10 yr KC Wheat potential10yr KC Wheat outlook: Potential course of the KC Wheat market for the next 10 years. Overall the Wheat chart takes a more gradual incline up over the past 50 years but when the market gets spooked, prices can rally in a violant way. After this market tops, I feel the World’s supply and demand fundamentals of all Ag Commodities could support a more gradual transition lower for wheat if food security and shortages remain elevated. The market should remain very sensitive for another few years. Sensitive to world demand and production misses across the globe. There are many climate cycles coming ahead that could add to potential Ag production shortages. Wheat is used for food, Corn and beans have other purposes that could influence more volatile markets ahead for them…
**Not a prediction, something to watch**
KE1!
KC Wheat Rate of Change PotentialKC Wheat – 3mo Continuous: Comparing our current Bull market with the previous major bull markets of the past 50 years. Currently the 24 mo ROC high was set in March at 225% with a price of 12.99. If KC Wheat is to match the 06-08 ROC of 275%, then that would project a price of $15.00
**Disclosure** Do not take this as trading advice. The potential is there for higher markets, but anything could keep us from getting above today’s High.
KC Wheat - Weekly continuousUsing the low to high retracements, KC Wheat is currently finding consolidation of support in the 10.20 area. Below 10.00, lower targets remain at 9.56 and 8.62. Volume based risk down at 8.07.
If we can confirm the recent low at 9.93 I will draw upside retracement targets. For now resistance above at 10.75 to 10.95.
KC Wheat Cont KC Wheat - Weekly: Some indecision the past few weeks with price action working above the Blue Tenkan and below the red Kijun lines. Upside targets remain at 8.75 to 8.92. A breakout above the 8.92 high has targets up to 9.84. Support is 7.43 with further retracements at 7.07 and 6.51.
Continuous KC WheatCont KC Wheat - Weekly: Retracements on the Left are from the 08’ High and the 19’ Low. Keep an eye on them on this trend up.
The current leg has us between the 8.92 pivot and the 7.81 pivot. A move lower will look for support at the red Kijun line around 7.35.
A move above the 8.92 high would next target a leg higher to 9.61…
GRAIN SPREADS; Kansas Wheat - CBOT W - 2x Corn; Weekly long termCBOT:KE1! CBOT:ZW1! CBOT:ZC1! CBOT:ZS1!
KE (Kansas City) Wheat - CBOT (World) Wheat
These tend to be extremely reliable signals, indicating long term trends / changes, as Wheat itself has a relatively long (~7 year) cycle. (Wheat growing regions spreading from (north) pole to (south) pole.)
Kansas City Vs Chicago Wheat Spread IdeaI come up with trades that really save people time off the screens and have great risk to reward parameters using Futures Spread Trades, and Span Margin brokers to get in cheap as possible and maximize my per capital usage.
This idea is on a rock bottom price we can call a supply area we have visited in the past. Follow and see.
Thanks
WHEAT FUTURES (KE1!) MonthlyThe Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick .
Dates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
WHEAT FUTURES (KE1!) WeeklyThe Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick .
Dates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
WHEAT FUTURES (KE1!) DailyThe Djinn Predictive Indicators are simple mathematical equations. Once an equation is given to Siri the algorithm provides the future price swing date. Djinn Indicators work on all charts, for any asset category and in all time frames. Occasionally a Djinn Predictive Indicator will miss its prediction date by one candlestick .
Dates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low.
Kansas Cory Wheat Short Opportunity Off Of HighsLooking at a short opportunity with KC Wheat being at highs of 500’s I also look for other conditions.
1- divergence on almost all Macro time frames including the daily , and indecision here on monthly and weekly timeframes.
2-seasonal historic patterns showing a time where commercials can flip position to net buyers meaning they are hedging against the speculators that can drive prices back down
3-momentum looks weak up there
Let’s see what happens all I am short one calendar spread from here. Good luck !
Hard Red Winter Wheat: Sell Opportunity on the 1W Resistance.The price is testing the 499'4 1W Resistance after a prolonged rise since the rebound on the 380'4 1W Support. We've made a Double Top on the 1D chart which remains bullish (RSI = 65.798, MACD = 12.030, ADX = 55.290, Highs/Lows = 2.8750). However MACD is forming a top on a bearish reversal pattern. We are expecting a strong rejection after that Double Top and our Target Zone is 393'2 - 380'4.
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Hard Red Winter Wheat: Medium term Sideways Signal.Hard Red Winter Wheat is trading within a Descending Triangle on 1M (RSI = 40.777, MACD = -11.870, Highs/Lows = -63.0357). This month has rebounded on the 382 1W Support marking the 3rd time it bounced on that level since May, practically making a technical Triple Bottom.
As seen on the chart it appears to be replicating the July 2018 - January 2019 pattern, when then price after a Lower High within the 1M Descending Triangle, it declined and consolidated before eventually making the bottom on the 382 1W Support.
As a result we have calculated a trading range within 382 - 417 that may last until late November. This can be a very profitable medium term scalp opportunity.
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Hard Red Winter Wheat: Ascending Triangle. Lower buy opportunityThe price is trading on an irregular 1D Ascending Triangle (RSI = 55.404, MACD = 3.560, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). The supporting lines give an optimal long entry close to 500. TP = 517.
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KE1!: Both targets hit. Long on the 1W support.Both TP =574.20 & 588.20 hit as the 1W Channel Up (MACD = 9.620, B/BP = 0.3280) made a 598.40 Higher High. It has since pulled back to make a Higher Low, which was most likely priced at 498.20. This commodity (Hard Red Winter Wheat) is on a very long term uptrend and we are now holding a long with TP = 569, 598 in extension.
KE1! @ daily @ inside bullish 200&100MA with a triangle outbreakTake care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decision ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
44 COMMODITIES of Chicago, New York & londo (MA 100 & 200 inside bearish) @ drive.google.com
Best regards
Aaron