KBC.BR eyeing 65-70 region before restarting the uptrendKBC continues its correction started in Nov ‘21, a solid ER doesn’t have to change that.
So far we had a lower high struct in Jan ‘22, which can be viewed as wave B. Under that ~85 and we were looking downward to complete the C wave.
Now we have another lower high post earning, subwaves circle i and ii of C are firmly in place, projecting down to 70-65 region.
Ideally support ~65 holds although above 60, where the 0.5 retracement of wave (3) coincides with the weekly volume profile POC, target toward 102-108 remains in favor, i.e. beyond the 1.764 extension of (1) and reattempt the ATH struct long ago.
Daily closing under the top of (1) ~56 and 0.618 retracement of (3) ~54, this bullish thesis becomes unlikely.
More details about this correction phase on the daily chart:
TLDR : KBC should go lower first and then higher, so long above 60 = rocket emoji.
Long stop under 54
Short stop above 85
Kbca_eso
KBC.BR has upside potential in 2022 but long term uncertainOff the covid crash low we were 3 waves up before a correction began, currently retrace to around 0.786 fib.
As long as 60 (the 0.5 fib) hold, I can see upside target 1.382 fib, which is ...surprise surprise... right at the ATH... struck in 2008 just before the GFC crash...
All coincident aside, after 5 waves completion, a bigger degree of correction will occur, the bullish portion of this cycle is probably at its exhaustion.
Fundamentally, KBC is one of the best capitalized banks in continental Europe, can outperform its peers.
The caveat: Financials have been systematically underperforming the market sinds the GFC.