my individual outlook on the market, based on publicly accessible information and historical data. While a portion of these opinions is influenced by my actual trades, others are not. It's important to note that I am not a financial advisor, and I do not assume any responsibility for the decisions you make in your trading activities.
✅ Feel free to share your inquiries or suggestions in the comments. I am more than willing to assess and analyze any cryptocurrency, forex currency pair, or stock index that piques your interest, so, Please don't hesitate to ask or mention the specific currency chart you'd like me to review.
KASUSD: The rally isn't over. Price can double.Kaspa is having one of the most aggressive rallies in the high capitalization category, positng the strongest weekly gains on the fifth straight green week. The 1D timeframe is obviously overbought (RSI = 86.789, MACD = 0.016, ADX = 53.378) but this rally can extend more based on the previous bullish sequence inside the annual Channel Up.
More specifically, the previous HH was made approximately on the 2.5 Fibonacci extension. In the meantime the 1W RSI peaked on a HH trendline. We have a similar pattern that is being followed currently so we expect KAS to reach again the 2.5 Fibonacci level and that's our target (TP = 0.28000) soon in order to form the new HH.
See how our prior idea has worked:
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